Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs FC Volendam – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion
Game Overview
Heerenveen host FC Volendam in the Eredivisie season opener, with both teams eager to secure a positive start at the Abe Lenstra Stadion.
Key Factors to Consider
- Heerenveen have shown relative stability recently with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. FC Volendam showed scoring ability but struggled last season with inconsistent results.
- Historical data favors Heerenveen at home against Volendam, with a tendency for home wins and both teams scoring.
- No major injury reports indicate key players missing on either side, suggesting both teams will field strong lineups.
- Playing at home confers advantage on Heerenveen, with supportive fan presence and familiar pitch conditions. Season opener motivation is high for both.
- Heerenveen’s aim to start strong at home combined with Volendam’s need to prove competitiveness in the top flight add intensity to the match.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Heerenveen -174, Draw 315, FC Volendam 435 | Heerenveen | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Heerenveen -1 -102, FC Volendam +1 -118 | Heerenveen -1 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75 -108, Under 2.75 -112 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Heerenveen -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Heerenveen to win the match with both teams scoring and under 3 goals total.
Predicted Score: 2-1