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Sao Paulo vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Morumbí

Game Overview

Sao Paulo hosts Corinthians in a classic Paulista derby with both teams having mixed recent form. Home advantage and a slightly superior run of results prior to the matchup make Sao Paulo a marginal favorite, but Corinthians have consistently proven tough to beat on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo comes off a 2-2 away draw against Bragantino, showing attacking potency with Andre scoring twice. Corinthians delivered a 1-0 road win at Ceará, demonstrating strong defensive organization. At home, Sao Paulo averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match; Corinthians 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded away. Both teams have recorded 50% of matches under 2.5 goals in their respective leagues, but head-to-head meetings tend to see higher averages (2.6 goals per match)[3].
  • Recent H2H history reveals a competitive split but Sao Paulo claimed a 3-1 win in the previous encounter. Over the last 10 meetings, both teams have 4 wins each with 2 draws. In the last 10, Sao Paulo won 1 at home, Corinthians won 2 away, with 7 matches featuring both teams scoring[3].
  • No major injury news reported in the latest previews[2].
  • No significant weather or venue issues expected. Morumbí stadium, with high capacity, traditionally boosts home support for Sao Paulo[3].
  • Both teams have similar motivation fighting for mid-table or potential continental qualification spots. Local derby pressure may raise intensity but risk-aversion is common in these rivalries.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo 143 | Draw 169 | Corinthians 275 Sao Paulo Win ★★★☆☆ 53%
Spread Corinthians 25 (-120) | Sao Paulo -0.25 (100) Sao Paulo -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2 +118 | Under 2 -138 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Close, tense Paulista derby with Sao Paulo slightly favored at home, but both teams carry threats and defensive vulnerabilities. Under 2.0 goals is statistically overrated by the bookmakers.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Sao Paulo


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Sao Paulo vs. Corinthians Prediction

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Corinthians – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-19 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: Morumbí Game Overview Sao Paulo hosts Corinthians in a classic Paulista derby with both teams having mixed recent form. Home advantage and a slightly superior run of results prior to the matchup make Sao Paulo a marginal favorite, […]

Corinthians July 20, 2025 Sao Paulo Soccer

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Mirassol vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, Brazil

Game Overview

The match features Mirassol hosting Santos in the Brazilian Serie A. Mirassol sit mid-table and have had moderate success at home, while Santos recently claimed a notable win against league leaders Flamengo but have been inconsistent overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol currently ranks 11th with a balanced home record and 4 wins in 12 matches, showing decent form especially at home. Santos’ form is patchy but boosted by a recent win over Flamengo, although their inconsistency may limit dominance.
  • Mirassol holds a slight edge in previous encounters with Santos, reflected in the slight probability advantage given to Mirassol in winning the match in recent betting analysis.
  • No significant injuries reported that would drastically affect starting lineups for either team, allowing both sides to field competitive squads.
  • Match is played at Mirassol's stadium giving them home advantage; favorable weather conditions expected and VAR is in use.
  • Mirassol motivated to consolidate their mid-table standing with home advantage. Santos motivated to build on their recent high-profile win to improve league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol: 150, Santos: 205, Draw: 215 Mirassol ★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread Mirassol -0.25 @ 1.12, Santos +25 @ 1.34 Mirassol -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 @ 98, Under 2.25 @ 1.18 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol to win on the moneyline, covering the spread narrowly with a low-scoring match under the total goals line.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Vasco da Gama vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário

Game Overview

This matchup between Vasco da Gama and Grêmio presents interesting dynamics given their head-to-head history and recent form. Vasco da Gama has home advantage, while Grêmio's stronger overall record in past meetings may influence the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio tends to perform better historically against Vasco da Gama, with more wins and a slightly higher average score in their matches. However, Vasco da Gama has shown competitive form in recent outings.
  • Grêmio has won 16 times, Vasco da Gama 12, with 8 draws. The home team's recent form might not fully reflect their historical disadvantage.
  • Currently, there is no significant injury news for either team that would drastically impact the match.
  • The match is part of the Serie A, which may see both teams motivated to secure points for different reasons.
  • Both teams will be motivated to win, but Grêmio might have an edge due to their historical dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama: 105, Grêmio: 290, Draw: 225 Vasco da Gama ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread Vasco da Gama: -0.5 108, Grêmio: 50 -128 Vasco da Gama -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: 2 -125, Under: 2 105 Over 2 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vasco da Gama at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form and historical data, Vasco da Gama might have an advantage playing at home, but Grêmio's historical performance is significant. The match could see a competitive outcome with a potential for over 2 goals, given the teams' scoring averages.

Predicted Score: Vasco da Gama 2, Grêmio 1


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Fortaleza vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Governador Placido Castelo

Game Overview

Fortaleza hosts Bahia in a Brazilian Serie A match where Bahia currently shows stronger recent form and statistical superiority. Fortaleza is enduring a significant slump, including consecutive home losses, while Bahia comes with momentum from a series of wins and draws.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza has lost their last five matches, have the worst recent home form with 4 straight home defeats, and have conceded 19 goals this season, close to the worst defensive record in the league. Bahia is undefeated in their last five games, winning four, and has better overall points position and defensive record.
  • The last 16 matches between these teams are tightly contested with Bahia slightly ahead: 7 wins for Bahia, 6 for Fortaleza, and 3 draws. Bahia have won 3 of the last 4 fixtures, indicating current dominance.
  • No notable injury information was reported that would heavily affect the lineups or strategies for either side.
  • Bahia recently played a Copa Sudamericana match and drew 0-0, indicating good squad fitness and competitive sharpness. Fortaleza’s morale is likely low due to prolonged poor form.
  • Bahia is motivated to consolidate their upper-table position and maintain their unbeaten run, while Fortaleza is fighting to halt a downward spiral, but their poor recent results diminish their confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza: 1.65, Bahia: 1.75, Draw: 2.2 Bahia ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Fortaleza 0: -115, Bahia 0: -105 Bahia 0 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1, Under 2.25: -1.2 Over 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win with over 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Fluminense vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-17
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)

Game Overview

Fluminense and Cruzeiro face off in a crucial Campeonato match. Fluminense’s recent form includes a strong unbeaten streak, while Cruzeiro seeks to improve their standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense has been performing well, unbeaten in their last 13 matches, while Cruzeiro's recent form is less consistent.
  • Fluminense has a slight edge in head-to-head matchups, winning more matches historically.
  • Specific injury details are not provided, but recent performance suggests Fluminense is relatively healthier.
  • Home advantage at Maracanã could benefit Fluminense.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Fluminense's recent success might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: 235, Fluminense: 125, Draw: 225 Fluminense ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Cruzeiro: 25 -112, Fluminense: -0.25 -108 Fluminense -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 2 -118, Under: 2 -102 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 56%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 35%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fluminense at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Fluminense


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Juventude vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Juventude vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Brazil

Game Overview

The match features Juventude, struggling near the relegation zone in 19th place, hosting Vasco da Gama, mid-table in 13th place. Both teams have shown mixed recent form in Brazil's Serie A, with Juventude needing points more urgently to avoid relegation, while Vasco has a bit more safety but still aims to climb higher.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventude ranks 19th with a need for points to avoid relegation, showing inconsistent results at home, while Vasco da Gama sits 13th with slightly stronger away form and a more stable mid-table position.
  • Recent H2H results include a 1-1 draw and a 2-0 win for Juventude, indicating competitive encounters with a slight edge toward Juventude in direct matchups.
  • No specific injury information available from sources; assume standard squad availability for both sides.
  • Match played at Juventude's home stadium, Alfredo Jaconi, providing them with home advantage. Weather or pitch conditions not noted as significant.
  • Juventude's motivation is high due to relegation threat which tends to increase desperation and fighting spirit. Vasco's motivation is moderate, aiming for mid-table security or better.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Juventude: 1.55, Vasco da Gama: 1.8, Draw: 2.2 Juventude ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Juventude -0.5: 2.1, Vasco da Gama +50: 1.75 Juventude -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: 1.9, Under 2.5: 1.95 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Juventude 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Juventude at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Juventude to win on the moneyline with a somewhat cautious approach on under 2.5 goals due to moderate scoring trends.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Bahia vs. Internacional Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Bahia and Internacional are set to face off in a highly competitive Brasileirão Serie A match. Bahia has shown strong home form recently, while Internacional seeks to challenge this dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia has been performing well at home, winning several recent matches, while Internacional has shown inconsistent form away from home.
  • Historical matchups between the two teams are relatively balanced, but Bahia's recent home victories give them an edge.
  • No significant injury reports for either team have been noted in recent sources.
  • Arena Fonte Nova provides Bahia with a strong home advantage due to fan support.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points in the league standings, with Bahia seeking to maintain their home dominance and Internacional looking to upset their hosts.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: +150, Internacional: +195, Draw: +220 Bahia to win ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Bahia: 0 -130, Internacional: 0 +110 Bahia to cover ★★★☆☆ 69%
Over/under Over: 2 -125, Under: 2 +105 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 50%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is favored to win due to their strong home performance and recent form.

Predicted Score: Bahia 2, Internacional 1


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Grêmio vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-17
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Grêmio's Home Stadium

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato clash features Grêmio hosting Fortaleza. Grêmio shows stronger recent form and superior historical performance at home, while Fortaleza has struggled with consistency and away form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has a recent record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 matches, while Fortaleza has just 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses, indicating a significantly weaker form.
  • In their last 16 encounters, Grêmio leads with 6 wins to Fortaleza's 4, and 6 draws, highlighting a slight edge for Grêmio historically, especially at home.
  • No major injury updates were found for either squad, implying both teams are likely near full strength.
  • Playing at home gives Grêmio a tangible advantage with crowd support; Fortaleza's poor away form factors against them.
  • Grêmio, sitting better in the standings, have higher motivation to maintain momentum, while Fortaleza needs points but lacks recent confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 1.25, Fortaleza: 3.2, Draw: 2.3 Grêmio ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Grêmio -1: 2.1, Fortaleza +1: 1.7 Grêmio -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: 2, Under 2.5: 1.8 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro hosts Sport Recife in a Brazil Serie A match with Atletico Mineiro as strong favorites based on form, historical data, and current odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Mineiro has shown solid recent form with a 2-0 win against Internacional and generally stronger offensive and defensive stats compared to Sport Recife, who are struggling with multiple losses and draws recently.
  • Atletico Mineiro has dominated the recent head-to-head matches, winning all key fixtures including a 3-0 and 1-0 victories in 2021. Sport Recife has yet to win against Atletico Mineiro in recent history.
  • No major injuries reported that would significantly affect Atletico Mineiro's starting lineup, whereas Sport Recife has some squad depth concerns impacting their competitiveness.
  • Match is at Atletico Mineiro's home stadium Arena MRV, providing them a home advantage with fan support and familiar conditions. No adverse weather or travel factors noted.
  • Atlético Mineiro is motivated to maintain a strong league standing, while Sport Recife looks to improve form but faces a tough challenge against a top team on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro: -205, Sport Recife: 440, Draw: 420 Atletico Mineiro ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Atletico Mineiro -1: -115, Sport Recife +1: -105 Atletico Mineiro -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Mineiro to win comfortably with under 2.5 goals scored in a controlled match.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Bragantino-SP vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-17
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP hosts Sao Paulo in a competitive Brazil Campeonato fixture where both teams have shown mixed recent form. Bragantino currently ranks higher and has a slight home advantage, while Sao Paulo struggles for consistency this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino holds 3rd place with solid recent performances including a 1-0 home win against Sao Paulo. Sao Paulo is struggling near the 14th position with less consistent results.
  • Historically, in last 30 matches Bragantino has 10 wins, Sao Paulo 14 wins, with 6 draws. However, recent encounters favor Bragantino with a 1-0 win and several draws, showing a tight contest.
  • No critical injury updates reported for either team affecting starting lineups significantly.
  • Match played at Bragantino's home ground with modest capacity, possibly giving home advantage. No adverse weather or external disruptions noted.
  • Bragantino motivated to maintain top league position and capitalize on home advantage, whereas Sao Paulo aims to improve poor league standing and avoid relegation threats.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bragantino 1.30, Sao Paulo 2.42, Draw 2.10 Bragantino ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Bragantino -0.25 (-107), Sao Paulo +25 (-113) Bragantino -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 goals (-121), Under 2 goals (+101) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bragantino-SP 38%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bragantino to win in a low-scoring tight match.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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