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Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-29
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

FC Porto enters the match as dominant league leaders with an unblemished record, while Arouca has mixed form but recently gained confidence with an away win. Porto's strong offense and defense contrast with Arouca’s inconsistent home results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Porto has 6 wins in 6 matches this season scoring 15 goals and conceding only 1, holding first place. Arouca sits 10th with an 8-point tally from 6 games, showing inconsistent home form with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss.
  • In the last 10 matches since 2017, Porto won 8 times against Arouca, who has only 1 victory. Porto has dominated recent encounters with big wins including 4-0 and 5-1 results.
  • Arouca reportedly has a fully fit squad for this fixture. No significant injury concerns have been noted for either team.
  • The match is at Arouca’s home ground, which may offer them slight advantage, but Porto’s superior quality lessens this impact.
  • Porto aims to maintain their 100% winning streak and top league position. Arouca seeks to build on their last away win and improve home results, showing motivation but with lower leverage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +725, FC Porto: -290, Draw: +395 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Arouca +1.25: +100, FC Porto -1.25: -120 FC Porto -1.25 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win the match

Predicted Score: FC Porto 3 – 1 Arouca


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Genoa vs. Lazio Prediction Lazio 155 22%
Sao Paulo vs. Ceará Prediction Under 2 102 17%
Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction Over 2.75 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +906 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $201.13

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction FC Porto Win -290 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Valencia vs. Oviedo Prediction Valencia Win -145 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Everton vs. West Ham United Prediction Everton Win -151 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +278

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $75.54

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Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-19
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Rio Ave F.C., Vila do Conde, Portugal

Game Overview

FC Porto leads the Primeira Liga with a perfect record and a dominant goal difference, while Rio Ave FC struggles near the bottom of the table with no wins so far this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto is unbeaten with five wins in five games, scoring 12 and conceding only 1 goal. Rio Ave FC has three points from draws and one loss, having scored 7 and conceded 9 with no home wins.
  • In the last five encounters, Porto has three wins and two draws against Rio Ave, who have failed to secure a victory; the most recent match ended in a 2-2 draw.
  • No significant injuries impacting either side have been reported, allowing FC Porto to field their strongest lineup.
  • The match is played at Rio Ave's home stadium, but given FC Porto's strong away form (two wins in two), home advantage is limited.
  • FC Porto aims to maintain their perfect start and top spot, while Rio Ave desperately needs points to escape a relegation battle, though recent form suggests limited offensive threat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Porto: -245, Rio Ave FC: +575, Draw: +380 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread FC Porto -1.25: -108, Rio Ave FC +1.25: -112 FC Porto -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -110, Under 2.75: -110 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.25 spread, and under 2.75 total goals scored.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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FC Porto vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão

Game Overview

FC Porto hosts Nacional in a Portugal Primeira Liga match where Porto leads the league with a perfect record and strong goal difference, while Nacional struggles in the lower half of the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto has won all four opening matches with an 11:1 goal difference, showcasing offensive dominance and defensive solidity. Nacional has inconsistent form and lower league position.
  • FC Porto has dominated recent meetings at home with 14 wins out of 18 and a significant goal difference of 44-13. Common result tends to be a 2-0 home win.
  • Porto has a key attacker Samu back from injury but misses Luuk de Jong due to a knee problem. Nacional has no fresh injury concerns.
  • Porto plays at home in front of strong home support at Estádio do Dragão, a historically intimidating venue. Nacional's last away win at Porto was in 2011, indicating psychological disadvantage.
  • Porto aims to continue their unbeaten start and maintain top table position, reinforcing strong motivation. Nacional looks to improve but faces big challenges against top teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -625, away: 1400, draw: 600 FC Porto win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -105, away: -125 FC Porto -2 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: FC Porto win; Spread: FC Porto -2; Over/Under: Under 3 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Sporting Lisbon vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

This Portugal Primeira Liga clash features Sporting Lisbon hosting FC Porto in a highly competitive fixture with both teams demonstrating strong defensive records and consistent recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have scored in 20 consecutive Liga NOS matches and maintained a solid defense, conceding 1 or less in their last 12 outings; FC Porto have kept clean sheets in their last four league games and also boast a strong offensive performance.
  • The last three meetings at this venue finished with under 2.5 goals and closely contested matches; recent H2H trends favor low-scoring, tight games.
  • No major injury concerns noted for either team; both lineups appear near full strength.
  • The match is played at Sporting's home ground in Lisbon, giving them slight home advantage; no unusual external factors impact performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to establish early dominance in the league, adding competitive edge without clear favoritism beyond home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: 108, FC Porto: 235, Draw: 250 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sporting Lisbon: -122, FC Porto: 102 Sporting Lisbon -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on the moneyline, Sporting Lisbon -0.25 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals in the over/under market.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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FC Porto vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal

Game Overview

FC Porto faces Casa Pia at home in the Portugal Primeira Liga, with Porto strongly favored given their historical dominance and current form in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto ranks 3rd in the league, maintaining a solid recent form with 5 goals in the last 5 matches and multiple clean sheets. Casa Pia sits 7th with a weaker scoring record, averaging 1 goal per match recently.
  • Porto remains unbeaten against Casa Pia in their last 7 meetings (6 wins, 1 draw), reflecting clear superiority in past encounters.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side leading into this match.
  • Match at Estádio do Dragão gives Porto home advantage with strong support and familiarity.
  • Porto is motivated to consolidate their UEFA Europa League contention spot, whereas Casa Pia aims to improve mid-table standing but faces a tough challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: +1200, FC Porto: -485, Draw: +525 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Casa Pia +1.75: -105, FC Porto -1.75: -115 FC Porto -1.75 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.75: -125, Under 2.75: +105 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.75 goal spread, with total goals expected under 2.75.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Gil Vicente vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-18
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Gil Vicente Home Stadium

Game Overview

Gil Vicente hosts FC Porto in a Primeira Liga clash where historically Porto dominates but recent results show some competitive balance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has shown resilience at home with a recent notable 3-1 win over Porto earlier this year; Porto has mixed recent form with some draws and losses and scored about 1.2 goals per recent match.
  • Out of 28 meetings, Porto has won 21, Gil Vicente 4, with 3 draws. However, Gil Vicente won the latest home match 3-1 and the teams have traded wins recently, showing some recent H2H volatility.
  • No specific injury reports available; assume no major absences affecting starting lineups significantly.
  • No weather or other external disruptions noted; Gil Vicente's home advantage is notable.
  • Porto likely motivated to assert dominance after recent mixed results and Gil Vicente will seek to leverage home momentum and recent psychological edge from their last home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente: 500, Draw: 355, FC Porto: -214 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread FC Porto -1: -125, Gil Vicente +1: 105 Gil Vicente +1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win on the moneyline but potentially by a narrow margin on the spread; total goals slightly leaning toward under 2.5 based on teams' recent scoring and defensive patterns.

Predicted Score: Gil Vicente 1 – 2 FC Porto


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 18, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 18, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Mirassol vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Cruzeiro 130 50%
Leeds United vs. Everton Prediction Leeds United 138 28%
Gil Vicente vs. FC Porto Prediction Under 2.5 -110 15%

Combined Odds: +945 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $209.01

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 18, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Mirassol vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Cruzeiro Win 130 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Gil Vicente vs. FC Porto Prediction FC Porto Win -214 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Prediction Real Betis Win 119 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +639

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $147.81

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