Match Analysis: Everton vs West Ham United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-29
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, ENG
Game Overview
Everton hosts West Ham United in a Premier League match where Everton aim to recover form after a disappointing League Cup exit and inconsistent league results. West Ham struggles near the bottom of the table contrast Everton's mid-table position, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Key Factors to Consider
- Everton sits 10th in the EPL with 7 points from 5 games, scoring 6 goals and conceding 5, showing defensive solidity with 2 clean sheets at home recently. West Ham United ranks 19th with 3 points from 5 matches, scoring fewer goals and having a weaker defense. Everton has not won in their last 3 matches across all competitions but keep a solid home record with 1 win and 1 draw so far at home.
- Recent meetings show a tight contest: the last five matches include a 2-1 West Ham friendly win, a 1-1 league draw earlier in 2025, a goalless draw in late 2024, and mixed results in 2024 with West Ham winning 3-1 and Everton winning 1-0. The rivalry is competitive with no dominant team.
- Everton's Jarrad Branthwaite is nearing a return but likely to miss this match. No significant injuries reported for West Ham recently.
- Everton will be motivated to end a long silverware drought and restore confidence after the League Cup exit, playing at home in front of their supporters. The match is televised live, adding pressure and exposure.
- Everton seeks redemption and improvement after setbacks, motivated by fan expectations and league placement. West Ham, meanwhile, fight to climb from the relegation zone, making motivation high but under pressure.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Everton: -151, West Ham United: 390, Draw: 280 | Everton Win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Everton -0.5: -154, West Ham +50: 116 | Everton -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -118 | Under 2.5 Goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Everton -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Everton to win with a clean sheet, leveraging stronger home form, better overall performance, and recent defensive improvements.
Predicted Score: 2-0