This MLS Western Conference matchup features FC Dallas hosting Minnesota United FC at Toyota Stadium. Both teams have shown competitive form with FC Dallas scoring 11 goals and Minnesota United 10 in their last 5 matches. The match coincides with the U.S. Independence Day period, adding patriotic motivation and intensity to the fixture.
Key Factors to Consider
FC Dallas has alternated between wins and losses recently, with notable results including a 2-3 loss to San Diego FC and a 4-2 win over Sporting Kansas City. Minnesota United is similarly competitive, creating numerous big chances led by Joaquin Pereyra and maintaining a solid offensive threat with Tani Oluwaseyi averaging 1.5 shots on target per match.
The historical head-to-head record is perfectly balanced with FC Dallas and Minnesota United each having 7 wins and 7 draws in their previous 21 encounters, indicating a closely matched rivalry.
FC Dallas faces key absences including Anderson Julio (leg injury), Osaze Urhoghide (hip injury), and Paxton Pomykal (bruised knee) with recoveries expected by mid to late July, potentially impacting squad depth and on-field chemistry.
The match falls on July 4th, a day of national celebration in the U.S., likely boosting team and fan motivation, especially as Minnesota Unitedβs schedule indicates national TV exposure increasing stakes. Weather and pitch conditions at Toyota Stadium are expected to be typical summer conditions in Texas, favoring the home side's familiarity.
With the match being nationally televised and part of a themed Independence Day weekend, both teams have strong incentives to perform well. Home advantage combined with FC Dallasβ recent offensive form could be key, while Minnesota Unitedβs balanced attack and chance creation present a significant challenge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
FC Dallas: 175, Minnesota United FC: 145, Draw: 255
Draw or Minnesota United FC win
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
FC Dallas: 105, Minnesota United FC: -125, spread: 0
Minnesota United FC to cover the spread (0)
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.75: -125, Under 2.75: 105
Over 2.75 goals
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Minnesota United FC 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 12%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the close head-to-head history, balanced recent form, but factoring FC Dallasβ key injuries and home advantage, the match is expected to be tight with a slight edge to FC Dallas for a narrow victory or draw.
The MLS match between FC Dallas and San Diego FC features two teams with contrasting recent forms and standings. FC Dallas is currently ranked 10th in the league and has gathered 8 points in their last 5 games, averaging 1.6 points per game. San Diego FC stands stronger at 2nd place, showing better defensive solidity with 0.8 goals conceded per match and an Asian handicap win percentage of 60%. Their head-to-head history is limited but competitive, including one match this season where San Diego FC won decisively 5-0. FC Dallas has a slightly higher recent Asian handicap win rate at 80% and tends to have matches with over 3 goals 60% of the time, indicating an attacking style that often yields goals both ways.
Key Factors to Consider
FC Dallas has shown moderate consistency with 8 points from the last 5 matches but concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. San Diego FC has been stronger defensively and more clinical, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and conceding less than 1 goal per game.
Only two recorded matches between these sides exist recently, with San Diego FC winning one and the other ending in a draw. The single encounter in 2025 saw San Diego FC winning 5-0, highlighting a potential psychological edge. Both teams show decent Asian handicap performance and a tendency towards over 3 goals games historically.
No specific injury information is available in the current data sources, so it is assumed both teams have their regular squad options available.
The match is played at FC Dallas' home ground, Toyota Stadium, which can provide home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions were not specified and assumed normal.
San Diego FCβs higher league standing and recent form likely motivate them to maintain momentum and challenge for the top position. FC Dallas, positioned mid-table, will be eager to capitalize on home advantage to improve their ranking and halt San Diegoβs progress.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
FC Dallas: 210, San Diego FC: 120, Draw: 270
San Diego FC win
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
FC Dallas: 25 -110, San Diego FC: -0.25 -110
San Diego FC -0.25
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 3: -105, Under 3: -115
Over 3 goals
β β β ββ 58%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego FC 14%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3 13%
π₯ Best Value Pick: San Diego FC at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego FC is favored to win due to their superior league position, stronger recent form, and decisive recent head-to-head victory. However, FC Dallasβ home advantage and scoring ability suggest the match could be competitive and high-scoring.
FC Dallas will host San Jose Earthquakes in an MLS regular season match at Toyota Stadium. FC Dallas currently rank 10th in the league, while San Jose Earthquakes hold the 8th position. The match is crucial for both sides to gain points and improve their standings in the competitive mid-table battle of the Western Conference.
Key Factors to Consider
San Jose has shown a stronger offensive output this season, averaging 1.9 goals per match, indicating a potent attack. FC Dallas, while struggling a bit in league position, benefit from home advantage and have had mixed results in recent fixtures. Both teams have had inconsistent defensive records, making this match potentially high-scoring.
Historically, encounters between FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes have been balanced with competitive matches. Recent head-to-head results suggest a closely fought rivalry with no dominant side, increasing the uncertainty for outcome prediction.
No specific injury updates are available for either side from the current search data, implying that both teams may field near full-strength lineups. This will allow both managers to deploy their optimal tactics without major personnel constraints.
The match takes place shortly after a league pause for the FIFA Club World Cup and ahead of the Leagues Cup, possibly impacting team fitness and motivation. The enthusiasm of the home crowd at Toyota Stadium is expected to give FC Dallas an emotional boost.
Both teams are motivated to climb the league table and secure playoff contention. San Joseβs slightly better placement might give them confidence, but FC Dallas playing on home soil will be eager to capitalize and steal points to improve their position.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
FC Dallas: 120, San Jose Earthquakes: 195, Draw: 280
Draw
β β β ββ 55%
Spread
FC Dallas -0.25: -108, San Jose Earthquakes +25: -112
FC Dallas -0.25
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 3: -115, Under 3: -105
Over 3 goals
β β β ββ 65%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
FC Dallas 63%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3 8%
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC Dallas at 63% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given San Joseβs superior goal-scoring form and FC Dallasβs home advantage, a closely contested match is expected with goals at both ends. A draw or a narrow San Jose win seems most probable.
Sporting Kansas City is set to host FC Dallas in an MLS match at Children's Mercy Park. Both teams are looking to improve their standings, with Sporting Kansas City currently ranked 12th and FC Dallas at 11th in the Western Conference.
Key Factors to Consider
Sporting Kansas City has recently experienced a mixed run, ending a four-game unbeaten streak with a loss to LAFC. FC Dallas seeks to exploit Sporting's recent form.
Historical matchups between the two teams have been competitive, with Sporting Kansas City often showing resilience at home.
No significant injury updates are available for either team.
The match marks the beginning of a three-game homestand for Sporting Kansas City, which could boost morale and performance.
Both teams are highly motivated to secure points, given their current positions in the league.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
FC Dallas: 260, Sporting Kansas City: 100, Draw: 265
Sporting Kansas City Win or Draw
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
FC Dallas: 50 -122, Sporting Kansas City: -0.5 102
Sporting Kansas City to Cover
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over: 2.75 -108, Under: 2.75 -112
Under 2.75
β β β ββ 55%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sporting Kansas City 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.75 4%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sporting Kansas City is expected to perform well at home, potentially securing a win or draw.
Predicted Score: 1-1 or 2-1 in favor of Sporting Kansas City
The match between FC Dallas and Philadelphia Union is set to be a closely contested affair. Both teams have been competitive in the MLS season, with FC Dallas looking to capitalize on their home advantage and the Union seeking to improve their away record.
Key Factors to Consider
FC Dallas has been solid at home, while Philadelphia Union has shown resilience on the road. FC Dallas has struggled to score consistently, while the Union has been strong defensively.
The head-to-head record is slightly in favor of FC Dallas, but recent matches have seen draws, indicating a competitive edge for both teams.
No significant injuries reported for both teams, though any last-minute changes could impact team dynamics.
Weather conditions are expected to be partly cloudy with a comfortable temperature, which should not affect the game significantly.
Both teams are motivated to gain points, especially as they look to secure a strong position in the standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
FC Dallas: 155, Philadelphia Union: 160, Draw: 275
Draw
β β β ββ 55%
Spread
FC Dallas: 0 -112, Philadelphia Union: 0 -108
FC Dallas or Draw
β β β ββ 52%
Over/under
Over: 2.75 -108, Under: 2.75 -112
Under
β β β ββ 58%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
FC Dallas 43%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.75 10%
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC Dallas at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match with both teams having chances to win, but a draw seems plausible given past performances.
This match between FC Cincinnati and FC Dallas is anticipated to be closely contested, with FC Cincinnati performing well in Major League Soccer, currently positioned in a strong spot in the standings. FC Dallas has shown resilience in past meetings, but Cincinnati's recent form and home advantage could play a significant role.
Key Factors to Consider
FC Cincinnati is in good form with significant away wins and a strong position in MLS. FC Dallas has shown the ability to win against Cincinnati previously.
The head-to-head record shows FC Cincinnati with one win and FC Dallas with one win in their last two meetings.
Not specified
No significant external factors mentioned.
Both teams are motivated to secure points, with FC Cincinnati looking to maintain their strong position in MLS.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -153, away: 390, draw: 300
FC Cincinnati
β β β β β 70%
Spread
home: -0.5 -159, away: 50 119
FC Cincinnati to cover -0.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
over: 2.5 -143, under: 2.5 107
Over 2.5
β β β ββ 55%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
FC Cincinnati 7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -1%
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC Cincinnati at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Cincinnati is favored to win due to their current form and home advantage.
The upcoming MLS match between Seattle Sounders FC and FC Dallas features two teams with a history of competitive encounters. Seattle Sounders FC currently rank 6th in the league, while FC Dallas is positioned 11th. Seattle has a stronger home presence and a historically better head-to-head record against Dallas, who have been inconsistent on the road. The matchup is expected to be played at Seattle's home ground, Lumen Field, which could influence dynamics.
Key Factors to Consider
Seattle Sounders FC have shown stronger form recently and hold a clear advantage in home matches. FC Dallas has managed some away wins but is generally less consistent. Seattle scores on average 1.5 goals per match in this rivalry, compared to Dallas's 1.1, indicating Seattle's more potent attack.
In 43 previous meetings, Seattle Sounders FC have won 20 times compared to FC Dallas's 11 wins, with 12 draws. The average goals per match in this fixture is about 2.6, highlighting moderately open games. Seattle tends to dominate at home in this matchup.
No specific injury information was available from current data sources; thus, no key players are reported as unavailable at this time.
Playing at home in Lumen Field gives Seattle Sounders an environmental and crowd support advantage. The match timing and weather conditions are typical for an MLS late spring fixture, favoring the home team more accustomed to local conditions.
Seattle Sounders FC, sitting higher in the league standings, likely have a stronger motivation to secure points to maintain or improve their position, while FC Dallas, lower in the table, will aim to upset the home side and gain valuable away points.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Seattle Sounders FC: -218, FC Dallas: 580, Draw: 340
Seattle Sounders FC win
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Seattle Sounders FC -1.5: 124, FC Dallas +1.5: -167
Seattle Sounders FC -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -127, Under 2.5: -104
Over 2.5 goals
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Sounders FC -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -2%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Sounders FC are favored to win this match considering their superior form, home advantage, and better head-to-head record. The game should see moderate goal scoring with Seattle controlling the pace.