Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-26
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, USA
Game Overview
The upcoming MLS match between FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes will take place at Toyota Stadium in Frisco. FC Dallas currently ranks 10th in the league standings, while San Jose Earthquakes hold the 8th position. Both teams are closely matched in the mid-table with San Jose having a marginally better overall performance during the season. The match is important for both sides to gain a stronger foothold in the playoff race.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Jose Earthquakes have been averaging approximately 1.9 goals per match this season, indicating a strong offensive capability. FC Dallas has shown mixed results and is currently positioned lower in the rankings, suggesting they may struggle against a more consistent San Jose side. Both teams have demonstrated resilience but San Joseβs recent form and goal scoring rate give them a slight edge.
- Historically, matches between FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes have been competitive with results varying. However, given the current seasonβs form and standings, San Jose has a slight advantage. Previous encounters show no dominant trend favoring one team conclusively, making this match potentially close and competitive.
- No publicly available data indicates major injuries affecting either FC Dallas or San Jose Earthquakes immediately before this match, suggesting both teams should field strong lineups.
- The match is played at home for FC Dallas at Toyota Stadium, which historically provides a home advantage. There are no known adverse weather or external conditions expected to impact the game significantly.
- Both teams are motivated to climb higher in the MLS standings. San Jose Earthquakes, currently 8th, are looking to solidify playoff qualification, while FC Dallas, ranked 10th, aims to close the gap and improve their position. This mutual motivation is likely to result in a competitive and intense match.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Dallas: 120, San Jose Earthquakes: 195, Draw: 280 | Draw | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | FC Dallas -0.25: -108, San Jose Earthquakes +25: -112 | FC Dallas -0.25 | β β β ββ 52% |
| Over/under | Over 3: -115, Under 3: -105 | Over 3 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Dallas 56% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC Dallas at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose Earthquakes are favored to win or draw, with a cautiously optimistic outlook on their ability to score and control the match, but considering FC Dallasβ home advantage, a draw is a feasible outcome.
Predicted Score: 2-2