Match Analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Everton – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Molineux Stadium
Game Overview
The Premier League match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Everton takes place at Molineux Stadium on August 30, 2025, at 14:00 UTC. Wolverhampton has started the season poorly with two defeats, including a heavy 4-0 loss to Manchester City and a 1-0 defeat at Bournemouth. Everton's performance has been mixed, losing narrowly at Leeds but winning their first league match at their new home. Historically, the head-to-head record between the two teams is balanced with Wolverhampton holding 7 wins, Everton 6, and 5 draws in their last encounters. Wolverhampton are eager for their first win this season, while Everton will look to capitalize on their recent victory and avoid a poor record at Molineux Stadium.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have struggled, starting 19th in the league with no points after two games, scoring 1 goal and conceding 5. Everton, positioned 8th, have scored 2 and conceded 1 in two matches. Wolves have not kept a clean sheet in 11 matches, highlighting defensive vulnerability. JΓΈrgen Strand Larsen leads Wolves with 1.7 shots on target per match, while Everton's Iliman Ndiaye averages 1.2 shots on target. Everton have conceded the most penalties this season (2).
- The recent head-to-head record is close: Wolverhampton 7 wins, Everton 6 wins, and 5 draws. Wolves have not beaten Everton at Molineux since 2023, and Evertonβs record away at Molineux is poor. Last season they met twice with competitive games.
- No specific injury updates are available from the sources, indicating possibly no major absences or late injury news for either team as of this analysis.
- Wolves are looking for home advantage to rebound from a poor start, while Everton are adjusting to a new home stadium (Hill Dickinson Stadium). Weather or pitch conditions are not noted as factors. The match referee is Michael Oliver.
- Wolves are highly motivated to secure their first win to stop a negative run. Everton have motivation to build upon a recent win and improve away form particularly at Molineux Stadium, where they have struggled historically.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | everton: 180, wolverhampton_wanderers: 155, draw: 212 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | everton: 50 -200, wolverhampton_wanderers: -0.5 148 | Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | over_2.5: 111, under_2.5: -148 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wolverhampton Wanderers 38% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Wolverhampton Wanderers at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wolverhampton Wanderers are predicted to win narrowly, 2-1, leveraging home advantage and a stronger attacking edge despite early struggles this season.
Predicted Score: 2-1