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Match Analysis: Shuya Kamikubo vs Eric Shelton – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-22
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ventura County Event Center, Ventura, California, United States
Game Overview
The upcoming MMA bout between Shuya Kamikubo and Eric Shelton at LFA 215 is set for August 22, 2025. Both fighters compete in the lightweight division with a fight scheduled for three rounds. Kamikubo, aged 30, holds a record of 15 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, while Shelton, aged 34, is more experienced with 20 wins and 8 losses. The match features contrasting styles: Kamikubo balances striking and submissions with a more decision-based record, while Shelton combines knockout power with solid submission skills and has recently gained momentum with multiple wins in regional promotions since leaving the UFC.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kamikubo has a 15-2-1 record, with 3 KOs, 5 submissions, and 7 decisions. Shelton holds a more extensive 20-8-0 record comprising 4 KOs, 4 submissions, and 9 decisions. Shelton has maintained a five-fight winning streak recently including notable finishes, indicating improved form.
- No direct previous encounters between Kamikubo and Shelton have been recorded, making this their first official bout. This lack of head-to-head history adds uncertainty but also opportunity for either fighter.
- No reported injuries for either competitor ahead of the fight, suggesting both will enter the bout at full health.
- The fight is held at a neutral venue in Ventura, California. Shelton has recent high-profile experience in regional main events and championship fights, potentially giving him psychological advantage. Kamikubo's slightly younger age and solid recent performances also factor.
- Shelton appears highly motivated to continue extending his winning streak post-UFC, aiming to cement his regional dominance. Kamikubo, younger and less tested at top regional levels, seeks to prove himself against an experienced opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Shuya Kamikubo: +180, Eric Shelton: -220 | Eric Shelton | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Shuya Kamikubo +1.5: +120, Eric Shelton -1.5: -140 | Eric Shelton -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 Rounds: -110, Under 2.5 Rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 Rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Eric Shelton favored to win due to recent momentum, finishing ability, and experience. The fight is likely to be competitive, but Shelton’s form and knockout potential suggest a close decision or stoppage victory in his favor.
Predicted Score: Eric Shelton wins via unanimous decision or TKO in Round 2