Match Analysis: Austin FC vs New England Revolution – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX, USA
Game Overview
Austin FC hosts New England Revolution in a key MLS clash. Austin FC is favored at home with a solid recent form and home advantage, while New England Revolution is an underdog with some injury concerns and slightly lower scoring stats.
Key Factors to Consider
- Austin FC has a stronger recent form, scoring consistently and maintaining good defensive shape. New England Revolution has slightly less offensive output and some key players unavailable, reducing their potency.
- Recent encounters generally favor Austin FC at home with a narrow winning margin. Matches tend to be competitive but with Austin FC having a slight edge in goal differential.
- New England Revolution has notable absences impacting midfield creativity and attacking options. Austin FC's injury list is light, keeping the squad relatively fresh.
- Playing at home in Austin provides Austin FC with familiar conditions and strong fan support. Weather and pitch conditions favor the home side further.
- Austin FC aims to solidify their playoff positioning and capitalize on home advantage. New England is fighting to climb the standings but faces an uphill battle given current squad fitness.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Austin FC -109, New England Revolution 275, Draw 270 | Austin FC | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Austin FC -0.5 -114, New England Revolution +50 -116 | Austin FC -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -118, Under 2.5 -112 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Austin FC 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Austin FC to win moneyline; Austin FC to cover -0.5 spread; Under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1