Match Analysis: Elche CF vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-29
• Time: 5:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Game Overview

Elche CF hosts Levante in an early La Liga 2025/26 season matchup. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities but Elche is the home favorite according to odds, with a tightly contested history between them.

Key Factors to Consider

• Elche is slightly favored with a home advantage, but both teams have struggled for consistency recently; Levante has managed to avoid defeat against Elche frequently in previous head-to-heads.
• Historically, Levante holds a slight edge in wins overall (15 to Elche 4 in 35 matches), with many draws (16). At Elche's home, results tilt closer with more draws and wins fairly balanced, but Levante's goal difference lead remains (15-11 at Elche).
• No major injury reports affecting key starters for either team were found, suggesting both lineups will be near strength.
• No unusual external factors (weather, travel fatigue, etc.) appear to influence this fixture significantly.
• Early season points are crucial for both; Levante may be motivated to prove strength away from home, while Elche aims to capitalize on their home status to build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Elche: 116, Levante: 255, Draw: 220	Elche	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Elche -0.25: -118, Levante +25: -102	Elche -0.25	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110	Under 2.25	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Elche CF 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Elche win, Spread: Elche -0.25, Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Elche CF – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 5:30 PM UTC
• Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid, a dominant team with a strong home record and higher league standing, faces Elche CF, who are underdogs with recent inconsistent form. Atlético are expected to control the game and secure a comfortable victory at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Atlético Madrid have shown solid recent results and a strong defensive record, while Elche has struggled to score and maintain clean sheets. Atlético’s attacking force led by Julian Alvarez is in good form.
• Historical matchups heavily favor Atlético Madrid, with a strong winning record and multiple clean sheets against Elche in recent meetings.
• No significant injuries reported for Atlético Madrid affecting key players; Elche has no notable injuries but lacks depth compared to Atlético.
• Match played at Atlético’s home stadium provides a strong home advantage; no significant external disruptions expected.
• Atlético Madrid motivated to start the La Liga season strongly on home turf; Elche motivated to prove resilience but expected to be second best.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-425	Atlético Madrid win	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	+102	Atlético Madrid -1.75	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	-118	Under 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Atlético Madrid -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win moneyline, cover -1.75 spread, and under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: Elche CF vs Real Betis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-18
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche, Spain

Game Overview

The first round La Liga match features Elche CF hosting Real Betis. Elche aims to avoid relegation while Real Betis targets a top-six finish. Real Betis enters as favorite with stronger recent form and better overall squad quality.

Key Factors to Consider

• Real Betis has shown solid form with competitive performances in both domestic league and Europa Conference League, while Elche struggled last season and face challenges maintaining top-flight status.
• Real Betis won 4 of the last 6 matches against Elche, with 2 draws. Historically balanced but recent domination from Betis favors the away side.
• No significant injury reports for either side affecting key players before kickoff.
• Match played at Elche’s home ground but no major external disruptions reported; weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
• Elche highly motivated to secure points to avoid early relegation trouble; Real Betis motivated to start strong and build momentum for top-six ambitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Elche CF: 240, Real Betis: 119, Draw: 230	Real Betis	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Elche CF: 25 -105, Real Betis: -0.25 -115	Real Betis -0.25	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 2.25 -110, Under: 2.25 -110	Under 2.25 Goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Real Betis 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Betis to win on the moneyline, Betis -0.25 on the spread, and under 2.25 goals for total goals market

Predicted Score: 0-1

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Mirassol vs. Cruzeiro Prediction	Cruzeiro Win	130	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Gil Vicente vs. FC Porto Prediction	FC Porto Win	-214	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Prediction	Real Betis Win	119	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +639

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $147.81