The Vegas Golden Knights and Edmonton Oilers are locked in a competitive series, with the Oilers currently leading 2-1. The Golden Knights are looking to capitalize on their momentum from a thrilling last-second win in Game 3, while the Oilers seek to maintain their series lead. The Golden Knights are favored to win at home, with odds reflecting their strong home performance historically.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities, but the Golden Knights have improved their defensive game, which was evident in their Game 3 victory. The road team has won every game so far in this series, which might affect the dynamics of Game 5.
The teams are closely matched, with a tied regular season series. The Golden Knights have a slight edge in goal differential during the playoffs.
Mark Stone is day-to-day with an upper-body injury, which could impact the Golden Knights' lineup.
The series has seen a lot of momentum swings, with each team capitalizing on the other's mistakes.
Both teams are highly motivated, with the Golden Knights seeking to regain home-ice advantage and the Oilers looking to maintain their lead.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers: 110, Vegas Golden Knights: -130
Vegas Golden Knights
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Edmonton Oilers: +1.5 -225, Vegas Golden Knights: -1.5 185
Vegas Golden Knights
β β β ββ 55%
Over/under
Over: 6.5 -130, Under: 6.5 110
Under
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Vegas Golden Knights 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 6.5 16%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Vegas Golden Knights are favored to win due to their strong home performance and recent momentum. However, the Oilers have shown resilience and could potentially challenge the Golden Knights' home advantage.
Predicted Score: Vegas Golden Knights 3, Edmonton Oilers 2
The Edmonton Oilers host the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 4 of their NHL playoff series. The Oilers currently lead the series 2-1. The Golden Knights won Game 3 with a buzzer-beater, highlighting their resilience and ability to capitalize on late-game opportunities.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have shown strong goal-scoring capabilities, but the Oilers have maintained a slight edge in the series thus far. The Golden Knights' comeback in Game 3 was crucial for their morale.
The series has been competitive with the Oilers winning the first two games before the Golden Knights' Game 3 victory. Head-to-head matches often result in high-scoring games.
Mark Stone's upper-body injury is a significant concern for the Golden Knights. The Oilers' goalie situation, with Stuart Skinner replacing Calvin Pickard, might influence their defensive strategy.
Home advantage could play a role for the Oilers, but the Golden Knights have shown they can perform well on the road.
The Golden Knights are highly motivated to even the series, while the Oilers aim to maintain their lead.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -125, away: 105
Edmonton Oilers
β β β ββ 60%
Spread
home: -1.5 185, away: +1.5 -225
Vegas Golden Knights +1.5
β β β ββ 55%
Over/under
over: 6.5 -135, under: 6.5 114
Over 6.5
β β β ββ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 6.5 -6%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Edmonton Oilers at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Edmonton Oilers are likely to win, given their home advantage and the series lead, but Vegas has shown they can push the game to the limit.
Predicted Score: Edmonton Oilers 4, Vegas Golden Knights 2
The Oilers lead the series 3-2 after a decisive Game 5 win (3-1), outshooting LA 46-22. Edmonton has outscored and outplayed LA since Game 4, demonstrating superior offensive pressure and goaltending.
Key Factors to Consider
Edmonton dominated Game 5 with a 46-22 shot advantage and 19-4 first-period edge. Darcy Kuemper (43 saves) kept LA competitive, but the Kings' defensive breakdowns persisted.
Edmonton has eliminated LA in three consecutive playoff series. The Oilers have won three straight after trailing 2-1, including two comeback wins in Games 4-5.
No major injuries reported. Adrian Kempe avoided serious injury after Evander Kane's knee-on-knee hit.
Edmonton's home ice advantage (Rogers Place) and LA's history of third-period collapses (allowed four go-ahead/overtime goals in final 13 minutes this series).
Edmonton seeks to avoid a Game 7; LA faces fourth straight first-round exit to Oilers. Edmonton's offense (3.2 goals/game this series) vs. LA's defensive struggles (79-35 shot deficit since Game 4).
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
EDM -162 / LA +136
Edmonton Oilers
β β β β β 78%
Spread
EDM -1.5 (+160)
Edmonton covers -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 6.5 (+114) / Under 6.5 (-135)
Under 6.5
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 6.5 8%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oilers win outright (-162 moneyline), cover -1.5 spread (160 odds), and game stays under 6.5 goals (-135 odds).
The upcoming NHL playoff match between the Los Angeles Kings and the Edmonton Oilers promises to be intense, with the series currently tied following a dramatic overtime win by the Oilers in Game 4. The Oilers displayed resilience by rallying from behind and winning 4-3 in overtime thanks to Leon Draisaitl's power-play goal. Both teams have shown offensive prowess and strong defensive plays, with the Kings having lost two straight at home and the Oilers bouncing back impressively.
Key Factors to Consider
The Oilers have recently gained momentum with two consecutive home wins, including a clutch overtime performance in Game 4. The Kings have struggled slightly at home, losing their last two playoff games there. Star players like Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid have been instrumental for the Oilers, while the Kings have contributions from players such as Trevor Moore and Kevin Fiala. Goaltending has been solid on both sides with Calvin Pickard and Darcy Kuemper making multiple key saves.
This playoff series is tightly contested with the teams tied at 2-2. The Oilers have managed two wins at home, while the Kings have secured their wins on the road. The recent games have been close, high-scoring affairs with multiple lead changes and significant contributions from key players on both sides.
Current injury reports do not indicate major absences for either team ahead of this game. Both teams should be close to full strength, maintaining the competitive balance.
The game being played at the Kings' home arena may provide a slight advantage to Los Angeles in terms of crowd support and familiarity with the ice. However, the Oilersβ recent successful comeback and confidence from their overtime win could offset that. There are no notable external disruptions reported.
Both teams are highly motivated as the series is tied, and this game could provide a pivotal 3-2 lead. The Kings aim to capitalize on home ice to regain momentum, while the Oilers seek to continue their comeback story and possibly take control of the series on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers: 105, Los Angeles Kings: -125
Los Angeles Kings
β β β ββ 60%
Spread
Edmonton Oilers +1.5: -230, Los Angeles Kings -1.5: 190
Edmonton Oilers +1.5
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
Over 6.5: 102, Under 6.5: -122
Under 6.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Kings -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 6.5 0%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the evenly matched nature of the series, recent momentum strongly favoring the Oilers, and the psychological boost from their last overtime win, the prediction leans toward the Edmonton Oilers edging out the Kings in a close game. The expectation is for a high-intensity match that could extend into the later periods with tight defensive efforts.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Kings 3 – Edmonton Oilers 2
The Edmonton Oilers are heading into the match with a strong recent performance, having secured a playoff spot in their last encounter against the San Jose Sharks. The Sharks, on the other hand, are struggling with an eight-game losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
Edmonton has shown consistent strength, while San Jose is in a slump. Edmonton's recent win against the Sharks showcased Connor McDavid's dominance with four assists.
In their last meeting, the Oilers beat the Sharks 4-2, indicating they have the upper hand in head-to-head matches.
Edmonton is dealing with injuries to key players like Mattias Ekholm and Leon Draisaitl, which could impact their performance.
Given the playoff implications and the Sharks' home advantage, both teams may face pressure to perform.
The Oilers are motivated to secure stronger playoff positioning, while the Sharks aim to break their losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers -205, San Jose Sharks 165
Edmonton Oilers
β β β β β 70%
Spread
Not provided; typically around +/- 1.5
Edmonton Oilers to cover
β β β ββ 60%
Over_under
Not provided; typically around 6.5
Over
β β β ββ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Edmonton Oilers at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Edmonton Oilers are likely to win based on their recent form and team strength.
Predicted Score: Edmonton Oilers 4, San Jose Sharks 2