Match Analysis: Edmonton Oilers vs Los Angeles Kings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-01
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Rogers Place
Game Overview
The Oilers lead the series 3-2 after a decisive Game 5 win (3-1), outshooting LA 46-22. Edmonton has outscored and outplayed LA since Game 4, demonstrating superior offensive pressure and goaltending.
Key Factors to Consider
- Edmonton dominated Game 5 with a 46-22 shot advantage and 19-4 first-period edge. Darcy Kuemper (43 saves) kept LA competitive, but the Kings' defensive breakdowns persisted.
- Edmonton has eliminated LA in three consecutive playoff series. The Oilers have won three straight after trailing 2-1, including two comeback wins in Games 4-5.
- No major injuries reported. Adrian Kempe avoided serious injury after Evander Kane's knee-on-knee hit.
- Edmonton's home ice advantage (Rogers Place) and LA's history of third-period collapses (allowed four go-ahead/overtime goals in final 13 minutes this series).
- Edmonton seeks to avoid a Game 7; LA faces fourth straight first-round exit to Oilers. Edmonton's offense (3.2 goals/game this series) vs. LA's defensive struggles (79-35 shot deficit since Game 4).
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | EDM -162 / LA +136 | Edmonton Oilers | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | EDM -1.5 (+160) | Edmonton covers -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 6.5 (+114) / Under 6.5 (-135) | Under 6.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Edmonton Oilers 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 6.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oilers win outright (-162 moneyline), cover -1.5 spread (160 odds), and game stays under 6.5 goals (-135 odds).
Predicted Score: Edmonton 3-1 Los Angeles