Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Edmonton Elks host provincial rivals Calgary Stampeders in a late-season CFL matchup with Grey Cup playoff implications. Calgary is favored by sportsbooks, but Edmonton's recent form under new quarterback Cody Fajardo points to a much tighter contest than standings and odds suggest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Calgary has clinched a playoff spot and sits among Grey Cup contenders (+500). Edmonton, after a 1-6 start, has won three straight with Fajardo, whose 111.9 QB rating and 7/3 TD-INT ratio have sparked the offense. Edmonton’s defense, leaky early, has allowed 22 points or fewer in their last three games.
• Edmonton has won the last four meetings, a trend that defies season-long narratives and suggests a mental edge in this rivalry.
• No major injuries reported for either side that would meaningfully impact the lines.
• Late-season divisional rivalry; both teams motivated, but Edmonton’s playoff hopes are slim, while Calgary is tuning up for the postseason.
• Calgary wants momentum heading into playoffs; Edmonton is playing for pride and to finish strong, but also to continue dominance in the rivalry.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

This matchup will be closer than the odds suggest, with Edmonton’s recent surge under Fajardo and Calgary’s tendency to keep games tight. Expect a competitive, hard-fought game with Edmonton covering the spread and the total staying under.

Predicted Score: Edmonton Elks 24, Calgary Stampeders 23

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Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The BC Lions host the Edmonton Elks in a crucial late-season CFL matchup. The Lions have been performing strongly as of late, while the Elks are fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive with a solid recent run.

Key Factors to Consider

• BC Lions have been surging at the right time and hold a better overall record. The Edmonton Elks have surged with a 6-3 record in their last nine games and have showcased strong ball protection and run game recently.
• Recent matchups have favored the BC Lions, who generally perform better at home against Edmonton, but the Elks have kept games competitive, losing some by narrow margins.
• No critical injuries reported that significantly affect starting lineups for either team, ensuring both squads field near full strength.
• Playing in BC Place gives the Lions home-field advantage. The Elks face travel and must perform under pressure to keep playoff chances alive. Weather is expected to be controlled inside the venue.
• The Elks are highly motivated as they need a win and other results to advance in playoff contention. The Lions, while comfortably better in standings, want to maintain momentum and secure home playoff advantages.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

BC Lions to win straight up

Predicted Score: BC Lions 33 – Edmonton Elks 24

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Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB

Game Overview

The Edmonton Elks host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in a crucial CFL matchup, with both teams coming off bye weeks. The Elks are 6-9 and are looking to keep their playoff hopes alive, while the Blue Bombers are 8-7 and in the thick of the playoff hunt.

Key Factors to Consider

• Winnipeg recently dominated Hamilton 40-3, led by Zach Collaros' strong performance. Edmonton, despite a tough season, has shown resilience and needs this win to potentially secure a playoff spot.
• Historical matchups favor Winnipeg, but Edmonton's urgency could impact the outcome.
• No significant injury reports are available, but the bye week should help both teams.
• Weather conditions in Edmonton are expected to be cool with a 30% chance of showers, which could affect passing games.
• Edmonton's motivation to keep their playoff hopes alive could give them an emotional edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 24, Edmonton Elks 20

Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-3) visit the Edmonton Elks (5-9) at Commonwealth Stadium. Saskatchewan is the clear favorite with strong recent form and a playoff berth secured, while Edmonton is struggling and fighting for postseason hope.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saskatchewan holds a commanding 10-3 record with dominant offensive displays, despite a recent 48-31 loss. Edmonton has a disappointing 5-9 record with inconsistent play and weaker defense.
• Recent H2H favors Saskatchewan, who have covered spreads and outperformed Edmonton in prior matchups this season, demonstrating a tactical edge.
• No critical injuries reported for Saskatchewan; Edmonton's depth and injury reports suggest potential vulnerability on defense.
• Game at Edmonton’s home field but Saskatchewan's motivation and form overshadow home field advantage. Weather expected to be neutral, no significant environmental impacts.
• Saskatchewan locked into playoffs and competing for top West position—strong motivation. Edmonton fighting to stay alive for postseason, but morale and form comparatively weaker.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win moneyline and cover the spread; game total to stay under 54.5 points.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Edmonton Elks 17

Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON

Game Overview

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (8-5) host Edmonton Elks (5-8) in a pivotal late-season CFL matchup. The Tiger-Cats are firmly favored due to stronger recent form, home advantage, and key player availability, while the Elks strive to upset as underdogs with a solid recent offensive showing.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hamilton is 8-5 and playing at home with QB Bo Levi Mitchell, who leads a potent offense expected to capitalize against a 5-8 Edmonton team that has struggled but showed offensive promise in a close loss to Toronto.
• Historically, Hamilton has the edge over Edmonton in recent meetings. Last season and earlier in 2025, Hamilton often controlled matchups, leveraging their stronger defense and efficient offense.
• No major injuries reported for key players on either side. Both QBs, Bo Levi Mitchell (Hamilton) and Cody Fajardo (Edmonton), are fully available, keeping offenses at full strength.
• Home field advantage for Hamilton is significant at Tim Hortons Field. Weather conditions expected to be stable, neutral impact. Motivation is high on both sides as Hamilton chases playoff positioning while Edmonton fights for respectability.
• Hamilton looks to solidify playoff seeding; Edmonton aims to disrupt and salvage their season record. The Tiger-Cats' better form and need for a win give them motivational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win straight up and cover the spread. Expect a moderately high-scoring game but stay under the total points line.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 31 – Edmonton Elks 22

Match Analysis: Toronto Argonauts vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON

Game Overview

The Toronto Argonauts (4-8) host the Edmonton Elks (5-7) in a pivotal late-season CFL clash at BMO Field. Toronto is a favorite at home with a slight edge in experience despite a losing record, while Edmonton comes off a strong rushing performance and win over Calgary.

Key Factors to Consider

• Edmonton enters with momentum after a 31-19 win featuring RB Justin Rankin's 204 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Toronto struggles defensively against the run (worst in CFL), and Edmonton's Rankin is a major offensive threat. Toronto QB Nick Arbuckle has produced over 300 passing yards in recent games, but the Argonauts' defense ranks low overall.
• Recent H2H data is limited, but Toronto’s home advantage and favored moneyline suggest sportsbooks give them a narrow edge. Edmonton’s effective rushing attack, led by Rankin, is critical to their chances to cover the spread.
• No major injury information reported for starters. Both QBs expected to start: Toronto's Nick Arbuckle and Edmonton's Cody Fajardo. No notable absences reported that would heavily influence outcome.
• Playing at home benefits Toronto; BMO Field conditions favor passing offenses. Edmonton must travel west to east but are used to CFL travel schedules. Weather not expected to impact game significantly.
• Both teams are fighting for postseason relevance late in the season; Edmonton riding confidence from last game’s win and strong rushing. Toronto needs a win at home to improve playoff hopes and leverage crowd support.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Argonauts moneyline

Predicted Score: Toronto Argonauts 30 – Edmonton Elks 24

Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-01
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders (7-3) host the Edmonton Elks (4-6) in a pivotal CFL matchup. Calgary is the favorite with a dominant home record and a balanced, high-scoring offense, while Edmonton has shown recent resurgence with quarterback Cody Fajardo revitalizing their play.

Key Factors to Consider

• Calgary has been a strong contender with dominant wins and a tough defense, while Edmonton has won three straight games, showing improved offensive production under Fajardo but still inconsistent defense.
• Calgary has historically been the stronger side, controlling past matchups and holding home advantage, although Edmonton’s recent form shows potential to keep the game competitive.
• No major injuries reported that heavily impact starting lineups, both teams seem near full strength, making talent and recent form the key factors.
• Calgary's home environment at McMahon Stadium favors the Stampeders, plus the Monday Labour Day night timing adds motivation and intensity for this regional rivalry.
• Calgary aims to consolidate their position atop the division while Edmonton fights to maintain a playoff chase, creating high motivation on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders to win outright (Moneyline) and cover the 7.5 point spread, with the game finishing under 52.5 points.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – 17 Edmonton Elks

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