Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB

Game Overview

The BC Lions (2-3) visit the Edmonton Elks (1-3) in a close CFL matchup. The Lions are slight favorites with a 3-point spread, and the total points line is set at 51.5. Both teams have shown inconsistency but have key Canadian quarterbacks starting: Nathan Rourke for BC and Tre Ford for Edmonton. Edmonton is coming off their first win of the season and playing at home, while BC narrowly won their last game by a point.

Key Factors to Consider

• BC Lions have a stronger defense, allowing about 26.5 points per game (5th best in league), while Edmonton is last in points allowed, conceding 34.5 points per game. Edmonton recently secured their first win, showing improved form, while BC just edged out a 21-20 victory.
• The matchup features two Canadian starting quarterbacks and has been competitive. BC has slight edge historically but Edmonton's home advantage is significant.
• No major injuries reported to starting quarterbacks Nathan Rourke or Tre Ford, both expected to start.
• Game played at Edmonton's Commonwealth Stadium, providing home-field advantage in a generally outdoor environment with potential weather impacts favoring physical play.
• Edmonton seeks to build on their first win and improve their home record after a poor start. BC aims to solidify their position with a third win and maintain momentum after a narrow last-game victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	BC Lions -156, Edmonton Elks +130	BC Lions	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	BC Lions -3 -110, Edmonton Elks +3 -110	Edmonton Elks +3	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 51.5 -104, Under 51.5 -118	Over 51.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	BC Lions -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 51.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

BC Lions moneyline, Edmonton Elks +3 spread, and over 51.5 points total

Predicted Score: BC Lions 27 – Edmonton Elks 21

Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-06
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Play Alberta Field at Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Edmonton Elks host the Ottawa Redblacks in a Week 5 CFL matchup, with kickoff at 7:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC). Both teams are struggling this season; Edmonton is 0-3 seeking their first win, while Ottawa holds a 1-3 record. This game features two last-place division teams facing off in Edmonton, with high stakes to break early losing streaks.

Key Factors to Consider

• Edmonton Elks have lost all three games this season, including a 36-23 defeat in Winnipeg last week. Ottawa Redblacks have a 1-3 record, coming off a 29-16 loss at home to Toronto. Both teams have poor recent performance against the spread with Ottawa 2-9 ATS in last 11 games and Edmonton 1-7 ATS in last eight, showing inconsistency and low confidence levels for bettors.
• Ottawa won both head-to-head meetings against Edmonton last season, including a win as a four-point underdog and covering as a one-point favorite. Edmonton has lost 15 of their last 20 home games, while Ottawa is 1-7 SU in their last eight road games, indicating a generally even but slightly negative historical matchup for both.
• No specific injury updates available from the latest reports for either team, indicating key players likely to be available.
• The game day will include the Elks' themed Hard Hat Huddle event, potentially boosting home crowd energy. Weather and field conditions are not reported to be adverse. Broadcast will be on TSN/RDS2 in Canada and CBS Sports in the U.S. with international streaming on CFL+, ensuring wide viewership.
• Both teams are motivated to break losing streaks; Edmonton seeks their first win of the season at home, while Ottawa aims to improve their 1-3 record. The Elks' home fans and special event could provide an emotional boost, but Ottawa’s status as slight favorites reflects their perceived edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Edmonton Elks: +108, Ottawa Redblacks: -134	Ottawa Redblacks	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Edmonton Elks: +1.5 -112, Ottawa Redblacks: -1.5 -112	Ottawa Redblacks -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 52.5 -112, Under: 52.5 -112	Under 52.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ottawa Redblacks -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 52.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ottawa Redblacks are favored to win narrowly based on recent form, historical head-to-head advantage, and betting market odds. However, Edmonton’s home advantage and motivation to avoid a 0-4 start suggest a close game.

Predicted Score: Ottawa Redblacks 27 – Edmonton Elks 24

Match Analysis: Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg

Game Overview

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers host the Edmonton Elks in a Canadian Football League match at Princess Auto Stadium. Winnipeg is currently undefeated with a 1-0 record while Edmonton is 0-2, indicating a stronger start for Winnipeg this season. The Blue Bombers are favored heavily due to their superior offensive and defensive stats and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Winnipeg shows high offensive productivity, ranking 2nd in overall scoring at 34 points per game, with a strong home rushing attack (201 yards per game, ranked 1st) and effective passing (239 yards). Edmonton struggles offensively with just 21 points per game and ranks 8th in several key categories like road passing and overall defense. Winnipeg's defense at home is also formidable, ranking 2nd overall. Edmonton's defense ranks lower (8th in overall defense).
• Recent head to head and historical data favors Winnipeg, having won key confrontations in recent seasons. Winnipeg's home dominance and Edmonton's current struggles suggest Winnipeg is likely to maintain superiority.
• No specific injury reports are available for either team at this time, suggesting both teams may have full or near-full rosters for the match.
• Winnipeg benefits from home field advantage at Princess Auto Stadium. Weather conditions and other external issues were not reported but could impact play.
• Winnipeg is motivated to continue strong early season form and build on their undefeated start. Edmonton, winless so far, has strong incentive to rebound but faces an uphill battle against a highly ranked opponent on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Edmonton Elks: 375, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -525	Winnipeg Blue Bombers	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Edmonton Elks: -9.5 -105, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: +9.5 -115	Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover -9.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -105	Over 50.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Winnipeg Blue Bombers -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 50.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers are predicted to win comfortably, leveraging superior offense, stingy defense, and home advantage. The predicted margin reflects the notable spread and odds favoring Winnipeg.

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 31 – Edmonton Elks 17

Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 19, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes, undefeated so far, face the Edmonton Elks, who are looking to bounce back from their season-opening loss. The Alouettes are favored by 5.5 points, reflecting their strong start to the season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal has shown strong performance early in the season, while Edmonton is seeking to improve after a Week 1 loss. Montreal's undefeated status gives them a psychological edge.
• Historically, Montreal has had mixed results against Edmonton, but their current form suggests a slight advantage.
• No significant injury reports are available that could impact the game's outcome.
• Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game's tempo, but Montreal's away record is untested this season.
• Edmonton is highly motivated to secure a win at home, while Montreal aims to maintain their undefeated streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Edmonton Elks: 188, Montreal Alouettes: -230	Montreal Alouettes	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Edmonton Elks: 5.5 -115, Montreal Alouettes: -5.5 -105	Montreal Alouettes cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -105	Over 48.5 points	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Montreal Alouettes -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 48.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes to win, given their strong start and performance this season.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 28, Edmonton Elks 21

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 8, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: BC Place, Vancouver

Game Overview

This matchup between the BC Lions and Edmonton Elks marks the opening game of the 2025 CFL season. The BC Lions are favored to win, given their strong home-field advantage and recent performances. The Edmonton Elks, however, enter with renewed optimism after leadership changes and a strong finish to the 2024 season.

Key Factors to Consider

• BC Lions have historically performed well at home, while Edmonton Elks are looking to build on their late-season momentum from 2024.
• Historically, the BC Lions have held an edge over the Edmonton Elks, but recent games have been competitive.
• No significant injury updates are available for this matchup.
• Weather conditions in Vancouver are typically favorable for football in June.
• Both teams are highly motivated, with the Elks seeking to end their playoff drought and the Lions chasing the Grey Cup.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	BC Lions -260, Edmonton Elks +210	BC Lions	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	BC Lions -5.5 -115, Edmonton Elks +5.5 -105	BC Lions to cover	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 48.5 -110, Under 48.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	BC Lions -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 48.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

BC Lions are predicted to win due to their home advantage and recent performance trends.

Predicted Score: BC Lions 28, Edmonton Elks 21

Top EV Parlay for American Football – May 30, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Ottawa Redblacks vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction	Ottawa Redblacks	-134	23%
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction	Over 44.5	-105	21%
Edmonton Elks vs. BC Lions Prediction	Under 45.5	-105	17%

Combined Odds: +566 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $133.13