Match Analysis: Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-20
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Game Overview

The Detroit Lions (4-2, 2-0 home) host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-1, 3-0 away) in a high-stakes NFC showdown. The Lions are fresh off a bounceback win and boast a stellar home streak, while the Buccaneers have been excellent on the road and lead their division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Detroit is averaging 31.8 points per game with a strong offense and solid defense (23.7 ppg allowed). Tampa Bay is 5-1 but has had closer wins and a weaker points differential (+14 vs Detroit's +49). The Bucs are undefeated on the road, but Detroit is perfect at home and coming off a dominant 30-19 win over a strong 49ers team.
• Recent H2H data is not provided, but both teams are in good form. Detroit has not lost back-to-back games in nearly three years, a testament to their resilience.
• No major injury updates are available in the provided data. Assume both teams are near full strength unless late reports indicate otherwise.
• The game is at Ford Field, where Detroit is 2-0 this season. Primetime (Monday Night Football) could amplify home-field advantage. Weather is not a reported factor.
• Both teams are playoff contenders with division leads at stake. Detroit is motivated to protect their home streak and NFC North position. Tampa Bay wants to solidify their NFC South lead and road dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	DET -270 / TB +220	Detroit Lions ML	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	DET -5.5 -115 / TB +5.5 -105	Detroit Lions -5.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 52.5 -115 / Under 52.5 -105	Under 52.5	★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Detroit Lions -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 52.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Tampa Bay's strong road record, Detroit is playing at a higher level offensively and has been dominant at home. The Lions' recent form, especially after a statement win over San Francisco, gives them a clear edge. Expect Detroit to control the game and cover the spread in a moderately high-scoring affair, but not a shootout.

Predicted Score: Detroit Lions 27, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21

Match Analysis: Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: October 12, 2025
• Time: 12:20 AM UTC
• Location: Arrowhead Stadium

Game Overview

The Detroit Lions, with the NFL's best offense, travel to Arrowhead Stadium to face the Kansas City Chiefs, who are looking to push their record to 3-3 and re-establish themselves as contenders in the AFC.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Lions are 4-1, with a strong offense, while the Chiefs are 2-3, seeking to improve their home record.
• Limited recent head-to-head data, but historically, the Chiefs have performed well at home against strong offenses.
• No major injuries reported for either team that could significantly impact the game.
• The Chiefs playing at home could give them an edge, but the Lions' offense is potent.
• Both teams are motivated, with the Lions looking to prove their offense can dominate on the road and the Chiefs seeking to climb back into AFC contention.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Detroit Lions: 120, Kansas City Chiefs: -142	Detroit Lions	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Detroit Lions: 2.5 -110, Kansas City Chiefs: -2.5 -110	Detroit Lions +2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 52.5 -110, Under: 52.5 -110	Over 52.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kansas City Chiefs 25%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 52.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kansas City Chiefs at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Detroit Lions +2.5

Predicted Score: Lions 28, Chiefs 27

Match Analysis: Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-28
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ford Field, Detroit

Game Overview

The Detroit Lions host the Cleveland Browns in a Week 4 NFL matchup with Detroit holding a 2-1 record and Cleveland at 1-2. Detroit boasts a top-ranked offense, while the Browns feature one of the league’s best defenses. The game shapes up as a clash between Detroit’s high-scoring attack and Cleveland’s stingy defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Detroit's offense ranks second in scoring and first in EPA per play, showing strong recent form including an away win and home victory. The Browns have struggled offensively with a 1-2 start but possess the best defense in the NFL, allowing only 204.3 yards per game.
• Recent meetings have been competitive with Cleveland pulling a close upset over Detroit last season. However, Detroit has had the better recent home advantage and overall stronger results.
• No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly affect starting lineups or key positional matchups.
• Game at Detroit’s Ford Field provides a home crowd advantage for the Lions. Weather is not a factor indoors. The Browns face travel fatigue but have experience playing on the road.
• Detroit is motivated to maintain their strong start and capitalize at home, while Cleveland aims to prove their defense can stifle one of the league’s elite offenses and bounce back from early losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Detroit Lions: -535, Cleveland Browns: +400	Detroit Lions	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Detroit Lions: -10 / -105, Cleveland Browns: +10 / -115	Detroit Lions -10	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 44.5: -105, Under 44.5: -115	Under 44.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Detroit Lions -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 44.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Detroit Lions to win straight up on the moneyline and cover the 10-point spread with a final score expected around 27-17, and the total scoring to go under 44.5 points due to Cleveland's defensive strength.

Predicted Score: Detroit Lions 27 – Cleveland Browns 17

Match Analysis: Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-22
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

Game Overview

Baltimore Ravens host Detroit Lions in a high-profile NFL Week 3 matchup featuring two 1-1 teams, top quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and Jared Goff, and elite coaching from John Harbaugh and Dan Campbell. Both teams showed strong offensive performances recently, with the Lions dominating Chicago 52-21 and Baltimore holding a 1-0 home record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lions rank 14th in total offense and 4th in points allowed; Ravens at home with 1-0 record, balanced overall performance. Recently, Lions crushed Bears offensively while Ravens showed steadiness but slight vulnerability away.
• Recent clashes have been competitive, near Super Bowl-level matchups expected. No dominant trend; both teams have traded wins in past meetings.
• No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team, keeping offensive and defensive units largely intact.
• M&T Bank Stadium with favorable weather (72°F, clear, low wind) and prime-time Monday Night Football environment may boost Ravens' home energy.
• Both teams seek 2-1 record; Lions motivated after big offensive victory, Ravens seeking home dominance and early statement win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baltimore Ravens: -225, Detroit Lions: +185	Baltimore Ravens	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Baltimore Ravens -4.5 (-112), Detroit Lions +4.5 (-108)	Baltimore Ravens -4.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 53.5 (-108), Under 53.5 (-112)	Over 53.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baltimore Ravens -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 53.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baltimore Ravens to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, with a high scoring game going over 53.5 points total.

Predicted Score: Baltimore Ravens 31 – Detroit Lions 21

Match Analysis: Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Game Overview

The Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears both enter Week 2 of the 2025 NFL season with 0-1 records, facing off at Ford Field. The Lions are favored by 6 points with a total of 46.5 points expected. Detroit has shown struggles early with coordinator changes impacting performance and offensive line issues. Chicago showed a second-half offensive stall in their opener but integrates a new scheme under Ben Johnson. Historical trends show Lions as favorites often struggle in home openers, but Detroit won both matchups last season and dominates statistical efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Detroit Lions have a stronger overall offensive profile from last season, led by Jared Goff (72.4% comp., 4,629 yds, 37 TDs). However, their Week 1 start was poor and lacking competitiveness. Chicago Bears showed inconsistencies, especially in offense in the second half, but may improve with new offensive coordination. Recent form favors Lions marginally despite both teams being 0-1.
• Detroit Lions won both meetings against Chicago Bears last season and have covered the spread in over 60% of simulated matchups based on models. Historically, underdogs have won six of Detroit's last nine Week 2 games, though Lions have recently struggled as home favorites in openers.
• Chicago Bears have some question marks with LB T.J. Edwards doubtful (hamstring), and DB Jaylon Johnson and RB Roschon Johnson questionable. Detroit has no major injury reports impacting key starters, improving their reliability advantage.
• Game played at Detroit’s home stadium Ford Field with a 6-point Lions favorite spread, suggesting public and bookmaker expectations favor the Lions. Lions' offensive line issues and defensive coordinator changes could affect overall performance. Betting percentages heavily favor Lions moneyline (60%) from public.
• Both teams are motivated to bounce back from opening losses. Detroit will seek redemption and continuity after offseason changes, aiming to assert NFC North dominance; Chicago Bears want to prove they can overcome stagnation and become competitive under new coordination.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Detroit Lions -278, Chicago Bears +225	Detroit Lions	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Detroit Lions -6 -110, Chicago Bears +6 -110	Detroit Lions -6	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 46.5 -112, Under 46.5 -108	Under 46.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Detroit Lions -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 46.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Detroit Lions to cover the -6 spread and win outright, with the total points going under 46.5

Predicted Score: Detroit Lions 24 – Chicago Bears 14

Match Analysis: Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-07
• Time: 8:25 PM UTC
• Location: Lambeau Field

Game Overview

The Green Bay Packers host the Detroit Lions in Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season in a divisional NFC North clash. Green Bay is favored at home despite the Lions' recent success against them, including two wins last season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Green Bay shows moderate preseason form with a 2-1 record and balanced offense and defense metrics. Detroit is coming off a strong season with a 1-3 preseason but showed ability to dominate Green Bay in key moments last season.
• Detroit won both 2024 regular season matchups against Green Bay, including a notable halftime lead and a last-second field goal win. This suggests a competitive edge for the Lions despite Packers' home advantage.
• No significant injury reports affecting starters for either team were reported; key players like Jordan Love, Rashan Gary, and Xavier McKinney remain healthy for Green Bay, with Aidan Hutchinson returning for Detroit.
• Playing at historic Lambeau Field provides Green Bay a classic home-field advantage. Weather conditions in early September likely mild, minimizing environmental impacts.
• Detroit aims for a third consecutive NFC North title and their first Super Bowl, driving high motivation. Green Bay seeks to reassert dominance after last year’s losses to the Lions, also highly motivated to start strong.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Detroit Lions: +114, Green Bay Packers: -134	Green Bay Packers	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Detroit Lions: -118, Green Bay Packers: -104	Green Bay Packers -2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 47.5: -110, Under 47.5: -110	Under 47.5	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Green Bay Packers 5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 47.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Green Bay Packers moneyline

Predicted Score: Green Bay Packers 24 – Detroit Lions 20