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Derby County vs. Stoke City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Stoke City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Game Overview

Derby County (13th) hosts Stoke City (18th) in a mid-table Championship clash. Stoke won the reverse fixture 2-1 in November 2024[3], but recent form and historical H2H data suggest a competitive match. Derby holds a slight historical edge with 9 wins vs. Stoke's 8 in 21 meetings[2], though Stoke has taken 8/15 points from their last 5 matches (vs. Derby's 2/15)[2].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby averages 1.2 goals scored/0.8 conceded in last 5 matches, while Stoke manages 0.8 goals scored/1.8 conceded[2]. Derby's attacking duo Cannon (4 goals) and Mendez-Laing (3 assists) pose threats[3].
  • Stoke leads recent H2H with 3 wins and 2 draws in last 5 meetings[2], including a 2-1 victory in November 2024[3].
  • No specific injury data available but assume standard Championship squad rotations.
  • Derby's home advantage (Pride Park Stadium) may counterbalance Stoke's recent H2H dominance.
  • Both teams are clear of relegation/promotion battles, potentially leading to open play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby 105 | Draw 185 | Stoke 320 Derby County (ML) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Derby -0.5 (108) | Stoke +50 (-128) Derby County -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%
Over/under Over 2 (-118) | Under 2 (-102) Under 2 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Derby County -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Derby County Moneyline – Home advantage and Stoke's defensive frailties (1.8 goals conceded/last 5) make Derby slight favorites despite H2H trends.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Derby County


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Hull City vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Hull City vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MKM Stadium

Game Overview

Hull City hosts Derby County in an EFL Championship match. Both teams are looking to secure points, with Hull City seeking to capitalize on home advantage and Derby County aiming to improve their away form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hull City has been performing well at home, while Derby County has struggled away from home. Recent matches show Hull City won three out of the last five encounters against Derby County.
  • In the last five matches, Hull City won three, drew one, and lost one against Derby County. Overall, Hull City has won 8 matches, Derby County has won 12, and they have drawn 4 out of 24 games.
  • No specific injury details are provided; thus, it's assumed that both teams have no major injuries affecting their lineup.
  • Weather or fan support could influence the outcome, though specific conditions are not detailed in available data.
  • Both teams are motivated to perform well to maintain or improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hull City: 141, Derby County: 210, Draw: 192 Hull City to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Hull City: -0.25 107, Derby County: 25 -127 Hull City to cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 2 -115, Under: 2 -105 Under 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hull City -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Hull City is likely to win due to their better recent form against Derby County and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Hull City


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – April 21, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Parma vs. Juventus Prediction Juventus -0.75 102 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Burnley vs. Sheffield United Prediction Burnley -0.5 -105 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
West Bromwich Albion vs. Derby County Prediction West Bromwich Albion Win -105 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +670

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $154

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Derby County vs. Luton Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Luton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-18
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County faces Luton Town in a critical Championship match. Both teams are at the lower end of the table, with Derby County holding 42 points and Luton Town holding 40 points. The match has significant implications for their survival in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has 11 wins, 9 draws, and 21 losses, while Luton Town has 10 wins, 10 draws, and 21 losses. Derby's recent form includes wins over Coventry City and Plymouth Argyle, but a loss to Swansea City. Luton Town recently won against Hull City and drew with Leeds United.
  • Recent matches favor Luton Town, with a 2-1 win in December 2024 and a 1-0 win in February 2022. However, Derby County has managed draws and wins in previous encounters.
  • Derby County has several players sidelined, including S. LangΓ₯s, R. Nyambe, and B. Osborn. Luton Town is missing E. Adebayo, D. Hashioka, S. Baptiste, and others.
  • The match is broadcast live on Sky Sports, which might add pressure. Both teams are fighting for survival, making the game intense.
  • Derby County and Luton Town are highly motivated to avoid relegation, increasing the stakes and competitive nature of the game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby County 140, Luton Town 220, Draw 190 Draw or Luton win if recent trends continue β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Derby County -0.25 105, Luton Town 25 -125 Derby to cover spread if they win, otherwise Luton would cover β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over_under Over 2 -102, Under 2 -118 Under 2 goals due to defensive setups and lower-scoring recent matches β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Derby County 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Derby County at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given recent performances and head-to-head results, Luton Town might edge this match due to their recent improvement, but a draw is also plausible.

Predicted Score: 1-1 Draw


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Portsmouth vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Portsmouth vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-12
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Game Overview

Portsmouth hosts Derby County in the EFL Championship, with both teams looking for crucial points to improve their standings. Portsmouth sits 17th with 45 points, while Derby County is 21st with 41 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Portsmouth has won only 4 times in their last 10 home matches against Derby County, but they currently have a stronger home record. Derby County, however, has shown resilience with recent wins.
  • Historically, Derby County has a slight edge in overall wins but Portsmouth leads in home victories.
  • No specific injury reports are detailed, but teams' recent performances suggest Derby County might be gaining momentum.
  • Recent form and league position could motivate both teams to secure a win, but Portsmouth's home advantage could be significant.
  • Both teams are highly motivated due to their league positions, but Portsmouth might have a slight edge due to playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Portsmouth 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Portsmouth at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Portsmouth to win, given their home advantage and slight historical edge at home.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Portsmouth


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Derby County vs. Burnley Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 8, 2025
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County, currently 21st in the Championship, face league leaders Burnley. Despite a recent four-match winning streak ending for Derby, they have been strong at home. Burnley, undefeated in their last 27 league games, aim to retain their top spot.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County are struggling but have had success at home, winning their last three games at Pride Park. Burnley have the best defensive record in the Championship and are on an impressive unbeaten run.
  • Burnley have been undefeated in the last 13 meetings with Derby, and their most recent encounter ended in a 0-0 draw.
  • Derby County are dealing with several injuries, including key players. Burnley are missing players like Aaron Ramsey and Bashir Humphreys.
  • The match is crucial for both teams, with Derby fighting relegation and Burnley seeking to maintain their lead in the Championship.
  • Burnley have high motivation to secure their position at the top, while Derby are motivated to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Derby County: 330, Burnley: -105, Draw: 205 Burnley to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60% Burnley to win -100%
Spread Burnley: -0.5 -112, Derby County: 50 -108 Burnley to cover (-0.5) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55% Burnley to cover (-0.5) -100%
Over_under Over 2: -102, Under 2: -118 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% Under 2.5 goals -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Burnley -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the form and head-to-head, Burnley are likely to win this match. The defense of Burnley and their overall performance this season make them favorites.

Predicted Score: 0-2 in favor of Burnley


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Swansea City vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Swansea City vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-05
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Swansea.com Stadium

Game Overview

This Championship match between Swansea City and Derby County features two teams with differing recent forms. Swansea City, currently 16th in the standings, looks to improve their position, while Derby County, 22nd, seeks to continue their recent winning streak of three matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Swansea City has shown inconsistency in their recent matches, with a mix of wins and losses. Derby County, however, has gained momentum with a series of victories. Both teams have similar goal-scoring records against each other historically.
  • In the last 15 meetings, Swansea City has won 5 times, with 6 draws and 4 wins for Derby County. At home, Swansea City has a slight advantage with 3 wins and 3 draws out of the last 7 meetings.
  • No specific injury reports are highlighted for this match, but any last-minute changes could impact team performance.
  • The match is taking place at Swansea.com Stadium, which could provide a home advantage for Swansea City.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Swansea City seeking to climb the table and Derby County fighting to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Swansea City: -105, Derby County: +280, Draw: +210 Swansea City β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜†β˜† 48%
Spread Swansea City: -0.5 +105, Derby County: +50 -125 Swansea City β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜†β˜† 48%
Over_under Over 2.25: +102, Under 2.25: -122 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Predicted Outcome

Swansea City is favored to win, given their home advantage and historical edge against Derby County.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Swansea City


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Plymouth Argyle vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-15
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Home Park Stadium, Plymouth, England

Game Overview

Plymouth Argyle hosts Derby County in a crucial EFL Championship match. Both teams are seeking to improve their standings, with Plymouth looking to climb out of the relegation zone and Derby aiming to solidify their mid-table position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has shown strong form recently, including a draw against Plymouth in their last encounter. Plymouth Argyle, however, has struggled on the road but managed a crucial point in their previous match against Derby.
  • The last match between the two teams ended in a 1-1 draw, with Derby dominating possession but unable to secure a win. Plymouth's ability to hold Derby will boost their confidence for this encounter.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, which should allow both squads to field their strongest lineups.
  • Home advantage could play a significant role for Plymouth Argyle, as they seek to capitalize on their home support to secure a much-needed win.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Plymouth needing points to avoid relegation and Derby looking to maintain their position in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby County: 140, Plymouth Argyle: 200, Draw: 205 Derby County β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Derby County: -0.25 105, Plymouth Argyle: 25 -125 Derby County β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over_under Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 Under β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Predicted Outcome

Derby County is favored slightly due to their recent form, but Plymouth's home advantage and motivation could lead to a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Derby County


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Derby County vs. Blackburn Rovers Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-08
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium, Derby, England

Game Overview

Derby County hosts Blackburn Rovers in a crucial EFL Championship match. Both teams have shown mixed performances recently, with Blackburn slightly favored by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has been inconsistent, while Blackburn Rovers have shown better form in recent matches. However, Derby's home advantage could play a significant role.
  • Historically, Blackburn Rovers have a slight edge over Derby County, winning 14 out of 30 matches. Recent head-to-heads show a more balanced record.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, which could impact the match dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game, but specific details are not available.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points for different reasonsβ€”Derby to improve their league standing and Blackburn to maintain their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby County: 2.80, Draw: 3.15, Blackburn Rovers: 2.75 Blackburn Rovers β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜†β˜† 36%
Spread Blackburn Rovers: 0 -115, Derby County: 0 -105 Blackburn Rovers β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜†β˜† 36%
Over_under Over 2: 2.40, Under 2: 1.57 Under 2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 59%

Predicted Outcome

Blackburn Rovers are slightly favored due to their recent form, but Derby County's home advantage makes it a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Middlesbrough vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Middlesbrough vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-01
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riverside Stadium

Game Overview

Middlesbrough, currently in a tight race for the EFL Championship play-offs, faces Derby County, who are fighting to avoid relegation. The match promises to be intense, with both teams needing points for different reasons.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Middlesbrough has a stronger record this season, sitting mid-table with 44 points, while Derby County is near the bottom with 29 points. Middlesbrough's home advantage and recent form favor them.
  • Historically, Middlesbrough has had mixed results against Derby County, but recent matches have seen Middlesbrough dominate, including a 4-1 win in February 2022.
  • No significant injury updates are available for either team, but both will likely field their strongest lineups given the stakes.
  • The pressure to secure points for different reasonsβ€”play-off contention for Middlesbrough and survival for Derby Countyβ€”could impact team strategies and performances.
  • Middlesbrough is highly motivated to secure a play-off spot, while Derby County needs points to avoid relegation, making both teams equally driven.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Middlesbrough: -155, Derby County: 400, Draw: 290 Middlesbrough β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Middlesbrough: -0.75 -118, Derby County: 0.75 -102 Middlesbrough β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over_under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Predicted Outcome

Middlesbrough is likely to win due to their stronger form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Middlesbrough


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