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Derby County vs. Preston North End Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Preston North End – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County and Preston North End face off in a tightly contested Championship match where Derby holds home advantage. Both teams have shown resilient defensive structures with limited recent scoring, suggesting a low-scoring and close affair.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby has moderate form with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in last 5; scoring 1.6 goals per match but conceding 2.2. Preston shows slightly better form with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1. Both teams are defensively cautious, especially Derby at home.
  • Historically, Derby and Preston matches tend to be low scoring and rarely see both teams score. Derby has a slight edge at home with recent balanced results but Preston remain competitive.
  • No significant injury news reported that would drastically affect starting lineups on either side, allowing both teams to field near-full strength squads.
  • Match played at Derby’s Pride Park provides home advantage; no notable weather or travel disruptions forecasted. Motivation to secure points early in season likely high.
  • Derby seeks to stabilize after a mixed start; Preston aims to leverage their decent form to gain ground. Derby's home advantage and recent grit suggested as key factors motivating a narrow home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +129, away: +215, draw: +200 Home Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 66%
Spread Derby County -0.25: +100, Preston North End +25: -120 Derby County -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2: +100, Under 2: -120 Under 2 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Derby County 70%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Derby County at 70% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Derby County to win the match

Predicted Score: 1-0


0 6

West Bromwich Albion vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich, England

Game Overview

West Bromwich Albion hosts Derby County in the EFL Championship with West Brom as solid favorites due to their strong early season form, home advantage, and Derby’s struggles near the relegation zone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • West Bromwich Albion have started the season strongly with three wins and a draw placing them 2nd in the league, showing defensive solidity and efficient attack. Derby County, in contrast, have two draws and three losses, struggling especially on defense with a leaky backline, and sit close to the relegation zone.
  • Derby County have had a recent advantage in head-to-head, winning the last three meetings including a League Cup penalty shootout win. However, last league encounter resulted in a 2-1 victory for West Brom, indicating a competitive rivalry.
  • No significant injury reports for West Bromwich Albion or Derby County reported in the available data, suggesting both teams likely field close to full strength.
  • Match played at West Bromwich's home ground, The Hawthorns, giving them a home advantage. Recent form and morale favor West Bromwich with Derby under pressure to improve results. Weather and pitch conditions are standard and should not notably impact the game.
  • West Bromwich aim to push up the table early in the season with a strong home performance, while Derby County are motivated to escape early relegation worries and turn around their poor start, adding urgency to the visitors but possibly making them vulnerable defensively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline West Bromwich Albion: -136, Draw: +230, Derby County: +385 West Bromwich Albion β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread West Bromwich Albion -0.75: +105, Derby County +75: -125 West Bromwich Albion -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: +110, Under 2.25: -130 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline West Bromwich Albion 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: West Bromwich Albion at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

West Bromwich Albion to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


0 5

Ipswich Town vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ipswich Town vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Portman Road Stadium

Game Overview

Ipswich Town hosts Derby County in an EFL Championship match where Ipswich is favored due to strong home form and Derby's inconsistent recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ipswich Town exhibits strong performance at home this season, consistently showing offensive prowess, while Derby County has struggled to find form and maintain defensive stability.
  • Recent encounters have favored Ipswich with more wins and better goal returns, indicating a psychological and tactical edge.
  • No major injury concerns reported for Ipswich; Derby County has some minor fitness issues but nothing significantly impacting starting lineup.
  • Match is at Ipswich's home ground, Portman Road, giving them environmental and crowd support advantage. No adverse weather or travel disruptions expected.
  • Ipswich is motivated to maintain early season momentum and capitalize on home advantage, while Derby aims to reverse poor form but lacks a stable squad confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ipswich Town: -180, Draw: +275, Derby County: +475 Ipswich Town β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Ipswich Town -1: +108, Derby County +1: -128 Ipswich Town -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Over 2.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ipswich Town -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ipswich Town to win; Over 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 3-1 Ipswich Town


0 10

Derby County vs. Bristol City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Bristol City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Derby County Home Stadium

Game Overview

This EFL Championship matchup features Derby County hosting Bristol City. Both teams have shown moderate form recently with a balanced head-to-head record. The game is expected to be competitive with tight odds across moneyline and spread markets. The over/under total goals line at 2.25 suggests a moderately scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County have had a slightly inconsistent start to the season but are adjusting at home. Bristol City have shown resilience away but have not dominated matches strongly.
  • Historically, the fixture is closely contested with balanced results, suggesting no clear dominance.
  • No major injury news affecting key players on either side reported, keeping both lineups mostly intact.
  • No significant external disruptions or motivation factors apart from usual home advantage for Derby.
  • Derby County is motivated to use home advantage to secure points early in the season, while Bristol City aims to maintain good form on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 176, away: 152, draw: 205 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Derby County: +0 100, Bristol City: 0 -120 Derby County +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over: 2.25 102, under: 2.25 -122 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Draw; Spread: Derby County +0; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


0 14

Derby County vs. Coventry City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Coventry City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County hosts Coventry City in a Championship round 2 match. Derby seeks to recover from a 3-1 loss at Stoke, showing defensive fragilities. Coventry remain unbeaten with two draws and exhibit a disciplined, resilient approach, but will need to improve goal scoring on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has struggled defensively, conceding 3 goals in their opening game, while Coventry has held tougher opponents to draws, showing defensive solidity but lacking goal-scoring punch away from home.
  • Recent H2H encounters suggest close contests, with both teams evenly matched. Statistical models predict a balanced game with a high probability of a draw or narrow margin victory.
  • No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups have been indicated in available data, suggesting both teams at near full strength.
  • Home advantage for Derby County at Pride Park is notable; Coventry’s away form lacks clinical edge. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • Derby County is motivated to bounce back strongly after an opening loss at home, while Coventry aims to maintain their unbeaten start and prove their resilience on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Coventry City: 1.38, Derby County: 1.95, Draw: 2.10 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Coventry City -0.25: 1.10, Derby County +25: 1.30 Derby County +0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.05, Under 2.25: 1.25 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


0 11

Stoke City vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Stoke City vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: bet365 Stadium, Stoke, England

Game Overview

Stoke City hosts Derby County in a Championship match where Derby currently ranks 6th while Stoke City is 20th. Recent performances show Derby struggling to win recently but have better defensive stats compared to Stoke. Head-to-head records are quite balanced historically, but Derby has been slightly more effective overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has drawn twice and lost thrice in their last 5 matches, scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding 0.8, showing defensive solidity but a poor attacking run. Stoke City has two wins, one draw and two losses with fewer goals scored (0.8) and weaker defense (1.8 conceded per match).
  • In 21 historical matches, Derby County has a slight edge with 9 wins vs. Stoke's 8. Recent matches have mostly ended in draws or narrow results, indicating closely matched teams.
  • No specific injury reports were available from recent sources, suggesting relatively stable squads for both teams.
  • Match played at Stoke’s home stadium bet365 Stadium, which may provide some advantage for the home team despite their lower league position.
  • Derby County in higher league standing and aiming for promotion likely have stronger motivation compared to struggling Stoke City, who will be eager to gain early points to avoid relegation battles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby County: 2.15, Stoke City: 1.29, Draw: 2 Stoke City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Derby County +25: -1.2, Stoke City -0.25: 1 Stoke City -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2: -1.18, Under 2: -1.02 Under 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stoke City 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Stoke City at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Derby County to draw or win with cautious defense; low scoring match anticipated.

Predicted Score: 1-0


0 4

Derby County vs. Stoke City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Stoke City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Game Overview

Derby County (13th) hosts Stoke City (18th) in a mid-table Championship clash. Stoke won the reverse fixture 2-1 in November 2024[3], but recent form and historical H2H data suggest a competitive match. Derby holds a slight historical edge with 9 wins vs. Stoke's 8 in 21 meetings[2], though Stoke has taken 8/15 points from their last 5 matches (vs. Derby's 2/15)[2].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby averages 1.2 goals scored/0.8 conceded in last 5 matches, while Stoke manages 0.8 goals scored/1.8 conceded[2]. Derby's attacking duo Cannon (4 goals) and Mendez-Laing (3 assists) pose threats[3].
  • Stoke leads recent H2H with 3 wins and 2 draws in last 5 meetings[2], including a 2-1 victory in November 2024[3].
  • No specific injury data available but assume standard Championship squad rotations.
  • Derby's home advantage (Pride Park Stadium) may counterbalance Stoke's recent H2H dominance.
  • Both teams are clear of relegation/promotion battles, potentially leading to open play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby 105 | Draw 185 | Stoke 320 Derby County (ML) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Derby -0.5 (108) | Stoke +50 (-128) Derby County -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%
Over/under Over 2 (-118) | Under 2 (-102) Under 2 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Derby County -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Derby County Moneyline – Home advantage and Stoke's defensive frailties (1.8 goals conceded/last 5) make Derby slight favorites despite H2H trends.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Derby County


0 0

Hull City vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Hull City vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MKM Stadium

Game Overview

Hull City hosts Derby County in an EFL Championship match. Both teams are looking to secure points, with Hull City seeking to capitalize on home advantage and Derby County aiming to improve their away form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hull City has been performing well at home, while Derby County has struggled away from home. Recent matches show Hull City won three out of the last five encounters against Derby County.
  • In the last five matches, Hull City won three, drew one, and lost one against Derby County. Overall, Hull City has won 8 matches, Derby County has won 12, and they have drawn 4 out of 24 games.
  • No specific injury details are provided; thus, it's assumed that both teams have no major injuries affecting their lineup.
  • Weather or fan support could influence the outcome, though specific conditions are not detailed in available data.
  • Both teams are motivated to perform well to maintain or improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hull City: 141, Derby County: 210, Draw: 192 Hull City to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Hull City: -0.25 107, Derby County: 25 -127 Hull City to cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 2 -115, Under: 2 -105 Under 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hull City -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Hull City is likely to win due to their better recent form against Derby County and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Hull City


0 9

3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – April 21, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Parma vs. Juventus Prediction Juventus -0.75 102 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Burnley vs. Sheffield United Prediction Burnley -0.5 -105 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
West Bromwich Albion vs. Derby County Prediction West Bromwich Albion Win -105 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +670

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $154

0 21

Derby County vs. Luton Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Luton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-18
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County faces Luton Town in a critical Championship match. Both teams are at the lower end of the table, with Derby County holding 42 points and Luton Town holding 40 points. The match has significant implications for their survival in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has 11 wins, 9 draws, and 21 losses, while Luton Town has 10 wins, 10 draws, and 21 losses. Derby's recent form includes wins over Coventry City and Plymouth Argyle, but a loss to Swansea City. Luton Town recently won against Hull City and drew with Leeds United.
  • Recent matches favor Luton Town, with a 2-1 win in December 2024 and a 1-0 win in February 2022. However, Derby County has managed draws and wins in previous encounters.
  • Derby County has several players sidelined, including S. LangΓ₯s, R. Nyambe, and B. Osborn. Luton Town is missing E. Adebayo, D. Hashioka, S. Baptiste, and others.
  • The match is broadcast live on Sky Sports, which might add pressure. Both teams are fighting for survival, making the game intense.
  • Derby County and Luton Town are highly motivated to avoid relegation, increasing the stakes and competitive nature of the game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby County 140, Luton Town 220, Draw 190 Draw or Luton win if recent trends continue β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Derby County -0.25 105, Luton Town 25 -125 Derby to cover spread if they win, otherwise Luton would cover β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over_under Over 2 -102, Under 2 -118 Under 2 goals due to defensive setups and lower-scoring recent matches β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Derby County 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Derby County at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given recent performances and head-to-head results, Luton Town might edge this match due to their recent improvement, but a draw is also plausible.

Predicted Score: 1-1 Draw


0 9

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