Match Analysis: West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-21
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Hawthorns
Game Overview
This match between West Bromwich Albion and Derby County is a crucial fixture in the EFL Championship, with both teams vying for vital points to secure their respective league positions. West Brom, historically strong against Derby, will seek to leverage their home advantage to secure victory.
Key Factors to Consider
- Derby County have shown resilience in recent matches, including a notable win against West Brom earlier in the season. However, West Brom has generally been more consistent in their head-to-head encounters.
- West Brom has historically dominated Derby County, winning more matches in recent head-to-heads, but recent form sees Derby improving.
- Injury updates are crucial but not specified here; thus, assuming full squads for both teams.
- Weather and crowd support could influence the match, but specific data is not available.
- Both teams have high motivation to secure points in this competitive league.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | West Brom -105, Derby County 300, Draw 220 | West Brom | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | West Brom -0.5 -105, Derby County 50 -115 | West Brom -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2 -125, Under 2 105 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | West Bromwich Albion -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 23% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given West Brom's historical dominance and home advantage, they are likely to win, but Derby's form could lead to a tight contest.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of West Brom