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Derby County vs. Southampton Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Derby County Home Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County hosts Southampton in an EFL Championship fixture where both teams are closely matched in points early in the season. Southampton are slight favorites on the moneyline but Derby has shown resilience at home. Recent form indicates both teams have had several draws and moderate scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has accumulated 6 points with 3 draws and a mixed form at home, showing a tendency towards cautious play. Southampton has 7 points, also with multiple draws, indicating stability but difficulty in converting to wins.
  • Historical matchups show a pattern of draws between these two squads, with tight scorelines and few decisive outcomes.
  • No significant injury news strongly affecting key players on either side has been reported, implying full-strength squads likely.
  • Match played at Derby’s home venue could grant slight advantage due to familiar conditions and local support. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral for both teams.
  • Both teams are motivated to gather maximum points early in the season to avoid pressure later. Derby at home will be keen to avoid defeat, and Southampton aims to maintain slight momentum as the away side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby County: 240, Southampton: 113, Draw: 215 Southampton β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Derby County +25: 104, Southampton -0.25: -124 Southampton -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -107, Under 2.25: -113 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Southampton win; Spread: Southampton -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Derby County vs. Charlton Athletic Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Charlton Athletic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-30
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

A mid-table clash in the EFL Championship between Derby County and Charlton Athletic. Derby are struggling with form and sit low in the table, while Charlton are in solid form after a strong start following their promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Charlton Athletic have shown stronger performance early in the season with 3 wins and 2 draws in 7 matches, currently placed 12th, while Derby County have only 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, sitting 22nd with poor goal difference.
  • Out of 91 meetings, Charlton lead with 39 wins to Derby’s 32, with 20 draws between them. This historical edge favors Charlton.
  • No specific injury updates disclosed, but Derby’s lack of form suggests possible squad issues; Charlton appears healthier and more stable.
  • Derby has home advantage but is under pressure to climb out of relegation threatened zone. Charlton is motivated to maintain their strong position in the upper mid-table.
  • Derby County are desperate for points to escape the relegation zone, likely boosting their fight on home soil. Charlton are motivated to build on recent strong performances and continue pushing for a higher table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby County: +151, Charlton Athletic: +178, Draw: +205 Charlton Athletic β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Derby County: -122, Charlton Athletic: +102 Charlton Athletic +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -115, Under 2 goals: -105 Under 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Charlton Athletic 31%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Charlton Athletic at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Charlton Athletic to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 30, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 30, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Leicester City vs. Wrexham AFC Prediction Leicester City -147 33%
Derby County vs. Charlton Athletic Prediction Charlton Athletic 178 31%
Atletico Mineiro vs. Juventude Prediction Under 2.25 102 17%

Combined Odds: +844 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $188.71

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Wrexham AFC vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Wrexham AFC vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: StōK Cae Ras

Game Overview

Wrexham AFC hosts Derby County in an EFL Championship match with both teams showing mixed form. Wrexham has displayed strong recent home performances, while Derby has been inconsistent and suffered a recent loss at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wrexham comes off a 2-0 Carabao Cup win and a 3-2 victory at Norwich, showing good attacking form. Derby County recently lost 0-1 at home to Preston and have overall inconsistent results in the Championship.
  • Recent H2H data is limited, but Wrexham’s home advantage and current form suggest an edge over Derby.
  • No significant recent injury reports affecting key players for either side, allowing both squads to field competitive lineups.
  • The match is played at Wrexham’s home ground StōK Cae Ras, which historically benefits the home side. No adverse weather or travel issues reported.
  • Wrexham aims to capitalize on home advantage to climb the Championship table, while Derby seeks to stabilize after recent setbacks, though their motivation appears slightly lower given inconsistent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wrexham AFC: 109, Derby County: 245, Draw: 215 Wrexham AFC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Wrexham AFC -0.25: -120, Derby County +25: 100 Wrexham AFC -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 Over 2.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wrexham AFC 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Wrexham AFC at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wrexham AFC to win on the moneyline, Wrexham AFC -0.25 on spread, and over 2.25 goals scored in total

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Derby County vs. Preston North End Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Preston North End – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County and Preston North End face off in a tightly contested Championship match where Derby holds home advantage. Both teams have shown resilient defensive structures with limited recent scoring, suggesting a low-scoring and close affair.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby has moderate form with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in last 5; scoring 1.6 goals per match but conceding 2.2. Preston shows slightly better form with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1. Both teams are defensively cautious, especially Derby at home.
  • Historically, Derby and Preston matches tend to be low scoring and rarely see both teams score. Derby has a slight edge at home with recent balanced results but Preston remain competitive.
  • No significant injury news reported that would drastically affect starting lineups on either side, allowing both teams to field near-full strength squads.
  • Match played at Derby’s Pride Park provides home advantage; no notable weather or travel disruptions forecasted. Motivation to secure points early in season likely high.
  • Derby seeks to stabilize after a mixed start; Preston aims to leverage their decent form to gain ground. Derby's home advantage and recent grit suggested as key factors motivating a narrow home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +129, away: +215, draw: +200 Home Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 66%
Spread Derby County -0.25: +100, Preston North End +25: -120 Derby County -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2: +100, Under 2: -120 Under 2 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Derby County 70%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Derby County at 70% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Derby County to win the match

Predicted Score: 1-0


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West Bromwich Albion vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich, England

Game Overview

West Bromwich Albion hosts Derby County in the EFL Championship with West Brom as solid favorites due to their strong early season form, home advantage, and Derby’s struggles near the relegation zone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • West Bromwich Albion have started the season strongly with three wins and a draw placing them 2nd in the league, showing defensive solidity and efficient attack. Derby County, in contrast, have two draws and three losses, struggling especially on defense with a leaky backline, and sit close to the relegation zone.
  • Derby County have had a recent advantage in head-to-head, winning the last three meetings including a League Cup penalty shootout win. However, last league encounter resulted in a 2-1 victory for West Brom, indicating a competitive rivalry.
  • No significant injury reports for West Bromwich Albion or Derby County reported in the available data, suggesting both teams likely field close to full strength.
  • Match played at West Bromwich's home ground, The Hawthorns, giving them a home advantage. Recent form and morale favor West Bromwich with Derby under pressure to improve results. Weather and pitch conditions are standard and should not notably impact the game.
  • West Bromwich aim to push up the table early in the season with a strong home performance, while Derby County are motivated to escape early relegation worries and turn around their poor start, adding urgency to the visitors but possibly making them vulnerable defensively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline West Bromwich Albion: -136, Draw: +230, Derby County: +385 West Bromwich Albion β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread West Bromwich Albion -0.75: +105, Derby County +75: -125 West Bromwich Albion -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: +110, Under 2.25: -130 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline West Bromwich Albion 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: West Bromwich Albion at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

West Bromwich Albion to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Ipswich Town vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ipswich Town vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Portman Road Stadium

Game Overview

Ipswich Town hosts Derby County in an EFL Championship match where Ipswich is favored due to strong home form and Derby's inconsistent recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ipswich Town exhibits strong performance at home this season, consistently showing offensive prowess, while Derby County has struggled to find form and maintain defensive stability.
  • Recent encounters have favored Ipswich with more wins and better goal returns, indicating a psychological and tactical edge.
  • No major injury concerns reported for Ipswich; Derby County has some minor fitness issues but nothing significantly impacting starting lineup.
  • Match is at Ipswich's home ground, Portman Road, giving them environmental and crowd support advantage. No adverse weather or travel disruptions expected.
  • Ipswich is motivated to maintain early season momentum and capitalize on home advantage, while Derby aims to reverse poor form but lacks a stable squad confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ipswich Town: -180, Draw: +275, Derby County: +475 Ipswich Town β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Ipswich Town -1: +108, Derby County +1: -128 Ipswich Town -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Over 2.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ipswich Town -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ipswich Town to win; Over 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 3-1 Ipswich Town


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Derby County vs. Bristol City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Bristol City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Derby County Home Stadium

Game Overview

This EFL Championship matchup features Derby County hosting Bristol City. Both teams have shown moderate form recently with a balanced head-to-head record. The game is expected to be competitive with tight odds across moneyline and spread markets. The over/under total goals line at 2.25 suggests a moderately scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County have had a slightly inconsistent start to the season but are adjusting at home. Bristol City have shown resilience away but have not dominated matches strongly.
  • Historically, the fixture is closely contested with balanced results, suggesting no clear dominance.
  • No major injury news affecting key players on either side reported, keeping both lineups mostly intact.
  • No significant external disruptions or motivation factors apart from usual home advantage for Derby.
  • Derby County is motivated to use home advantage to secure points early in the season, while Bristol City aims to maintain good form on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 176, away: 152, draw: 205 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Derby County: +0 100, Bristol City: 0 -120 Derby County +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over: 2.25 102, under: 2.25 -122 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Draw; Spread: Derby County +0; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Derby County vs. Coventry City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Coventry City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County hosts Coventry City in a Championship round 2 match. Derby seeks to recover from a 3-1 loss at Stoke, showing defensive fragilities. Coventry remain unbeaten with two draws and exhibit a disciplined, resilient approach, but will need to improve goal scoring on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has struggled defensively, conceding 3 goals in their opening game, while Coventry has held tougher opponents to draws, showing defensive solidity but lacking goal-scoring punch away from home.
  • Recent H2H encounters suggest close contests, with both teams evenly matched. Statistical models predict a balanced game with a high probability of a draw or narrow margin victory.
  • No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups have been indicated in available data, suggesting both teams at near full strength.
  • Home advantage for Derby County at Pride Park is notable; Coventry’s away form lacks clinical edge. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • Derby County is motivated to bounce back strongly after an opening loss at home, while Coventry aims to maintain their unbeaten start and prove their resilience on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Coventry City: 1.38, Derby County: 1.95, Draw: 2.10 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Coventry City -0.25: 1.10, Derby County +25: 1.30 Derby County +0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.05, Under 2.25: 1.25 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Stoke City vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Stoke City vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: bet365 Stadium, Stoke, England

Game Overview

Stoke City hosts Derby County in a Championship match where Derby currently ranks 6th while Stoke City is 20th. Recent performances show Derby struggling to win recently but have better defensive stats compared to Stoke. Head-to-head records are quite balanced historically, but Derby has been slightly more effective overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has drawn twice and lost thrice in their last 5 matches, scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding 0.8, showing defensive solidity but a poor attacking run. Stoke City has two wins, one draw and two losses with fewer goals scored (0.8) and weaker defense (1.8 conceded per match).
  • In 21 historical matches, Derby County has a slight edge with 9 wins vs. Stoke's 8. Recent matches have mostly ended in draws or narrow results, indicating closely matched teams.
  • No specific injury reports were available from recent sources, suggesting relatively stable squads for both teams.
  • Match played at Stoke’s home stadium bet365 Stadium, which may provide some advantage for the home team despite their lower league position.
  • Derby County in higher league standing and aiming for promotion likely have stronger motivation compared to struggling Stoke City, who will be eager to gain early points to avoid relegation battles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby County: 2.15, Stoke City: 1.29, Draw: 2 Stoke City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Derby County +25: -1.2, Stoke City -0.25: 1 Stoke City -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2: -1.18, Under 2: -1.02 Under 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stoke City 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Stoke City at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Derby County to draw or win with cautious defense; low scoring match anticipated.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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