Match Analysis: Swansea City vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-25
• Time: 7:45 PM UTC
• Location: Swansea.com Stadium

Game Overview

The match features Swansea City hosting Derby County in the EFL Championship. Swansea City currently show stronger recent form and home advantage, while Derby County have struggled slightly away with fewer points and a weaker goal difference.

Key Factors to Consider

• Swansea have a better recent record with wins in head-to-head matches against Derby in the 2024/25 season, including a 2-1 away win and a 1-0 home win. Swansea sit higher in the league standings with more points and a better goal difference. Derby have a lower points tally and a notably worse defensive record.
• In the last 5 meetings, Swansea won 2, Derby won 2, and there was 1 draw. Matches have averaged 0.8 goals per match for Swansea and 2.6 goals conceded per match, with 80% of matches going over total goal expectations based on Asian Handicap results.
• Current specific injury details for either squad are not explicitly available from the data. No major absences reported that would significantly impact starting lineups.
• The match is played at Swansea.com Stadium, giving Swansea home advantage. Current season dynamics and fan support favor Swansea. Weather or pitch conditions are not cited as factors.
• Swansea are motivated to maintain their position with solid points advantage and home support, while Derby seeks to improve on a mixed away form and recover ground in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Swansea City are favored to win due to stronger recent form, home advantage, and superior league standing, but the match could be competitive given Derby's history of close contests.

Predicted Score: 1-0

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Match Analysis: Derby County vs Watford – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 22, 2025
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Pride Park Stadium, Derby, England

Game Overview

Derby County hosts Watford in an EFL Championship fixture as the Rams look to extend their impressive recent form. Derby currently sits in 10th place and has won five consecutive matches, climbing away from the bottom three toward the playoff positions. Watford, positioned in 15th place, will look to capitalize on the international break to implement their tactical adjustments under manager Gracia.

Key Factors to Consider

• Derby County has experienced a remarkable turnaround after a poor start to the season. The Rams have won their last five games and remain unbeaten in five home matches with three consecutive victories at Pride Park. This exceptional form has been largely driven by Championship top-scorer Carlton Morris. Manager John Eustace has posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses across 31 games. Watford, meanwhile, has had a relatively young and new squad that the manager has been developing, with the international break providing valuable time to implement tactical methods.
• Recent head-to-head records show mixed results. Watford defeated Derby 2-1 on August 24, 2024, and won 2-0 on January 18, 2025. Derby's most recent victory against Watford was 2-1 on February 19, 2021. The teams have a competitive history with several close matches in their record.
• Information regarding current player injuries or unavailability is not available in the provided search results.
• The international break may have disrupted Derby's momentum despite their excellent form, as John Eustace would have preferred continuous fixtures to maintain their winning rhythm. However, the break also allowed Eustace time to maintain player morale and confidence heading into this fixture. Watford may have benefited from the break to consolidate their tactical approach.
• Derby County is highly motivated to continue their impressive winning streak and maintain their push toward the playoff positions, currently sitting just three points behind 5th-place Hull City. Watford will be motivated to improve their league position and respond positively after the international break with their newly assembled squad.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Derby County are predicted to secure a home victory. Multiple predictions suggest scorelines ranging from 1-0 to 2-1 in favor of the Rams, with analysts highlighting Derby's exceptional home form, five-game winning streak, and the momentum built under John Eustace's management. Watford will find it challenging to break down a confident Derby side at Pride Park.

Predicted Score: Derby County 1-0 Watford (with alternative prediction of 2-1 Derby County based on analyst consensus)

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Match Analysis: Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 12:30 PM UTC
• Location: Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire, BB2 4JF

Game Overview

Blackburn Rovers host Derby County at Ewood Park in this EFL Championship match. Blackburn, currently 18th in the league, are showing signs of improved form under Valerien Ismael. Derby County, managed by John Eustace who returns to his former club's ground for the first time since leaving Blackburn, will look to disrupt the home side's momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Blackburn have had a slow start to the season but are beginning to find form, having scored 4 goals against Derby in their previous meeting in August 2024. Derby County have struggled with consistency and key injuries, impacting their overall performance.
• The last meeting ended 4-2 in favor of Blackburn Rovers, showcasing their offensive capability against Derby. Historically, Blackburn have a slight advantage in recent encounters.
• Blackburn will miss several players including Toth, Kargbo, Carter, Wharton, Cantwell, Garrett, and Baradji. Derby County are also hampered by injuries to Beck, Nelson, Travis, and Johnston, possibly affecting squad depth and tactics.
• The match is broadcast live on Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, and Sky Sports+, with good attendance expected at Ewood Park. The return of Derby’s manager John Eustace to Ewood could add an emotional edge.
• Blackburn is motivated to improve their league standing and capitalize on home advantage. Derby will be eager to upset and gain points on the road, especially with their manager facing his former club.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Blackburn Rovers are favored to win the match given recent form, home advantage, and historical results against Derby. Derby may struggle to contain Blackburn’s attack but could keep the game competitive due to Blackburn’s injury absences.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Sheffield United vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bramall Lane

Game Overview

Sheffield United hosts Derby County in a Championship clash at Bramall Lane, with both teams looking to solidify their league positions. Sheffield United has a slight edge in recent form and a historically strong home record against Derby, including multiple 1-0 wins in the last nine meetings[6]. Match is likely to be tight, with a persistent pattern of Sheffield United winning by narrow margins in head-to-head encounters[2][6].

Key Factors to Consider

• In the last five matches, Sheffield United has averaged 2.0 goals per game while conceding 0.6, compared to Derby County's 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game[1]. Sheffield United's home form and offensive consistency give them a notable advantage.
• Sheffield United leads the historical head-to-head, having won 14 (AiScore)/13 (11v11) of 24 meetings since 2003, while Derby County has won 8, with 3 draws[1][2]. In the last nine encounters, Sheffield United has won six, often by one-goal margins[2][6].
• No recent injury reports are available in the search results. Injury statuses could be checked closer to matchday for updated information.
• No major external factors (weather, venue capacity, or disciplinary suspensions) reported in the provided search results.
• Sheffield United is likely motivated to capitalize on their home advantage and consistent head-to-head dominance. Derby County will aim to reverse recent trends and climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Sheffield United is favored to win by a narrow margin, given their superior recent form, strong home record against Derby, and the consistent pattern of tight victories in recent head-to-head encounters[2][6]. A low-scoring affair is anticipated, with the Over/Under line set at 2.25.

Predicted Score: 1-0 (Sheffield United)

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Pride Park Stadium, Derby, England

Game Overview

Derby County will host Queens Park Rangers at Pride Park Stadium in an English Football League Championship match. As of this season, Derby County is struggling at 18th place, while Queens Park Rangers hold a more comfortable 11th place. Their recent fixtures show QPR delivering stronger performances, including a notable 4-0 victory over Derby earlier in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Derby County is underperforming relative to expectations, positioned near the relegation zone, showing inconsistency in their recent matches. QPR have displayed stronger form and better offensive capability recently, including a dominant 4-0 win over Derby in February 2025 which could psychologically impact Derby. However, Derby has the home advantage at Pride Park.
• Recent head-to-head meetings favor Queens Park Rangers, highlighted by a significant 4-0 away win against Derby County in February 2025. Historical performance indicates QPR have the upper hand over Derby in recent fixtures.
• Current injury details for both teams have not been explicitly reported in the available data, but historically, Derby has struggled with squad depth limiting their performance.
• Home support at Pride Park offers Derby County some advantage. Weather or pitch conditions are not flagged as significant factors at this time. No major external disruptions are noted.
• Derby County is likely highly motivated to improve their league standing and avoid relegation worries, potentially increasing their effort at home. Queens Park Rangers, comfortably mid-table, might be motivated to consolidate their position or push for higher ranking spots.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given Derby’s lower league standing but home advantage, and QPR’s better form and historic head-to-head advantage, the match is predicted to be close. The likely outcome is a draw or a narrow win for Queens Park Rangers.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Norwich City – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-21
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Pride Park Stadium, Derby, England

Game Overview

Derby County hosts Norwich City at Pride Park Stadium in a pivotal EFL Championship fixture. Both sides have a competitive recent history with balanced head-to-head results. Norwich City are slightly favored by betting odds but the home advantage gives Derby County a positive edge. The match is expected to be tactical with moderate goal-scoring opportunities.

Key Factors to Consider

• Derby County has a mixed form but shows resilience at home, while Norwich City has been slightly more consistent overall, often edging narrow wins. Both teams show disciplined defensive structures but have the capacity to create goal chances in midfield. Discipline stats highlight a tendency for Norwich players to receive more cards, which could influence play.
• Historically and recently, Derby County and Norwich City have played 22 games since 2003, with Derby winning 8 times and Norwich 9 times, with several draws, indicating closely matched bouts. Their recent meetings include two games last season, reflecting parity and competitive balance.
• Current injury specifics are not detailed in the available data, but no notable absences reported that would heavily impact starting XI quality for either side.
• Playing at Derby's Pride Park Stadium provides home advantage with familiar conditions and fan support. The match is streamed on multiple prominent sports channels, ensuring high visibility and public interest. Weather and pitch conditions are presumed normal for late October in England.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points for Championship positioning. Derby will push to maximize home results amid a challenging season, while Norwich aims to consolidate their standing with an away result. Tactical caution is expected with potential strategic fouling given the moderate card rates.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

The match is likely to end in a closely contested draw or a narrow win for Derby County due to home advantage, balanced team qualities, and disciplined play. A 1-1 draw or a 2-1 win for Derby are plausible outcomes.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Oxford United vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 11:30 AM UTC
• Location: Kassam Stadium, Oxford, England

Game Overview

Oxford United and Derby County face off in an English Championship match at Kassam Stadium. Both teams occupy the lower part of the table with Oxford in 22nd and Derby in 20th, indicating a clash of relegation-threatened sides needing points to improve their standings. Historically, Derby has a slight edge in head-to-head encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams currently struggle in the Championship, with Oxford United sitting 22nd and Derby County 20th. Their form has been inconsistent, with Oxford needing a lift at home while Derby has shown resilience but limited goal-scoring ability.
• In the last 6 meetings, Derby County has 3 wins, Oxford United only 1 win, and 2 draws. The previous season saw two matches, indicating a competitive but Derby-favored historical trend.
• No specific injury data available from the provided sources for this match, but both teams likely face typical squad challenges impacting key player availability.
• Playing at Kassam Stadium offers Oxford United home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions unknown but assumed standard for mid-October in Oxford.
• With both teams near the relegation zone, motivation is high to secure points. Oxford aims to leverage home support, while Derby seeks to climb out of the danger zone with an away result.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

The match is predicted to be closely contested with Derby County slightly favored due to historical results and odds. Oxford United’s home advantage may prevent a Derby win without a draw likely.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Charlton Athletic – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-30
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County hosts Charlton Athletic in a Sky Bet Championship match at Pride Park Stadium. Both teams have shown mixed recent form but Charlton has slightly better momentum with recent wins, while Derby has had some inconsistent results. The game is expected to be competitive given the historical and current season context.

Key Factors to Consider

• Derby County's recent form includes a draw against Wrexham, a home loss to Preston, and a win at West Brom, indicating inconsistency. Charlton Athletic has stronger recent results, including a 3-0 home win against Blackburn and a win at Sheffield United, showing better momentum and goal scoring capacity.
• Recent meetings between Derby and Charlton have been tightly contested, often resulting in low-scoring matches with draws. Historical matchups suggest a balanced rivalry with no overwhelming dominance by either side.
• No specific injury updates are available from the current data, suggesting squads might be near full strength or no impactful absences have been reported.
• Playing at home, Derby County benefits from home crowd support at Pride Park Stadium. Weather or other conditions data are not provided and likely neutral.
• Charlton Athletic, newly promoted, appears motivated to establish themselves in the Championship with strong season performances. Derby County aims to improve inconsistent results and leverage home advantage to gain points.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Charlton Athletic is slightly favored due to better recent form and momentum, but the match is expected to be closely contested with a potential draw outcome. A narrow away win or draw is the most likely result.

Predicted Score: 1-1