Match Analysis: Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Delaware Blue Hens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-15
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville
Game Overview
A midweek clash in the NCAAF featuring the Delaware Blue Hens (3-2) visiting the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (3-3), both teams seeking to solidify a winning record. Delaware brings a more consistent offense, while Jacksonville State has shown the ability to score but struggles with defensive stops. Public betting leans toward Delaware, but Jacksonville State has outperformed expectations at home in recent weeks. The game is expected to be close, making live odds tracking crucial.
Key Factors to Consider
- Delaware is 3-2, with a notable offensive performance against FIU (358 total yards, 11-of-16 on third downs). Their defense, however, ranks near the bottom in Quality Drives allowed, which could be exploited by Jacksonville State's top-35 Offensive Finishing Drives. Jacksonville State is 3-3, with a 2-3 record in their last five games but a strong home offensive showing. Their defense has been inconsistent, with the totals going OVER in 3 of the last 5 games[1][2].
- No direct historical head-to-head data available in the provided sources, but both teams have comparable records and recent form, suggesting a competitive matchup.
- No significant injury updates found in the provided sources for either team. Monitor for late-breaking news, as absence of key players could swing the game[3].
- Game is played on a Wednesday night, which can affect team preparation and public betting volume. Weather is clear (73Β°F, 0% rain), so field conditions should be optimal[1].
- Both teams are .500 or better and have postseason aspirationsβDelaware wants to avoid a third loss, while Jacksonville State aims to get above .500. Expect high effort from both squads.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware -118, Jacksonville State +102 | Delaware | β β β ββ 53% |
| Spread | Delaware -2.5 (-105), Jacksonville State +2.5 (-115) | Jacksonville State (+2.5) | β β β ββ 51% |
| Over/under | Over 57.5 (-105), Under 57.5 (-115) | Over 57.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware Blue Hens -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 57.5 -0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 57.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Delawareβs offensive consistency and slightly better record make them a narrow favorite, but Jacksonville Stateβs home-field advantage and offensive efficiency in the red zone mean they canβt be overlooked. The game is likely to be decided by a field goal or less, with the over being a reasonable play given both teams' recent scoring trends. Delaware wins a close, high-scoring affair, 31β28.
Predicted Score: Delaware 31, Jacksonville State 28