Match Analysis: Darius Fulghum vs David Stevens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dickies Arena, Fort Worth, Texas, US
Game Overview
This super-middleweight 10-round fight features Darius Fulghum (14-1, 12 KOs), a former USA Boxing national champion and Olympic alternate known for athleticism and power, versus David Stevens (15-2, 10 KOs), a dangerous puncher with a reputation for early-round finishes. Both rising American prospects aim to advance toward contender status.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fulghum has been dominant since turning pro in 2022 and is coming off a close unanimous decision loss to contender Melikuziev. Stevens has momentum from his unanimous decision win in June but is noted as a slow starter.
- No prior professional head-to-head matchups; however, Fulghum and Stevens have sparred in training, with Fulghum's timing and punch variety expected to trouble Stevens mid-to-late rounds.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this fight.
- Fight takes place at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, favoring Fulghum as the local star supported by his promoter Golden Boy and hometown advantage.
- Fulghum is highly motivated to rebound from his first pro loss and aims to decisively break Stevens' will. Stevens seeks to prove he can start stronger and capture a big upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -425, away: +298 | Darius Fulghum | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | home: -1.5 -110, away: +1.5 -110 | Darius Fulghum -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | over: -160, under: +124 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Darius Fulghum -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 57% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 57% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Darius Fulghum to win by KO/TKO
Predicted Score: Fulghum wins by 7th round TKO