Match Analysis: Darius Fulghum vs David Stevens – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 3:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dickies Arena, Fort Worth, Texas, US

Game Overview

This super-middleweight 10-round fight features Darius Fulghum (14-1, 12 KOs), a former USA Boxing national champion and Olympic alternate known for athleticism and power, versus David Stevens (15-2, 10 KOs), a dangerous puncher with a reputation for early-round finishes. Both rising American prospects aim to advance toward contender status.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fulghum has been dominant since turning pro in 2022 and is coming off a close unanimous decision loss to contender Melikuziev. Stevens has momentum from his unanimous decision win in June but is noted as a slow starter.
• No prior professional head-to-head matchups; however, Fulghum and Stevens have sparred in training, with Fulghum's timing and punch variety expected to trouble Stevens mid-to-late rounds.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this fight.
• Fight takes place at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, favoring Fulghum as the local star supported by his promoter Golden Boy and hometown advantage.
• Fulghum is highly motivated to rebound from his first pro loss and aims to decisively break Stevens' will. Stevens seeks to prove he can start stronger and capture a big upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -425, away: +298	Darius Fulghum	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	home: -1.5 -110, away: +1.5 -110	Darius Fulghum -1.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over: -160, under: +124	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Darius Fulghum -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 57%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 57% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Darius Fulghum to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Fulghum wins by 7th round TKO

Top EV Parlay for Boxing – November 8, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Eric Priest vs. Esneiker Correa Prediction	Eric Priest	-3500	1272%
Darius Fulghum vs. David Stevens Prediction	Under 8.5	124	57%
Vergil Ortiz Jr vs. Erickson Lubin Prediction	Over 9.5	-115	38%

Combined Odds: +331 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $86.15

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Darius Fulghum vs. David Stevens Prediction	Darius Fulghum Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Robin Safar vs. Derick Miller Jr Prediction	Robin Safar Win	-700	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Javier Meza vs. Joshua Garcia Prediction	Meza -2.5 rounds	-150	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +135

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $47.06

Match Analysis: Darius Fulghum vs Bektemir Melikuziev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-31
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: The Theater, Virgin Hotels, Las Vegas, US

Game Overview

The super middleweight boxing match between undefeated Darius Fulghum (14-0, 12 KOs) and Bektemir Melikuziev (15-1, 10 KOs) is set as a 12-round title eliminator for the WBA super-middleweight championship. Fulghum, who has been very active recently with four fights in 2024 and a 4th-round TKO in February, is stepping up in competition to face Melikuziev, who is coming off his 2025 debut and riding an eight-fight winning streak. The bout is scheduled for May 30, 2025, at the Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas and will be broadcast on DAZN.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fulghum is undefeated with a record of 14-0 and a high knockout ratio (12 KOs), demonstrating both power and momentum after a recent TKO victory. Melikuziev holds a 15-1 record with a strong 10 KOs and has been consistently successful, recently winning two decisions in 2024 and maintaining an eight-fight win streak.
• There are no prior fights between Fulghum and Melikuziev; this is their first meeting, making head-to-head data unavailable.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading into this match.
• The fight takes place in Las Vegas, a neutral venue for both athletes but a prime location for high-stakes boxing events which could elevate both fighters' motivation. Both fighters are promoted by Golden Boy Promotions, which may influence strategic build-up and media exposure.
• Fulghum is motivated to defend his undefeated record and prove himself against a tougher opponent, while Melikuziev aims to solidify his status as a top contender with an elimination bout win, marking a key step in his career progression.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bektemir Melikuziev: -130, Darius Fulghum: 100	Bektemir Melikuziev to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Melikuziev -1.5 rounds: -110, Fulghum +1.5 rounds: -110	Melikuziev -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -115, Under 8.5 rounds: -105	Over 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bektemir Melikuziev -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bektemir Melikuziev at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bektemir Melikuziev is favored to win based on experience, recent form, and betting odds. Fulghum’s undefeated streak and recent knockout power make him a serious threat, but Melikuziev’s resilience and tactical style should allow him to edge out a close decision or late-round stoppage win.

Predicted Score: Melikuziev wins by split decision or late-round stoppage