Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Cremonese – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-15
• Time: 4:30 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Game Overview

The Serie A Round 3 match between Hellas Verona and Cremonese features a home side struggling for form, having gained just one point from two matches, against a newly promoted Cremonese who have made a strong start with two wins from two. Hellas Verona suffered a 4-0 defeat to Lazio recently and are seeking their first win. Cremonese arrives with momentum, having scored well and defended solidly in early fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hellas Verona has scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Cremonese are undefeated so far this season in Serie A, showing strong attacking and defensive discipline.
• Previous encounters suggest competitive balance but with a slight edge to Hellas Verona historically. Current form favors Cremonese, but detailed head-to-head records reflect close contests.
• No explicit recent injury reports highlighted from available data, suggesting both teams likely have near full strength squads.
• The match is at Hellas Verona’s home ground, which should give them some advantage, but current poor form may offset home support. Weather and pitch conditions have not been noted as impactful.
• Hellas Verona is motivated to secure their first win and improve a poor start, while Cremonese aims to continue their winning run and consolidate their unexpectedly strong position in Serie A.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cremonese: 215, Hellas Verona: 146, Draw: 200	Hellas Verona win	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Cremonese: -0.25 -128, Hellas Verona: +25 108	Hellas Verona +0.25	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 2 -118, Under: 2 -102	Over 2 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Hellas Verona 28%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Hellas Verona at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match with both teams likely to score. Given Cremonese's unbeaten start and Verona's defensive struggles, a draw or narrow win for Cremonese is predicted.

Predicted Score: 2-2

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 15, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Bahia vs. Cruzeiro Prediction	Bahia	145	32%
Hellas Verona vs. Cremonese Prediction	Hellas Verona	146	28%
Espanyol vs. Mallorca Prediction	Espanyol	117	26%

Combined Odds: +1208 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $261.57

Match Analysis: Cremonese vs Sassuolo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-29
• Time: 4:30 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona, Italy

Game Overview

Cremonese hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Cremonese are currently in 5th position following an impressive opening win away at AC Milan, while newly promoted Sassuolo sit near the bottom at 19th after a defeat to the reigning champions. Both teams aim to secure early points to stabilize their league campaigns.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cremonese started the season strongly with a shock 2-1 victory at San Siro against AC Milan, showcasing clinical finishing and resilient defense. Sassuolo, recently promoted, struggled in their opener but have a history of avoiding defeat in recent trips to Cremona, including a 3-2 victory in their last top-tier meeting. Cremonese’s home form last season was moderate, but they showed fighting spirit under coach Davide Nicola. Sassuolo aims to rebound and leverage their experience from previous matchups.
• Historically, Sassuolo has maintained a slight edge, avoiding defeat across the last three visits to Cremona in different levels of Italian football, including a 3-2 Serie A win last season. This trend adds an element of caution for Cremonese despite their current good form.
• No significant injury reports are currently available for either side, suggesting both squads may field close to full strength.
• The match conditions forecast a warm temperature around the mid-80s Fahrenheit. Playing at home under supportive fans may boost Cremonese’s motivation. Recent Coppa Italia exit for Cremonese at this venue might serve as motivation to improve home results.
• Cremonese seeks to follow up their opening upset with home points to build momentum and fans’ confidence. Sassuolo are fighting to avoid an early-season slump and prove their Serie A status, adding competitive intensity to the fixture.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cremonese: 1.33, Sassuolo: 2.15, Draw: 2.25	Cremonese win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Cremonese -0.25: -102, Sassuolo +25: -118	Cremonese -0.25	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cremonese 44%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cremonese at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cremonese hold a slight advantage due to their surprise strong start, home venue, and motivation to assert themselves early. Expect a closely contested game with possibly a narrow Cremonese win or draw if Sassuolo bounce back.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 29, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
RC Lens vs. Brest Prediction	RC Lens	-105	106%
Cremonese vs. Sassuolo Prediction	Cremonese	133	44%
Gil Vicente vs. Moreirense FC Prediction	Gil Vicente	138	43%

Combined Odds: +983 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $216.53

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Valencia vs. Getafe Prediction	Valencia -0.25	-128	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
RC Lens vs. Brest Prediction	RC Lens -0.5	-105	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Cremonese vs. Sassuolo Prediction	Cremonese -0.25	-102	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +589

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $137.74

Match Analysis: AC Milan vs Cremonese – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, Italy

Game Overview

The Serie A season opener features AC Milan hosting Cremonese at the iconic San Siro stadium. Milan, the reigning champions and current top-ranked team, aim to start their campaign strongly against Cremonese, who face struggles as a lower-ranked side (19th). Historically, Milan have dominated this fixture, and with strong home form, they enter as heavy favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

• AC Milan have demonstrated solid attacking and defensive prowess in pre-season and previous Serie A fixtures, including a 2-0 win against Barcelona in a friendly. Cremonese have struggled for consistent results, with few goals scored and several draws and losses in recent matches. Milan's form and depth heavily outweigh Cremonese's current level.
• Recent head-to-head records strongly favor AC Milan, who have a history of comfortably beating Cremonese. Previous league encounters and cup matches show Milan as dominant, especially at home.
• AC Milan's key player Rafael Leao is doubtful after a calf injury sustained in the Coppa Italia and is expected to miss this match or be day-to-day. Cremonese have recently added Antonio Sanabria permanently but no significant injuries reported affecting starting lineup.
• The match is played at Milan's home stadium, giving them a strong home advantage. Weather conditions and fan attendance are expected to be favorable for Milan. No major external disruptions reported.
• As defending champions and title favorites, AC Milan have high motivation to start the season with a victory. Cremonese are motivated to improve their standing but face an uphill task against a top-tier opponent on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	AC Milan: -273, Cremonese: 705, Draw: 415	AC Milan Win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	AC Milan -1.5: 103, Cremonese +1.5: -123	AC Milan -1.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.75: -123, Under 2.75: 103	Over 2.75 Goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	AC Milan 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AC Milan is predicted to secure a comfortable home victory considering form, home advantage, squad strength, and injuries on the away side.

Predicted Score: 3-1