Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Cremonese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-15
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Game Overview
Hellas Verona hosts Cremonese in a Serie A match where Verona's home advantage and stronger recent form position them as favorites, while Cremonese pose a threat with solid away performances in a potentially high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hellas Verona has underperformed at home recently, with no wins in their last six home matches (4 draws, 2 losses), struggling to score in half of those games. Cremonese, however, come off two wins after opening their Serie A campaign with victories, indicating positive momentum.
- Recent direct encounters suggest balanced competitiveness, though no detailed H2H stats are available. Verona's historical home advantage may slightly favor them.
- No major injury news reported for either side, suggesting both teams will have near-full strength squads.
- No external factors such as weather or travel issues are expected to impact play; a normal Serie A fixture environment.
- Cremonese seek to build on strong early season form and prove competitiveness away from home, while Verona aims to break their home winless streak and secure points to improve their standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 146, away: 215, draw: 200 | Hellas Verona | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | home_-0.25: +108, away_+25: -128 | Hellas Verona -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over_2: -118, under_2: -102 | Over 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hellas Verona 40% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Hellas Verona at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hellas Verona to win on the moneyline; Hellas Verona to cover the -0.25 spread; Over 2 goals total
Predicted Score: 2-1