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Flamengo vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Flamengo (2nd place, 11 points) hosts Corinthians (6th place, 7 points) in a Brasileirão clash. Flamengo remains unbeaten in five matches (3W-2D), while Corinthians show inconsistencies with 2W-1D-2L record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo boasts league-best defensive stats (2 goals conceded in 5 matches) and +9 goal difference. Corinthians have conceded 6 goals with even goal difference.
  • Flamengo dominates H2H with 24 wins in 53 matches (Corinthians: 16 wins). At home, Flamengo has 17W-6D-4L record against Corinthians[5].
  • No injury data available in provided sources.
  • Historic rivalry increases pressure. Maracanã's home advantage favors Flamengo.
  • Flamengo aims to close 2-point gap with Palmeiras. Corinthians seek top-4 positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo -210 | Draw 340 | Corinthians 600 Flamengo ML ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Flamengo -1 (-125) | Corinthians +1 (105) Corinthians +1 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 (102) | Under 2.5 (-122) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -4%
Spread Corinthians 1 13%
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians 1 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo win with moderate risk (1-0 or 2-1 scoreline likely). Limited goal expectation given Flamengo's defensive solidity.

Predicted Score: 2-0 Flamengo


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Corinthians vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-19
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Neo Química Arena, São Paulo, São Paulo

Game Overview

Corinthians hosts Sport Recife in the Brasileirão Serie A. Corinthians is currently 12th in the league with 4 points, while Sport Recife is last with 1 point. Both teams lost their last Serie A matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians recently lost to Fluminense 2-0 at home, while Sport Recife lost to RB Bragantino 1-0. Corinthians generally performs better at home and averages 2 goals per match there.
  • In their last five meetings, Corinthians won three times and Sport Recife won twice. Historically, Corinthians leads at home with higher chances of winning when leading 1-0.
  • Corinthians has Igor Coronado, R. Garro, and Hugo Souza sidelined, while Sport Recife is missing several players including Pablo, Igor Cariús, and Dalbert.
  • Both teams might face pressure to win, but Corinthians' stronger home record gives them an advantage.
  • Corinthians will be more motivated to win due to their need to climb the league table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corinthians: -195, Sport Recife: 550, Draw: 320 Corinthians Win High
Spread Corinthians: -1 -115, Sport Recife: 1 -105 Corinthians Cover Medium-High
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Corinthians is expected to win due to their home advantage and stronger recent form compared to Sport Recife.

Predicted Score: Corinthians 2, Sport Recife 0


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Corinthians vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-16
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Neo Química Arena

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Corinthians and Fluminense in the Brazilian Serie A pits two teams with recent mixed results. Corinthians have shown a slightly better record recently, but Fluminense has the potential for a strong comeback.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians have had 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 matches, while Fluminense has 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Both teams have shown inconsistency.
  • In their head-to-head matches, Corinthians have historically had an edge with 44 wins, compared to Fluminense's 17. However, recent matches have been unpredictable.
  • Corinthians have R. Garro sidelined, while Fluminense is missing Otávio, Marcelo Pitaluga, Riquelme, G. Fuentes, Renato Augusto, Ganso, and Isaque, significantly impacting their lineup.
  • The high stakes of the Serie A and the significant home advantage for Corinthians could influence the match's dynamics.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb the league table, but Corinthians' home field advantage might provide an additional boost.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -110 for Corinthians, 320 for Fluminense, 245 for Draw Corinthians Win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread -0.5 -108 for Corinthians, 50 -112 for Fluminense Corinthians Cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.25 100, Under 2.25 -120 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Corinthians have a slight edge due to home field advantage and recent performance, but Fluminense can pull off a surprise if they manage their injuries well.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Corinthians


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Palmeiras vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-12
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque

Game Overview

This match between Palmeiras and Corinthians is significant in the Brazilian Campeonato context. Given the recent Paulistão final where Corinthians won over Palmeiras, the dynamics remain competitive. However, this match takes place outside the Paulistão competition, potentially offering a fresh slate for both teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras, being the home team, has shown strong performances at the Allianz Parque. However, Corinthians' recent victory in the Paulistão final suggests they are in good form.
  • Recent head-to-heads have seen mixed results, but Corinthians have the psychological advantage following their recent win.
  • No specific injury reports are mentioned, but both teams often face challenges from their busy schedules.
  • External factors like weather and crowd support could influence the game. Palmeiras typically enjoys strong home support.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Palmeiras seeking to avenge their Paulistão loss and Corinthians aiming to maintain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -100 (Palmeiras), +270 (Corinthians), +255 (Draw) Palmeiras to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Palmeiras -0.5 (+102), Corinthians +50 (-122) Palmeiras to cover -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.5 (+105), Under 2.5 (-125) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the competitive nature and considering the odds, Palmeiras is slightly favored due to their home advantage and past performances at the Allianz Parque.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras 1, Corinthians 0


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Corinthians vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-05
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Neo Química Arena, São Paulo

Game Overview

This match marks the beginning of the Campeonato Brasileiro season for both teams, with Corinthians hosting Vasco da Gama. Corinthians recently won the Campeonato Paulista, which could boost their morale and preparation for this fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians have been strong domestically, having just won the Campeonato Paulista, while Vasco da Gama finished their state championship, Carioca Série A, with mixed results.
  • In recent encounters, Corinthians have had a slight edge over Vasco da Gama, winning their last match in November 2024 by a score of 3-1 in the Brasileirão.
  • Corinthians will be without Rodrigo Garro, while Vasco da Gama is missing Guilherme Estrella and David. These absences might impact the teams' strategies and performances.
  • The home advantage at Neo Química Arena could significantly favor Corinthians, given their recent success in the stadium.
  • Corinthians are motivated after their Paulista championship victory, while Vasco da Gama looks to begin the season strong following their recent state championship performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corinthians -155, Vasco da Gama 440, Draw 280 Corinthians ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Corinthians -0.75 -118, Vasco da Gama 75 -102 Corinthians -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.5 105, Under 2.5 -125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Corinthians are likely to win this match due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Corinthians 1, Vasco da Gama 0


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Bahia vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-30
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

The match between Bahia and Corinthians is set to take place at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, with Bahia being favored slightly as the home team. This edition of the Campeonato Brasileiro will feature two teams seeking to secure essential points in the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia has shown resilience in home matches, while Corinthians have been inconsistent away. However, recent performances indicate Corinthians are in a slight form dip.
  • Corinthians and Bahia have a history of competitive matches. In their last few encounters, Corinthians have won several times, but Bahia did secure a 5-1 win in one notable match.
  • No major injury reports from both teams have been highlighted as significant factors for this match.
  • Weather conditions and field surface could play minor roles but are not expected to significantly influence the outcome.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to climb the league standings, with every point counting towards their season goals.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: +105, Corinthians: +260, Draw: +250 Bahia ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Bahia: -0.5 +108, Corinthians: +50 -128 Bahia -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 53%
Over_under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is slightly favored due to home advantage and recent team performances.

Predicted Score: Bahia 2, Corinthians 1


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