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Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-11
  • Time: 5:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds (35-33, 4th NL Central) face the Cleveland Guardians (34-32, 3rd AL Central) in the series finale at Progressive Field. The Reds are led by pitcher Nick Lodolo (4-4, 3.21 ERA, 75.2 IP, 64 K), while the Guardians will start Logan Allen (3-4, 4.42 ERA, 55.0 IP, 40 K). Both teams are tightly matched with the Reds slightly ahead in record and recent form (W5) versus the Guardians (L2), though the game could be a pitcher's duel with potential for low scoring given the starters' numbers.[4][5][3]

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cincinnati is 6-4 in their last 10 games and on a 5-game winning streak, while Cleveland is 4-6 in their last 10 and on a 2-game losing streak. The Reds have a slightly better offense (4.5 runs per game vs. 3.8 for Cleveland) and pitching staff (3.66 ERA vs. 3.92 ERA).[5][4][3]
  • The Reds won the previous game in this series 1-0, indicating a pitching-dominated matchup with minimal scoring.[4][5]
  • No major injuries reported for this specific game—only updates from league-wide injuries not directly affecting these rosters for today's game.[5]
  • Normal weather expected at Progressive Field. No unusual external factors or venue impacts reported.
  • The Reds aim to extend their winning streak and continue momentum, while the Guardians seek to avoid a sweep and bounce back at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds: -102, Cleveland Guardians: -116 Cleveland Guardians (slight home edge according to odds, but Reds have momentum) 56% Guardians, 44% Reds
Spread Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (152), Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-184) Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (more likely to cover or win by less than 2) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 8.5 (-106), Under 8.5 (-114) Under 8.5 (low scoring expected, previous game 1-0, strong pitching matchup) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Cincinnati Reds are favored by current odds and recent form, with a slight edge in pitching and momentum. However, given the previous 1-0 outcome and both teams’ reliance on their starters, a low-scoring game is likely, and the difference could be minimal.

Predicted Score: Cleveland Guardians 3, Cincinnati Reds 2


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – June 11, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – June 11, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Prediction New York Mets -255 129%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Under 8.5 -114 22%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Prediction Under 8.5 100 20%

Combined Odds: +423 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $104.53

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – June 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Cleveland Guardians Win -164 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction Atlanta Braves Win -180 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Duke Blue Devils vs. Murray St Racers Prediction Duke Blue Devils Win -260 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +247

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $69.34

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 8, 2025
  • Time: 5:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Great American Ball Park

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds are set to host the Arizona Diamondbacks in an MLB matchup. The Reds recently dominated the Diamondbacks with a 13-1 win on June 7, 2025. The Diamondbacks are favored on the moneyline for this game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Diamondbacks have shown strong performance overall, but the Reds' recent convincing win could impact their confidence.
  • The Reds have a recent win over the Diamondbacks, which might give them an edge in terms of morale and momentum.
  • Current injury reports are not provided, but any key injuries could affect team performance.
  • Weather conditions and the home crowd might influence the game's dynamics.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Reds might have an extra boost from their recent victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks: -138, Cincinnati Reds: 118 Arizona Diamondbacks ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Arizona Diamondbacks: -1.5 114, Cincinnati Reds: 1.5 -137 Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under over: 9.5 -108, under: 9.5 -112 Under 9.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arizona Diamondbacks to win due to their strong overall performance and being favored on the moneyline.

Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5, Cincinnati Reds 3


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Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-04
  • Time: 4:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Great American Ball Park

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers in a highly competitive matchup within the MLB. Both teams have a rich history, with the Brewers having a slight edge in their head-to-head matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cincinnati Reds recently won 3 out of their last 5 games, while the Milwaukee Brewers won 2 out of their last 5. The Reds have shown a strong performance in recent games against the Brewers, including a 4-2 win on June 3, 2025.
  • The Brewers have a slight advantage in their overall head-to-head record, but the Reds have performed well in recent encounters. The Brewers have won 4 out of 6 games this season against the Reds.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either team that could impact the game's outcome.
  • The game will be played at Great American Ball Park, which typically favors the Reds due to home-field advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Reds may have an extra push from playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds: -120, Milwaukee Brewers: 102 Cincinnati Reds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cincinnati Reds: -1.5 176, Milwaukee Brewers: 1.5 -215 Cincinnati Reds to cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: 9 100, under: 9 -122 Under 9 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cincinnati Reds at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati Reds to win due to their recent performance and home-field advantage.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Reds 5, Milwaukee Brewers 3


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Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 6:21 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs, leading the NL Central, host the Cincinnati Reds, who are fourth in the division. The Cubs have a strong home record, while the Reds have struggled away from home. The matchup features Nick Lodolo for the Reds against Drew Pomeranz for the Cubs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cubs have a superior record, especially at home, with a 17-11 record, while the Reds have a 15-15 away record. The Cubs' strong home performance and recent form make them favorites.
  • The Reds won the previous game 6-2 on May 30th, indicating some competitive balance.
  • No significant injury updates have been noted for this matchup.
  • The weather is expected to be favorable for baseball, with temperatures around 58°F and a wind of 9 mph.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Cubs have more on the line as they aim to maintain their division lead.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Cubs: -164, Cincinnati Reds: 138 Chicago Cubs ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Chicago Cubs: -1.5 128, Cincinnati Reds: +1.5 -154 Chicago Cubs ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 7.5 -104, Under: 7.5 -118 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Cubs are likely to win due to their strong home record and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 4, Cincinnati Reds 3


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Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-28
  • Time: 11:40 PM UTC
  • Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Game Overview

The Kansas City Royals host the Cincinnati Reds in a regular MLB matchup. The Reds are coming off a 7-4 victory over the Royals in their previous encounter (May 26, 2025), showing offensive consistency. The Royals, playing at home, will seek to rebound and leverage their home-field advantage[4].

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Reds recently defeated the Royals with a solid offensive performance, scoring 7 runs on May 26. Both teams have had inconsistent seasons, but the Reds have shown slightly better form in recent head-to-head play[4].
  • Recent head-to-head result: Cincinnati Reds beat Kansas City Royals 7-4 on May 26, 2025[4]. The Reds have momentum entering this matchup.
  • No major injury updates reported for either team as of this analysis. Both rosters are expected to be near full strength.
  • Weather and field conditions at Kauffman Stadium are not expected to be significant factors. The game is scheduled for evening, likely under clear to partly cloudy skies.
  • The Royals will be motivated to avoid a sweep and protect home field. The Reds aim to continue their momentum and secure another win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds: -110, Kansas City Royals: +100 Cincinnati Reds ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Cincinnati Reds: -1.5 (+149), Kansas City Royals: +1.5 (-170) Kansas City Royals +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 7.5 (-115), Under: 7.5 (-105) Under 7.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cincinnati Reds at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati Reds are favored to win, given their recent head-to-head result and stronger current form. The game is expected to be close, with a slight edge to the Reds.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Reds 4, Kansas City Royals 3


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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-23
  • Time: 10:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Great American Ball Park

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds host the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park in a closely matched MLB contest. Reds starter Hunter Greene (4-2, 2.36 ERA) faces Cubs starter Matthew Boyd (4-2, 2.98 ERA), making pitching a key battle in the game. Both teams have displayed competitive form recently, setting the stage for a tightly contested game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Reds have shown strong pitching performances led by Greene, while Chicago Cubs have been consistent with Boyd anchoring their rotation. Offensively, both teams have similar production metrics, with Cubs slightly favored given their marginally better recent results and bullpen depth.
  • Recent data suggests a balanced rivalry with Cubs holding a slight edge due to consistency in head-to-head matchups at Great American Ball Park. Predictive simulations suggest Cubs have a 51% chance to win this matchup.
  • No significant injury reports impacting starting pitchers or key offensive players have been noted for either team ahead of this game.
  • Playing at home gives the Cincinnati Reds a slight advantage with crowd support. Weather conditions and ballpark factors at Great American Ball Park historically favor moderate scoring games.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain series momentum with this game, especially given the close standings in their division. Cubs may have a slight edge in motivation to win on the road and improve their probability in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Cubs: -116, Cincinnati Reds: -102 Chicago Cubs to win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Chicago Cubs: -1.5 150, Cincinnati Reds: 1.5 -182 Chicago Cubs -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 8.5 -110, Under: 8.5 -110 Under 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Predicted tight game with Chicago Cubs narrowly edging Cincinnati Reds due to pitching matchups and recent form. Expect a competitive contest with Cubs favored to win a moderately scoring game.

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5 – 3 Cincinnati Reds


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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-21
  • Time: 4:36 PM UTC
  • Location: PNC Park

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates are facing off in a decisive game of their three-game series. The Reds are currently third in the NL Central with a 25-25 record, while the Pirates are fifth with a 16-33 record. The outcome of this game could significantly impact the teams' standings in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Reds have a slightly better record and are favored to win, but the Pirates have strong home hitters like Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds. The Reds' overall batting and pitching consistency will be crucial in this matchup.
  • Historically, the Reds have had a slight edge over the Pirates in recent seasons, but head-to-head stats for 2025 are not detailed in the available data.
  • No significant injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game's momentum, but specific data is not available.
  • Both teams are motivated, with the Reds looking to solidify their position in the NL Central and the Pirates seeking to improve their dismal record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -126 (Cincinnati Reds), 108 (Pittsburgh Pirates) Cincinnati Reds ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread -1.5 128 (Cincinnati Reds), 1.5 -154 (Pittsburgh Pirates) Cincinnati Reds ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under 8 -115 (Over), 8 -105 (Under) Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Reds are likely to win, given their recent form and overall team performance.

Predicted Score: Reds 5, Pirates 4


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – May 19, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Cincinnati Reds Win -126 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction Los Angeles Dodgers Win -141 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction Seattle Mariners Win -198 ★★★★☆ 73% (73%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +361

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $92.28

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