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Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-23
  • Time: 6:21 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs host the Kansas City Royals in an MLB mid-summer matchup. Cubs are strong home favorites with better recent form and a favorable pitching matchup, while the Royals are looking for a rebound after a recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chicago Cubs have a 60-41 record, winning nearly 70% of games as odds-on favorites this season, including dominating recent home performances. Kansas City Royals have a 49-53 record, with mediocre recent form and slightly below .500 away performance.
  • Cubs have dominated recent series including a 6-0 win just prior. Cubs have seen under 10.5 runs scored in 11 of the last 12 home games against the Royals indicating a typically lower scoring matchup in this venue.
  • No significant injury reports affecting starting pitchers or key players from available data.
  • Weather and venue (Wrigley Field) favor Cubs with their home advantage. No unusual external disruptions reported.
  • Cubs motivated to maintain home dominance and continue streak against Royals; Royals seeking series win and bounce back after prior heavy loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cubs: -142, Royals: +120 Chicago Cubs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Cubs -1.5: +142, Royals +1.5: -172 Chicago Cubs -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 10.5: -104, Under 10.5: -118 Under 10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Chicago Cubs at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

For moneyline, Cubs have the edge given strong home form and better pitcher. Against the spread, Royals receiving +1.5 runs at a better price could be value but Cubs covering is more probable due to pitching matchup. For over/under, total runs likely stay under 10.5 given historical data and moderate scoring averages.

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5 – 3 Kansas City Royals


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – July 22, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics Prediction Texas Rangers Win -245 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction Chicago Cubs Win -250 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -198 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +197

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $59.34

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Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 6:20 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

Final game of a three-game MLB series at Wrigley Field between the Chicago Cubs and Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox aim to rebound after two losses, with Garrett Crochet starting, while the Cubs have won the first two games and start rookie Cade Horton.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cubs lead the series 2-0, boasting a strong offense ranked 4th in MLB with 5.32 runs per game and 143 home runs. Red Sox have a potent offense too, ranked 5th in MLB scoring 4.97 runs per game and featuring aggressive baserunning.
  • Red Sox have struggled in the series so far losing two straight to Cubs, but have the pitching edge with Crochet’s 2.23 ERA against Cubs' Horton with a 4.45 ERA. This is Horton's first start versus Red Sox.
  • No major injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups or rotations significantly.
  • Game at Wrigley Field favors Cubs as home team, but weather and conditions not noted as impactful. Red Sox will soon travel to Philadelphia after this series, so may be motivated to close strong.
  • Cubs motivated to sweep series at home, Red Sox motivated to avoid sweep and regain momentum for upcoming interleague play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston Red Sox: -135, Chicago Cubs: +122 Boston Red Sox β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Boston Red Sox -1.5: +136, Chicago Cubs +1.5: -156 Chicago Cubs +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 7: +100, Under 7: -120 Under 7 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boston Red Sox 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boston Red Sox moneyline win; Cubs +1.5 run line cover; Under 7 total runs

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4 – Chicago Cubs 3


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New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 5:36 PM UTC
  • Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York

Game Overview

A National League vs American League interleague matchup between the New York Yankees and the Chicago Cubs at Yankee Stadium. Both teams are competitive this season with the Cubs slightly ahead in win-loss record. The Yankees are slight favorites playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yankees hold a 53-42 record and perform well at home; Cubs are 56-39 and have a solid away record. Yankees win probability around 54-61%; Cubs about 39-46%. Yankees favored moneyline and spread.
  • Recent MLB season head-to-head trends favor Yankees slightly; Yankees have a 59% win rate when odds-on favorite. Cubs underdog on moneyline with +110 odds and 30-37% winning rate.
  • No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team. Both teams likely to field strong rosters.
  • Game played at Yankee Stadium, giving Yankees home-field advantage. Weather and conditions expected normal. No notable external disruptions.
  • Midseason standings pressure, both teams motivated to maintain playoff contention. Yankees likely motivated by home crowd and position in the division race.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Yankees -130, Cubs +110 Yankees β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%
Spread Yankees -1.5 +158, Cubs +1.5 -192 Yankees -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115 Under 9 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Yankees 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Yankees to win moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game total to go under 9 runs.

Predicted Score: Yankees 4, Cubs 2


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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-10
  • Time: 5:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs visit the Minnesota Twins in a mid-July MLB matchup featuring starting pitchers Colin Rea for the Cubs and Chris Paddack for the Twins. Both teams have shown competitive form, with Cubs holding a better overall record and recent hitting advantage, while the Twins have home-field edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cubs hold a 54-38 record compared to Twins' 45-47. Cubs average 5.6 runs per game with stronger offensive production and a better pitching ERA (3.68) versus Twins' 4.64 ERA. Cubs recent form sees mixed results but hitting trends against righties are favorable.
  • Recent matchups favor the Twins slightly on the mound but Cubs won the last game 4-2. Historically, games tend to be under 10.5 runs scored between these teams in recent meetings.
  • No major injuries affecting starting pitchers or key hitters reported, maintaining usual lineups for both sides.
  • Game at Twins' home stadium Target Field, which has neutral to slightly pitcher-friendly tendencies. Weather appears stable with no significant impact expected.
  • Cubs seek to rebound after a recent loss and maintain momentum before heading to a challenging road series. Twins aim to capitalize on home advantage but have been inconsistent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Cubs -130, Minnesota Twins +110 Chicago Cubs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Chicago Cubs -1.5 +122, Minnesota Twins +1.5 -146 Chicago Cubs -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 9.5 -110, Under 9.5 -110 Under 9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Cubs moneyline winner

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5 – Minnesota Twins 3


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Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 10:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs host the St. Louis Cardinals at Wrigley Field for the second game in this series. The previous day, the Cardinals defeated the Cubs 8-6 in a close, competitive game. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, with the Cardinals scoring 8 and the Cubs 6. Pitching matchups are key, with Michael Boyd starting for the Cubs (8-3, 2.65 ERA) and E. Fedde for the Cardinals (3-8, 4.56 ERA). The Cubs have home advantage and recent momentum after winning two straight before July 5, but the Cardinals bounced back with a win yesterday.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cubs have a strong record and solid pitching from Boyd, who has an impressive 2.65 ERA over 8 wins. The Cardinals have been inconsistent but showed resilience with a comeback win on July 5. Cubs offense has been capable, scoring 9 hits in the last game, but the Cardinals' pitching staff, led by Steven Matz, has also been effective recently.
  • The recent game on July 5 ended 8-6 in favor of the Cardinals at Wrigley Field. Overall head-to-head this season favors a competitive edge with high scoring games, suggesting a close matchup. Both teams have traded wins in this series.
  • No major injury reports available from the data; both teams appear to field their strong lineups with probable starters healthy.
  • Home field advantage decisively favors the Cubs. Weather and other external factors are not mentioned but should be typical for early July in Chicago, favoring no disruptions.
  • Both teams are motivated mid-season to secure playoff positioning. The Cubs may have a slight edge playing at home and looking to avenge the prior day's loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Cubs: -200, St. Louis Cardinals: 168 Chicago Cubs to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Chicago Cubs: -1.5 (102), St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 (-122) Chicago Cubs -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 7.5: -112, Under 7.5: -108 Over 7.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the stronger pitching and home field advantage, the Chicago Cubs are favored to win but the game will likely be close and moderately high scoring.

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5 – St. Louis Cardinals 3


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – July 6, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -230 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction Atlanta Braves Win -154 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction Chicago Cubs -1.5 102 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +378

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $95.6

0 27

Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-03
  • Time: 12:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs (51-35), favorites at home, face the Cleveland Guardians (40-44), who are struggling on a six-game losing streak. Cade Horton (3-2, 4.80 ERA) starts for the Cubs, while Luis Ortiz (4-9, 4.36 ERA) is on the mound for the Guardians. The Cubs have been strong as home favorites and Horton’s team has a solid record when favored, while the Guardians have performed below average as underdogs this season[1][2][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chicago Cubs are 51-35 and have a strong record as favorites (69.5% win rate when favored this season). The Guardians are 40-44, on a six-game losing streak, and have a 41.2% win rate as underdogs[1][2][3].
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Cubs won the previous game 5-4[4].
  • No major injury updates publicly available that significantly shift expectations. Both teams have several players on the IL, but no recent major changes reported[3][5].
  • Game is at Wrigley Field, traditionally favorable for the Cubs, with a 8:05 p.m. ET start time and clear broadcast coverage. Weather and venue conditions are typical for Chicago at this time[1][3].
  • Cubs are fighting for a top spot in their division and have momentum. Guardians are struggling for consistency and need to break their losing streak[2][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CHC: -156, CLE: +132 (bookmaker avg. slightly differs: CHC: -152, CLE: 128) Chicago Cubs high
Spread CHC: -1.5 (+128), CLE: +1.5 (-154) Cubs -1.5 (+128) (but bookmakers make Guardians +1.5 a slight favorite in this market, so Cubs -1.5 is value if confident in home team superiority) moderate (given Guardians' recent struggles and Cubs' strong performance as favorites, but Cubs are only slightly favored to cover the spread)
Over/under Over: 8.5 (-115), Under: 8.5 (-105) Under 8.5 moderate-high

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cubs are favored to win, with a projected score of Cubs 5, Guardians 3. Under 8.5 total runs is predicted[2].

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5, Cleveland Guardians 3


0 3

Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 6:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Daikin Park, Houston, TX

Game Overview

The Houston Astros host the Chicago Cubs for a pivotal MLB matchup. Both teams hold identical overall records of 49-34, reflecting a tightly contested series. The Astros have a slight edge in pitching and recent form, while the Cubs showed offensive dominance in their previous encounter with a decisive 12-3 victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cubs come off a strong offensive performance from their last game against the Astros, scoring 12 runs on 15 hits, powered by Kyle Tucker's standout 4-hit, 3-RBI game. The Astros have a better pitching staff overall with a 3.62 ERA compared to the Cubs’ 4.30, though their recent offense was suppressed in the last game. Cubs' hitters have a higher slugging (.448) and on-base percentage (.309) than the Astros (.400 slugging, .291 OBP).
  • In their previous game on June 28, 2025, the Cubs defeated the Astros 12-3, snapping Houston's 5-game winning streak. Chicago demonstrated power hitting with multiple home runs during a dominant 4th inning and consistently scored throughout the game. This recent result may influence momentum and psychological advantage.
  • No specific injury reports or key player absences are noted for either team ahead of this game, suggesting both rosters are near full strength.
  • The game is played at Daikin Park in Houston, giving the Astros home-field advantage. Houston has a modest home record of 18-20 this season, while the Cubs have a stronger away record of 24-19, making this matchup less straightforward despite venue.
  • Both teams are atop their respective divisions (Cubs lead NL Central, Astros lead AL West) and have identical season records, indicating strong motivation to maintain or improve playoff positioning. The Cubs will look to continue their recent offensive surge, while the Astros aim to rebound from a heavy defeat and leverage home crowd support.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Cubs: +132, Houston Astros: -156 Houston Astros β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Chicago Cubs +1.5: -166, Houston Astros -1.5: +138 Chicago Cubs +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 7.5: -122, Under 7.5: +100 Over 7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Astros 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7.5 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Cubs' recent explosive offensive display and the close overall team metrics, the Cubs are favored to win again, potentially by a similar margin. However, the Astros' home advantage and superior pitching staff suggest they will keep the game competitive.

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 8 – 5 Houston Astros


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – June 26, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics Prediction Detroit Tigers Win -162 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72% (72%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction Chicago Cubs -1.5 112 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction Over 10 -110 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +555

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $130.91

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