The Chicago Cubs, leading the NL Central, host the Cincinnati Reds, who are fourth in the division. The Cubs have a strong home record, while the Reds have struggled away from home. The matchup features Nick Lodolo for the Reds against Drew Pomeranz for the Cubs.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cubs have a superior record, especially at home, with a 17-11 record, while the Reds have a 15-15 away record. The Cubs' strong home performance and recent form make them favorites.
The Reds won the previous game 6-2 on May 30th, indicating some competitive balance.
No significant injury updates have been noted for this matchup.
The weather is expected to be favorable for baseball, with temperatures around 58°F and a wind of 9 mph.
Both teams are motivated, but the Cubs have more on the line as they aim to maintain their division lead.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs: -164, Cincinnati Reds: 138
Chicago Cubs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Chicago Cubs: -1.5 128, Cincinnati Reds: +1.5 -154
Chicago Cubs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over: 7.5 -104, Under: 7.5 -118
Under
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 -99%
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs are likely to win due to their strong home record and recent performance.
Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 4, Cincinnati Reds 3
The Chicago Cubs (34-21, top of NL Central) host the Colorado Rockies (9-46, last in NL West) in a matchup of teams in starkly different places this season. The Cubs are strong favorites, riding a powerful start, while the Rockies are struggling both offensively and defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cubs are one of the best teams in MLB early in 2025, with a winning record and strong pitching and hitting. The Rockies, by contrast, are last in the league standings with a significant deficit in wins, and are struggling in all facets.
Recent head-to-head results heavily favor the Cubs, given their current form and the Rockies' poor overall performance this season.
No major injuries are widely reported for either side that would significantly alter this game's expected outcome. Minor injuries or day-to-day lineup changes may occur but are unlikely to affect the probabilities given the talent gap[3].
Game is being played at Wrigley Field in Chicago. The weather is expected to be typical for late May, with no unusual wind or precipitation expected to impact play. The Cubs enjoy a distinct home-field advantage, particularly against struggling teams.
The Cubs are motivated to maintain their division lead and continue building momentum. The Rockies, while unlikely to win, may play with some urgency to avoid further embarrassment and seek a morale-boosting upset.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs: -335, Colorado Rockies: 294
Chicago Cubs win
Very high (90%)
Spread
Chicago Cubs: -1.5 -145, Colorado Rockies: +1.5 125
Chicago Cubs -1.5
High (75%)
Over/under
over: 8 100, under: 8 -120
Under 8 runs
Moderate (55%)
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Chicago Cubs are highly likely to win at home against the struggling Colorado Rockies. The significant odds in favor of the Cubs reflect the vast difference in team quality and current form. However, baseball is unpredictable, and the Rockies could surprise with a strong pitching performance.
Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 4, Colorado Rockies 2
The Cincinnati Reds host the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park in a closely matched MLB contest. Reds starter Hunter Greene (4-2, 2.36 ERA) faces Cubs starter Matthew Boyd (4-2, 2.98 ERA), making pitching a key battle in the game. Both teams have displayed competitive form recently, setting the stage for a tightly contested game.
Key Factors to Consider
The Reds have shown strong pitching performances led by Greene, while Chicago Cubs have been consistent with Boyd anchoring their rotation. Offensively, both teams have similar production metrics, with Cubs slightly favored given their marginally better recent results and bullpen depth.
Recent data suggests a balanced rivalry with Cubs holding a slight edge due to consistency in head-to-head matchups at Great American Ball Park. Predictive simulations suggest Cubs have a 51% chance to win this matchup.
No significant injury reports impacting starting pitchers or key offensive players have been noted for either team ahead of this game.
Playing at home gives the Cincinnati Reds a slight advantage with crowd support. Weather conditions and ballpark factors at Great American Ball Park historically favor moderate scoring games.
Both teams are motivated to gain series momentum with this game, especially given the close standings in their division. Cubs may have a slight edge in motivation to win on the road and improve their probability in the standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs: -116, Cincinnati Reds: -102
Chicago Cubs to win
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Chicago Cubs: -1.5 150, Cincinnati Reds: 1.5 -182
Chicago Cubs -1.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over: 8.5 -110, Under: 8.5 -110
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Predicted tight game with Chicago Cubs narrowly edging Cincinnati Reds due to pitching matchups and recent form. Expect a competitive contest with Cubs favored to win a moderately scoring game.
Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5 – 3 Cincinnati Reds
The Miami Marlins will host the Chicago Cubs in an MLB regular season matchup. The Cubs dominated the previous day’s game on May 20, 2025, with a decisive 14-1 victory over the Marlins. Both teams are looking to adjust strategies in this upcoming game to shift momentum. The Cubs enter favored based on recent form and pitching matchups, whereas the Marlins aim to leverage home advantage to counter Chicago’s strength.
Key Factors to Consider
Chicago Cubs have shown strong offensive power recently, beating Miami 14-1 on May 20 with key hits from Dansby Swanson and solid pitching from Colin Rea. Miami struggled offensively and defensively in that game but have home advantage and will seek to improve their pitching and batting. The Cubs have been consistent, while the Marlins have faced challenges maintaining runs.
Recent head-to-head meetings favor the Chicago Cubs, including a heavy win on May 20, 2025. The Cubs’ offense has been effective against the Marlins’ pitching in this series, and historically, the Cubs have had the edge at away games versus Miami.
No significant injury updates impacting starters or key players for either team have been reported for this game, suggesting full-strength lineups.
Game being played at Miami’s home park may offer some advantage due to familiarity and fan support. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for Miami in May, with minimal impact on gameplay.
The Cubs will be motivated to continue their recent dominant form and secure a series sweep. The Marlins are motivated to bounce back after the heavy loss and defend their home turf, making the game critical for morale.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs: -134, Miami Marlins: 114
Chicago Cubs
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Chicago Cubs: -1.5 118, Miami Marlins: 1.5 -142
Chicago Cubs -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -122, Under 8.5: 100
Over 8.5 runs
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs are favored to win this game due to their recent dominant performance, more stable pitching, and strong offense. The Marlins may put up resistance at home but are less likely to overcome the Cubs’ momentum.