Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 3:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio José Gomes

Game Overview

A tightly contested Primeira Liga match between CF Estrela, struggling at home with a poor record, and Nacional, slightly better overall but inconsistent away.

Key Factors to Consider

• Estrela Amadora is 13th in the league with 10 points from 10 games, showing inconsistency and a weak home record. Nacional sits 9th with 11 points, showing slightly better form but also inconsistency, especially away.
• Historically close matchups favor Nacional slightly, with recent results indicating low probability of decisive wins for either side.
• No critical absences reported for either side; teams expected to field strong lineups.
• No reported adverse weather or external issues; neutral conditions favor a balanced contest.
• Both teams under pressure to improve standings—Estrela to avoid relegation proximity; Nacional to secure mid-table stability.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Draw on moneyline, Nacional on spread, Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts CF Estrela Amadora in a tightly contested Portugal Primeira Liga match where both teams struggle near the relegation zone. Casa Pia shows slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Estrela have offensive challenges away from home. Historical encounters indicate low scoring and balanced competitiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

• Casa Pia has 2 wins in last 9 matches with a deccent home record but fragile defense. Estrela Amadora struggles on the road with fewer goals scored and a leaky defense, holding just 6 wins overall compared to Casa Pia's 11.
• In 6 matches, Casa Pia and Estrela have won 3 each, with no draws. Their last encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Casa Pia. Matches tend to be low scoring with an average of 1.83 total goals per game.
• No major injury reports affecting starting lineups from available sources; both teams likely fielding expected lineups.
• No significant external disruptions reported. Venue at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, a neutral-style stadium, may reduce usual home field impact but Casa Pia still holds advantage.
• Both teams are motivated to climb away from lower table relegation threats. Casa Pia slightly more stable with recent form, increasing their push for points at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win the match with a low-scoring affair expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio José Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

A tightly matched Liga Portugal game between CF Estrela Amadora and Rio Ave FC, with both clubs displaying middling form and close historical outcomes in head-to-head encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

• CF Estrela ranks 15th and has struggled at home with a high loss rate (50%), scoring an average of 0.75 goals per match while conceding 1.0. Rio Ave, ranked 12th, performs slightly better away with 3 draws in 4 away games and an average of 1.38 goals scored but concedes 1.63 goals on average.
• In 12 meetings since 2003, Rio Ave has dominated with 6 wins versus Estrela's 2, and 4 draws. Recent encounters have seen Rio Ave maintain a slight edge, but Estrela has won 2 of their last few home games against Rio Ave. The average goals scored in their matches is moderately low at around 2.3 to 2.8 per game.
• No specific injury reports are currently available for either team, indicating a likely full-strength squad for both sides.
• The match is played at Estádio José Gomes, which adds some home advantage for Estrela Amadora, but their inconsistency at home tempers this. No significant external factors such as weather disruptions or scheduling congestion are detected.
• Both teams sit in lower-mid table with Rio Ave slightly higher, possibly pushing harder to avoid relegation dangers. Estrela has the urgency to improve home form, potentially increasing their motivation, though Rio Ave’s resilience in away matches suggests balanced motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Rio Ave FC win. Spread: Rio Ave FC -0.0. Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 0-1

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 2:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Game Overview

Gil Vicente, sitting 5th in the league, hosts struggling CF Estrela, who are near the bottom with just 7 points. Gil Vicente has recently begun to stabilize results after a period of inconsistency, while Estrela Amadora has shown little attacking threat and defensive fragility on the road. The historical matchup is close, but Gil Vicente’s home advantage and current form could prove decisive.

Key Factors to Consider

• Gil Vicente averages 1 goal scored and 1.52 conceded per game, showing inconsistency, but has collected 13 points to Estrela’s 7. Estrela Amadora averages just 0.83 goals scored and concedes 1.46 per game, with frequent goal droughts (11 failures to score in 24 games). Recent matches show Gil Vicente with 2 wins in last 5, Estrela 1 win in last 5. Gil Vicente has a better recent record in terms of points and clean sheets[1][2].
• Direct H2H record is very close: last 8 meetings (all competitions since 2003) show 2 wins each, 4 draws[3]. However, in their last three meetings (since 2024), Gil Vicente won 1-0 at home, lost 0-1 away, and drew 1-1 at home[4]. Recent clashes suggest home advantage is meaningful, but away wins are still possible. Over 75% of these games have seen under 2.25 goals[3].
• No major injury news reported for either side. Both teams have played with regular lineups recently.
• No significant external factors (weather, travel, etc.) identified. Crowd support likely favors Gil Vicente at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
• Gil Vicente is chasing a European spot with a chance to solidify their position. Estrela Amadora is fighting relegation, but their poor form and lack of potency away from home are major concerns. Motivation exists for both, but Estrela's recent performances suggest limited upside.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Gil Vicente to continue their upward trend at home, leveraging their better squad depth and stronger recent results. Expect another low-scoring affair: under 2.25 goals is likely; any clear winner is likely to be Gil Vicente, though a draw is possible if Estrela defends resolutely.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

CF Estrela Amadora hosts AVS Futebol SAD in a closely matched Liga Portugal Betclic fixture, with both teams occupying lower mid-table positions (12th vs 14th). Prior encounters and recent form indicate a cautious game with limited goal scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

• Estrela Amadora shows slightly better defensive stability, conceding fewer goals (0.8 per match last 5) compared to AVS (3.2 conceded). Offensively, both average around 0.6-0.7 goals per game. Recent form slightly favors Estrela (3 wins in last 5) over AVS (2 wins, 1 draw).
• The H2H history favors AVS with 2 wins, while Estrela Amadora has no wins but 3 draws in their last 5 meetings. The latest league encounter ended in 1-1 draw. Goals in these matches tend to be low with under 2.5 goals common.
• Estrela Amadora faces notable absences with Guilherme Montoia, Nilton Varela, Oumar Ngom, and Semeu Commey injured, potentially weakening squad depth and defensive stability. AVS Futebol SAD appears fully fit with no reported injuries.
• Home advantage at Estadio Jose Gomes favors Estrela Amadora slightly. No unusual external conditions (weather, travel, etc.) reported. The match time at 17:00 UTC may have minimal impact.
• Both teams are close in league standing and will be motivated to secure points to avoid relegation zone pressure. Estrela's home status and slightly better recent form may add to their motivation to outperform AVS.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for CF Estrela Amadora

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Tondela vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 2:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio João Cardoso

Game Overview

Tondela, desperate for points and playing at home, face Estrela Amadora who arrive as slight underdogs with some defensive resilience but poor away form. Both teams have struggled offensively and have a history of low-scoring, tightly contested matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tondela have yet to win this season, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 10 in 5 matches, showing offensive struggles and defensive weaknesses. Estrela Amadora have a poor away record losing 7 of last 8, but tend to defend more reliably on road.
• Only two previous official matches, both drawn 0-0, indicating a balanced matchup with low scoring tendencies.
• No specific injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side, lineups expected as predicted.
• Match played at Tondela’s home ground, Estádio João Cardoso, where they have yet to win this season, adding pressure to perform in front of home fans.
• Tondela's urgent need to avoid relegation and break winless streak strongly motivates them, while Estrela have moderate motivation but poor away results suggest difficulty capitalizing.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Tondela to win on moneyline, Tondela -0.25 on spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 2:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

CF Estrela Amadora hosts Vitória SC in a Portugal Primeira Liga clash where Vitória SC are clear favorites given their higher league standing and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vitória SC is currently 5th in the league with 54 points (14W, 12D, 6L) and a solid recent form (WWLWW), while Estrela sits 15th with 29 points (7W, 8D, 17L) and inconsistent recent results (WLLWL). Vitória SC has scored nearly double the goals of Estrela and conceded fewer, indicating stronger overall team performance.
• In the last 4 meetings, Vitória SC holds a dominant record with 3 wins and 1 draw, winning 75% of all encounters. They also tend to control the game from the first halves.
• Estrela will be missing key left back Guilherme Montoia and midfielder Robinho. Vitória SC’s squad is mostly intact but lost defender Tiago Silva recently, with offensive duties shifting more to veterans Nelson Oliveira and Gustavo Silva.
• The match is played at Estrela's home ground, Estadio Jose Gomes, which gives some home advantage, yet Vitória SC's better squad depth and form offset this. No major external disruptions noted.
• Vitória SC is motivated to strengthen their top 5 league position and maintain momentum, whereas Estrela is fighting to climb out of relegation-threatened spots, which could influence their cautious approach.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC moneyline win

Predicted Score: Vitória SC 2 – 1 CF Estrela

Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-31
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio de Sao Miguel

Game Overview

Santa Clara hosts CF Estrela in a crucial Primeira Liga clash with both teams desperate for their first win of the season. Santa Clara seeks redemption after three losses and zero points, while Estrela Amadora has only earned two points from three games. Both teams have shown offensive struggles so far.

Key Factors to Consider

• Santa Clara has lost their first three matches and failed to score so far this season; their recent home form is weak but marginally better than Estrela, who have managed only two points and have significant scoring issues on the road with under 1.5 goals in almost all away matches.
• Recent direct confrontations suggest a competitive but low-scoring trend, with no clear dominant side. Historically, both teams tend to score few goals in their encounters.
• Santa Clara's defender Pedro Jose Pacheco remains out; Estrela Amadora is without banned midfielder Paulo Moreira and likely missing forward Fabio Ronaldo due to injury.
• Santa Clara recently played a European match (Conference League) possibly causing fatigue but still have home advantage in front of their passionate crowd at Estadio de Sao Miguel.
• Both teams are highly motivated to secure their first win of the season to improve standings, with Santa Clara particularly desperate after three consecutive losses and an urgent need to avoid relegation concerns.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-25
• Time: 7:15 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio José Gomes

Game Overview

CF Estrela hosts Alverca in a crucial early-season Primeira Liga clash where both teams seek their first win. Estrela Amadora has a slight edge as the home favorite, while Alverca struggles at the bottom of the league.

Key Factors to Consider

• Estrela Amadora is 13th with 1 point, showing defensive solidity but limited scoring, while Alverca languishes in last place without points, conceding more goals and struggling offensively.
• Historically even with 8 top-flight meetings; Estrela holds a slight edge with 4 wins and 4 clean sheets, though Alverca won the last 4 encounters. No recent meetings since 2004.
• Estrela will miss Jovane Cabral, Guilherme Montóia, and Robinho due to injury; Alverca's injury status is less prominent but team form is weaker.
• Game at Estrela's home stadium Estádio José Gomes favors the hosts. Both teams face high pressure early in the season and need points.
• Estrela aims to avoid relegation again by securing early points, motivated by recent decent defensive showings. Alverca, bottom of the table, is desperate to avoid early season slump perpetuation.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

CF Estrela to win (Moneyline), CF Estrela -0.5 (Spread), Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

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