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CF Estrela vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

CF Estrela Amadora, currently near the bottom of the Primeira Liga standings, faces CD Nacional, a mid-table team, in a match held at Estádio José Gomes. Estrela Amadora is struggling with form, having not won in their last 5 matches and conceding 41 goals in 27 league games, while Nacional has a slightly better record and a marginally favorable goal difference. Both teams have been inconsistent recently, but Nacional has a historical edge in scoring frequency and results against Estrela Amadora.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estrela Amadora is 15th in the league with 23 points from 27 games, scoring 21 goals and conceding 41, struggling offensively and defensively. They have a recent run of 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5. Nacional is 11th with 29 points, scoring 26 and conceding 37 goals, with a pattern of mixed wins and losses (LWLWL). Nacional's scoring ability is superior, especially in the 31-45 minute range where they score 38% of their goals, compared to Estrela's 24%.
  • In the last 5 meetings between the two clubs, Nacional has won 2 times, Estrela has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. The overall goal difference is slightly in favor of Nacional (5-4). This suggests a fairly balanced rivalry but with a moderate edge to Nacional based on scoring and results.
  • No specific injury data was available from the sources. Both teams presumably field close to their regular starting lineups.
  • The game is played at Estrela Amadora’s home ground, Estádio José Gomes, which typically benefits the home side. However, Estrela's poor recent form at home may reduce this advantage. Weather or pitch conditions and potential fan attendance impact were not specified.
  • Estrela Amadora, positioned near the relegation zone, will be highly motivated to gain points to improve their standings. Nacional, sitting mid-table, may target consolidating their position rather than taking excessive risks, possibly aiming for a secure away point.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CF Estrela: 178, Nacional: 162, Draw: 212 Nacional to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread CF Estrela: 50, Nacional: 50 Nacional -0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is likely to be close with a slight edge to Nacional due to superior recent form, goal-scoring stats, and a balanced historical record. The expectation is a low-scoring game with a tight margin, potentially ending in a draw or a narrow away win.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Casa Pia vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal

Game Overview

Casa Pia (14th in the league) hosts CF Estrela Amadora (16th) in a Portugal Primeira Liga match. Casa Pia has 8 goals scored and 17 conceded, while Estrela Amadora struggles near the bottom with poorer recent away form. Previous encounters have slightly favored Estrela, but Casa Pia won the last two meetings 1-0 each.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia shows moderate performance with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, demonstrating improving form. Estrela Amadora has lost 4 of their last 6 away games, indicating poor road form and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • In recent history, Estrela has edged Casa Pia with 3 wins in the last 5 direct matches. However, Casa Pia won the last two encounters 1-0 both on 31 Aug 2024 and 9 Feb 2025.
  • No specific injury information currently available for either side, suggesting squads may be close to full strength.
  • The match is played at a neutral venue (Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior) which may reduce home advantage impact. Weather conditions expected to be moderate (66-67°F) around match day.
  • Both teams are fighting to escape the relegation zone with close positions (14th vs 16th), raising stakes for a crucial win. Casa Pia’s moderately better recent form may increase confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 1.23, CF Estrela: 2.45, Draw: 2.05 Casa Pia win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Casa Pia: -0.25 @ -110, CF Estrela: +25 @ -110 Casa Pia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -125, Under 2: +105 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia is favored to win based on current form, home-related advantages, and recent head-to-head results, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the closeness in league standings and motivation of both teams.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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CF Estrela vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

Game Overview

This match pits CF Estrela da Amadora, currently 15th in the league, against Rio Ave FC, who are 12th. Both teams have struggled for consistency, with Estrela's recent form being L-W-D-L-D and Rio Ave's being W-D-D-L-L. Rio Ave has stronger attacking figures, led by Clayton Silva with 6 goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estrela da Amadora has been inconsistent, while Rio Ave has shown more attacking prowess with Clayton Silva's impressive goal tally.
  • Historical head-to-head data is not extensively detailed in the available information, but Sofascore provides past match results.
  • No specific injury information is available in the data.
  • Weather and travel factors do not appear to significantly affect the match.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points, given their league positions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CF Estrela: 162, Rio Ave FC: 172, Draw: 220 Draw or Rio Ave FC might offer better value given their recent performance. Not available
Spread CF Estrela: -115, Rio Ave FC: -105 Rio Ave might be favored slightly due to their attacking form. Not available
Over/under Over: -110, Under: -110 Given the teams' defensive inconsistencies, over 2.25 goals might be a reasonable bet. Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rio Ave, with Clayton Silva's goal-scoring form, might have a slight edge, but the match is expected to be closely contested.

Predicted Score: 1-1 Draw


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CF Estrela vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

This Liga Portugal match features CF Estrela Amadora hosting AVS Futebol SAD. Both teams have struggled recently, with Estrela Amadora placed 12th and AVS 14th in the league. The teams have balanced their recent encounters with AVS winning the last meeting and overall a closely fought head-to-head history.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estrela Amadora has not won in their last 9 games and recorded no wins in their 4 recent home matches, with a home record of 0-1-2 this season. AVS Futebol SAD is also under pressure, failing to win in their last 6 matches and having a poor away record of 0-1-2. Both teams have shown offensive struggles; Estrela Amadora failed to score in 2 of 3 home games and AVS in 0 of 3 away matches this season.
  • Recent head-to-head data indicates a balanced rivalry: AVS won their last meeting by a narrow margin, with an overall record between these clubs showing 1 Estrela Amadora win, 2 AVS wins, and 3 draws in competitive matches recently. Estrela leads slightly in half-time wins compared to AVS.
  • CF Estrela Amadora faces key player absences due to injuries to Guilherme Montoia, Nilton Varela, Oumar Ngom, and Semeu Commey. AVS Futebol SAD has no reported unavailable players, giving them a potential fitness advantage.
  • The match is played at Estádio José Gomes, potentially providing CF Estrela Amadora home advantage despite their recent poor home form. Weather or other external conditions were not reported and thus assumed neutral.
  • Both teams are under pressure to improve league standings, with Estrela aiming to break a 9-game winless streak and AVS trying to end a 6-game win drought. AVS’s clean injury list might aid motivation, but Estrela’s home ground and position just above AVS increase their desire for points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 1.01, away: 3, draw: 2.15 Home Win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread home_minus_50: 1.02, away_plus_50: 1.22 Home -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under over_2_goals: 1.18, under_2_goals: 1.02 Under 2 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CF Estrela 192%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: CF Estrela at 192% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given recent form, injuries, and head-to-head balance, CF Estrela Amadora has a narrow edge playing at home despite their difficulties, but the match is likely to be tight and low scoring.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Paris Saint Germain vs. Auxerre Prediction Paris Saint Germain -675 901%
CF Estrela vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction CF Estrela 101 192%
Atletico Mineiro vs. Mirassol Prediction Atletico Mineiro 132 47%

Combined Odds: +435 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $107.08

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Tondela vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela, Portugal

Game Overview

Tondela and CF Estrela face off in a key Portuguese Primeira Liga match. Both teams are struggling to find form early in the season with Tondela winless in five games and Estrela also performing below expectations. Both sides desperately seek a win to climb out of the lower positions and gain confidence. The encounter is expected to be tight given their recent history and similar league struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tondela has lost four and drawn one of their first five matches, scoring only 2 goals while conceding 10, highlighting offensive struggles but moderate defensive frailty at home. Estrela Amadora has a somewhat better defensive record on the road but is not in top form, recently losing 2-0 at home and showing low attacking output.
  • The two teams have met just twice officially, both in the Segunda Liga with two draws (0-0 most recently in Feb 2023). Their contests are typically low-scoring and closely matched, with neither side showing clear dominance.
  • Specific injury details are not available from the current data sources, but no major absences have been reported that would heavily impact the lineups for this match.
  • Playing at Estádio João Cardoso gives Tondela the home advantage, though their poor recent form may diminish this edge. Weather and pitch conditions are not noted as significant factors.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to secure a win after poor starts in the league to avoid relegation threats and lift team morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CF Estrela: 250, Tondela: 121, Draw: 205 Tondela ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread CF Estrela +25: -108, Tondela -0.25: -112 Tondela -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -110, Under 2: -110 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tondela 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A close, low-scoring match is expected with a slight edge to Tondela due to home advantage and desperate need for three points. The likely outcome is a narrow Tondela win or a draw with limited scoring.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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CF Estrela vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Gomes

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match between CF Estrela and Vitória SC features two teams with fluctuating recent form and a competitive head-to-head rivalry. CF Estrela has shown a modest scoring rate with an average of 0.75 goals scored per game, while Vitória SC averages 1 goal scored and 2 goals conceded in recent matchups. Vitória SC sits in 10th place in the league, demonstrating slightly stronger form, yet Estrela Amadora has managed comparable success historically, making this a tightly contested encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • CF Estrela Amadora has won 3 of their last 5 matches with an average of 1.8 goals scored and conceded per match. Vitória SC has won 2 of their last 5 with a stronger defensive record conceding only 0.4 goals per match but a lower scoring average of 1. Their recent matches show Vitória with better defensive consistency and Estrela with more attacking openness.
  • Historically, the teams have played 13 matches since 2004 with Vitória SC winning 6, CF Estrela winning 5, and 2 draws. Recent encounters (2023-2024) favor Vitória SC with 2 wins and 1 draw, including a 3-0 home victory and a 2-2 draw. The rivalry is quite balanced but Vitória SC has had the upper hand recently at neutral or home venues.
  • No specific injury updates are available from the current sources, indicating neither team has significant fitness concerns heading into the match.
  • The match is played at Estádio José Gomes, CF Estrela's home ground, which might give them a marginal home advantage. There are no noted weather or other external conditions impacting the game as of current data.
  • Vitória SC will be motivated to maintain or improve their mid-table position and continue better defensive form, while Estrela Amadora seeks to leverage home advantage to gain points and improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CF Estrela: 230, Vitória SC: 121, Draw: 225 Vitória SC to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread CF Estrela +25: -110, Vitória SC -0.25: -110 Vitória SC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Vitória SC's recent head-to-head dominance and stronger defensive record combined with Estrela's home advantage and attacking potential, a narrow Vitória SC win or draw is most likely. The game should be moderately scoring but tight.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Santa Clara vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal

Game Overview

Santa Clara will host CF Estrela Amadora in the fourth round of the Liga Portugal Primeira Liga. Both teams are looking for their first win of the season, with Santa Clara struggling offensively but aiming to capitalize on home advantage. Estrela Amadora recently secured a draw and will be without a suspended midfielder, potentially weakening their midfield stability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches but have not kept a clean sheet in 7 matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. CF Estrela Amadora has scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches and showed strong attacking intent but are impacted by a suspension and injury in defense and midfield.
  • In recent encounters, Santa Clara holds the edge with 1 win and 1 draw against Estrela Amadora, who have not won in the head-to-head record so far.
  • Santa Clara is expected to return Gabriel Silva to the starting lineup after a recent tactical benching. Estrela Amadora will miss Paulo Moreira due to suspension and also miss left-back Guilherme Montoia due to injury, impacting their defensive and midfield options.
  • Playing at home in Estadio de São Miguel gives Santa Clara a notable advantage. The match timing and location could affect performance, with travel possibly impacting Estrela Amadora.
  • Santa Clara is highly motivated to earn their first victory to salvage a poor start to the season. Estrela Amadora aims to build on a previous spirited draw and continue their progress despite missing key players.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara: -115, CF Estrela: 345, Draw: 230 Santa Clara win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Santa Clara -0.5: -115, CF Estrela +50: -105 Santa Clara -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara is favored to win narrowly due to home advantage, defensive solidity concerns for Estrela, and their motivation to reverse poor early results. Estrela Amadora could challenge but likely fall short in this match.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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CF Estrela vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-25
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between CF Estrela and Alverca on August 25, 2025, is a crucial early-season Primeira Liga clash with both teams struggling for form and points. CF Estrela sits 13th with one point, while Alverca is bottom of the table with no points. Both sides have shown weak offensive and defensive stats so far, with Estrela scoring once and conceding twice, and Alverca managing one goal but conceding five. The encounter is key for both teams to gain momentum in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estrela Amadora has drawn once and lost once, scoring only one goal and conceding two. Their home form is fragile, marked by a recent home defeat. Alverca has lost both of their first two matches, scored once but conceded five, demonstrating poor form, especially away.
  • Historically, Alverca holds an edge having won the last direct matchup convincingly 3-0. However, given current league struggles, recent form may weigh heavier than historical results.
  • No specific recent injury updates are provided in the available data for either team, suggesting squads are likely near full strength or without key absences reported.
  • Both teams face high pressure to avoid further relegation battles early in the season. The match venue, Estadio Jose Gomes, favors Estrela as the home side; however, their shaky home form introduces some uncertainty.
  • Motivation levels are high for both as they seek their first points of the season. Estrela aims to capitalize on home advantage to uplift their confidence, while Alverca strives to rebound from a poor start and avoid prolonging their losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 320, CF Estrela: -112, Draw: 235 CF Estrela to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alverca: 50 -110, CF Estrela: -0.5 -110 CF Estrela -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CF Estrela -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match skewed slightly in favor of CF Estrela due to home advantage and marginally better performance. A low-scoring game with a draw or narrow home win is most plausible.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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CF Estrela vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

CF Estrela Amadora hosts Benfica in a Portuguese Primeira Liga match at Estadio Jose Gomes. Benfica comes in as strong favorites based on form, squad value, and recent performances, while Estrela Amadora is considered underdogs with a lower squad value and less consistent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has a strong recent record, including dominant performances in UEFA Champions League qualifying and FIFA Club World Cup matches, showing high scoring ability and solid defense. Estrela Amadora has mixed recent results, including a recent 1-1 draw against Estoril but generally struggles defensively, conceding more goals than scoring at home.
  • Historically Benfica has dominated Estrela Amadora with a strong overall record. Recent encounters have often ended with Benfica controlling the match, indicated by superior form and match statistics.
  • No significant injury data reported that critically impacts the key players of either team, with experienced players like N. Otamendi available for Benfica. Estrela has no reported major absences that would drastically affect their lineup.
  • The match venue is neutral in terms of weather or pitch quality. The game timing at 19:30 UTC avoids extreme weather conditions. Benfica's higher squad valuation (578.2 million euros) compared to Estrela's indicates more depth and quality.
  • Benfica's motivation is high to start the Primeira Liga season strongly and maintain momentum from international competition successes. Estrela aims to leverage home advantage and upset a top-tier club to gain early season points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline benfica: -550, cf_estrela: 1200, draw: 575 Benfica win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread benfica: -2 105, cf_estrela: 2 -125 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under over: 3 -108, under: 3 -112 Over 3 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is predicted to win comfortably given their superior squad strength, recent form, and historical dominance against Estrela Amadora.

Predicted Score: CF Estrela 0 – 3 Benfica


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