Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 23, 2025

Combined Odds: +1393 |
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Match Analysis: Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England

Game Overview

Tottenham Hotspur starts their Premier League campaign at home against newly promoted Burnley. Tottenham, despite a poor previous league season, are favorites due to squad quality and home advantage. Burnley, well-organized defensively, aim to challenge a struggling Tottenham attack.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tottenham averaged 1.7 goals per game last season but were weak defensively, finishing 16th defensively. Burnley had a strong defensive record in the Championship but face a step up in quality in the Premier League.
• Recent head-to-head data favors Tottenham with consistent victories; Burnley struggles to score against them historically.
• Tottenham misses key creative players Maddison and Kulusevski, which could limit their attacking output. Burnley lacks major injuries affecting defensive solidity.
• Tottenham benefits from home advantage at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and new signings aiming to improve results. Burnley also made key transfers but are expected to focus on defense.
• Tottenham is motivated to rebound from a poor league campaign and capitalize on Champions League qualification. Burnley seeks to prove their Premier League survival credentials and build from promotion momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Tottenham to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.25 goal spread with a total over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: Tottenham 3 – Burnley 1

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Combined American Odds: +212

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Match Analysis: Burnley vs Millwall – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-03
• Time: 11:30 AM UTC
• Location: Turf Moor, Burnley, England

Game Overview

Burnley, ranking second in the Championship, hosts Millwall, who are seventh. Burnley boasts a strong home performance, while Millwall has inconsistent away results.

Key Factors to Consider

• Burnley has consistently performed well both at home and away, with recent wins against strong teams. Millwall has shown resilience but mostly at home.
• In their last meeting, Millwall won 1-0. Historically, Burnley and Millwall have closely matched head-to-head statistics, with Burnley winning 7 out of 19 matches and Millwall winning 6.
• There are no reported key injuries from recent data that would significantly impact the match.
• Neither team faces significant external pressures like weather conditions or physical exhaustion due to recent scheduling.
• Burnley is highly motivated to secure a strong league position, while Millwall aims to climb higher in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Burnley is likely to win given their strong home record and overall performance in the season.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of Burnley

Match Analysis: Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 26 Apr 2025
• Time: 11:30 AM UTC
• Location: Loftus Road Stadium, London, England

Game Overview

Burnley holds a strong historical advantage over QPR with 11 wins in 23 meetings, while QPR has secured 5 victories. Recent form shows Burnley with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, compared to QPR's winless streak of 0 wins in the same period. Burnley is currently level on points at the top of the Championship table, indicating high stakes for promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

• Burnley averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match in their last 5 games, while QPR averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded during the same period[3].
• Burnley has a dominant H2H record with 11 wins (48% win rate) compared to QPR's 5 wins (22% win rate), including a 3-0-2 advantage in the most recent 5 meetings[3][5].
• No specific injury data available, but lineups from their October 2024 meeting show squad rotation potential with substitutions like Jaidon Anthony and Josh Laurent featuring[5].
• QPR's home advantage at Loftus Road could be neutralized by Burnley's position in a tight promotion race, where goal difference might play a crucial role[1][5].
• Burnley is competing for automatic promotion, currently tied at 91 points with Leeds at the top of the table, while QPR has no indicated playoff/promotion stakes in available data[5].

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Burnley win (1-0 or 2-0) due to superior recent form, promotion motivation, and defensive stability, though QPR's home crowd may keep the score close.

Predicted Score: 0-2 Burnley

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Sheffield United – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-21
• Time: 4:30 PM UTC
• Location: Turf Moor, Burnley, England

Game Overview

The upcoming EFL Championship match between Burnley and Sheffield United is set at Turf Moor, reflecting a competitive fixture between two teams placed closely in the standings. Burnley holds a slight edge in points and form, playing at home, seeking to consolidate their position near the top of the table. Sheffield United, while trailing slightly, have shown resilience and goal scoring ability in previous encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

• Burnley currently sits 3rd with 44 points from 22 games, showing strong home performance and recent wins against competitive teams. Sheffield United holds 6th place with 48 points from 22 games, with notable offensive strength demonstrated in past matches, including a dominant 5-2 win over Burnley in November 2022. Burnley’s defensive solidity contrasts with Sheffield’s more attacking style.
• In the last six meetings, Burnley has won 3 matches (2 at home), Sheffield United has 2 wins (both home), and there has been 1 draw. Notably, Sheffield United won a high-scoring 5-2 game in November 2022, but Burnley defeated Sheffield 2-0 in December 2024, showing a recent competitive balance.
• No specific injury updates are currently available for either team, suggesting relatively full squads for the match.
• Playing at Turf Moor is a significant advantage for Burnley, known for strong home support and familiar conditions. The timing in the season (late April) means both teams are likely highly motivated for points as they contest promotion or playoff positions.
• Burnley, sitting just below the league leaders, is motivated to secure a home win to strengthen their promotion chances. Sheffield United, with a slight points advantage but away from home, will aim to spoil Burnley’s home advantage and keep their push for top places alive.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Burnley is favored to win narrowly due to home advantage and recent form, but Sheffield United’s attacking threat makes the match competitive, possibly decided by a single goal.

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Combined American Odds: +670

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Match Analysis: Watford vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-18
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Vicarage Road, Watford, England

Game Overview

This match sees Watford host Burnley in the Championship, a pivotal game for Burnley's campaign towards promotion. Burnley remains strong, unbeaten since November, while Watford faces a tougher road to the playoffs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Burnley has a solid defensive record, conceding only a few goals this season. Watford has struggled to score consistently.
• Watford has only beaten Burnley at home once in the past eight years.
• No specific major injury updates are available for either team.
• Weather conditions and the match being on a Friday could influence attendance and player fatigue.
• Burnley is highly motivated to secure promotion, while Watford aims to salvage a late playoff push.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Burnley is favored to win given their recent form and motivation.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Burnley

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Norwich City – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Turf Moor

Game Overview

Burnley, currently 3rd in the EFL Championship standings, hosts Norwich City, who are ranked lower. Burnley has a strong home record and has performed consistently well against Norwich in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Burnley has shown superior team performance with more wins and better goal difference compared to Norwich City.
• Burnley has dominated recent head-to-head matches against Norwich City.
• No significant information available on major injuries affecting either team’s likelihood of winning.
• Home advantage could play a significant role for Burnley.
• Both teams are motivated, but Burnley has more pressure to secure points for promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Burnley is favored to win based on their current form and past performances.

Predicted Score: Burnley 2-0 Norwich City

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 8, 2025
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County, currently 21st in the Championship, face league leaders Burnley. Despite a recent four-match winning streak ending for Derby, they have been strong at home. Burnley, undefeated in their last 27 league games, aim to retain their top spot.

Key Factors to Consider

• Derby County are struggling but have had success at home, winning their last three games at Pride Park. Burnley have the best defensive record in the Championship and are on an impressive unbeaten run.
• Burnley have been undefeated in the last 13 meetings with Derby, and their most recent encounter ended in a 0-0 draw.
• Derby County are dealing with several injuries, including key players. Burnley are missing players like Aaron Ramsey and Bashir Humphreys.
• The match is crucial for both teams, with Derby fighting relegation and Burnley seeking to maintain their lead in the Championship.
• Burnley have high motivation to secure their position at the top, while Derby are motivated to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Based on the form and head-to-head, Burnley are likely to win this match. The defense of Burnley and their overall performance this season make them favorites.

Predicted Score: 0-2 in favor of Burnley