Match Analysis: Breyon Gorham vs Yomar Alamo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bayou Music Center, Houston
Game Overview
Breyon Gorham and Yomar Alamo face off in a Super Lightweight division boxing match scheduled for 10 rounds at Bayou Music Center, Houston. Gorham enters undefeated with a 20-0 record and a high knockout rate, while Alamo brings more experience with a 22-4-1 record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gorham is undefeated at 20-0 with 16 KOs, showing significant knockout power (80%) compared to Alamo's 59% KO rate. Alamo has more fight experience, having fought 140 professional rounds vs. Gorham's 67.
- No previous matches between Gorham and Alamo have been recorded, making this their first encounter.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
- The fight is part of an undercard event with live streaming on DAZN, held at a major Houston venue which may offer Gorham some home advantage due to local support.
- Gorham seeks to maintain his undefeated record and prove his power against a seasoned opponent; Alamo aims to leverage experience to upset the younger fighter and improve his record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Breyon Gorham: -900, Yomar Alamo: 550 | Breyon Gorham to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Breyon Gorham: -4.5, Yomar Alamo: +4.5 | Breyon Gorham -4.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5 Rounds: 1.85, Under 7.5 Rounds: 1.95 | Under 7.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Breyon Gorham 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Breyon Gorham at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Breyon Gorham is favored to win based on his undefeated record, higher knockout percentage, and youth advantage, though Alamo's experience could make it competitive. Expect Gorham to win by late-round technical knockout or decision.
Predicted Score: Breyon Gorham wins by TKO in round 8