Match Analysis: Oumar Sy vs Brendson Ribeiro – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

The highly anticipated UFC Light Heavyweight bout between Oumar Sy and Brendson Ribeiro will take place at UFC Paris. Sy holds a strong 11-1 record and stands 6'4" with an 83" reach, while Ribeiro, known as "The Gorilla," has a 17-8 record, stands 6'3" with an 81" reach. Both fighters use an orthodox stance. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds and expected to feature contrasting styles emphasizing significant strike accuracy and defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oumar Sy demonstrates superior striking efficiency, connecting on 50% of his 3.68 significant strike attempts per minute and absorbing only 1.81 per minute, while defending 70% of strikes. Brendson Ribeiro connects on 42% of his 3.26 strike attempts, absorbs 4.04 strikes per minute, and defends 52% of strikes. Sy's defensive metrics and striking accuracy give him a clear edge in overall performance metrics.
• No records indicate a previous meeting between Sy and Ribeiro, making this the first head-to-head clash between these fighters.
• No current injury reports or health concerns have been reported for either fighter ahead of this matchup.
• The fight takes place in Paris, France, Oumar Sy's home country, potentially giving him home crowd advantage and reduced travel fatigue. The event being a UFC Fight Night card could motivate Sy to perform strongly on home soil.
• Oumar Sy, fighting at home, looks to continue his near-flawless record and climb higher in the Light Heavyweight division. Brendson Ribeiro seeks to upset the local favorite with his experience of 25 professional fights, showing resilience and trying to leverage underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oumar Sy: -455, Brendson Ribeiro: 350	Oumar Sy	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Oumar Sy -3.5: -245, Brendson Ribeiro +3.5: 175	Oumar Sy -3.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -140, Under 1.5 rounds: 110	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oumar Sy -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oumar Sy is favored to win by decision or late stoppage due to his superior strike accuracy, defense, and home advantage. Ribeiro's high strike absorption rate makes him vulnerable to Sy's precise striking output.

Predicted Score: Oumar Sy wins by unanimous decision after three rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
William Gomis vs. Robert Ruchala Prediction	William Gomis Win	-258	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Modestas Bukauskas vs. Paul Craig Prediction	Modestas Bukauskas Win	-355	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Oumar Sy vs. Brendson Ribeiro Prediction	Oumar Sy -3.5	-245	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +150

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $50.09

Match Analysis: Brendson Ribeiro vs Azamat Murzakanov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 7, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC 316 fight between Azamat Murzakanov and Brendson Ribeiro is highly anticipated, with Murzakanov favored to win due to his undefeated record and strong striking performance. Ribeiro's grappling skills pose a threat, but Murzakanov's overall skillset makes him a strong contender.

Key Factors to Consider

• Murzakanov's 14-0 record and recent KO victory over Alonzo Menifield highlight his dominance. Ribeiro's grappling skills and submission win over Diyar Nurgozhay showcase his potential.
• No previous head-to-head match.
• No reported injuries.
• Murzakanov's experience and undefeated status could influence the fight's dynamics.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, with Ribeiro seeking an upset and Murzakanov aiming to maintain his undefeated record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Azamat Murzakanov: -625, Brendson Ribeiro: +455	Azamat Murzakanov	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Azamat Murzakanov: -3.5 -475, Brendson Ribeiro: +3.5 +300	Brendson Ribeiro +3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 1.5 +124, Under: 1.5 -160	Under 1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Azamat Murzakanov -13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Azamat Murzakanov is likely to win due to his superior striking and undefeated record.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish

Match Analysis: Brendson Ribeiro vs Diyar Nurgozhay – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 15, 2025
• Time: 11:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

This matchup pits undefeated Diyar Nurgozhay against seasoned veteran Brendson Ribeiro in a light heavyweight bout. Nurgozhay's undefeated record and strong striking skills face off against Ribeiro's grappling prowess and reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Diyar Nurgozhay is undefeated with a strong striking record, while Brendson Ribeiro has a more mixed record but significant grappling skills.
• This is their first meeting, with no previous head-to-head data.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex, a familiar venue for both fighters, with no significant external factors affecting the bout.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Nurgozhay looking to maintain his undefeated streak and Ribeiro seeking an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brendson Ribeiro: +295, Diyar Nurgozhay: -375	Diyar Nurgozhay	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Brendson Ribeiro: +3.5 165, Diyar Nurgozhay: -3.5 -225	Diyar Nurgozhay	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -154, Under 1.5: 120	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Diyar Nurgozhay is favored to win due to his undefeated record and strong striking skills.

Predicted Score: Diyar Nurgozhay wins by decision or late-round stoppage.