Match Analysis: Oumar Sy vs Brendson Ribeiro – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Light Heavyweight UFC Fight Night contest between Oumar Sy (11-1) and Brendson Ribeiro (17-8-0). Sy is a taller, longer-reach orthodox fighter with superior striking accuracy and defense, while Ribeiro has durability issues and less efficient striking.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oumar Sy shows dominant recent form with 11 wins and 1 loss, landing 50% of significant strikes and absorbing only 1.81 per minute. Ribeiro, with a record of 17-8, has durability concerns, having been stopped recently by TKO and absorbing over 4.04 significant strikes per minute.
• No available historical head-to-head fights between Oumar Sy and Brendson Ribeiro, making direct matchup inference rely on style and statistics.
• Brendson Ribeiro has notable durability issues especially after a recent TKO loss, which impacts his potential to withstand Sy’s pressure. No significant injury reports on Oumar Sy.
• Fight occurs in Paris, Sy is slightly younger and taller, with a reach advantage. Motivation likely high for Sy to rebound from his only loss and maintain top prospect status.
• Oumar Sy aims to validate his status as a top light heavyweight prospect with a convincing win. Ribeiro looks to overcome recent setbacks but faces a tough stylistic matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oumar Sy: -455, Brendson Ribeiro: +350	Oumar Sy	★★★★☆ 79%
Spread	Oumar Sy -3.5: -245, Brendson Ribeiro +3.5: +175	Oumar Sy -3.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -140, Under 1.5 rounds: +110	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oumar Sy -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oumar Sy to win via Knockout

Predicted Score: Oumar Sy wins by KO/TKO in Round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Oumar Sy vs. Brendson Ribeiro Prediction	Oumar Sy Win	-455	★★★★☆ 79% (79%)
Shauna Bannon vs. Sam Hughes Prediction	Sam Hughes Win	-340	★★★★☆ 77% (77%)
Modestas Bukauskas vs. Paul Craig Prediction	Modestas Bukauskas Win	-355	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +102

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $40.46

Match Analysis: Brendson Ribeiro vs Azamat Murzakanov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 7, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Game Overview

Azamat Murzakanov and Brendson Ribeiro face off in a light heavyweight bout at UFC 316. Murzakanov is undefeated with a record of 14-0, while Ribeiro brings a 17-7 record to the fight. Murzakanov is favored due to his striking power, while Ribeiro's grappling skills could pose a challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Murzakanov's undefeated record and recent knockout win against Alonzo Menifield highlight his striking prowess. Ribeiro's grappling strength, demonstrated in his submission victory over Diyar Nurgozhay, could be a significant factor if the fight goes to the ground.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight venue and crowd may not significantly impact the fighters, given both are experienced competitors.
• Murzakanov seeks to maintain his undefeated status, while Ribeiro aims to upset and gain momentum in his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-625 for Murzakanov, +455 for Ribeiro	Murzakanov	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	-3.5 for Murzakanov (-475), +3.5 for Ribeiro (300)	Murzakanov	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds (+124), Under 1.5 rounds (-160)	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Azamat Murzakanov -13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Azamat Murzakanov is likely to win due to his strong striking ability and undefeated record.

Predicted Score: Murzakanov by KO in Round 1

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Julianna Pena vs. Kayla Harrison Prediction	Kayla Harrison -5.5	-310	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Bruno Silva vs. Joshua Van Prediction	Joshua Van Win	-650	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Brendson Ribeiro vs. Azamat Murzakanov Prediction	Azamat Murzakanov -3.5	-475	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -118

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $36.95

Match Analysis: Brendson Ribeiro vs Diyar Nurgozhay – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 15, 2025
• Time: 11:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

This matchup pits undefeated Diyar Nurgozhay against seasoned veteran Brendson Ribeiro in a light heavyweight bout. Nurgozhay's undefeated record and strong striking skills face off against Ribeiro's grappling prowess and reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Diyar Nurgozhay is undefeated with a strong striking record, while Brendson Ribeiro has a more mixed record but significant grappling skills.
• This is their first meeting, with no previous head-to-head data.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex, a familiar venue for both fighters, with no significant external factors affecting the bout.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Nurgozhay looking to maintain his undefeated streak and Ribeiro seeking an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brendson Ribeiro: +295, Diyar Nurgozhay: -375	Diyar Nurgozhay	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Brendson Ribeiro: +3.5 165, Diyar Nurgozhay: -3.5 -225	Diyar Nurgozhay	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -154, Under 1.5: 120	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Diyar Nurgozhay is favored to win due to his undefeated record and strong striking skills.

Predicted Score: Diyar Nurgozhay wins by decision or late-round stoppage.