Final game of a three-game MLB series at Wrigley Field between the Chicago Cubs and Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox aim to rebound after two losses, with Garrett Crochet starting, while the Cubs have won the first two games and start rookie Cade Horton.
Key Factors to Consider
Cubs lead the series 2-0, boasting a strong offense ranked 4th in MLB with 5.32 runs per game and 143 home runs. Red Sox have a potent offense too, ranked 5th in MLB scoring 4.97 runs per game and featuring aggressive baserunning.
Red Sox have struggled in the series so far losing two straight to Cubs, but have the pitching edge with Crochetβs 2.23 ERA against Cubs' Horton with a 4.45 ERA. This is Horton's first start versus Red Sox.
No major injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups or rotations significantly.
Game at Wrigley Field favors Cubs as home team, but weather and conditions not noted as impactful. Red Sox will soon travel to Philadelphia after this series, so may be motivated to close strong.
Cubs motivated to sweep series at home, Red Sox motivated to avoid sweep and regain momentum for upcoming interleague play.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: -135, Chicago Cubs: +122
Boston Red Sox
β β β β β 70%
Spread
Boston Red Sox -1.5: +136, Chicago Cubs +1.5: -156
Chicago Cubs +1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 7: +100, Under 7: -120
Under 7
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7 1%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox moneyline win; Cubs +1.5 run line cover; Under 7 total runs
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4 – Chicago Cubs 3
The Boston Red Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays in a competitive MLB matchup. Both teams have similar season records, with the Red Sox slightly ahead. Starting pitchers are Brayan Bello for Boston and Ryan Pepiot for Tampa Bay. The game is expected to be closely contested with a total run line set at 9.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston Red Sox hold a slightly better season record (52-45) than Tampa Bay Rays (50-46). The Red Sox have been strong at home, especially with Bello starting, who has a 6-2 record and 3.27 ERA. Tampa Bay has struggled on the road and against Bello's starts.
In recent matchups, Pepiot holds a 0-3 record versus Boston with a higher ERA (4.91), while Bello is 2-2 against Tampa Bay. Boston also won the previous day's game 1-0, giving them momentum.
No significant injury updates reported for either team impacting this game.
Weather and venue are typical for Fenway Park in July with no adverse conditions expected. Home crowd advantage favors the Red Sox.
Both teams are motivated to solidify playoff positioning post All-Star break. The Red Sox have a slight edge due to recent win and home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -126, Tampa Bay Rays +108
Boston Red Sox
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Boston Red Sox -1.5 +162, Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 -196
Boston Red Sox -1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 9 runs -100, Under 9 runs -120
Under 9 runs
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 9%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox to win the game outright
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4 – 2 Tampa Bay Rays
The Boston Red Sox and Colorado Rockies face off again after the Red Sox dominated the previous encounter on July 7, 2025, with a convincing 9-3 win at Fenway Park. The Red Sox have shown strong offensive capabilities and home field advantage, while the Rockies have struggled to contain Boston's lineup in recent matchups.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston Red Sox displayed solid batting and pitching in their last meeting, scoring 9 runs on 14 hits and limiting Rockies to 3 runs. Their bullpen secured the win with Richard Fitts improving to 1-3 while Colorado's starter Austin Gomber fell to 0-2. Rockies have been inconsistent in offense and pitching throughout the season, especially on the road.
Recent head-to-head favors Boston, winning the previous game decisively at home. The Red Sox have had more success at Fenway against Colorado.
No specific injuries were reported for either team in the latest available data for this matchup.
Fenway Park provides a strong home advantage for Boston, known for its hitter-friendly environment. Weather and other game conditions have not been reported as significant factors here.
Boston looks motivated to maintain dominance at home and improve their standings mid-season. Colorado is seeking to rebound from the recent loss and improve their performance on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: -330, Colorado Rockies: 265
Boston Red Sox win
β β β β β 85%
Spread
Boston Red Sox -1.5: -152, Colorado Rockies +1.5: 126
Boston Red Sox -1.5
β β β β β 80%
Over/under
Over 9: -118, Under 9: -104
Over 9 runs
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 20%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox are projected to win the game comfortably, continuing their recent form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 7 – 3 Colorado Rockies
The Washington Nationals host the Boston Red Sox in an MLB matchup following a recent 11-2 defeat for the Nationals on July 4, 2025. The Red Sox showcased dominant offense and solid pitching, with Lucas Giolito securing the win. The Nationals struggled both offensively and on the mound, leading to a lopsided loss in their last encounter.
Key Factors to Consider
The Boston Red Sox are in strong form coming off a convincing 11-2 victory over the Nationals. Their offense has been potent, scoring 11 runs in the recent game, supported by strong starting pitching. The Nationals have a challenging season record around 37-51 with inconsistent pitching and offense, as reflected in the recent loss.
In their latest meeting on July 4, 2025, Boston decisively beat Washington 11-2. The Red Sox's starting pitcher, Lucas Giolito (5-1), outperformed Nationals' Michael Soroka (3-6). This recent clash highlights Boston's upper hand going into the game.
No specific injury reports are available for this match from the current data; however, pitching consistency and lineup availability may impact team performance.
The game is played at Nationals Park, providing home advantage for Washington, though recent home performance has been weak. Weather or other external elements have not been indicated as significant factors for this matchup.
The Nationals are likely highly motivated to rebound after a heavy defeat and improve their standing in a tough season. The Red Sox look to continue their momentum and assert dominance on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: -250, Washington Nationals: 223
Boston Red Sox to win
β β β β β 85%
Spread
Boston Red Sox: -1.5 -155, Washington Nationals: +1.5 135
Boston Red Sox to cover -1.5
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
Over: 8 -120, Under: 8 100
Over 8 runs
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 14%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the recent strong performance by Boston and struggles by Washington, the prediction favors the Boston Red Sox to win convincingly. The Red Sox are expected to cover the spread and the game is likely to go over the total runs line of 8.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 8 – Washington Nationals 3