The Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees in a pivotal late-season AL East matchup. Boston is favored on the moneyline with Garrett Crochet starting, who has a strong 2.57 ERA this season, while the Yankees counter with Will Warren, who has struggled recently. The game has playoff implications, intensifying motivation for both teams.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston holds an 81-68 record with strong home performance (44-30), while New York is 83-65 with a decent 39-34 road record. The Red Sox have lost three in a row, but Crochet's steady pitching contrasts with Warren's inconsistent recent form.
Recent meetings favor Boston; Crochet shut down the Yankees effectively last time out. The Yankees have won the first two games of this series making them motivated to complete the sweep.
No major injury concerns reported for either side affecting starting lineups or pitching staff for this game.
Playing at Fenway gives Boston home-field advantage. Weather conditions expected to be typical for September with no significant impact forecasted.
Both teams are jockeying for playoff positioning; New York aims to extend its series advantage, while Boston fights to halt its losing streak and maintain wild card contention.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston -150, New York +136
Boston Red Sox
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Boston -1.5 +138, New York +1.5 -158
New York Yankees +1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 8 -110, Under 8 -110
Under 8
β β β ββ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox to win moneyline, Yankees +1.5 spread, under 8 runs total
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4 – New York Yankees 3
The Boston Red Sox visit the Oakland Athletics at Oakland Coliseum in a matchup where Boston seeks to solidify playoff contention, while Oakland aims to arrest a downward slide. Recently, Boston demonstrated clear dominance with consecutive shutout wins over Oakland, highlighting a significant edge in form and pitching.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston Red Sox hold an 81-65 record with strong pitching (3.73 ERA) and solid offense, showing consistent recent form including 7 wins in their last 10 games. Oakland Athletics struggle at 66-80, with inconsistent offense and bullpen issues, having lost 5 straight home games and winning only 3 of their last 10 overall.
Boston leads recent encounters decisively, winning both games in this series by 7-0 and 6-0 scores. Historically, Oakland has slight edge at home, but recent dominance by Boston at Oakland Coliseum undermines this advantage.
No specific critical injuries reported for either team affecting pitching or key offensive players; starting pitchers Mason Barnett (Oakland) and Payton Tolle (Boston) both have high ERAs (9.00 and 7.56 respectively) and limited experience against opponent.
Game played on artificial turf at Oakland Coliseum, potentially impacting ball speed and play, but both teams are accustomed to these conditions. Weather conditions are not reported as problematic.
Boston highly motivated to maintain playoff push with strong recent road performance. Oakland, reeling from multiple losses, highly motivated for home redemption but under psychological pressure from repeated heavy losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-132
Boston Red Sox
β β β β β 78%
Spread
Boston Red Sox -1.5 114
Boston Red Sox -1.5
β β β β β 72%
Over/under
Under 10.5 -115
Under 10.5
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 10.5 8%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Boston Red Sox moneyline as confident favorite to continue dominant form and secure victory.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5 – Oakland Athletics 2
The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Boston Red Sox in the third game of this MLB series. Starting pitchers are Ryne Nelson for Arizona and Brayan Bello for Boston. Both teams are motivated late in the season; the Red Sox hold a better overall record and playoff positioning, while the Diamondbacks have gained momentum with a recent four-game winning streak.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston Red Sox (78-65) have a better season record compared to Arizona Diamondbacks (72-71). Boston boasts a solid batting average (.254) and strong pitching ERA (3.78), with Brayan Bello having an impressive 11-6 record and 3.07 ERA, especially effective on the road. The Diamondbacks have been hot recently, winning four straight but their pitcher Ryne Nelson has been hittable, allowing 18 runs in his last 35.1 innings.
Recently, the Red Sox have edged out the Diamondbacks, winning two of the last three meetings despite a current 3-game losing streak overall. Arizona has had some success at home but the Red Sox have historically performed well against the Diamondbacks pitching.
No major injury concerns reported for either side impacting starting pitchers or core lineup. Both teams will likely field their regular starters.
The game is held in Chase Field, a domed stadium removing weather variables. Ballpark factors slightly favor hitters, potentially pushing totals higher.
Boston is striving to close the gap to the AL East leader and maintain playoff positioning, making this a must-win. Arizona, though slightly behind for wild card contention, is riding recent momentum and playing at home, adding motivation to continue their winning streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks: -108, Boston Red Sox: -108
Boston Red Sox
β β β β β 70%
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5: -166, Boston Red Sox -1.5: 138
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 9: -104, Under 9: -118
Under 9 runs
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox to win moneyline, Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 on spread, Under 9 total runs
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4 – Arizona Diamondbacks 2
A critical late-season MLB matchup where Boston Red Sox (78-62) host Cleveland Guardians (68-69). Boston pursues playoff positioning while Cleveland aims to halt a losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston has been in solid form with a 7-3 record over the last 10 games, averaging 4.96 runs scored and allowing 4.19 runs. Cleveland struggles recently with a 3-game losing streak, scoring 530 runs total this season with a team ERA around 3.99.
Red Sox hold a historical edge with 50 wins to Cleveland's 39; Boston averages 5.15 runs/game at home vs Clevelandβs 4.31 on the road. Most recent meeting on Sept 3 ended 11-7 in favor of Boston.
No major injuries reported impacting probable starters Bernardino (BOS) with solid 3.08 ERA and Cantillo (CLE) making debut. Cleveland depth is slightly affected with key players facing fatigue concerns.
Game played on natural grass at Fenway Park, favoring Bostonβs accustomed hitting style and home crowd advantage. Weather conditions expected to be stable.
Boston is motivated to secure a better playoff seed in the AL East, while Cleveland is fighting to break a losing stretch and improve standings in AL Central.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
BOS: -146, CLE: +124
Boston Red Sox
β β β β β 72%
Spread
BOS -1.5 (+146), CLE +1.5 (-176)
Boston Red Sox -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 9 (-110), Under 9 (-110)
Over 9
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 5%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to go over 9 total runs.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 6 – Cleveland Guardians 4