The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees are currently engaged in the AL Wild Card Series, with the Red Sox leading 1-0. Game 2 features Brayan Bello for the Red Sox against Carlos Rodon for the Yankees.
Key Factors to Consider
The Red Sox have a strong away record, while the Yankees have been dominant at home. The Red Sox won Game 1 with a score of 3-1.
The Red Sox have recently performed well against the Yankees, winning Game 1 of the series.
No significant injuries are reported for either team for this matchup.
Crowd support will favor the Yankees, but the Red Sox have shown resilience on the road.
Both teams are highly motivated, but the Red Sox have momentum from winning the first game.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-181 for Yankees, +148 for Red Sox
Yankees
β β β ββ 55%
Spread
-1.5 for Yankees at 129, +1.5 for Red Sox at -157
Red Sox +1.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 7.5 at 103, Under 7.5 at -125
Under 7.5
β β β ββ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 -99%
β οΈ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
The Yankees are expected to bounce back given their strong home record and starting pitcher Carlos Rodon.
The Boston Red Sox host the Detroit Tigers at Fenway Park in a late-season MLB matchup. Both teams are competing near the end of their regular seasons, with the Red Sox holding a slight winning record and playing at home, while the Tigers are slightly below .500 on the road. The starting pitchers are Chris Mize (14-6, 3.91 ERA) for the Red Sox and Kyle Harrison (1-1, 4.56 ERA) for the Tigers. This game could impact postseason positioning and momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
The Red Sox have a home record of 46-32, showing strong home performance. They entered this game with an 87-72 overall record. The Tigers have an 86-73 overall record but are 40-38 away, indicating moderate success on the road. Recent form shows the Tigers split a two-game series at Tampa Bay with a win and loss. Red Sox pitching is reliable with Mize having a solid season, while Tigers' Harrison has limited starts and a higher ERA.
The teams have been competitive in recent games. The Tigers are slightly underdogs at Fenway but have kept games close. Last meetings in this series are not detailed, but the matchup appears balanced with a slight edge to the home team due to home advantage and pitching matchups.
No specific injury reports were found indicating major players missing from either side, suggesting both teams can field close to their full-strength rosters.
The game is played at Fenway Park, a pitcher-friendly but historically hitter-friendly ballpark due to short outfield fences. Weather factors not specified, but September weather in Boston is generally mild. Motivational impact includes the Japanese Celebration promotion, possibly increasing crowd engagement.
With both teams near the postseason threshold, motivation is high to secure wins late in the regular season. The Red Sox have a slight advantage playing at home and likely seek momentum for playoffs. Tigers are motivated to upset and improve their away record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: -120, Detroit Tigers: 102
Boston Red Sox to win
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Boston Red Sox: +1.5 at -200, Detroit Tigers: -1.5 at 164
Detroit Tigers to cover -1.5 run spread
β β β ββ 55%
Over/under
over 8.5: -122, under 8.5: 100
Under 8.5 total runs
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 4%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox are favored to win this game based on stronger home performance, pitching advantage, and current odds. The game is expected to be competitive with a final total score near 8.5 runs, leaning toward under due to pitching strengths.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 3 – 5 Boston Red Sox
The Toronto Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox in a crucial MLB American League East matchup late in the season. Toronto leads the division but must defend their position against a surging Red Sox team that recently won 4 of their last 5 games, including a dominant 7-1 win over Toronto just the day before. Boston will start Brayan Bello (11-8, 3.34 ERA), who has had mixed success against Toronto this year. Toronto's starting pitcher has not been officially announced but they are slight favorites at home. The game has strong playoff implications with the Blue Jays holding a slim division lead and the Red Sox pushing for a Wild Card spot.
Key Factors to Consider
Toronto Blue Jays have a 90-68 record and lead the AL East but have struggled recently against Boston. Boston Red Sox have an 87-71 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games, including recent dominance over the Blue Jays. Boston's offense is led by strong hitters such as Alex Bregman, Trevor Story and Jarren Duran with significant RBIs and stolen bases, enhancing their scoring capability. Boston's starting pitcher Brayan Bello has an ERA of 3.34 and 121 strikeouts this season.
Boston has had success recently against Toronto, winning 4 of last 5 encounters including a convincing 7-1 win in the previous game at Rogers Centre. Brayan Bello's personal record versus the Blue Jays stands at 2-2 with a 4.78 ERA in last five starts.
No major injuries reported for either team at this time. Starting pitchers are announced for Boston (Brayan Bello), but Toronto's starter remains unconfirmed.
Game held indoors at Rogers Centre, so weather is not a factor. The home crowd may influence the Blue Jays as they defend their division lead, but Boston's recent form and offensive momentum counterbalance this.
Toronto Blue Jays are fighting to maintain their AL East lead and avoid losing ground to the New York Yankees. Boston Red Sox are motivated to continue their hot streak to secure a Wild Card position and build late-season momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: +112, Toronto Blue Jays: -132
Boston Red Sox moneyline win
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Boston Red Sox: +1.5 -200, Toronto Blue Jays: -1.5 +164
Boston Red Sox +1.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 8: -115, Under 8: -105
Under 8 runs
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox 21%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Boston's recent dominance over Toronto in the current series, their strong offensive production, and the effectiveness of ace Brayan Bello, Boston is predicted to win a close game despite Toronto being home favorites. Expect a moderately low-scoring match with Boston edging Toronto by a small margin.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4, Toronto Blue Jays 3
Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
The Boston Red Sox (85-70) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (75-80) for an MLB regular-season matchup. Boston is fighting for a Wild Card berth and ranks third in the AL East. Tampa Bay has been struggling this season but plays at home. The probable starting pitchers are Connelly Early (Red Sox) with a strong 0.87 ERA and Joe Boyle (Rays) with a 4.64 ERA. This game is critical as the Red Sox aim to sweep the series and improve their postseason prospects.
Key Factors to Consider
The Red Sox have won three of their last four games and display solid pitching with a 3.74 ERA and 1.29 WHIP overall. Offensively, Boston scores at a .254 batting average with key players like Trevor Story (25 HR, 95 RBI). Tampa Bay's offense is under .230 batting average against Boston, a weakness exploited recently. Rays have a poorer season record and less consistent pitching.
Recent series have seen the Red Sox perform well against the Rays, including winning two of three against similar AL East teams and hitting below .230 against Tampa Bay pitching. Boston is favored in prior matchups and has had better success this season in direct clashes.
Wilyer Abreu, a notable Boston offensive contributor with 22 HR and 69 RBI, is on the injured list. No critical injury updates reported for Tampa Bay that would drastically affect the lineup.
The game is at Tampa Bay's home field, which could provide some advantage for the Rays, but their overall home record and form suggest limited impact. Weather or other factors were not reported as significant.
Boston is in the playoff hunt, adding motivation to perform strongly and potentially sweep the Rays in this series. Tampa Bay is out of playoff contention, which may reduce their competitive edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: -120, Tampa Bay Rays: 102
Boston Red Sox
β β β β β 70%
Spread
Boston Red Sox -1.5: 146, Tampa Bay Rays +1.5: -176
Boston Red Sox -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 8 runs: -110, Under 8 runs: -110
Under 8 runs
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 5%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox are predicted to win the game, covering the -1.5 run spread. The Red Sox's superior pitching, home-run power, and playoff motivation outweigh the Rays' home advantage.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5 – 3 Tampa Bay Rays
The Boston Red Sox host the Oakland Athletics in a late-season MLB clash at Fenway Park. Boston leads the series 3-2 and holds a strong home record (46-31), while Oakland struggles on the road with a 38-39 record. Both teams show contrasting pitching and offensive performances, with Boston excelling in pitching and defense and Oakland showing offensive power but weaker pitching.
Key Factors to Consider
The Red Sox rank 4th in ERA (3.73) and 5th in hits allowed per game, with strong pitching and defense. They also have a solid offensive profile, ranking 5th in runs scored (4.9) and with a .324 OBP and .424 SLG. The Athletics have a poorer pitching performance, ranking 27th in ERA (4.74) and giving up more hits and runs, but are robust offensively with a .255 AVG and fourth-best runs scored (4.6). Boston has a slight edge in overall balanced performance.
Boston leads the season series 3-2 against Oakland. This game is the regular season finale between the two teams, and Boston's home advantage and prior wins in the series lend them an edge.
Boston outfielder Wily Abreu remains on the 10-day injured list with a calf injury and is not expected to play. The Athletics have several injured players but no key absences highlighted for this game.
Playing at Fenway Park gives Boston a strong home-field advantage. The weather at game time is mild and should not influence gameplay. The postseason implications create additional pressure particularly for Boston, who are pushing for playoff positioning.
Boston is motivated to secure a home win to maintain wild card contention, reinforcing urgency. Oakland is fighting to improve their road record and end the season on a strong note, but with less playoff pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: -158, Oakland Athletics: 134
Boston Red Sox to win
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Boston Red Sox: -1.5 at +125, Oakland Athletics: +1.5 at -150
Boston Red Sox to cover -1.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 9.5: +100, Under 9.5: -122
Over 9.5 runs
β β β ββ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 8%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox are favored to win at home given pitching superiority, home record, and series lead. Expect a competitive game with Boston winning by a narrow margin.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5 – Oakland Athletics 3
The Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees in a pivotal late-season MLB matchup at Fenway Park. The Yankees lead the series having won the first two games, including a 5-3 victory on September 13, 2025. Both teams are jockeying for playoff positioning, with the Red Sox seeking to halt the Yankees' momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
The Yankees have demonstrated strong offensive output against the Red Sox recently, highlighted by home runs and clutch hitting, including a 4-run lead in the latest game. The Red Sox offense has struggled with runners in scoring position, going 1 for 7 with RISP and leaving eight runners on base in one game. Pitching performances have been mixed, with New Yorkβs bullpen showing vulnerabilities but overall effectiveness and Bostonβs starters lacking consistency.
In the current series, the Yankees lead 2-0. Historically, Fenway Park is a challenging venue for visiting teams, but the Yankees have overcome that, including key home runs and doubles to take early leads. Bostonβs last game against New York ended in a 3-5 loss on September 13, 2025.
Boston Red Sox key injuries include C. Schmidt, O. Cabrera, and A. Volpe among others; New York Yankees have several injuries including H. Dobbins, J. Winckowski, L. Guerrero, and L. Hendriks. These absences impact roster depth and bullpen strength.
Weather and Fenway Park's unique dimensions may favor hitters with power, as demonstrated by recent home runs. The Yankees have shown better adaptation to these conditions so far. Crowd support at Fenway Park will energize the Red Sox.
The Yankees hold a psychological edge entering the game after winning the first two, aiming to complete a series sweep. The Red Sox are motivated to rebound and protect their home field as the playoff race tightens.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: -150, New York Yankees: 136
New York Yankees
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Boston Red Sox -1.5: 138, New York Yankees +1.5: -158
New York Yankees +1.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 8: -110, Under 8: -110
Over 8 runs
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox 42%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 11%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent performances, Yankees offensive momentum, and deeper bullpen, the prediction favors the New York Yankees to win the match.
Predicted Score: New York Yankees 6 – 4 Boston Red Sox