Match Analysis: Bologna vs Napoli – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy
Game Overview
Napoli enters the match as a slight favorite based on odds, but Bologna has shown resilience at home and strong defensive tactics. Napoli has a better overall form but is currently experiencing a dip in attacking efficiency. This matchup is expected to be tightly contested with limited goal-scoring opportunities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Napoli holds a superior league record at 7-2-1, while Bologna is 5-2-3, showing solid but less consistent form. Napoli struggles in recent matches with only one goal in three, indicating offensive issues, while Bologna thrives on organized defense and counterattacks.
- Recent head-to-head meetings have been low scoring, with under 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 4 encounters and multiple goalless draws, suggesting a defensive stalemate likely.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either side, maintaining expected starting strengths and tactical setups.
- Playing at home benefits Bologna, providing motivation and familiar conditions. Napoli faces a challenging away fixture but typically performs well on the road.
- Bologna aims to capitalize on home advantage to improve their standing, while Napoli’s motivation is to maintain pace in Serie A title contention despite recent scoring woes.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 190 (Bologna), 161 (Napoli), 205 (Draw) | Bologna | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | Bologna 0 +102, Napoli 0 -122 | Bologna +0 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2 -120, Under 2 100 | Under 2 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna 45% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 40% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bologna at 45% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bologna Moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-0