Match Analysis: Cagliari vs Bologna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 19 Oct 2025
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Unipol Domus, Cagliari, Italy
Game Overview
Cagliari hosts Bologna in a Serie A match on October 19, 2025. Cagliari sits 11th in the standings, while Bologna is 7th. This match presents a challenging fixture for both teams, with Cagliari looking to leverage their home advantage and Bologna seeking to maintain their recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cagliari have historically been strong at home, losing just one of their last eight home games against Bologna. Bologna, currently unbeaten in three league outings, aims to continue their solid form.
- Bologna has won the last two Serie A head-to-head matches against Cagliari and is looking to win three in a row for the second time in the competition.
- Cagliari is missing key defenders Yerry Mina and Gabriele Zappa, while Bologna will be without Ciro Immobile.
- Motivation will be high for both teams as they seek to climb the standings. However, Cagliari's recent home form and Bologna's missing key players could influence the outcome.
- Both teams are highly motivated, with Cagliari seeking to improve their home record and Bologna aiming to maintain their unbeaten streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | – Cagliari: 280, Bologna: 115, Draw: 226 | Bologna Win or Draw | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Bologna: -0.25 -120, Cagliari: 25 100 | Bologna Cover | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 103, Under: 2.25 -123 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna 18% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Bologna at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bologna is favored to win or draw given their recent form and head-to-head success.
Predicted Score: 1-1