The Boise State Broncos (4-2) host the undefeated UNLV Rebels (6-0) in a Mountain West Conference game at Albertsons Stadium. Boise State is favored due to home advantage and solid offensive production, while UNLV boasts an unbeaten record but is considered underdog by bookmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
Boise State averages 33.7 points per game (44th nationally), with 465.3 total yards per game, balanced between 274.5 passing and 190.8 rushing. Defensively, they allow 25.3 points per game, ranking 74th, allowing 328.8 yards total. UNLV remains undefeated at 6-0 and has shown strong recent form but detailed stats not fully available in the search data.
Specific historic head-to-head data not provided in the search results, but Boise State is favored heavily in the spread and moneyline, indicating recent dominance or stronger current form over UNLV.
UNLV reportedly has key players with injuries, including RB Darrien Jones (undisclosed) and QB Alex Orji (knee), which may impact their offensive effectiveness.
Home field advantage for Boise State at Albertsons Stadium and their 3-0-0 home record this season should positively influence their performance. Weather or other external factors are not mentioned.
UNLV aims to maintain an unbeaten season, providing high motivation, while Boise State looks to solidify their position in the Mountain West race and rebound after a mixed season start.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos: -500, UNLV Rebels: 380
Boise State Broncos win
★★★★☆ 87%
Spread
Boise State Broncos -12.5: -108, UNLV Rebels +12.5: -112
Boise State Broncos -12.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over 63.5: -105, Under 63.5: -115
Over 63.5 points
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 63.5 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 63.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State is predicted to win comfortably given their home advantage, stronger defensive performance, and key injuries for UNLV. The gap in quality and odds suggest Boise State covering the spread is highly likely.
Predicted Score: Boise State Broncos 38 – 23 UNLV Rebels
This matchup features the Boise State Broncos hosting the New Mexico Lobos in a Mountain West Conference game. Boise State is looking to bounce back from a tough loss at Notre Dame, while New Mexico aims to improve their conference record. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with Boise State's strong offense facing a New Mexico defense that has struggled.
Key Factors to Consider
Boise State has shown strong offense, scoring 47+ points in three of their wins. New Mexico averages 30 points per game but faces a challenging defense in Boise State.
Recent head-to-head data is not specified, but Boise State generally outperforms New Mexico in their matchups.
Injury reports are not detailed in available data.
The game is played at Albertsons Stadium, which historically favors the Broncos.
Both teams are motivated, but Boise State needs a win to assert dominance in the Mountain West.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boise State -700, New Mexico 500
Boise State to win
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Boise State -16.5 -110, New Mexico 16.5 -110
Boise State will cover
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 59.5 -110, Under 59.5 -110
Over 59.5
★★★★☆ 80%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos 410%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 59.5 53%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Boise State Broncos at 410% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 82% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State will likely win, with a high probability of exceeding the over/under due to their strong offense.
The Boise State Broncos and Appalachian State Mountaineers both hold 2-1 records this season and will face off at Boise State's home field. Boise State is heavily favored with a strong moneyline advantage and a wide spread, reflecting a perceived significant home advantage and stronger team performance. The total points line suggests expectations for a moderately high scoring game, typical of competitive matchups in the Mountain West and Sun Belt conferences.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams are 2-1, showing solid but not dominant starts. Boise State has a slight edge in recent form and against the spread performance, particularly at home. Appalachian State has faced challenges keeping up, reflected in the large spread against them.
Recent head-to-head results lean in favor of Boise State, who has demonstrated stronger results especially when playing at home, suggesting a historical advantage.
No significant injury updates have been reported for either team close to the game date, indicating both teams likely field near full-strength squads.
Home crowd advantage and weather conditions at Albertsons Stadium in late September typically favor Boise State, potentially impacting Appalachian State’s offensive rhythm.
Boise State is motivated to assert dominance in front of home fans early in the season to build momentum. Appalachian State looks to prove its competitiveness by challenging a favored opponent on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos: -670, Appalachian State Mountaineers: 470
Boise State Broncos
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Boise State Broncos: -16.5 -108, Appalachian State Mountaineers: +16.5 -112
Boise State Broncos to cover -16.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over: 61.5 -110, Under: 61.5 -110
Under 61.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 61.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State is predicted to win decisively, covering the large spread while the total points are expected to stay around the offered over/under line, leaning slightly towards the under given defensive strengths.
Predicted Score: Boise State Broncos 35 – 22 Appalachian State Mountaineers
The Air Force Falcons (1-1) host the Boise State Broncos (1-1) in a Mountain West Conference matchup. Both teams are entering with even overall records, but Boise State is favored heavily by bookmakers. Air Force enjoys home-field advantage at Falcon Stadium. Boise State is expected to leverage a stronger defense and recent performances, while Air Force seeks to capitalize on their option offense and home crowd.
Key Factors to Consider
Air Force has a balanced 1-1 record, winning convincingly over Bucknell (49-13) but falling to Utah State (49-30). Boise State also holds a 1-1 record, with a strong home win (51-14) and a recent ranked loss (7-34). Boise State's defense is notably stronger, limiting opponents more effectively than Air Force. Offensively, Air Force relies on disciplined rushing, while Boise State uses a more balanced attack with a strong passing game.
Recent exact head-to-head historical data for 2025 is limited, but Boise State has generally been dominant in past Mountain West clashes against Air Force, often favored due to defensive strength and home-field matchups. Both teams are conference rivals, adding intensity to the game.
No detailed injury reports are currently available for either team, implying likely full rosters with typical minor injuries not affecting starters significantly.
The game is played at Air Force's home venue, Falcon Stadium, which has altitude and crowd noise advantages. The kickoff is at 7:00 PM MDT (23:00 UTC), under typical early season weather conditions in Colorado, which are usually clear and slightly cool — conditions favoring disciplined execution.
Air Force is motivated to defend home turf and improve their conference standing following a loss to Utah State. Boise State looks to assert dominance early in Mountain West play to maintain their reputation and rebound after a tough loss. Both teams have matching overall records, intensifying the motivation on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Air Force Falcons: 310, Boise State Broncos: -395
Boise State Broncos
★★★★☆ 83%
Spread
Air Force Falcons: 11.5 -115, Boise State Broncos: -11.5 -105
Boise State Broncos -11.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over: 51.5 -118, Under: 51.5 -102
Under 51.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 51.5 19%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State is predicted to win, covering the spread and the moneyline, due to their stronger defense, superior recent performance, and deeper offensive weapons. The confidence in Boise State's win is high given odds and performance metrics available.
Predicted Score: Boise State Broncos 34 – Air Force Falcons 20
The 2025 NCAAF matchup between the Boise State Broncos and Eastern Washington Eagles features two teams with 0-1 records early in the season. Boise State, playing at home in the Albertsons Stadium, is heavily favored given their stronger roster, offense, and defensive statistics. Eastern Washington is struggling with a less productive passing and running game and allowing more yards and points defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
Boise State Broncos average 250.5 rushing yards per game and allow about 34 points and 372 yards defensively. Their quarterback Maddux Madsen completes around 54.3% of passes with 1 touchdown in the season opener. Eastern Washington's offense is less efficient, completing 55.3% of passes but with no touchdowns so far, and averaging only 107 rushing yards per game while conceding 31 points and 463 yards on defense.
No specific recent head-to-head data is available but current odds and public betting heavily favor Boise State winning, indicating a historical or perceived dominance.
No significant injury reports for either team have been noted in the available data for this match.
Boise State benefits from playing at home with favorable weather conditions (90°F, 0% chance of rain, mild wind). Public betting consensus is strongly in favor of Boise State with 100% of public bets on them.
Boise State seeks to avoid an 0-2 start, adding urgency. Eastern Washington aims to rebound from a tough season start and is under pressure to perform better.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos: -4500, Eastern Washington Eagles: 1600
Boise State Broncos to win
★★★★★ 90%
Spread
Boise State Broncos: -27.5 -110, Eastern Washington Eagles: +27.5 -110
Boise State Broncos to cover -27.5 points
★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under
Over: 55.5 -110, Under: 55.5 -110
Over 55.5 points
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos -13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 55.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State Broncos are predicted to win comfortably with a high confidence level due to superior offensive production, home advantage, and strong public betting support.
Predicted Score: Boise State Broncos 42 – Eastern Washington Eagles 14
This opening week NCAAF matchup pits the South Florida Bulls against the No. 25-ranked Boise State Broncos at Raymond James Stadium. The Bulls face the nation's most challenging start to their schedule, playing three straight Top 25 teams to open their season. Boise State, a Mountain West program with a recent history of playoff contention, visits Tampa looking to assert dominance early. The game is set for prime national exposure on ESPN and holds implications for Group of Five playoff seeding.
Key Factors to Consider
South Florida enters with a difficult schedule, facing consecutive Top 25 opponents for the first time since 2009, which reflects a test of resilience and quality. Boise State has a solid reputation within their conference and nationally, though they are adjusting to life without key running back Ashton Jeanty. Both teams come in 0-0, making this performance-defining for momentum.
Current direct head-to-head data for recent years is not provided, but Boise State is ranked No. 25, suggesting comparative strength over South Florida, who is underdog at home.
Boise State is adjusting to the absence of Ashton Jeanty, their key running back. No serious injury reports are indicated for South Florida.
The game’s location at Raymond James Stadium provides home-field advantage to South Florida. However, the travel distance and Thursday night timing could favor Boise State, who are used to competitive road challenges. National TV exposure on ESPN likely adds pressure on both.
South Florida aims to prove competitiveness against high-ranked opponents on their home turf early in a grueling schedule. Boise State seeks to build on prior playoff appearance success to secure a Group of Five playoff berth, making this season opener valuable.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos: -238, South Florida Bulls: +195
Boise State Broncos win
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Boise State Broncos: -6.5 -108, South Florida Bulls: +6.5 -112
Boise State Broncos -6.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over: 63.5 -108, Under: 63.5 -112
Over 63.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 63.5 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 63.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State Broncos to win by covering the 6.5-point spread in a high-scoring game.
Predicted Score: Boise State Broncos 38, South Florida Bulls 27