Match Analysis: San Diego St Aztecs vs Baylor Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-27
• Time: 3:30 AM UTC
• Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise

Game Overview

The Baylor Bears (4-0) visiting the San Diego State Aztecs (2-2) in an early season NCAA men's basketball game. Baylor comes in as a strong favorite recently undefeated in regular season contests, showing solid offense and defense. San Diego State, with a mixed 2-2 record, is playing at home but has struggled against strong opponents. The Bears have a slightly higher offensive output and better recent form, but San Diego State’s home court advantage and recent strong Wednesday night performances are notable.

Key Factors to Consider

• Baylor averages 87.2 points per game while allowing 76.2 points, with a solid defensive record and efficient shooting percentages (46% FG, 35.5% 3P). San Diego State scores 77.8 points on 43.5% shooting and concedes 76 points. Baylor is undefeated in recent games against non-ranked opposition, while San Diego State showed inconsistency including a large loss vs Michigan and a tight loss vs Troy.
• No recent direct head-to-head data available for this exact matchup, but Baylor holds a stronger recent form trend with 4-0 in current season games and a top 27 rank, compared to San Diego State's 3-2 and rank 59. San Diego State won their last 13 Wednesday night games, a positive streak.
• No specific injury reports found for either team before the game, suggesting both teams should be near full strength.
• Baylor travels to Michelob ULTRA Arena, playing a strong Big 12 conference schedule previously, while San Diego State faces home crowd support and the motivation of playing a high-profile game against a ranked team. Weather and other external conditions are neutral given the indoor setting and controlled environment.
• Baylor seeks to maintain undefeated status and capitalize on early season momentum. San Diego State motivated by strong Wednesday night history and home advantage, looking to improve their 2-2 record. The Bears likely have higher motivation due to superior season start and national ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Baylor Bears to win by a narrow margin, covering the -2.5 spread, in a game expected to be moderately high scoring but likely under the total of 157.5 points.

Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 82 – 77 San Diego State Aztecs

Match Analysis: St. John's Red Storm vs Baylor Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-25
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV

Game Overview

This is a neutral-site matchup between the St. John's Red Storm and the Baylor Bears in the NCAA Men's Basketball regular season. Both teams are coming off strong starts to the season, with Baylor at 2-0 and St. John's at 1-1. The game is scheduled for 10:00 PM local time (21:30 UTC) at the Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The matchup is expected to be competitive, with recent head-to-head results and betting trends indicating a close contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Baylor has started the season 2-0, showing strong offensive and defensive balance. St. John's is 1-1, with their only loss coming by a narrow margin. Both teams have seen their recent games go over the total, indicating a tendency for high-scoring contests. St. John's has gone over the total in their last two games, including both home and away matchups.
• Baylor leads the all-time series 1-0 in the last three seasons, with their most recent meeting ending in a 99-98 Baylor victory. The previous meeting in 2012 was also a Baylor win, 97-78. Both games went over the total, and Baylor has covered the spread in both matchups.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• The game is being played at a neutral site, which eliminates any home-court advantage. The venue is a major arena in Las Vegas, which may add some excitement and energy to the game. The weather is not a factor for an indoor event.
• Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Baylor is aiming to maintain their undefeated record, while St. John's is seeking to bounce back from their recent loss and prove themselves against a ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Baylor is favored to win this game, but St. John's has shown the ability to compete closely with top teams. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams capable of putting up points. Baylor's recent success against St. John's and their strong start to the season give them a slight edge, but St. John's has the potential to keep the game close.

Predicted Score: St. John's Red Storm 85, Baylor Bears 82

Match Analysis: Creighton Bluejays vs Baylor Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-24
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV

Game Overview

The Creighton Bluejays (2-1) face the Baylor Bears (3-0) in an NCAA basketball matchup at a neutral venue in Paradise, NV. Baylor enters as a slight favorite with a 4.5-point spread and a total over/under set at 153.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Baylor is undefeated at 3-0, showing strong home performance with victories over UTRGV, Washington, and Tarleton State by double digits. Creighton holds a 2-1 record, with significant wins including 84-45 over Maryland Eastern Shore but suffered a heavy 27-point loss to Gonzaga, indicating some inconsistency.
• Recent direct matchups data is limited, but Baylor’s recent undefeated streak and home dominance suggest an edge. Both teams have competitive records in the season’s early stage, but Baylor’s margin of victories tends to be larger.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team ahead of this matchup, suggesting both squads will likely compete at full strength.
• Playing at a neutral venue in Paradise, NV, may slightly reduce home advantage factors. The game being televised on truTV ensures wide viewership, possibly increasing player motivation. The spread and totals show evenly matched betting interest.
• Baylor aims to maintain its perfect record and home dominance, providing strong motivation. Creighton, coming off a strong win and a loss, will look to prove themselves against a favored team to build confidence early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Baylor Bears are predicted to win the game by covering the 4.5-point spread, leveraging their undefeated momentum and stronger overall performance metrics.

Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 80 – 74 Creighton Bluejays

Match Analysis: Arizona Wildcats vs Baylor Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 22, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Arizona

Game Overview

Arizona Wildcats host Baylor Bears in a Big 12 conference matchup. Arizona enters as the favorite with a 7-3 overall record and 4-3 Big 12 mark, currently on a 3-game winning streak. Baylor arrives as underdogs with a 5-5 overall record and 3-4 Big 12 record, coming off a disappointing 55-28 home loss to No. 13 Utah.

Key Factors to Consider

• Arizona has momentum with recent victories including a 30-24 win over No. 22 Cincinnati, a 24-20 victory against Kansas, and a 52-17 dominant road win at Colorado. Baylor has struggled, losing three home games this season and dropping their last contest decisively. Arizona's defense has shown improvement while Baylor's defensive unit has been vulnerable, particularly in recent losses.
• Historical matchup data between these programs is not available in the provided search results. This appears to be a relatively neutral matchup from a historical perspective, though Arizona's current form suggests dominance.
• Specific injury information is not provided in the available search results. Key injury updates for both teams would be critical factors in refining this analysis.
• Arizona is playing at home in a Senior Day atmosphere, which typically provides emotional and environmental advantages. The game is televised on TNT/HBO, indicating prime-time viewership. Baylor faces travel fatigue heading to Arizona and must deal with the hostile environment at Arizona Stadium.
• Arizona has strong motivation to secure a bowl-eligible season with wins over ranked opponents on their resume. Baylor desperately needs a win to improve their bowl prospects and stop the bleeding from recent losses. However, Arizona's recent success and home-field advantage provide stronger psychological momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Arizona Wildcats are strongly favored and should win this matchup convincingly. The combination of home-field advantage, superior recent form, a 3-game winning streak, and momentum gives Arizona clear advantages. Baylor, despite needing this win, arrives in poor form with multiple home losses and lacks the offensive firepower to overcome Arizona's defensive improvements. Arizona should win by a touchdown or more.

Predicted Score: Arizona 28, Baylor 17

Match Analysis: Baylor Bears vs Utah Utes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-16
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas

Game Overview

The Baylor Bears (5-4, 3-3 Big 12) host the Utah Utes (7-2, 4-2 Big 12) in a pivotal Big 12 matchup on November 16, 2025. The Utes enter as heavy favorites, with the spread set at 7.5 points and the over/under at 60.5. Both teams have contrasting strengths: Baylor boasts one of the nation's top passing attacks, while Utah features the sixth-ranked passing defense. The game will be televised on ESPN2 and is expected to be a high-scoring affair given the offensive firepower on display.

Key Factors to Consider

• Utah is 7-2 overall and 7-2 against the spread, showing consistency and resilience. They are 6-0 as 7.5-point or better favorites this season. Their offense averages 51.1 points per game, with a strong home record (53.1 points per game). Baylor is 5-4 overall and 2-7 against the spread, struggling to cover in recent games. The Bears have gone over the total in five of their nine games, but their defense has been vulnerable, especially against the pass.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Utah has dominated the series in recent years, winning the last three matchups. The Utes' defense has generally stifled Baylor's offense, and Utah's ability to control the tempo has been a key factor.
• No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full starting lineups.
• The game will be played at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas, with mild weather conditions (76°F, 0% chance of rain). The home-field advantage for Baylor is minimal given Utah's strong away record (3-1-0 ATS, 48.5 points per game on the road).
• Utah is fighting for a Big 12 title and a potential College Football Playoff berth, while Baylor is aiming to secure a bowl-eligible record and improve their postseason prospects. The Utes' motivation is higher, given their national ranking and playoff aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Utah is favored to win this matchup, with a predicted score of 34-24. The Utes' defense is expected to contain Baylor's high-powered passing attack, while Utah's balanced offense should exploit Baylor's defensive weaknesses. The game is likely to be competitive, but Utah's consistency and motivation should give them the edge.

Predicted Score: Utah Utes 34, Baylor Bears 24

Match Analysis: Baylor Bears vs Tarleton State Texans – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX

Game Overview

Baylor Bears (2-0) host Tarleton State Texans (2-2) in a non-conference matchup at Foster Pavilion. Baylor enters as heavy favorites, with the spread hovering around 24.5 points and the total set at 153.5. The Bears have shown strong offensive production and solid defense, while Tarleton State has struggled away from home and against higher-level competition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Baylor is averaging 87.0 points per game, 37.5 rebounds, and 15.0 assists, while allowing 75.0 points per game. They are forcing 12.0 turnovers and allowing opponents to shoot 45.0% from the field. Tarleton State is averaging 74.3 points, 31.0 rebounds, and 10.8 assists, but allowing 82.8 points per game. The Texans have given up 49.5% shooting and 34.1% from three-point range, ranking near the bottom nationally in defensive efficiency.
• No recent head-to-head matchups are available, but Baylor has won each of its last seven home games against non-conference opponents. Tarleton State has lost each of its last seven away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• Baylor enjoys a significant home-court advantage and is well-rested. Tarleton State has struggled on the road, going 1-16 straight up in their last 17 away games and 1-11 SU as underdogs in their last 12 such games.
• Baylor is motivated to maintain a strong start to the season and build momentum. Tarleton State seeks to prove itself against a Power 5 opponent but faces a tough challenge given their recent struggles and lack of success away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Baylor is expected to dominate this matchup due to their superior talent, home-court advantage, and Tarleton State's defensive weaknesses. The Bears should cover the spread and push the total over 153.5 points.

Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 89 – 64 Tarleton State Texans

Match Analysis: Baylor Bears vs Washington Huskies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-10
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX

Game Overview

The Baylor Bears host the Washington Huskies in a non-conference NCAAB game. Baylor enters with a 1-0 record while Washington is 2-0. Baylor is favored both on the moneyline and the spread, with the line set around -6.5 points and a total over/under of 155.5 points. This is the first meeting between the teams since 2020 when Baylor won decisively. Washington is coming off two straight wins but has struggled on the road historically, while Baylor has a strong home record, particularly against non-ranked opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

• Baylor averages 76.1 points scored and allows about 69.8 points, showing a balanced offense and defense. Washington scores 71.6 points on average but allows 75.5 points. Baylor’s defense is stronger in limiting opponent shooting percentages. Both teams have solid field goal percentages overall, but Washington allows a higher defensive FG%. Washington is undefeated (2-0) including a recent 84-70 win over Denver; Baylor is 1-0 with a 96-81 win over UT Rio Grande Valley.
• Baylor dominated the last meeting in 2020 with an 86-52 victory over Washington. There are no recent close encounters, indicating Baylor’s historical upper hand.
• No significant injury reports or player absences affecting either team from current data.
• Baylor benefits from a strong home court advantage at Foster Pavilion, where they have won 14 of their last 15 games against non-AP-ranked opponents. Washington historically struggles on the road, having lost 8 of their last 10 away games.
• Baylor seeks to validate their favorite status and maintain home dominance, while Washington aims for a third straight win and opening season momentum. Both teams are motivated by an undefeated start but Baylor has slight edge with home support and historical trends.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Baylor Bears are predicted to win a moderately low-scoring game by about 6 to 7 points. The emphasis on defensive strength and historical trends suggest the total score will stay under 155.5.

Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 78 – Washington Huskies 71

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Match Analysis: Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas

Game Overview

The Baylor Bears and UCF Knights, both with middling records in the 2025 season, face off in a crucial Big 12 matchup. Baylor enters with a 4-4 overall record and 2-3 in conference play, coming off two losses, while UCF is 4-3 overall and 1-3 in conference, coming off a recent win. The game is poised to be competitive given similar performance levels, with Baylor favored slightly due to home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Baylor has been inconsistent, with notable wins against Oklahoma State and Kansas State, but losses to Cincinnati and TCU. They have shown offensive firepower but defensive vulnerabilities. UCF has performed solidly but with less consistency in Big 12 play, recently winning but still struggling overall in conference games.
• Recent direct comparisons show both teams closely matched in Big 12 competition levels, with no significant recent rivalry advantage. Both teams have not met frequently in recent schedules, making this a relatively fresh matchup in 2025 context.
• No detailed injury updates are currently available for either team, but as both teams rely heavily on their starting lineup, any undisclosed injuries could impact game dynamics.
• Baylor enjoys home-field advantage at McLane Stadium, which often provides a critical crowd support boost. Weather conditions are typical for early November in Texas, unlikely to affect gameplay drastically.
• Baylor looks to stop a two-game losing streak and improve their Big 12 standing, especially playing at home during their homecoming game. UCF seeks to capitalize on a recent win to gain momentum and improve their low conference win rate.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Baylor Bears are predicted to win narrowly due to home advantage and recent offensive performances, but the matchup will be competitive and could hinge on turnovers and key plays.

Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 35 – UCF Knights 31

Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Baylor Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

Game Overview

No. 24 Cincinnati (6-1, 4-0 Big 12) hosts Baylor (4-3, 2-2 Big 12) in a pivotal Big 12 conference clash. Cincinnati boasts the nation's 15th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 37.9 points per game, while Baylor ranks 24th. The Bearcats' defense ranks 26th nationally in points allowed (18.9). The game will be nationally televised on ESPN2 and is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with the over/under set above 66 points[1][2]. The Bearcats are undefeated in conference play and hope to solidify their conference standing, while Baylor looks to bounce back from a 2-2 conference record and improve postseason positioning.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cincinnati averages 261.0 pass yards and 185.4 rush yards per game, with balanced offensive production. Their defense, while giving up over 240 pass yards per game, is stingy in points allowed. Baylor's offense is also potent, but their overall team performance has been less consistent, reflected in their 4-3 record. Cincinnati has the edge in both scoring margin and defensive efficiency[1].
• Recent head-to-head data is not available in the search results; this matchup is likely infrequent due to conference realignment.
• There is no specific injury information available in the search results. This is a significant unknown factor.
• Cincinnati has the home-field advantage, with a strong home crowd at Nippert Stadium. No notable weather concerns are indicated.
• Cincinnati remains in the hunt for a conference title, undefeated in Big 12 play, and has playoff aspirations. Baylor is looking to improve its bowl eligibility status and upset a ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati is favored in this matchup, due to their explosive offense, solid defense, and home-field edge. While Baylor's offense is dangerous, Cincinnati's consistency and motivation give them the upper hand. Expect a high-scoring game, with Cincinnati prevailing by a touchdown or more.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati 45, Baylor 30