This is the rubber match in the series between the Baltimore Orioles and Detroit Tigers. The Tigers (44-25, 1st in AL Central) are enjoying a much stronger season than the Orioles (27-39, 5th in AL East). Detroit leads Baltimore in runs per game (4.80 vs. 3.92), batting average (.251 vs. .240), on-base percentage (.295 vs. .334), slugging (.406 vs. .392), and especially starting pitching (3.09 ERA vs. 5.25). Detroit’s starting pitcher, Tarik Skubal (6-2, 2.16 ERA), is a significant edge over Dean Kremer (5-6, 4.98 ERA) of Baltimore[3][5][1].
Key Factors to Consider
Detroit is performing at a much higher level than Baltimore in 2025, with better hitting and elite starting pitching. Detroit's bullpen is also superior in ERA and strikeouts per game. Baltimore struggles with run prevention and offense[3][5].
No recent dominant head-to-head trend is evident, but Detroit’s superior season and pitching give them a clear current advantage.
No major new injuries reported affecting either team’s key players for this matchup[3][5].
Expected fair weather for game time in Baltimore. No notable external factors known at this time.
Baltimore is under pressure to salvage a home series split, but Detroit continues to push for the best record in the American League.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
BAL: +152, DET: -180
Detroit Tigers
High
Spread
BAL: +1.5 (-106), DET: -1.5 (-113)
Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
Moderate-High
Over/under
Over: 8 (-112), Under: 8 (-108)
Under
Moderate
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles -100%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 -100%
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers are favored to win this matchup due to superior team performance, notably strong pitching and consistent offense. The starting pitching matchup between Skubal and Kremer leans heavily in Detroit’s favor. Expect a close but likely Detroit victory barring late-game bullpen collapses or defensive miscues.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5, Baltimore Orioles 2
The Oakland Athletics face the Baltimore Orioles in a MLB matchup. The Athletics are looking to extend their recent winning streak, while the Orioles aim to bounce back from a loss.
Key Factors to Consider
The Athletics have been performing well offensively, scoring five runs or more in four of their last five games. However, their pitching has struggled with a 7.94 ERA over the last 10 games. The Orioles have had mixed results but are looking to capitalize on the Athletics' pitching issues.
Recent head-to-head contests have seen close games, with the Athletics winning the last matchup 5-4.
Athletics catcher Shea Langeliers is on the 10-day IL with an oblique strain.
The game is being played at Sutter Health Park, which could influence the performance of both teams.
Both teams are motivated to win, but the Athletics may have an edge due to their recent success.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-146 (Orioles), 124 (Athletics)
Orioles win
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
-1.5 -102 (Orioles), 1.5 -118 (Athletics)
Orioles cover -1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 11 -105, Under 11 -115
Over 11
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles 34%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 11 27%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Baltimore Orioles at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Athletics might have an offensive edge, but the Orioles' pitching could be crucial in this matchup.
The Baltimore Orioles host the Chicago White Sox in a matchup between two teams struggling with their overall performance. The Orioles are slightly favored, with a moneyline of -188, indicating they are expected to win. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs, with the over favored at -115.
Key Factors to Consider
The Orioles have a slightly better record at 20-36, compared to the White Sox at 18-39. The White Sox have been struggling with hitting and pitching, while the Orioles have shown some improvement in recent games.
Recent head-to-head data shows the Orioles have been performing better against the White Sox, but specific recent head-to-head statistics are not provided.
No significant injury updates were provided for either team.
Weather conditions at the venue are favorable for a game, with minimal rain expected.
Both teams are motivated to win, but the Orioles may have a slight edge playing at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles: -188, Chicago White Sox: +158
Orioles win
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
Baltimore Orioles: -1.5 (+105), Chicago White Sox: +1.5 (-126)
White Sox cover
★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under
Over: 9 (-115), Under: 9 (-105)
Over
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles 50%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Baltimore Orioles at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Orioles are predicted to win, given their home advantage and slight edge in performance.
The Baltimore Orioles host the St. Louis Cardinals in a closely contested matchup. Recent performances show the Orioles facing a challenging opponent as the Cardinals have been consistent.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have shown competitive form, with the Cardinals recently winning against the Orioles. The Orioles need to bounce back from a loss.
The Cardinals won the last game 7-4, indicating a strong performance against the Orioles.
No significant injury updates available for this matchup.
Home field advantage could play a role for the Orioles.
Both teams are motivated to win, but the Orioles might have an edge due to home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-118 Orioles, 100 Cardinals
Baltimore Orioles
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
-1.5 Orioles 152, 1.5 Cardinals -184
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -120, Under 8.5 -102
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 -99%
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
The Baltimore Orioles are favored to win, given their home advantage.
Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 4, St. Louis Cardinals 3
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Baltimore Orioles in a key matchup on May 21, 2025. The Brewers are favored in this game with a moneyline of -126, while the Orioles are at +108. The spread is set at 1.5 runs, with the Brewers as favorites at -1.5 and the Orioles at +1.5. The over/under is set at 8.5 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have shown varying levels of performance this season, with the Brewers generally considered stronger. However, recent form can be unpredictable, and past performances may not directly indicate future outcomes.
Historically, the Brewers have held their ground against the Orioles, but recent head-to-head matchups can influence current performance and strategy.
Any injuries to key players could significantly impact the game's outcome. Current injury reports are crucial for accurate predictions.
Weather conditions and the home field advantage can also play significant roles in the game's outcome.
The motivation of both teams can vary based on their current standings and recent performances.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 -3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Brewers are likely to win given their favorable odds and home advantage. However, the Orioles have the potential to upset if they perform strongly.