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New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx

Game Overview

The New York Yankees head into this game with a strong 93-68 record, showing recent excellent form with a 5-0 winning streak. The Baltimore Orioles, with a 75-86 record, have struggled recently, losing 5 of their last 7 games and being last in the AL East standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yankees have been dominant recently (5-0), particularly strong at home, while Orioles have been inconsistent and underperforming with a 4.61 team ERA and weaker offense.
  • Yankees lead the recent head-to-head with Orioles, having won 3 of the last 4 in this series, including earlier in this matchup where Orioles lost two prior games by wide margins.
  • No major injury reports impacting starting pitchers or key lineup players noted for either team at the time of the matchup.
  • Weather conditions at Yankee Stadium are stable, offering no evident disadvantage; public betting overwhelmingly favors Yankees (89% of bets).
  • Yankees remain motivated to solidify postseason positioning; Orioles have less playoff incentive being out of contention, which could impact competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baltimore +160, New York -190 New York Yankees ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Baltimore +1.5 -120, New York -1.5 +100 New York Yankees -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115 Under 9 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Yankees -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on New York Yankees moneyline, Yankees -1.5 spread, and under 9 total runs for optimal value.

Predicted Score: New York Yankees 5 – 3 Baltimore Orioles


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Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 5:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Game Overview

The Tampa Bay Rays are slight favorites over the Baltimore Orioles in this late-season MLB matchup, with Rays' starter Drew Rasmussen (10-5, 2.80 ERA) facing Orioles' Cade Povich (3-8, 5.06 ERA). The Rays have a modest edge in recent performance and pitching quality.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Rays have better pitching metrics and a slightly better recent form. Orioles have struggled against quality starters and have an under .500 record recently.
  • Recent games show the Rays winning a majority of the matchups this season. The Rays’ pitching has been dominant against Orioles’ bats in these encounters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side impacting starting pitchers or key lineups.
  • Game played at Orioles’ home park. Weather and external conditions neutral with no significant impact forecasted.
  • Both teams are motivated; Rays are playoff contenders pushing for a better seed, Orioles playing to improve late-season record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baltimore +108, Tampa Bay -126 Tampa Bay Rays ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Baltimore +1.5 -162, Tampa Bay -1.5 +134 Baltimore Orioles +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Tampa Bay Rays moneyline for the highest expected value, leveraging their superior starting pitching and recent dominance. Against the run line, Baltimore has some value, but Rays covering -1.5 is risky given odds. The total runs likely to go over 8.5 given offensive tendencies and pitching matchup.

Predicted Score: Rays 5, Orioles 3


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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 5:36 PM UTC
  • Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

Game Overview

The New York Yankees (86-68) visit the Baltimore Orioles (73-81) for a late-season MLB matchup. Yankees are pushing for playoff positioning, while the Orioles are out of contention but can play spoiler. Probable starters are Cam Schlittler (Yankees, 3-3, 3.41 ERA) and Kyle Bradish (Orioles, 1-1, 2.45 ERA).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yankees have won 4 of their last 5 games showing strong form; Orioles lost 2 of their last 3. Yankees more motivated and in better overall recent form.
  • Recent encounters favor the Yankees with a slight edge; Yankees have better depth and consistency in hitting and pitching on these matchups.
  • No significant injuries reported to key players on either side affecting this game. Both pitchers are healthy and expected to start.
  • Game played at Orioles' home park with typical late-September weather for Baltimore, generally neutral for run scoring.
  • Yankees motivated to secure a playoff spot and correct recent form. Orioles motivated to spoil Yankees' efforts but less urgency due to season standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles: +114, New York Yankees: -134 New York Yankees ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Baltimore Orioles +1.5: -137, New York Yankees -1.5: +114 New York Yankees -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8.5: -105, Under 8.5: -115 Under 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Yankees 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Yankees win; Spread: Yankees -1.5; Over/Under: Under 8.5 runs

Predicted Score: Yankees 5 – Orioles 2


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 20, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction Over 11.5 100 20%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction Under 8 -102 19%
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction Over 9 -110 15%

Combined Odds: +656 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $151.23

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction Los Angeles Dodgers Win -230 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction Los Angeles Angels Win -130 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction New York Yankees Win -196 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +283

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $76.67

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Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 6:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago

Game Overview

Baltimore Orioles visit Chicago White Sox with Orioles favored to win given their stronger recent form and pitching matchup advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Orioles are 35-42 on the road with recent success against the White Sox, who are 32-45 at home and currently on a losing streak.
  • Orioles have won their last seven away games against White Sox, covering the run line in 14 of 15 at Guaranteed Rate Field against losing teams.
  • No significant injuries reported that impact starting pitchers or key hitters for either team.
  • Game played at White Sox home field; weather unlikely to be a factor. Orioles have strong day-game performance trends.
  • Orioles are chasing a playoff spot and seeking a series sweep over the cellar-dwelling White Sox, increasing their competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -130 Baltimore Orioles ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread 135 Baltimore Orioles -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -115 Under 8 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baltimore Orioles to win straight up, cover the -1.5 spread, and the total score to go under 8 runs.

Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 4 – Chicago White Sox 2


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 17, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 17, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction Over 8 105 23%
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction Under 10.5 100 20%
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction Under 8 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +700 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $160.1

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 5:37 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays, leading the American League with an 86-62 record, face the Baltimore Orioles, who hold a 69-79 record. Toronto is favored at home with solid recent form and a strong lineup, while Baltimore’s starting pitcher, Albert Suarez, has struggled to pitch deep into games this month. The Blue Jays also acquired Shane Bieber to bolster their rotation late in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto has been strong at home (49-25) and performs well as favorites (59.5%-68.6% win probability). Baltimore’s recent bullpen struggles and inferior record undermine their chances.
  • Toronto has dominated recent matchups, particularly at home, and Baltimore has failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against Toronto after Blue Jays home wins.
  • No critical injuries reported for the Blue Jays; Baltimore may limit starter Suarez’s innings, relying heavily on multiple relievers, increasing bullpen risk.
  • Game at Toronto’s Rogers Centre favors Blue Jays’ offensive production; home crowd support and comfort at venue add advantage.
  • Toronto is competing for playoff positioning and recently bolstered roster for postseason push; Baltimore is out of contention and may experiment with pitching depth.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tor -185 / Bal +167 Toronto Blue Jays ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Toronto -1.5 +110 / Baltimore +1.5 -130 Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5 +100 / Under 8.5 -120 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays to win outright with a moneyline bet; also to cover the -1.5 run line and the total to go over 8.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 6 – Baltimore Orioles 3


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Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-11
  • Time: 5:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

Game Overview

The Baltimore Orioles (68-77) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (64-82) in the final game of a three-game series. Orioles are favored to win but face pitching challenges. The Pirates are underdogs with strong recent pitching from Johan Oviedo.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Orioles have won 7 of their last 8 games overall and lead the series 2-0. Baltimore's offense is solid but starting pitcher Cade Povich has a 5.16 ERA and an underwhelming 3-7 record. Pirates have struggled overall but Johan Oviedo (2-0, 2.70 ERA) has been effective as a starter.
  • Orioles currently lead the series 2-0 with close wins (3-2 and 2-1). Historically, Orioles hold a slight edge, but games have been low scoring and tightly contested.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side affecting starting pitching or key hitters.
  • The game is played at Camden Yards, a hitter-friendly park favoring the Orioles' offense. Weather and other external conditions are expected neutral.
  • Orioles, still mathematically in playoff contention, are strongly motivated to sweep the series. Pirates have less at stake but could play spoiler with quality pitching.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -142, away: +120 Pittsburgh Pirates ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: +138, away: -166 Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -122, under: +100 Over 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baltimore Orioles at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pirates moneyline

Predicted Score: Orioles 5 – Pirates 6


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 11, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 11, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction Baltimore Orioles -142 21%
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction Under 8.5 -104 18%
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction Over 8 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +553 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $130.53

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