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Bahia vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

The Campeonato Brasileiro match between Bahia and Cruzeiro sees two top-tier teams, with Cruzeiro currently ranked 2nd and Bahia 4th in the league. Bahia is hosting at Arena Fonte Nova. Cruzeiro has demonstrated solid defensive form recently, while Bahia has shown strong offensive capabilities in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro has strong recent results including a 2-0 win over Atletico-MG and close matches in the league and cup, scoring 1.4 goals per match and conceding only 0.2 recently. Bahia has been prolific in attack with a 5-0 cup win and 4 wins in last 5 matches but recently suffered a heavy 5-1 league loss, conceding more goals (1.2 on average) than Cruzeiro.
  • Historically, Cruzeiro leads the head-to-head with 10 wins out of 21, Bahia has 4 wins, and 7 matches ended in draws. Recent matches have been competitive with Cruzeiro winning 1-0 in the current season and Bahia winning 4 of last 5 head-to-heads. The teams have an overall trend of moderate scoring with approximately 1.8 goals per match for Bahia and 1.4 for Cruzeiro.
  • No specific injury reports available from current data for this match.
  • Home advantage at Arena Fonte Nova for Bahia could influence, as they have a strong home record. Cruzeiro's recent defensive solidity and motivation from recent wins provide balance. Weather, pitch conditions, or other external elements are not specified.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure essential points, with Cruzeiro holding 2nd and Bahia 4th in the standings, aiming to climb higher. Cruzeiro's recent cup and league victories give them confidence, while Bahia seeks to leverage home support and offensive form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 145, Cruzeiro: 205, Draw: 200 Bahia to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia -0.25: 110, Cruzeiro +25: -130 Bahia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 105, Under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering current form, head-to-head history, and home advantage, the match is expected to be closely contested with a slight edge to Bahia due to home ground and stronger recent scoring. A draw or a narrow home win appears most likely.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 15, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Bahia vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Bahia 145 32%
Hellas Verona vs. Cremonese Prediction Hellas Verona 146 28%
Espanyol vs. Mallorca Prediction Espanyol 117 26%

Combined Odds: +1208 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $261.57

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Mirassol vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Game Overview

The upcoming Brasileirão Série A regular-season match between Mirassol and Bahia is set at Mirassol's home ground, Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, on August 31, 2025. Both teams are closely matched in the league standings with Bahia slightly ahead and Mirassol looking to leverage home advantage. Their last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, suggesting a competitive contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia currently has a better record with 15 points from 8 games (4 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss) showing strong form, while Mirassol has 14 points from 10 games (3 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses). Bahia has won their past 3 matches and remains undefeated in the last 3, indicating upward momentum. Mirassol, despite good resilience, has struggled more with draws leading to fewer wins.
  • The last head-to-head match on April 13, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw, with both teams scoring in the second half. This suggests a balanced rivalry where neither team has dominant control historically in recent encounters.
  • No explicit injury reports are available currently for Mirassol or Bahia from the latest data, indicating potentially full squads or at least no key absences reported in search data.
  • The match is played at Mirassol’s home stadium which could provide them an edge. Current live betting odds suggest a slight favorite for Mirassol on the moneyline, highlighting bookmaker perceptions of home advantage. There are no noted weather or travel disruptions affecting the game.
  • Bahia sits slightly higher in the table and has been in better recent form, possibly driven by a push for higher standing. Mirassol will look to capitalize on home support to maintain or improve their position in the league, likely motivated to avoid slipping behind Bahia.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 220, Mirassol: 128, Draw: 220 Mirassol win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Bahia: 25 -115, Mirassol: -0.25 -105 Mirassol -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -122, Under: 2.25 102 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely fought match is expected with a small edge to Mirassol due to home advantage, but a draw is also a strong possibility based on past encounters and current form balance. Total goals are likely to be around the 2 to 2.5 range.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Bahia vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Bahia Home Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming Brazil Campeonato match between Bahia and Santos features two teams with contrasting recent forms and historical head-to-head records. Bahia currently shows strong form with five consecutive wins in their last five games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding 0.8 goals per game. Santos has remained unbeaten but draws dominate their last five matches, scoring an average of 0.2 goals and conceding 0.6 per game. Historically, Santos leads the head-to-head with 11 wins out of 23 matches since 2011, compared to Bahia's 5 wins and 7 draws.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia has been in better recent form with a perfect 5-0 run and a more effective attack and defense balance. Santos, while unbeaten, has struggled offensively, scoring only 0.2 goals per game in the last 5 fixtures and failing to cover the Asian handicap recently.
  • Santos leads the historical series with 11 wins to Bahia's 5, with 7 draws in 23 total encounters. Bahia has a 40% Asian handicap win rate recently against Santos, while Santos has struggled with a 0% handicap success in the last 5 matches against Bahia. Total goals in head-to-head meet are generally moderate, with a recent under tendency.
  • No specific information on injuries was available in the data provided, suggesting squads are likely close to full strength or no major absences reported publicly.
  • The match is hosted at Bahia’s home ground, providing a home advantage which is reflected in the odds. Weather or pitch conditions were not mentioned, so assumed standard for the season.
  • Bahia’s current winning streak indicates high motivation to continue their positive run, potentially pushing aggressively for a win at home. Santos may aim to secure a point maintaining their unbeaten streak but offensive struggles may limit proactive play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: -162, Santos: 435, Draw: 285 Bahia to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Bahia: -0.75 @ -122, Santos: +75 @ 102 Bahia to cover -0.75 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent strong form, home advantage, and better offensive output, Bahia is favored to win but a cautious Santos side may keep the game tight, resulting in a moderate scoring match with Bahia edging out.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Corinthians vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Neo Química Arena, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Corinthians and Bahia is part of the 2025 Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, Brazil's top professional football league. Corinthians, playing at home, are slight favorites given their recent form and stronger historical head-to-head performance against Bahia in both men's and women's fixtures. The game is expected to be competitive with tight odds and moderate expectations on scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians have demonstrated solid recent performances with wins in key matches and better possession and attacking stats against Bahia in recent meetings. Bahia tends to struggle in away matches against Corinthians, as reflected in recent h2h statistics.
  • In recent encounters, particularly the women's teams, Corinthians have dominated Bahia with 4 wins out of 4 matches, scoring 14 goals and conceding only 3. The last women's match ended 2-1 in favor of Corinthians. For the men's teams, historical data points to a balanced but slightly home-favored fixture.
  • No specific injury reports available from the current data sources for either team, indicating likely full squads for this match.
  • The match is played at Corinthians' home stadium, Neo Química Arena, giving them home advantage. There is no recent information on weather or other external disruptions likely to affect play.
  • Both teams are competing for valuable league points to improve standings and qualify for continental tournaments. Corinthians, being a São Paulo-based team with a strong home record, are expected to be more motivated to secure three points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 2.15, Corinthians: 1.25, Draw: 2.05 Corinthians win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Bahia: -0.25 @ -122, Corinthians: +25 @ 102 Corinthians -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering current odds, recent form, strong home advantage, and historical head-to-head dominance, Corinthians are projected to edge this match with a narrow win.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Bahia vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

The match is a Serie A Round 19 encounter between Bahia and Fluminense, with Bahia hosting at Arena Fonte Nova. Both teams have a competitive history, with Fluminense slightly dominant in head-to-head results. Recent form shows Bahia scoring 7 goals in their last 5 matches and Fluminense scoring 5 over the same period. The game is pivotal in the Brazilian top-flight season and marks the continuation of their rivalry.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia ranks 3rd in home performance this season, showing strong results at Arena Fonte Nova. They recently secured wins against Retro FC and Juventude but had a draw and a loss in other recent matches. Fluminense has scored fewer goals in recent form but has effective chance creators like Guga and shooter Kevin Serna, indicating offensive potential.
  • Fluminense leads the overall head-to-head with 11 wins to Bahia's 7, with 4 draws historically. Notably, the last 11 matches have produced no draws. Goals per match average around 2.1 in their encounters, suggesting moderate scoring games. Recent direct meetings confirm a competitive but slightly Fluminense-favored record.
  • There are no specific injury reports available at this time for either team; predicted lineups will be clearer closer to match time.
  • The match is played at Bahia’s home ground, Arena Fonte Nova, which is a significant advantage with a strong home record. The kickoff time is midnight UTC, which corresponds to evening local time in Salvador, possibly favoring Bahia's acclimatization. No notable weather or scheduling disruptions are reported.
  • Both teams look motivated to secure crucial points in the mid-season of Brazil's Serie A. Bahia's solid home form and higher league standing provide them extra incentive, while Fluminense’s recent form and attacking potential could drive them to upset the hosts.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: -105, Fluminense: 310, Draw: 230 Bahia Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia: -0.5 100, Fluminense: 50 -120 Bahia -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -122, Under 2: 102 Under 2 Goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Bahia’s strong home performance, historical competitiveness, and slightly better recent form, the prediction favors Bahia to win narrowly. The absence of recent draws suggests a decisive result; however, Fluminense’s attacking threats could keep the scoreline close.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sport Recife vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro

Game Overview

Sport Recife returns to Campeonato Brasileiro Série A after three seasons in Série B, currently positioned 20th in the standings, playing at their home venue Ilha do Retiro. Bahia is the visiting team, considered the favorite by betting odds. The match is crucial for Sport Recife to improve their league standing and avoid relegation, while Bahia aims to consolidate their position in the upper half.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife is struggling in Série A with a low ranking, having just returned from Série B; Bahia shows stronger form and is the favorite in betting markets. Recent matches show Bahia performing better offensively and defensively.
  • Recent encounters favor Bahia, who have notably won their last match 3-0 against Juventude, indicating offensive strength. No direct recent head-to-head scoreline was found, but Bahia's upper hand is reflected in betting odds.
  • No specific current injury information is available from the sources; however, squad and injury updates could influence the lineup decisions. Sport Recife and Bahia appear to have their core players available.
  • The match will take place at Sport Recife's home stadium, Ilha do Retiro, which offers home advantage. Attendance promotions and crowd support might positively influence Sport Recife. VAR technology will be used, standard in the league.
  • Sport Recife is motivated to escape the relegation zone and show strength in their return to Série A. Bahia aims to maintain momentum and capitalize on their favored position to climb the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 1.45, Sport Recife: 2, Draw: 2.3 Bahia Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia -0.25: 1.1, Sport Recife +25: 1.3 Bahia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1, Under 2.25: 1.2 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is predicted to win with a moderate confidence due to better form and betting market favorability. Sport Recife may manage a close game given home advantage but are less likely to secure a win.

Predicted Score: Bahia 2 – 1 Sport Recife


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Bahia vs. Juventude Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2025 match features Bahia hosting Juventude. Bahia sits significantly higher in the standings (6th) compared to Juventude (18th), reflecting a stronger recent form and overall squad rating. Historically, Bahia and Juventude have played multiple matches with Bahia having a slight edge in wins. The match is expected to be competitive but tilted towards Bahia given home advantage and current form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia has won 4 of their last 9 matches with a 44%-47% recent and overall win rate, scoring on average 1.6-1.8 goals per match in recent encounters. Juventude, conversely, has struggled with no wins and 3 losses in their last 4 matches, averaging only 0.2 goals per match recently, with a poor defensive record conceding 2.0 goals on average.
  • In the last 12 months, Bahia and Juventude have met twice, each winning once, with a narrow goals tally favoring Bahia (3 to 2). Historically, from 12 total matches, Bahia leads with 5 wins to Juventude's 4, and 3 draws. H2H matches average 2.42 goals per game, with Bahia showing stronger recent form in head-to-head encounters.
  • No specific injury information available from the data sources. Assumption is both teams field near full-strength squads unless updated closer to match day.
  • The match is played at Arena Fonte Nova, giving Bahia home advantage. There is no additional information on weather or other external factors.
  • Bahia, ranked 6th, likely motivated to secure points to continue climbing the table. Juventude, struggling near the bottom at 18th, are under pressure to avoid relegation and thus motivated but likely underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: -290, Juventude: 750, Draw: 400 Bahia Win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Bahia: -1.25 -125, Juventude: 1.25 105 Bahia -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -122, Under 2.5: 102 Over 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is predicted to win based on superior form, home advantage, and historical performance. Expect a moderately high-scoring game with Bahia controlling the match.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Fortaleza vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Fortaleza Home Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming Brazil Campeonato match between Fortaleza and Bahia is a tightly contested fixture with a historically even head-to-head record, promising a competitive game with an expected moderate goal count.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza has recently won 3 of their last 5 matches but concedes on average 2.4 goals per game, scoring 0.6. Bahia is in better form having won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game and conceding only 1.0, showing more defensive solidity and attacking efficiency.
  • Historically, in 25 matches since 2008, Bahia holds a slight edge with 9 wins compared to Fortaleza's 8, and 8 draws. Average goals per match are around 2.7, indicating a moderately attacking game between them, with recent meetings showing Bahia tends to dominate goalscoring.
  • No specific injury details were provided in the recent data available for either team.
  • No notable external factors like extreme weather or travel issues reported. Home advantage may play a role for Fortaleza given stadium familiarity.
  • Bahia's recent strong form and defensive record suggest higher motivation to secure points, especially on the road, whereas Fortaleza aims to capitalize on home support to halt their recent defensive conceding trend.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza: 160, Bahia: 185, Draw: 220 Fortaleza ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Fortaleza: -120, Bahia: 100 Fortaleza 0 spread (win or draw) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is slightly favored due to recent form advantage and defensive stability, but Fortaleza’s home advantage and history suggest a close match likely decided by small margins or a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Bahia vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bahia's Home Stadium (Exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

The upcoming Brazil Campeonato match features Bahia hosting Atletico Mineiro. Both teams have a closely matched historical record with Bahia having won 8 matches, Atletico Mineiro 9, and 11 draws out of 28 encounters. Matches between them typically average around 2.68 goals, reflecting a moderately high-scoring trend. Bahia has demonstrated strong home form with a recent four-game winning streak, and Atletico Mineiro remains unbeaten in their last eight games overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia's recent form is strong at home with 4 wins out of 5 matches, scoring and conceding around 1.8 and 1.2 goals per match respectively. Atletico Mineiro shows solid defensive strength conceding only 0.2 goals per match, but has a lower over goals percentage, indicating tighter games. Both teams have an Asian handicap win rate of 60%.
  • Out of 28 matches, Bahia has 8 wins, Atletico Mineiro 9 wins, and 11 draws. The average goals per match between the two teams is 2.68. The teams have been evenly matched historically, with the goal difference nearly equal (Atletico Mineiro 29 vs Bahia 28).
  • No specific injury information is available from the current data sources for either team.
  • Bahia’s home advantage is significant due to their strong recent home performance. There is no specific information about weather or other external conditions at the venue.
  • Bahia seeks to capitalize on their solid home streak and scoring form. Atletico Mineiro aims to maintain their unbeaten run and defensive solidity. Both teams are closely placed in the league standings making points crucial.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 130, Atletico Mineiro: 255, Draw: 200 Bahia to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia: -0.25 -108, Atletico Mineiro: 25 -112 Bahia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 Over 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be competitive with a slight edge to Bahia owing to home advantage and recent form. A probable close match with goals from both sides is predicted. The over 2.25 goals market looks promising given their scoring trends.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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