Match Analysis: Jimmy Drago vs Ty Miller – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-13
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between seasoned finisher Jimmy Drago and undefeated rising talent Ty Miller. Drago brings solid wrestling and powerful boxing with finishing capability, whereas Miller offers youth, speed, power, and an undefeated record with growing potential.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jimmy Drago has a 7-2-0 record with experience and finishing power, showing good wrestling and clinch work. Ty Miller is undefeated at 5-0-0 with one no contest, younger and fast, with powerful hands and rising skill level.
• No recorded previous head-to-head matchup between the fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout.
• Fight takes place at Dana White's Contender Series in Las Vegas, favoring neither fighter significantly; both fight under similar conditions and motivation to make UFC roster.
• Ty Miller is highly motivated as an undefeated rising prospect looking to cement his status. Jimmy Drago is motivated to maintain his experience edge and prove his finishing ability against a young contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jimmy Drago: +155, Ty Miller: -185	Ty Miller	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Ty Miller -1.5: -120, Jimmy Drago +1.5: +100	Ty Miller -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ty Miller -14%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ty Miller at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ty Miller to win by decision

Predicted Score: Ty Miller wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Ilian Bouafia vs Neemias Santana – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-13
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Undisclosed Venue, Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The matchup features Ilian Bouafia, a sharp and technically improving striker known for his powerful straight left, versus Neemias Santana, a slick kickboxer with solid low kicks and good power but a defensive tendency of keeping his hands low. Both fighters are strong strikers with potential UFC futures.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bouafia has shown more noticeable improvement recently and is considered more technical; Santana offers strong endurance and power but risks exposure with defensive gaps.
• No known previous head-to-head matchups between Bouafia and Santana; this will be their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout.
• Fight takes place on Dana White's Contender Series platform, which may increase motivation especially for Bouafia, who is viewed as highly technical and eager to impress.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure UFC contracts, but Bouafia's noted technical improvements suggest higher preparation and mental readiness.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ilian Bouafia: -210, Neemias Santana: 170	Ilian Bouafia	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Bouafia -1.5 rounds: -150, Santana +1.5 rounds: 130	Bouafia -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: 120, Under 2.5 rounds: -140	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ilian Bouafia -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ilian Bouafia at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ilian Bouafia to win by decision

Predicted Score: Bouafia wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Murtaza Talha vs Baysangur Susurkaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-13
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Contender Series 2025 Venue (Exact location not specified)

Game Overview

Murtaza Talha (7-1) faces undefeated Baysangur Susurkaev (8-0) on short notice at middleweight in DWCS 2025. Talha is the more experienced fighter with strong wrestling and aggressive ground-and-pound but has had an ACL injury and loss in CS before. Susurkaev is a fast-finishing knockout artist, unbeaten, taking the fight on short notice. Both fighters have a combined 12 first-round finishes, with contrasting styles presenting an intriguing matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Talha has a 7-1 record with 7 finishes (4 KOs, 3 subs) but recently struggled with an ACL injury and contested a higher weight class previously. Susurkaev is 8-0 with 7 KOs, showing explosive power and pace. Both fighters have heavy finishes; Talha never goes to decision, while Susurkaev has mostly KO wins and one decision.
• No previous fights between Talha and Susurkaev. Both bring early finish styles and aggressive approaches, making outcomes highly dependent on fight start conditions and preparation.
• Talha is returning from ACL surgery within the last year and had a layoff before his last CS fight. Susurkaev is taking this bout on short notice, which may impact conditioning.
• Susurkaev stepping in on short notice might put him at a conditioning disadvantage but could be highly motivated to keep his undefeated streak. Talha has home advantage being prepared for this event and fighting at closer to his natural weight.
• Talha wants to redeem himself after a previous CS loss and prove durability post-injury. Susurkaev is motivated to maintain 8-0 undefeated record and capitalize on an opportunity in DWCS for UFC entry.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev: -275, Murtaza Talha: 215	Away (Baysangur Susurkaev)	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Susurkaev -1.5: -110, Talha +1.5: -110	Susurkaev -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -120, Under 1.5 rounds: 100	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Susurkaev to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Baysangur Susurkaev wins by KO/TKO in Round 1