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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 13, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction Under 8.5 -110 34%
Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction Under 8 105 33%
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction Over 8 -108 27%

Combined Odds: +654 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $150.75

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – August 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction Seattle Mariners Win -137 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction St. Louis Cardinals Win -205 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction Houston Astros Win -165 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +313

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $82.67

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Atlético Nacional S.A vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlético Nacional S.A vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin, Colombia

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores Round of 16 first leg match features Atlético Nacional S.A hosting Sao Paulo. Atlético Nacional is coming off a strong domestic season placing 2nd in the Colombian Primera A, while Sao Paulo brings their traditional competitive edge from Brazil. The match is critical as the first leg in the knockout stage, with both sides eager to secure an advantageous result ahead of the second leg.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Nacional has shown solid form at home in international and domestic play, boasting a balanced attack and resilient defense. Sao Paulo tends to be more conservative away, relying on tactical discipline and quick counter-attacks. Recent performances indicate Atlético Nacional holds a slight edge in momentum and home advantage.
  • Previous encounters between Atlético Nacional and Sao Paulo in Copa Libertadores and other CONMEBOL competitions show tightly contested matches, typically low-scoring with both teams capable of converting chances. Their historical head-to-head favors a draw or narrow wins for either side, exemplifying competitive parity.
  • No major injury updates are reported for either team affecting key starters, allowing both lineups to likely field optimal squads for this important fixture.
  • Home altitude and local fan support favor Atlético Nacional, with Estadio Atanasio Girardot’s environment known to challenge visiting teams. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for Medellin at this time of year with no adverse impacts forecasted.
  • High for both teams given the elimination format of the round of 16 and the prestige of advancing in the Libertadores. Atlético Nacional seek to capitalize on home advantage while Sao Paulo aim to secure a draw or narrow away victory to position well for the second leg.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A: 123, Sao Paulo: 265, Draw: 215 Atlético Nacional to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Atlético Nacional S.A -1.0: -150, Sao Paulo +1.0: +130 Atlético Nacional -1.0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5: -186, Under 1.5: +155 Under 1.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A 72%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 53%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlético Nacional S.A at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Nacional is favored to win this first leg narrowly, leveraging home advantage and current form to edge out a 1-0 or 2-1 victory. Sao Paulo will be difficult to break down, making a high-scoring result less likely, but they remain capable of scoring on the counter.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Peñarol Montevideo vs. Racing Club Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Peñarol Montevideo vs Racing Club – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo, Uruguay

Game Overview

The Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Peñarol Montevideo and Racing Club will take place at Peñarol's home stadium in Montevideo. Both teams have strong Libertadores histories and are competing in a high-stakes knockout phase. Peñarol is currently performing well domestically, ranking 2nd in the Uruguayan league, while Racing Club enters with comparable form. The first leg sets the tone for an intense contest with both sides aiming to leverage home advantage or away resilience accordingly.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Peñarol has shown solid form in domestic leagues, sitting 2nd in Liga AUF Uruguaya. Racing Club's recent performance is competitive, maintaining a strong squad to challenge in continental competitions. Both sides have balanced offense and defense, with Peñarol especially keen to capitalize on their home ground advantage.
  • Previous direct encounters are limited but closely matched when they occur, with no decisive dominance. Both teams have traded results in Libertadores knockout stages historically, making the tie unpredictable and tightly poised.
  • Current detailed injury reports are limited; no major injuries reported that would significantly impact starting lineups or tactical plans for either team.
  • Playing in Montevideo's Estadio Campeón del Siglo gives Peñarol a familiar home crowd support and pitch conditions. The August weather conditions should be mild, favorable for an open contest. Travel demands on Racing Club could slightly affect their preparation.
  • Both teams are highly motivated given the knockout nature of the Round of 16. Peñarol aims to assert home control early, while Racing Club will seek to contain and capitalize on any away goal opportunities.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Peñarol Montevideo: 170, Racing Club: 180, Draw: 210 Peñarol Montevideo win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Peñarol Montevideo: -120, Racing Club: -110 Peñarol Montevideo to cover the 0 spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -125, Under 2 goals: -105 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Peñarol Montevideo 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given slightly better home advantage and current form, Peñarol holds a narrow edge in this first leg, but Racing Club is expected to keep the scoreline close.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Radley Da Silva vs. George Mangos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Radley Da Silva vs George Mangos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This MMA bout between Radley Da Silva and George Mangos at 145 lbs is part of Dana White's Contender Series, where both fighters compete for a UFC contract. The match carries high stakes and features two fighters with strong grappling and striking skills, promising a competitive fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • George Mangos is noted for a dynamic striking arsenal including kicks, punches, elbows, and knees, as well as effective takedowns and ground-and-pound. Radley Da Silva is considered a better grappler overall and likely to be competitive on the ground. Both fighters have shown strong skill sets in recent trainings and performances.
  • There is no known previous meeting between Radley Da Silva and George Mangos, making this their first matchup and adding uncertainty to the fight outcome.
  • No recent injuries have been reported or disclosed for either fighter prior to the match.
  • The fight is scheduled at a premier venue in Las Vegas, contributing a professional atmosphere. George Mangos has been actively preparing as seen in social media posts, and the bout is part of a televised Contender Series event offering a UFC contract for the winner.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, as the winner will likely earn a UFC contract. George Mangos appears particularly focused on securing his place in the UFC, while Radley Da Silva is seen as a strong prospect with a good chance to join the promotion soon.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline George Mangos: -130, Radley Da Silva: 100 George Mangos ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread George Mangos -1.5: -110, Radley Da Silva +1.5: -110 George Mangos -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline George Mangos -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: George Mangos at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

George Mangos is predicted to win this closely contested match by decision or late submission, given his dynamic striking and solid grappling defense, coupled with his strong motivation to secure a UFC contract.

Predicted Score: George Mangos wins by decision (3 rounds)


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Jimmy Drago vs. Ty Miller Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jimmy Drago vs Ty Miller – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

This is a welterweight (170 lb) matchup between Jimmy Drago and Ty Miller taking place on the Dana White's Contender Series. The fight is notable as both fighters are coming off a no contest result in their previous bouts. Drago holds a record of 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 no contest in his last five fights, while Miller has 5 wins, 0 losses and 1 no contest. This contest features two eager fighters with strong motivation and fan support to secure a win and stand out in the series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jimmy Drago has a solid fight record with 7-2-1 in his last five fights, showing experience and resilience. Ty Miller remains undefeated professionally with 5-0-1, showing strong performance excellence in fewer bouts. Both fighters have shown the ability to go the distance and end fights decisively in the Contender Series context.
  • This appears to be their first professional matchup. No prior head-to-head fights exist to directly compare fighting styles or past outcomes between the two.
  • No current injury information reported for either fighter leading into this fight, suggesting both are likely in optimal health for the contest.
  • The fight takes place on a high-pressure platform with Dana White’s Contender Series spotlight, increasing motivation and potential career impact. Both fighters are known to have dedicated fanbases and are under scrutiny to produce a finish or compelling performance.
  • Both fighters coming off no contests provides strong motivation to prove their worth. Drago’s large fanbase and Miller’s undefeated streak add psychological factors increasing their drive to win and impress UFC scouts.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jimmy Drago: +155, Ty Miller: -185 Ty Miller ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Jimmy Drago: +1.5, Ty Miller: -1.5 Ty Miller -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds: -110, Under 1.5 Rounds: -110 Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ty Miller -17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ty Miller at -17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ty Miller is predicted to win narrowly based on his undefeated professional record and strong recent form. However, Jimmy Drago’s experience and fan backing make this a competitive matchup with potential for an upset or closely contested fight.

Predicted Score: Ty Miller wins by decision or late finish (Round 3+)


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Ilian Bouafia vs. Neemias Santana Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ilian Bouafia vs Neemias Santana – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This middleweight bout between Ilian Bouafia and Neemias Santana is featured on Dana White’s Contender Series Season 9, Week 1. Bouafia is undefeated at 6-0 and known for his striking prowess and knockout power, while Santana, with a record of 7-2-1, brings more experience but is shorter in height and reach. The fight is significant as Bouafia seeks to continue his winning streak and earn a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ilian Bouafia trains with Boxing Squad in France, focusing on striking and utilizing his considerable height and reach advantage effectively. Santana has more fights under his belt and has shown resilience and versatility but lacks Bouafia's physical advantages.
  • This is their first scheduled bout, so no direct head-to-head history exists. Bouafia holds a perfect record, while Santana's experience includes more losses and draws.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight takes place in the UFC APEX, a neutral venue that favors neither fighter. Bouafia, fighting close to home country France, might experience slight crowd or motivational advantage. The bout is under high scrutiny due to its status as a contract-deciding fight.
  • Bouafia has high motivation to secure a UFC contract with an undefeated record and impressive knockouts, while Santana aims to leverage his experience to upset the prospect and gain his own entry into the UFC roster.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ilian Bouafia: -210, Neemias Santana: 170 Ilian Bouafia ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Ilian Bouafia -1.5: -110, Neemias Santana +1.5: -110 Ilian Bouafia -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -120, Under 1.5 rounds: 100 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ilian Bouafia -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ilian Bouafia at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ilian Bouafia is favored to win due to his unbeaten record, height, reach, and knockout power. The fight will likely be decided on the feet, where Bouafia excels in striking. Santana may attempt to exploit experience and attempt grappling exchanges to neutralize Bouafia’s range.

Predicted Score: Ilian Bouafia wins by TKO or KO in Round 2


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Murtaza Talha vs. Baysangur Susurkaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Murtaza Talha vs Baysangur Susurkaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

This middleweight MMA bout features undefeated Baysangur Susurkaev (8-0) against Murtaza Talha Ali (7-1). Susurkaev is a younger rising prospect with a high knockout rate, while Talha Ali is a slightly older, experienced competitor with a balanced fight finish record. The fight is part of the Contender Series 2025: Week 1 event and marks a key opportunity for both fighters to secure UFC recognition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Susurkaev holds an 8-0 record with 7 knockouts, showcasing high finishing power and an aggressive striking style. Talha Ali has a record of 7-1, with 4 knockouts and 3 submissions, demonstrating versatility in finishes and experience handling diverse fight scenarios.
  • There is no history of previous fights between Murtaza Talha Ali and Baysangur Susurkaev, making this matchup an initial test of styles and adaptability.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the event; both appear medically cleared and in typical fight shape.
  • The fight's venue is UFC APEX, a controlled environment favoring fighters experienced with UFC-level production. Susurkaev is stepping in on short notice replacing Damian Pinas, which may affect preparation time but could also enhance motivation.
  • Susurkaev, as a younger fighter with an undefeated streak and high KO ratio, is likely highly motivated to maintain his perfect record and prove himself at a higher level. Talha Ali, with one loss, may be motivated to reaffirm his status and push for advancement in the UFC ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baysangur Susurkaev: -275, Murtaza Talha: 215 Baysangur Susurkaev to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Susurkaev: -1.5, Talha: +1.5 Susurkaev to win by 2 or more rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 1.85, Under 2.5 rounds: 1.95 Under 2.5 rounds (fight likely to end early) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baysangur Susurkaev -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Susurkaev is favored to win by knockout due to his perfect record, high KO percentage, and strong recent performances, despite short notice. Talha Ali's experience and submission threat provide a competitive edge, but the power and youth of Susurkaev likely tilt the outcome in his favor.

Predicted Score: Baysangur Susurkaev wins by KO/TKO in Round 1 or 2


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Christopher Ewert vs. Yuri Panferov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Christopher Ewert vs Yuri Panferov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

This middleweight MMA bout features unbeaten Chilean prospect Christopher Ewert (7-0) facing off against Russian prospect Yuri Panferov (8-1), who is known for his strong offensive grappling and power. The fight is part of Dana White's Contender Series Season 9, Week 1, with both fighters aiming to impress for a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Christopher Ewert trains with Team Predador MMA, maintaining an undefeated record with a versatile skillset though less detailed in the sources. Yuri Panferov represents Ultimate MMA, a smaller camp, but is a strong Russian wrestler with aggressive takedown capabilities and high finishing rate on the ground.
  • No previous encounters between Christopher Ewert and Yuri Panferov are recorded. Both are young prospects moving up in ranks, making this their first direct competition.
  • No reports or indications of injuries for either fighter are available prior to the match.
  • The fight takes place at the UFC Apex, a familiar venue for emerging UFC talent. The contest is part of a high-visibility Dana White Contender Series event, increasing the stakes for both fighters to secure a UFC contract.
  • Both athletes enter highly motivated: Panferov seeks to continue his winning streak and showcase his wrestling and striking power, while Ewert aims to maintain his unbeaten run and prove his readiness for UFC level competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Christopher Ewert: -153, Yuri Panferov: 123 Christopher Ewert ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Christopher Ewert: -1.5 (+120), Yuri Panferov: +1.5 (-140) Christopher Ewert by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over_1.5_rounds: -110, under_1.5_rounds: -110 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christopher Ewert -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christopher Ewert at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christopher Ewert is favored to win due to his undefeated record and the moneyline odds (-153) in his favor. However, Yuri Panferov's aggressive wrestling and finishing ability provide a significant threat, making this a competitive fight likely decided by grappling control and ground-and-pound dominance.

Predicted Score: Christopher Ewert wins by decision or late-round finish (Round 3+)


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