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Girona vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona and Atlético Madrid face off in the final match of La Liga's 2024-2025 season. Atlético Madrid is positioned third in the league, while Girona ranks fifteenth. The match is expected to be competitive, with Atlético Madrid favored to win due to their superior league position and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown strong form throughout the season, while Girona has been inconsistent. Girona's recent wins, however, indicate they can pose a threat at home.
  • Historically, Atlético Madrid has had the upper hand in matches against Girona, though recent head-to-head data is limited.
  • No significant injury updates are available for either team, but this could impact the match if any key players are absent.
  • The match is at Girona's home ground, which might provide an advantage. However, Atlético Madrid's experience and skill level could counteract this.
  • Atlético Madrid may be motivated to secure a strong finish to the season, while Girona aims to end on a positive note.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -110, Girona: 265, Draw: 290 Atlético Madrid to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -0.5 -105, Girona: 50 -115 Atlético Madrid to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3 -108, Under: 3 -112 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win, given their league position and past performances against Girona.

Predicted Score: Girona 0, Atlético Madrid 2


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Atlético Madrid vs. Real Betis Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Real Betis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Atlético Madrid and Real Betis will take place at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano stadium in Madrid. Atlético Madrid currently holds 3rd place in the league, while Real Betis is positioned 6th. This fixture is crucial with the league title race still competitive, and both teams looking to secure important points in the closing stages of the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown solid form throughout the season, maintaining a strong home record and defensive resilience. Real Betis has been competitive but less consistent, often struggling away from home. Atlético’s tactical discipline under their coach gives them an edge.
  • Atlético Madrid and Real Betis have faced each other once this season, with Atlético Madrid holding a stronger position in terms of league ranking and recent encounters. Historically, Atlético tends to dominate at home against Betis.
  • No explicit injury updates are provided, but typical late-season fatigue and minor injuries could affect squad selection. Both teams likely have most key players available for this important match.
  • The match being played in Madrid gives Atlético a significant home advantage in terms of fan support and familiarity. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard, with no reported disruptions.
  • Atlético Madrid is motivated to maintain or improve their top three position to secure Champions League qualification, while Real Betis aims to close the gap and finish strongly in the top six, potentially securing European competition next season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: 1, Real Betis: 2.55, Draw: 2.75 Atlético Madrid win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Atlético Madrid -0.5: 1, Real Betis +50: -1.2 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -1.02, Under 2.75: -1.18 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlético Madrid at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is favored to win due to stronger home form, tactical solidity, and higher motivation for Champions League qualification. The match is expected to be competitive but with Atlético edging out a narrow win.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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CA Osasuna vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CA Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona, Spain

Game Overview

CA Osasuna and Atlético Madrid meet in La Liga on May 15, 2025. Osasuna currently ranks 10th, while Atlético Madrid holds 3rd position. Atlético Madrid is favored to win based on recent form and head-to-head statistics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has a strong record in recent matches, while Osasuna's home advantage is a significant factor. Osasuna often starts strong but can struggle in the second half.
  • Atlético Madrid typically performs well against Osasuna, but Osasuna has managed to secure a few home wins in their past encounters.
  • No major injury updates available for either team.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match, but no significant external factors are noted.
  • Atlético Madrid is highly motivated to secure a top-three spot in La Liga, while Osasuna seeks to improve its standing in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: 110, CA Osasuna: 270, Draw: 235 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -0.25 -125, CA Osasuna: 25 105 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -118, Under: 2.25 -102 Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win, leveraging their strong recent form and head-to-head advantage.

Predicted Score: 0-2 in favor of Atlético Madrid


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Atlético Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid, currently 3rd in La Liga, hosts Real Sociedad, ranked 11th, in a crucial late-season match. Atlético Madrid has scored 56 goals and conceded 25 this season, showing strong scoring and defensive capability. Real Sociedad has 32 goals scored and 37 conceded, indicating a less balanced performance. Atlético Madrid is favored heavily by bookmakers and has a home advantage at their Riyadh Air Metropolitano stadium.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid demonstrates better form and league standing, with more goals scored (56) and fewer conceded (25) compared to Real Sociedad's 32 scored and 37 conceded. Atlético also boasts more clean sheets (15) than Real Sociedad (13), signaling a stronger defense.
  • Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad have faced each other once this season with Atlético Madrid likely having the upper hand due to their superior league position and form. Historically, Atlético tends to dominate home fixtures versus Real Sociedad.
  • No specific injury data was available from the latest sources for either team ahead of the match, but Atlético Madrid is expected to field a near-full strength squad.
  • The match is played at Atlético's home stadium, Riyadh Air Metropolitano, providing a familiar environment and strong fan support. Weather in Madrid is mild (~61°F) which is optimal for playing conditions.
  • Atlético Madrid is fighting for a higher Champions League qualifying position, increasing motivation to secure maximum points. Real Sociedad, in mid-table, has less at stake but will look to upset the home side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -160, Real Sociedad: 460, Draw: 300 Atlético Madrid win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -0.75 (-125), Real Sociedad: +75 (105) Atlético Madrid -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win given superior form, home advantage, and stronger squad performance.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Alavés vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés (17th in La Liga) hosts Atlético Madrid (3rd) in a match where Atlético seeks a season sweep. Alavés aims to avoid relegation pressures, while Atlético fights for Champions League positioning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético has stronger offensive metrics (53 goals scored vs. Alavés' 35) and defensive stability (25 goals conceded vs. 45)
  • Atlético leads recent encounters, including a prior victory this season
  • No specific injury data provided in sources
  • Alavés' home advantage countered by Atlético's superior squad quality
  • Atlético's UCL qualification push vs. Alavés' relegation battle urgency

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: +270, Atlético: +115, Draw: +220 Atlético Madrid High (45.8% modeled probability vs. 26.5% Alavés/27.8% draw)
Spread Alavés +25 (-100), Atlético -0.25 (-120) Atlético Madrid -0.25 Moderate (covers if they win outright)
Over/under Over 2 (-120), Under 2 (+100) Under 2 goals Medium (defensive focus likely)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid moneyline win (45.8% probability per predictive models) in a low-scoring affair

Predicted Score: 0-1 Atlético Madrid


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Atlético Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts Rayo Vallecano in a La Liga match at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid. Atlético Madrid enter as clear favorites based on form, home advantage, and betting odds, while Rayo Vallecano is seen as the underdog. Both teams have had recent competitive encounters, including a 1-1 draw in the last away fixture, adding intrigue to this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has displayed solid form at home, leveraging strong defensive organization and efficient attack. Rayo Vallecano, although competitive, have struggled to secure wins against top teams and face difficulties scoring away.
  • The recent head to head includes a 1-1 draw at Rayo Vallecano's stadium and a narrow 2-1 victory for Atlético Madrid at home, showing close matches but slight edge to Atlético on home turf.
  • No specific injury information is provided in the current data, so the squads are presumed near full strength with standard rotation.
  • Playing in Madrid affords Atlético Madrid strong home support and familiarity with the pitch environment. No unusual external circumstances are reported.
  • Atlético Madrid likely have higher motivation to secure points to maintain or improve their league standing, while Rayo Vallecano may focus on defensive resilience and counter-attacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -185, Rayo Vallecano: 500, Draw: 320 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -1 -108, Rayo Vallecano: +1 -112 Atlético Madrid -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 105, Under 2.5: -125 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid are predicted to win this match, leveraging their home advantage, superior form, and tactical discipline. A competitive but controlled game is expected with Atlético Madrid managing a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Las Palmas vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Las Palmas vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-19
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain

Game Overview

This La Liga match features Las Palmas hosting Atlético Madrid. Las Palmas is struggling in the league, positioned low with 29 points from 31 games, while Atlético Madrid is third with 63 points, strongly contending for the title. Atlético's recent form includes dominant wins over Las Palmas, showcasing their superiority both home and away. Las Palmas has shown resilience but faces a tough challenge against a top-tier Atlético side who have strong attacking players and a solid defensive record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has a strong performance record with 18 wins, 9 draws, 4 losses, and a +27 goal difference. They have been consistent in scoring and attacking, led by players like J Álvarez (14 goals) and A Sørloth (12 goals). Las Palmas, by contrast, has 7 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, with a -15 goal difference, indicating defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent form.
  • In their last five meetings, Atlético Madrid has won 4 matches decisively, including 5-0 and 2-0 wins in the most recent encounters. Las Palmas managed a single 2-1 win in November 2023 but largely struggle against Atlético. This trend emphasizes Atlético's dominance in the fixture.
  • No specific injury updates were provided in available data, but Atlético Madrid typically maintains a strong squad depth. Las Palmas may face challenges if key players are unavailable, which could further weaken their position.
  • The game is played at Las Palmas' home stadium, where home advantage can be a factor, though Atlético Madrid’s superior quality often offsets this. Weather or pitch conditions were not highlighted as impacting factors.
  • Atlético Madrid is motivated to secure points to remain in the title race, whereas Las Palmas is motivated to gain crucial points to avoid relegation, making it a highly motivated encounter for both sides albeit on different stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -175, Las Palmas: 460, Draw: 330 Atlético Madrid to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -1 -105, Las Palmas: 1 -115 Atlético Madrid -1 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5: -122, Under 2.5: 102 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is heavily favored to win this match given their superior league position, form, and historical dominance over Las Palmas. A controlled Atlético Madrid victory is expected, though Las Palmas may try to exploit home advantage for a positive result.

Predicted Score: Atlético Madrid 2 – 0 Las Palmas


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Atlético Madrid vs. Valladolid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Valladolid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 14 Apr 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid, currently ranked 3rd in La Liga, hosts Real Valladolid, who are struggling in 20th position. Atlético Madrid has a strong historical advantage against Valladolid, winning 18 out of their last 27 matches. Valladolid's poor form and Atlético's solid defensive record make this a challenging fixture for the visitors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown consistent form this season with 17 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, while Real Valladolid has struggled with only 4 wins. Atlético Madrid averages 2.00 goals per match, while Valladolid averages 1.03 goals.
  • Atlético Madrid leads in head-to-head matches with 18 wins to Valladolid's 5. The last few matches have seen Atlético dominate Valladolid.
  • Atlético Madrid has several players missing due to injury, including Rodrigo De Paul, Angel Correa, and others. This could potentially affect their performance.
  • Atlético Madrid's home advantage combined with Valladolid's poor away record could significantly influence the outcome.
  • Atlético Madrid will be highly motivated to maintain their position in La Liga, while Valladolid needs points to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win due to their strong form and historical advantage over Valladolid.

Predicted Score: Atlético Madrid 3 – 0 Real Valladolid


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Sevilla vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-06
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, Seville, Spain

Game Overview

The upcoming La Liga match between Sevilla FC and Atlético Madrid is set to pit two teams with different current standings against each other. Sevilla has been inconsistent lately, while Atlético Madrid remains strong, ranking higher in the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has a stronger overall performance, sitting third in La Liga with 57 points, while Sevilla ranks 11th with 36 points. Atlético Madrid has scored more goals and conceded fewer than Sevilla.
  • Historically, the most common result between them is a 1-1 draw, but Atlético Madrid has a slight edge overall in their meetings.
  • Notable absences include Nianzou for Sevilla and Correa for Atlético Madrid.
  • The match is crucial for both teams' league positions, but Atlético Madrid's higher league ranking might give them an edge in terms of pressure and expectations.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Atlético Madrid may have more to gain in terms of maintaining their league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: 125, Sevilla: 235, Draw: 230 Atlético Madrid to win ★★☆☆☆ 43%
Spread -0.25 for Atlético Madrid (-110), 25 for Sevilla (-110) Atlético Madrid to cover ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under Over 2.25: +100, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is favored to win due to their better league position and overall performance.

Predicted Score: 0-1 in favor of Atlético Madrid


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Espanyol vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 29, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium, Cornella, Spain

Game Overview

Espanyol, currently ranked 15th in LaLiga, is hosting Atlético Madrid, who are third in the league. Atlético Madrid leads the defensive lineup in LaLiga, allowing only 0.8 goals per match, while Espanyol ranks 16th offensively with an average of 1 goal per match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has a strong defensive record with a goal differential of +24, while Espanyol struggles with a goal differential of -13. Atlético Madrid also dominates in shot differential with +33, compared to Espanyol's -162.
  • In their last match, Atlético Madrid and Espanyol drew 0-0. Atlético Madrid generally outperforms Espanyol in head-to-head encounters.
  • No significant injury updates available for either team.
  • The match will be played at Espanyol's home ground, which might give them a slight motivational edge, but Atlético Madrid's superior form and team performance are expected to dominate.
  • Atlético Madrid has higher stakes in maintaining their third-place standing, while Espanyol seeks to improve their mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -170, Espanyol: 500, Draw: 295 Atlético Madrid ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -1 (+105), Espanyol: +1 (-125) Atlético Madrid -1 ★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under Over: 2.25 (-112), Under: 2.25 (-108) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is expected to win due to their strong defensive record and higher team performance compared to Espanyol.

Predicted Score: Espanyol 0, Atlético Madrid 2


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