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Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid host Real Madrid in a heated Madrid Derby with contrasting early season form; Atlético face injury challenges and inconsistency, while Real Madrid remain undefeated and strong in midfield.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid have been inconsistent with 5 points in 4 games, showing defensive grit but lacking creativity after losing Thiago Almada to injury. Real Madrid boast a perfect 4-0 start with dominant midfield control by Camavinga, Valverde, and Bellingham.
  • Recent matchups have been tightly contested, but Real Madrid have edged Atlético with more consistent wins. Historical derbies are typically low scoring and tactically intense.
  • Atlético Madrid’s key creative midfielder Thiago Almada is out with a muscle injury, limiting Atlético’s attacking options. Real Madrid report no significant absences.
  • The match is at Atlético’s home ground, Estadio Wanda Metropolitano, providing a slight home advantage despite Madrid’s overall better form.
  • Real Madrid aim to maintain their flawless start and top of the table position, while Atlético seek to stabilize their inconsistent campaign and gain morale with a strong derby showing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: 190, Real Madrid: 135, Draw: 250 Real Madrid ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Atlético Madrid +25: -125, Real Madrid -0.25: 105 Real Madrid -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -112 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Madrid at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Atlético Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts Rayo Vallecano in a La Liga clash where Atlético is favored but recent form and defenses suggest a tight game with low scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has a home record of 1-1-0 with some inconsistency, accumulating 6 points overall. Rayo Vallecano is less consistent away (0-2-0) with 5 points total. Both teams show weak goal-scoring form with low over/under averages.
  • Historically balanced with no clear dominance; recent matches suggest cautious play, leaning to under 2.5 goals outcomes.
  • No major injury information available, assume no significant absences impacting key players.
  • Match at home ground gives Atlético Madrid an advantage; neutral weather conditions expected; no unusual external distractions identified.
  • Atlético Madrid motivated to capitalize on home advantage to improve their standing; Rayo looking to disrupt the home side's rhythm to gain points after weak away results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -190 (Atlético Madrid), 500 (Rayo Vallecano), 325 (Draw) Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -1 (-110) Atlético Madrid, +1 (-110) Rayo Vallecano Atlético Madrid -1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 -115, Under 2.5 -105 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win on the moneyline, with an expectation of a low-scoring match and Atlético covering the -1 spread.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Mallorca vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid enters as a clear favorite in this La Liga matchup against Mallorca, favored by recent form, head-to-head dominance, and better squad depth. Mallorca have struggled to secure wins this season and Atlético look to consolidate their status with a disciplined and pragmatic approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid holds a stronger recent La Liga form with 1-2-1 compared to Mallorca's 0-1-3. Atlético’s solid defense and ability to capitalize on chances contrasts with Mallorca’s challenges in converting form into wins.
  • Atlético Madrid has won 7 of the last 10 meetings. Matchups often yield low scoring affairs with an average of about 2.3 goals per game.
  • No specific critical injuries reported for Atlético Madrid. Mallorca’s squad depth and injury status could adversely affect their competitiveness.
  • The game will be played at Mallorca’s home ground with moderate pressure on the home side. Atlético Madrid’s recent tough schedule, including a Champions League match against Liverpool, might affect their freshness but their squad depth offsets this.
  • Atlético Madrid is motivated to secure 3 points to stay competitive in La Liga standings, while Mallorca seeks to break out of a poor run but lacks confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -134, Mallorca: +390, Draw: +260 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Atlético Madrid -0.75: -102, Mallorca +75: -118 Atlético Madrid -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win straight up; Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: Atlético Madrid 1 – 0 Mallorca


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Atlético Madrid vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts Villarreal in a La Liga match. Atlético is the favorite with slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Villarreal is considered a potential upset threat but with some recent struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown solid but inconsistent form, slightly better defensively and offensively than Villarreal, who have struggled in away games recently.
  • Recent encounters favor Atlético Madrid slightly, especially at home, but Villarreal has been competitive, occasionally causing early pressure.
  • No major injuries reported for Atlético Madrid; Villarreal's squad is largely intact with no critical absences, indicating close strength on both sides.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel disadvantage; match at Atlético Madrid's home ground provides them usual strong home support.
  • Atlético Madrid is motivated to secure three points early in the season to climb the table, while Villarreal aims to prove their resilience and avoid an early setback.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -118 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -118 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under -108 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Alavés vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid are favorites facing Alavés away in a La Liga clash. Alavés have a mixed recent home record against Atlético, who have shown stronger overall dominance historically. The match is expected to be competitive with an emphasis on Atlético’s defensive solidity and Alavés’ struggle to score consistently at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid have a solid starting season with good form; Alavés have mixed results at home and tend to struggle against top sides.
  • Historically, Atlético Madrid lead overall with 13 wins out of 23 meetings; at home, Alavés have 5 wins out of 11 meetings against Atlético. Most common scorelines have been low scoring 2-0 or 0-1.
  • No explicit injury data available in current sources; assume near full squads but Atlético Madrid likely has deeper rotation options.
  • No adverse weather or external issues reported; venue is Atlético-friendly neutral with a slightly favorable crowd effect for home side Alavés.
  • Atlético Madrid likely more motivated to start the La Liga campaign strongly to establish title credentials; Alavés focused on home points but under pressure vs stronger opponents.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: +365, Atlético Madrid: -125, Draw: +255 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Alavés +50: +105, Atlético Madrid -0.5: -125 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid moneyline win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Atlético Madrid vs. Elche CF Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Elche CF – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid, a dominant team with a strong home record and higher league standing, faces Elche CF, who are underdogs with recent inconsistent form. Atlético are expected to control the game and secure a comfortable victory at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid have shown solid recent results and a strong defensive record, while Elche has struggled to score and maintain clean sheets. Atlético’s attacking force led by Julian Alvarez is in good form.
  • Historical matchups heavily favor Atlético Madrid, with a strong winning record and multiple clean sheets against Elche in recent meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported for Atlético Madrid affecting key players; Elche has no notable injuries but lacks depth compared to Atlético.
  • Match played at Atlético’s home stadium provides a strong home advantage; no significant external disruptions expected.
  • Atlético Madrid motivated to start the La Liga season strongly on home turf; Elche motivated to prove resilience but expected to be second best.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -425 Atlético Madrid win ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread +102 Atlético Madrid -1.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -118 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win moneyline, cover -1.75 spread, and under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Espanyol vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Cornellà-El Prat Stadium

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid enters as a strong favorite against Espanyol, leveraging their superior defensive record and higher league standing from last season. Espanyol is defensively solid at home but struggles offensively, while Atlético Madrid is one of the best defensive teams away. Recent head-to-head matches have been low scoring, indicating a tight defensive battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol finished 14th with defensive solidity but weak offense; Atlético Madrid finished 3rd with strong defense and consistent results, especially away.
  • Last four matches between these teams mostly ended under 3 goals, with scores commonly tight and draws frequent.
  • No significant injury news impacting starting lineups for either side at present.
  • Match played at Espanyol's home ground with neutral weather, no notable external disruptions.
  • Atlético Madrid highly motivated to start the season strongly to challenge for the title; Espanyol motivated to secure points to avoid relegation pressure early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: 525, Draw: 280, Atlético Madrid: -172 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Espanyol +1: -125, Atlético Madrid -1: 105 Atlético Madrid -1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Girona vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona and Atlético Madrid face off in the final match of La Liga's 2024-2025 season. Atlético Madrid is positioned third in the league, while Girona ranks fifteenth. The match is expected to be competitive, with Atlético Madrid favored to win due to their superior league position and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown strong form throughout the season, while Girona has been inconsistent. Girona's recent wins, however, indicate they can pose a threat at home.
  • Historically, Atlético Madrid has had the upper hand in matches against Girona, though recent head-to-head data is limited.
  • No significant injury updates are available for either team, but this could impact the match if any key players are absent.
  • The match is at Girona's home ground, which might provide an advantage. However, Atlético Madrid's experience and skill level could counteract this.
  • Atlético Madrid may be motivated to secure a strong finish to the season, while Girona aims to end on a positive note.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -110, Girona: 265, Draw: 290 Atlético Madrid to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -0.5 -105, Girona: 50 -115 Atlético Madrid to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3 -108, Under: 3 -112 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win, given their league position and past performances against Girona.

Predicted Score: Girona 0, Atlético Madrid 2


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Atlético Madrid vs. Real Betis Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Real Betis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Atlético Madrid and Real Betis will take place at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano stadium in Madrid. Atlético Madrid currently holds 3rd place in the league, while Real Betis is positioned 6th. This fixture is crucial with the league title race still competitive, and both teams looking to secure important points in the closing stages of the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown solid form throughout the season, maintaining a strong home record and defensive resilience. Real Betis has been competitive but less consistent, often struggling away from home. Atlético’s tactical discipline under their coach gives them an edge.
  • Atlético Madrid and Real Betis have faced each other once this season, with Atlético Madrid holding a stronger position in terms of league ranking and recent encounters. Historically, Atlético tends to dominate at home against Betis.
  • No explicit injury updates are provided, but typical late-season fatigue and minor injuries could affect squad selection. Both teams likely have most key players available for this important match.
  • The match being played in Madrid gives Atlético a significant home advantage in terms of fan support and familiarity. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard, with no reported disruptions.
  • Atlético Madrid is motivated to maintain or improve their top three position to secure Champions League qualification, while Real Betis aims to close the gap and finish strongly in the top six, potentially securing European competition next season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: 1, Real Betis: 2.55, Draw: 2.75 Atlético Madrid win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Atlético Madrid -0.5: 1, Real Betis +50: -1.2 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -1.02, Under 2.75: -1.18 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlético Madrid at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is favored to win due to stronger home form, tactical solidity, and higher motivation for Champions League qualification. The match is expected to be competitive but with Atlético edging out a narrow win.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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CA Osasuna vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CA Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona, Spain

Game Overview

CA Osasuna and Atlético Madrid meet in La Liga on May 15, 2025. Osasuna currently ranks 10th, while Atlético Madrid holds 3rd position. Atlético Madrid is favored to win based on recent form and head-to-head statistics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has a strong record in recent matches, while Osasuna's home advantage is a significant factor. Osasuna often starts strong but can struggle in the second half.
  • Atlético Madrid typically performs well against Osasuna, but Osasuna has managed to secure a few home wins in their past encounters.
  • No major injury updates available for either team.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match, but no significant external factors are noted.
  • Atlético Madrid is highly motivated to secure a top-three spot in La Liga, while Osasuna seeks to improve its standing in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: 110, CA Osasuna: 270, Draw: 235 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -0.25 -125, CA Osasuna: 25 105 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -118, Under: 2.25 -102 Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win, leveraging their strong recent form and head-to-head advantage.

Predicted Score: 0-2 in favor of Atlético Madrid


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