Match Analysis: Columbus Crew SC vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-25
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio
Game Overview
This MLS match between Columbus Crew SC and Atlanta United FC represents a competitive rivalry with Columbus holding a slight edge historically. The two teams have faced each other over 20 times, with Columbus winning 10-12 matches depending on the source, Atlanta winning 7-8, and draws occurring in about 3-4 matches. Both teams show an average goal-scoring trend of approximately 3 goals per game when matched up, indicating potential for an open and attacking game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbus Crew have been solid at home and show a balanced recent form with no losses in their last 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) and averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game. Atlanta United have been strong recently with 4 wins and 1 loss in last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game, showing their offensive capability and resilience on the road.
- Historically, Columbus holds a slight advantage with 10-12 wins versus Atlanta's 7-8 in 20-23 meetings. Matches tend to be competitive with a 3.19 average goals per match. Home advantage slightly favors Columbus, but Atlanta has been effective playing away games as well.
- No specific injury data is provided in the search results, suggesting no major known absences for either side. This implies both teams likely will field strong lineups.
- The match is played at Columbus Crew's home stadium, which can confer a home advantage. The game is midweek, which may slightly affect player freshness but likely impacts both teams equally.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points mid-season to improve playoff positioning. Columbus Crew will be keen to defend home turf against a strong Atlanta side that aims to continue its recent winning momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Atlanta_United_FC: 380, Columbus_Crew_SC: -155, Draw: 320 | Columbus Crew SC | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Atlanta_United_FC: 75, Columbus_Crew_SC: -0.75 | Columbus Crew SC -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over: 3, Under: 3 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 -5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Columbus Crew's stronger head-to-head record, home advantage, and unbeaten recent form, combined with Atlanta's strong away performance and offensive threat, an evenly matched game is expected with a slight edge to Columbus for a win or draw.
Predicted Score: 2-1