Match Analysis: Inter Miami CF vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA
Game Overview
Inter Miami CF, currently 3rd in the MLS standings, hosts Atlanta United FC, ranked 14th, in a pivotal late-season clash at Chase Stadium. Inter Miami has shown solid recent form and home strength, while Atlanta struggles with consistency and key injuries.
Key Factors to Consider
- Inter Miami CF is in better form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches with only 1 loss. Atlanta United has won 2 but lost 3 of their last 5 games. Miamiβs offense is more consistent and effective, reflected in their better standing and home advantage.
- In the current season, the teams met once with Inter Miami CF holding dominance over Atlanta United in recent meetings (5 games last season favor Miami). Home advantage further tilts the balance in favor of Miami.
- Atlanta United is missing key players: E. Hyndman (MID, broken leg, out indefinitely) and B. Lennon (DEF, achilles injury, out). No significant injury concerns reported for Inter Miami CF.
- The match is played at Miamiβs Chase Stadium with a mild 30Β° weather forecast conducive to attacking play. Public betting heavily favors Inter Miami with 100% of money on them, reflecting confidence in their victory.
- Inter Miami CF aims to consolidate a top playoff position with a home win, while Atlanta United, lower in the table with recent struggles and injuries, faces pressure but has limited momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -198, away: 430, draw: 380 | Inter Miami CF | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | home_-1.5: 119, away_+1.5: -159 | Inter Miami CF -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over_3.5: -109, under_3.5: -122 | Over 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Inter Miami CF 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Inter Miami CF to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the match to go over 3.5 total goals.
Predicted Score: 3-1