The Philadelphia Phillies (48-35) face the Atlanta Braves (38-44) at Truist Park. The Phillies lead the NL East and have had a stronger season overall. The Braves are slightly below .500 with a 15-28 home record, whereas the Phillies have a solid 22-21 away record. The weather is partly cloudy, 28.9°C, with a 10 km/h west-northwest wind and no precipitation expected at game time. Starting pitchers are Ranger Suárez for the Phillies, who has a strong 6-2 record and a 2.08 ERA, and Spencer Strider for the Braves, with a 3-5 record and 4.07 ERA. Both teams are coming off wins and are currently on similar 5-5 last ten games streaks.
Key Factors to Consider
Phillies have a better overall season record (48-35) and lead the NL East, showing consistent strong pitching with Suárez (6-2, 2.08 ERA). Braves have struggled more this year (38-44) and are 15-28 at home, despite recent form with a 5-5 last ten and coming off a 6-1 win. Braves rely heavily on Strider who has a higher ERA (4.07) and fewer innings pitched.
Historical data indicates the Phillies have the edge in recent matchups, with a strong pitching matchup favoring them. The Braves have been favorites in many games but have only a 54.2% win rate as favorites. Phillies have been underdogs on moneyline previously with less success but have better performance away this season.
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineup or pitching staff for this game.
Weather conditions are optimal for baseball with mild temperature and negligible precipitation risk, wind speed moderate and unlikely to significantly affect ball flight.
Phillies leading NL East have high motivation to maintain position, while Braves are fighting to climb standings with home field advantage but overall underdog status.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves: -142, Philadelphia Phillies: 120
Philadelphia Phillies win
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Atlanta Braves -1.5: 150, Philadelphia Phillies +1.5: -184
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -108, Under 8.5: -112
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves 28%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 0%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlanta Braves at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies are predicted to win the game due to superior pitching performance, better overall record, and efficient away performance despite the Braves' home field advantage and recent form.
This game pits the Atlanta Braves against the Colorado Rockies in a matchup where the Braves are favored due to their strong home performance and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
The Atlanta Braves have generally performed better at home, with a strong lineup and pitching staff. The Colorado Rockies often struggle on the road, which could impact their performance.
Historically, the Braves have a slight edge in head-to-head matchups against the Rockies, but recent games have been competitive.
As of the latest update, there are no significant injury reports for either team that would drastically impact the game's outcome.
Weather conditions at Truist Park could influence the game, but typically, the stadium's climate-controlled environment minimizes weather impacts.
Both teams are motivated to win, but the Braves may have an edge due to their desire to maintain their home dominance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -300, Colorado Rockies 245
Atlanta Braves
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Atlanta Braves -1.5 -152, Colorado Rockies 1.5 126
Atlanta Braves -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 9 -108, Under 9 -112
Under 9
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Atlanta Braves are likely to win this game, given their strong home record and the Rockies' struggles on the road.
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Atlanta Braves on June 11, 2025. The Brewers are at 36-32, while the Braves are at 28-38. The pitching matchup features Spencer Schwellenbach for the Braves against Corbin Patrick for the Brewers.
Key Factors to Consider
The Braves have a batting average of .243 with a .386 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA. The Brewers' performance statistics are not detailed in the available data.
No recent head-to-head data is provided.
No injury reports are detailed.
Weather conditions and crowd support are factors but not detailed.
The Braves aim to improve their standings, while the Brewers seek to maintain their position.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves: -142, Milwaukee Brewers: +120
Atlanta Braves win
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+118), Milwaukee Brewers: +1.5 (-142)
Atlanta Braves cover
★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under
Over 8: -114, Under 8: -106
Over 8
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 -4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlanta Braves at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Atlanta Braves are favored due to their marginally better odds and recent team performance metrics.
Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 5, Milwaukee Brewers 3