Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-29
- Time: 6:11 PM UTC
- Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Colorado Rockies in an MLB matchup at American Family Field. The Brewers have a strong season record of 47-36 and are currently on a four-game winning streak, while the Rockies struggle with a poor 18-65 record and a five-game losing streak. The Brewers excel at home (27-16) and feature key players like Christian Yelich, making them favorites. The Rockies face an uphill battle trying to snap their losing streak against a solid Brewers team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Brewers hold a 47-36 record with a winning percentage of .566 and are 27-16 at home, riding a four-game winning streak. Colorado Rockies have a 18-65 record with a .217 winning percentage and are on a five-game losing streak, displaying significant struggles both overall and within their division.
- Recent form and season records heavily favor the Brewers. The Rockies have a poor division record (1-10) and have won only 17 of 80 games where they were underdogs, while Brewers have won 68.3% of games where favored, including a 2-0 record when favored at around -268 or stronger this season.
- No specific injury reports were found for either team for this game, suggesting both teams likely have standard lineups available.
- The game is played at American Family Field, giving home-field advantage to the Brewers. The Brewers perform well in this environment, and the Rockies face extra pressure on the road amid their long losing streak.
- The Brewers are motivated to continue their winning streak and strengthen their playoff positioning. The Rockies are highly motivated to break their five-game losing skid and prove themselves against a strong opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: +215, Milwaukee Brewers: -260 | Milwaukee Brewers to win | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies +1.5: +105, Milwaukee Brewers -1.5: -126 | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -108, Under 8.5: -112 | Over 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers are predicted to win this match given their superior form, home advantage, and stronger team performance metrics. The likely score is a Brewers 5 – Rockies 3 outcome, with an over total runs expectation.
Predicted Score: Brewers 5 – Rockies 3