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Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de San Mamés

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Sevilla in the opening week of the 2025/26 La Liga season. Athletic Bilbao is favored to win given home advantage, stronger squad stability, and recent statistical models projecting them as clear favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao maintained relative squad consistency over the off-season and have shown solid form recently. Sevilla, meanwhile, has a slow squad with limited new signings and tactical changes under new coach Almeyda, which may hinder their adaptability.
  • Historical H2H advantages lean toward Athletic Bilbao, especially when playing at home, where Sevilla has struggled to gain points.
  • No critical injuries reported for Athletic Bilbao. Sevilla’s lineup appears stable but lacks pace, potentially limiting offensive options.
  • The match is played at San Mamés, notoriously a difficult venue for visiting teams, giving Athletic Bilbao a significant edge. Early season motivation to start strongly impacts both sides.
  • Athletic Bilbao looks motivated to capitalize on home advantage and set a strong tone for the season, especially with players like Nico Williams expected to perform well. Sevilla aims to adjust tactically but faces an uphill battle early on.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -174, draw: 295, away: 475 Athletic Bilbao ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: -1 105, Sevilla: +1 -125 Athletic Bilbao -1 ★★★☆☆ 66%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 100 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao to win on the moneyline, cover the -1 spread, and the under 2.25 goals to hit.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga fixture between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona will take place at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao. This is a crucial late-season match with Barcelona top of the table and Athletic Bilbao placed fourth, both teams looking to secure important points for their final standings. Barcelona arrives with a slightly better recent record but faces the challenge of an energetic and motivated Athletic Bilbao side playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has shown solid home form recently with three wins in their last five matches, including a 1-0 victory over Alaves. Barcelona's form has been mixed with two wins and two losses in their last five La Liga matches, demonstrating some inconsistency but still holding first place in the league.
  • In the current season, Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona have faced each other once before, with Barcelona maintaining a strong historical advantage in overall meetings. Home advantage could be significant for Athletic Bilbao at San Mamés, but Barcelona typically poses a formidable challenge.
  • No specific injury updates are currently available from the sources, suggesting both squads may be near full strength for this key fixture.
  • The match is the final game of the La Liga season, adding motivation for both teams. Barcelona aims to consolidate their title run, while Athletic Bilbao seeks to secure a Champions League qualification spot. The match location at San Mamés provides a passionate home crowd advantage for Athletic Bilbao.
  • Barcelona, leading the league, is motivated to seal the title with a win. Athletic Bilbao, in fourth place, is motivated to secure European qualification, making this game highly competitive and intense.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 220, Barcelona: 110, Draw: 280 Barcelona Win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: 25 -102, Barcelona: -0.25 -118 Barcelona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3 -118, Under: 3 -102 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anticipating a tightly contested match, Barcelona is slightly favored due to overall quality and league standing, but Athletic Bilbao’s home advantage and motivation make a draw or narrow win for either side plausible. Expect both teams to play cautiously with chances to break through in key moments.

Predicted Score: Athletic Bilbao 1 – 2 Barcelona


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Getafe vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 15, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe, Spain

Game Overview

Getafe, currently ranked 13th, is facing Athletic Bilbao, who holds 4th place in the La Liga standings. Both teams have shown contrasting forms, with Getafe struggling in recent matches, while Athletic Bilbao maintains a consistent performance. The match is expected to be closely contested, given Getafe's need for improvement and Athletic's push for a higher league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Getafe has struggled with 5 losses in their last 6 La Liga matches and has won only 1 of their last 8 home games. Athletic Bilbao has a 50% win rate in their last 6 games.
  • In their head-to-head history, Getafe and Athletic Bilbao have had 5 draws in their last 6 matchups.
  • No specific injury details are available.
  • Weather conditions are not expected to significantly impact the match.
  • Getafe is motivated to break their losing streak and improve their league standing, while Athletic Bilbao aims to maintain their top-four position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 160, Getafe: 230, Draw: 175 Draw ★★★☆☆ 53%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: 0 -140, Getafe: 0 115 Draw or Getafe ★★☆☆☆ 36%
Over/under Over: 1.75 -120, Under: 1.75 100 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 46%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent performances and head-to-head statistics, the match is likely to end in a draw with fewer goals scored.

Predicted Score: 0:0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 15, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Flamengo-RJ vs. LDU Quito Prediction Flamengo-RJ -575 950%
Club Atletico Talleres vs. Alianza Lima Prediction Club Atletico Talleres -155 197%
Getafe vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction Draw 175 46%

Combined Odds: +431 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $106.22

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Manchester United vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-08
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Old Trafford

Game Overview

Manchester United lead 3-0 from the first leg in Bilbao. The second leg at Old Trafford will determine who advances to the final, with Athletic Club needing a historic comeback. United's dominant first-leg performance included goals from Casemiro and Bruno Fernandes (x2), while Athletic's Dani Vivian was sent off, leaving them shorthanded and demoralized.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Man Utd’s clinical first-leg display (3 goals in 30 minutes) contrasts sharply with Athletic’s inability to capitalize domestically or in Europe. United’s defensive organization limited Athletic to zero shots on target in the first leg[3].
  • Recent head-to-head favors United after their comprehensive first-leg victory. Historical data is limited as these teams rarely meet in European competition.
  • Man Utd’s squad received a boost with Matthijs de Ligt and Amad Diallo returning to the traveling party[4]. No reported injuries from Athletic beyond the red-card suspension of Vivian.
  • Athletic Club’s motivation stems from the final being held at their home stadium (San Mames), but their 3-goal deficit and away leg at Old Trafford make this nearly insurmountable.
  • United are prioritizing Europa League success to salvage their season and secure Champions League qualification[4], while Athletic face psychological pressure to avoid humiliation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Man Utd 110 | Draw 257 | Athletic 240 Manchester United ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Man Utd -0.25 (-120) | Athletic +25 (100) Manchester United to cover -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-118) | Under 2.5 (-102) Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester United 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manchester United at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester United to control the tempo and defend their aggregate lead, likely leading to a low-scoring game where Athletic Club struggle to break through.

Predicted Score: Manchester United 1-0 Athletic Club (4-0 aggregate)


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 8, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Velez Sarsfield vs. Olimpia Asunción Prediction Velez Sarsfield -135 225%
Club Atletico Talleres vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Club Atletico Talleres -135 175%
Manchester United vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction Manchester United 110 26%

Combined Odds: +536 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $127.27

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Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Reale Arena, San Sebastian, Spain

Game Overview

Real Sociedad, currently ranked 10th in La Liga, faces Athletic Bilbao, ranked 4th. The match is pivotal for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league. Real Sociedad seeks to climb the rankings, while Athletic Bilbao looks to maintain its top-four spot.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Sociedad has shown inconsistent form, while Athletic Bilbao has demonstrated more consistency, sitting higher in the league table. Both teams have the potential to score, but defense could be key.
  • Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested. Athletic Bilbao's recent performances might give them a slight edge in terms of confidence and form.
  • No specific information is available regarding current injuries for this match. Injuries could impact team dynamics and player availability.
  • The home advantage might benefit Real Sociedad, but Athletic Bilbao's form suggests they are capable of securing results away from home.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Real Sociedad aiming to climb the table and Athletic Bilbao seeking to secure a Champions League spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 205, Real Sociedad: 150, Draw: 215 Draw or Athletic Bilbao, as both teams are closely matched. ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: 25 -134, Real Sociedad: -0.25 112 Real Sociedad to cover, given home advantage. ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -112, Under: 2 -108 Under 2 goals, given both teams' defensive capabilities. ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Sociedad 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Sociedad at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match could be tightly contested, with both teams looking for a vital win. Given Athletic Bilbao's recent form and higher league position, they might have a slight edge, though neither team is clear favorite.

Predicted Score: 1-1 Draw


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 4, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 4, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati Prediction New York City FC 125 51%
Vasco da Gama vs. Palmeiras Prediction Palmeiras -135 39%
Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction Real Sociedad 150 28%

Combined Odds: +879 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $195.83

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Manchester United Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Manchester United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United face off in a crucial UEFA Europa League matchup. Athletic Bilbao will look to capitalize on their home advantage at San Mamés, while Manchester United seeks to assert their dominance in European competitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown mixed form recently. Athletic Bilbao's home performances could be pivotal, while Manchester United has struggled with consistency across different competitions.
  • Historical matchups between the two are limited, but Manchester United's experience in European competitions might give them an edge.
  • Injury reports are not fully available, but any significant absences could impact team dynamics.
  • The match is part of the knockout phase, and high stakes could affect team strategies and player psychology.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Manchester United seeking redemption from recent domestic performances and Athletic Bilbao aiming for European success.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 105, Manchester United: 270, Draw: 245 Athletic Bilbao to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: -0.5 105, Manchester United: 50 -125 Athletic Bilbao to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -115, Under: 2.25 -105 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao has a slight advantage due to home-field advantage, but Manchester United's experience makes the match highly competitive.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Athletic Bilbao


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Las Palmas Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao will host Las Palmas at San Mamés in a La Liga match on April 23, 2025. Athletic Bilbao enters as a strong favorite due to recent form and home advantage, while Las Palmas will aim to challenge and improve on prior seasons' struggles in away fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has shown solid form in recent matches, including consecutive victories against Las Palmas in their last encounters (3-2 and 2-0 wins). Las Palmas has faced challenges in away games but maintains potential for counterattacks and resilient defense.
  • In their last meetings, Athletic Bilbao won both matches in the current and previous season, demonstrating dominance with scores 3-2 and 2-0. Historically, Bilbao holds a clear advantage in H2H.
  • No specific injury data available from the retrieved sources; however, no major absences reported that could significantly affect Athletic Bilbao's lineup currently.
  • Playing at San Mamés gives Athletic Bilbao a significant home field advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard for April in Bilbao, favoring the home team.
  • Athletic Bilbao are motivated to secure home points to strengthen their league standing, while Las Palmas may be driven to upset and gain critical points in their away challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: -260, Las Palmas: 650, Draw: 420 Athletic Bilbao win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: -1.25 -118, Las Palmas: 1.25 -102 Athletic Bilbao -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: -112, Under 2.75: -108 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao is predicted to win this match based on current form, home advantage, and superior head-to-head record. A competitive game is expected, but Athletic Bilbao should maintain control.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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