Match Analysis: Swansea City vs Hull City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea, Wales
Game Overview
The match is an English Football League Championship fixture between Swansea City (7th place) and Hull City (17th place). Swansea, playing at home, are seen as favorites backed by their stronger league position and historical moderate dominance in recent head-to-head encounters. Hull City are underdogs but can be competitive when playing away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Swansea City currently holds a much higher ranking (7th) compared to Hull City (17th), reflecting better recent form and consistency. Swansea generally have stronger offensive and defensive metrics. Hull City have struggled more recently with lower points accumulation and defensive frailties.
- In recent seasons, Swansea and Hull have faced each other multiple times with Swansea generally having a slight edge. Last season they played twice with Swansea securing better results, highlighting a psychological and tactical advantage at home.
- No specific injury data is directly available in the search results; however, no major reported absences for either team have been indicated, suggesting lineups may be close to full strength.
- The fixture will also celebrate Swansea City's Academy, which may boost home team motivation and crowd support. Weather conditions and pitch quality at Swansea.com Stadium are generally favorable for home advantage.
- Swansea City will be motivated to maintain or improve their strong position in the top 7 for potential playoff contention. Hull City, in contrast, aim to climb from lower mid-table and will look to steal points away to improve their standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hull City: 340, Swansea City: -132, Draw: 245 | Swansea City | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Hull City: 50, Hull_city_odds_value: 105, Swansea City: -0.5, Swansea_city_odds_value: -125 | Swansea City -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: 102 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Swansea City 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Swansea City is predicted to win this match due to stronger form, home advantage, and historical superiority, with Hull City likely to compete but fall short of victory.
Predicted Score: 2-1