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Aston Villa vs. Bologna Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England

Game Overview

Aston Villa and Bologna will face off in the UEFA Europa League group stage at Villa Park. Aston Villa are currently 1st in their league with a strong European home record last season, while Bologna hold 3rd position in Serie A and are looking to build on a recent comeback win. Both teams have had contrasting domestic results recently, with Villa drawing against Sunderland and Bologna winning narrowly against Genoa. The match marks the first meeting between these teams in this Europa League campaign, though they met in Champions League group stages last season, where Villa won 2-0 at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa have struggled with a six-game winless run this season across competitions, but boast a strong home European performance last season with five wins and four clean sheets in six games. Bologna have a solid record in Serie A with close one-goal margin wins and recent comeback form, but have been winless in five European matches against English sides.
  • Last season in the UEFA Champions League group stage, Aston Villa secured a 2-0 home victory against Bologna. Historically, Bologna are winless in their five European games facing English clubs, with four losses, favoring Villa psychologically and statistically.
  • No specific injury data available from current sources.
  • Villa Park offers a strong home atmosphere favorable to Aston Villa’s performance. Bologna may face away travel fatigue and historically struggle in European away matches in England.
  • Both teams aim to start their Europa League campaign strongly. Aston Villa will look to assert dominance at home and reverse their domestic form, while Bologna will seek to build confidence on European nights and continue their positive league momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: -119, Bologna: 360, Draw: 245 Aston Villa win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Aston Villa -0.5: -119, Bologna +50: -101 Aston Villa -0.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa are favorites to win given their home advantage, historical head-to-head superiority, and European form. A closely contested game is expected but Villa’s edge should see them secure a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 25, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Aston Villa vs. Bologna Prediction Aston Villa -0.5 -119 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Flamengo Flamengo-RJ Win 115 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Salzburg vs. Porto Prediction Porto -0.5 -106 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +669

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $153.79

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Sunderland vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sunderland vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadium of Light, Sunderland, England

Game Overview

Sunderland, newly promoted and unexpectedly performing well, currently sit in the top six of the Premier League, having suffered only one defeat in four rounds. They have a strong home record this season, including wins against West Ham and Brentford, led by key forward Wilson Isidor. Aston Villa, traditionally a Champions League contender, have had a disappointing start to the 2025/26 season and currently sit 19th, struggling for form. The match takes place at Sunderland's home ground, where they have shown significant strength and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sunderland have performed strongly at home, winning both of their matches at the Stadium of Light this season with effective attacking play, although their offensive output dipped during their recent draw away at Crystal Palace. Wilson Isidor has been a key goal scorer. Aston Villa have started the season poorly, losing two and drawing two of their first four games, struggling to find consistency under pressure.
  • The two sides last met in 2018 in the Championship, with Aston Villa losing just one of their previous 12 matches against Sunderland historically. However, given the time gap and changes in squads and leagues, head-to-head stats have limited predictive value for this match.
  • No specific injury updates were found in the sources provided, suggesting both teams may have near full strength squads available for the match.
  • Playing at home offers Sunderland a key advantage due to their strong home form this season and high crowd support, which may influence the game dynamics. Aston Villa’s poor early season form may also be impacted by internal pressure and fan expectations.
  • Sunderland’s surge as a promoted side motivating them to maintain top-six positioning contrasts with Aston Villa’s urgent need to arrest their decline from potential relegation worries. Sunderland appear more motivated given recent successes at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: 111, Sunderland: 250, Draw: 222 Sunderland Win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Aston Villa: -0.5 (1.08), Sunderland: +50 (-1.43) Sunderland +0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: 116, Under 2.5: -154 Under 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa -98%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Sunderland are predicted to continue their strong home performance and edge Aston Villa, who are struggling this season. A Sunderland win is the most likely outcome with a moderate margin.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Sunderland


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Everton vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Everton vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Everton Stadium, Liverpool, England

Game Overview

Everton, currently 5th in the Premier League, host Aston Villa, who are struggling at 19th position. Everton enter the match with confidence from recent wins, while Villa are yet to score a goal this season and seek their first victory. The match marks Everton's second Premier League fixture at their new stadium, and the fixture has had a recent history of Villa dominance in head-to-head encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Everton have won their last two matches before the international break and show good form, whereas Aston Villa have lost all their initial matches without scoring, including a heavy 3-0 loss at home to Crystal Palace. Villa's attacking struggles are significant, with a rare historical failure to score in their opening three games.
  • Historically, Aston Villa have dominated recent encounters with Everton, winning 11 of the last 25 matches, while Everton have won 7 and 7 ended in draws. Everton have not won any of their last 12 meetings post Villa’s return to the top flight in 2019, often failing to score against Villa at home recently.
  • Current detailed injury updates are not explicitly provided in the available data, but no major absences have been reported that could drastically change either team’s lineup.
  • Referee Simon Hooper will officiate this match, known for a somewhat favorable officiating record towards Aston Villa historically, which may influence the game dynamics. Everton’s home advantage and recent stadium change are also factors to consider.
  • Everton are motivated to maintain their strong start in a new stadium and improve their league standing, while Aston Villa are under pressure to break their scoring drought and avoid becoming one of the few Premier League teams to fail to score in the first four games.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Everton: 143, Aston Villa: 184, Draw: 226 Everton win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Everton: -0.5 138, Aston Villa: +50 -185 Everton -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -132 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Everton 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Everton at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Due to Everton’s strong recent form, home advantage, and Aston Villa’s severe goal-scoring difficulties, Everton are favored to win a low-scoring but competitive match.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 13, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC Prediction Under 2.5 117 52%
Watford vs. Blackburn Rovers Prediction Watford 121 37%
Everton vs. Aston Villa Prediction Everton 143 36%

Combined Odds: +1065 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $233.07

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Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park

Game Overview

Aston Villa hosts Crystal Palace in a Premier League clash. Villa have struggled early in the season with no wins, sitting near relegation spots, whereas Crystal Palace have shown defensive solidity and earned two draws. The match is expected to be a tight contest with limited clinical finishing from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa currently sits 17th in the EPL, with 0 goals scored and 1 conceded in two matches, including a loss and a draw. Crystal Palace is 14th with no wins but two draws, conceding one goal and scoring none. Both teams have shown strong defensive organization but lack offensive sharpness.
  • Recent encounters favor Crystal Palace, who have dominated Villa in previous seasons with comfortable wins (4-1, 5-0) and one draw (2-2). Only one of the last five meetings ended in a draw, highlighting Palace’s historical edge.
  • Crystal Palace will be missing creative midfielder Ebere Eze, reducing their attacking threat. There are no major injury concerns reported for Aston Villa.
  • The match is played at Villa Park, giving Aston Villa home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal. Motivational factors include Villa's urgency to earn their first win and Palace’s goal to extend their unbeaten run.
  • Aston Villa is motivated to recover from a poor start and avoid early relegation pressure, while Crystal Palace aims to build on solid defensive displays and continue their gradual points accumulation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: -114, Crystal Palace: 295, Draw: 250 Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Aston Villa -0.5: -117, Crystal Palace +50: -113 Aston Villa -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: -106, Under 2.5: -125 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 65%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aston Villa at 65% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A close game with a high likelihood of a draw given both teams' defensive records and attacking struggles. A 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 31, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 31, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Internacional vs. Fortaleza Prediction Internacional -172 216%
Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace Prediction Aston Villa -114 65%
1. FC Köln vs. SC Freiburg Prediction 1. FC Köln 161 44%

Combined Odds: +675 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $154.96

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Brentford vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Brentford vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford

Game Overview

The Premier League encounter between Brentford and Aston Villa on August 23, 2025, features Brentford hosting Aston Villa at the Gtech Community Stadium. Brentford currently sits 17th in the league with a weak start, while Aston Villa is positioned 10th showing more consistent performance and recent dominance in head-to-head encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brentford have struggled so far this season with no points from their opening match and only 1 goal scored against 3 conceded. Aston Villa, in contrast, have demonstrated better form, standing comfortably mid-table with a stronger offensive and defensive record. Brentford's striker Igor Thiago has scored once so far, but the team has only 1 clean sheet in recent matches. Aston Villa have performed well in recent head-to-head matches.
  • In the last five meetings, Aston Villa have dominated with three wins and two draws against Brentford. The most recent matches include a 3-1 win and 1-0 win for Aston Villa, showing clear superiority historically and psychologically.
  • No significant injury updates for either team have been reported in available sources, suggesting both squads are likely near full strength.
  • The match is played at Brentford’s home ground, Gtech Community Stadium, which might slightly favor the home team. Weather and pitch conditions are presumed standard, with no extraordinary external issues noted ahead of the game.
  • Brentford are motivated to gain their first points this season and improve morale, while Aston Villa will aim to consolidate their top-half position and capitalize on their superior head-to-head record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline aston_villa: 107, brentford: 234, draw: 246 Aston Villa win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread aston_villa_minus_50: 104, brentford_plus_50: -138 Aston Villa -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over_2.5: -131, under_2.5: -101 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Aston Villa’s better form, superior head-to-head record, and favorable odds, they are predicted to win. The confidence in Aston Villa’s victory is bolstered by Brentford’s early season struggles and home disadvantage relative to Villa’s quality.

Predicted Score: Aston Villa 2 – 1 Brentford


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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park

Game Overview

This opening fixture of the 2025/26 Premier League season features Aston Villa hosting Newcastle United at Villa Park. Aston Villa arrives optimistic after a strong preseason including dominant wins against Roma and Villarreal, showing attacking potency especially through Ollie Watkins and solid defense. Newcastle had a mixed preseason with a heavy win against Carlisle but significant losses to Celtic and Arsenal, compounded by injuries to key forwards Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon. Villa’s home advantage and balanced form grant them a slight edge in what is expected to be a close, low-scoring contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa impressed in preseason with clean sheets and attacking efficiency, notably Ollie Watkins scoring five goals. Newcastle’s preseason was inconsistent, showing some attacking threats but hampered by injuries and defensive lapses.
  • Recent encounters show competitive balance: Villa won 4-1 in April 2025, but Newcastle won 3-0 in December 2024 and 3-1 in January 2024. Their last 5 competitive matches reveal fluctuating outcomes suggesting a tight matchup historically.
  • Newcastle United are missing key attackers Alexander Isak (thigh injury) and Anthony Gordon (ankle, doubtful), which could limit their offensive threat. Aston Villa reports no major injury concerns, maintaining a strong lineup.
  • Villa’s home stadium advantage at Villa Park and positive preseason atmosphere contrast with Newcastle's injury issues and less convincing preparation. Both teams have motivation as season opener sets tone.
  • Villa aims to start the league strongly after preseason successes, while Newcastle seeks to overcome injuries and instability to avoid early setbacks. The importance of early points adds intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: 130, Newcastle United: 197, Draw: 260 Aston Villa win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Aston Villa: -0.25 101, Newcastle United: +25 -117 Aston Villa -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: 103, Under 3: -119 Under 3 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa to win by a narrow margin, leveraging home advantage and better preseason form to edge out Newcastle.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester United vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Old Trafford

Game Overview

Manchester United will host Aston Villa in a Premier League clash at Old Trafford. Historically, Manchester United has dominated this fixture, winning the majority of encounters. However, Aston Villa have been in solid form recently and pose a real threat despite being underdogs. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams aiming to secure crucial points late in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester United have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding 1.8 goals per game. Aston Villa have also won 4 of their last 5 games, scoring and conceding an average of 1.0 goal per match. Aston Villa’s recent form and defensive solidity make them a tough opponent, despite Manchester United’s home advantage.
  • Out of 61 matches since 1995, Manchester United dominated with 42 wins, 15 draws, and only 4 losses to Aston Villa. Recent head-to-head stats show a strong advantage for Manchester United both in wins and goals scored, with a winning percentage around 66.7%.
  • No specific injury data is available from the current sources, but monitoring last-minute updates on squad availability is recommended as injuries could influence lineups and tactics.
  • Playing at Old Trafford provides Manchester United a significant home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are typical for late May in England and unlikely to affect gameplay drastically. Motivations related to league standings and fines could impact player drive.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to win; Manchester United aims to capitalize on home turf and strengthen their league position, while Aston Villa seeks to upset the odds and improve their away record in the Premier League.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: -144, Manchester United: 330, Draw: 310 Aston Villa win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Aston Villa: -0.5 -147, Manchester United: 50 110 Aston Villa -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -173, Under 2.5: 129 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa are slight favorites given current odds and recent form, but Manchester United’s home advantage and historical dominance make the match evenly poised. Expect a closely fought game with potential for a narrow Aston Villa win or a draw.

Predicted Score: Aston Villa 2 – 1 Manchester United


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