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Everton vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Everton vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Goodison Park

Game Overview

Everton hosts Aston Villa in a tightly contested early Premier League encounter. Both teams have shown mixed form this season but with Everton holding slight home advantage and tactical stability, this match is likely to be closely fought with limited clear-cut chances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Everton has been solid at home, taking points from top teams but struggling against mid-table sides. Villa have been inconsistent on the road, showing vulnerability defensively and lacking clinical finishing in key moments.
  • Recent head-to-heads have been balanced, with each team taking two wins out of the last five clashes and one draw. Matches tend to be low scoring and tight affairs.
  • Everton missing a key central midfielder and an attacking winger, reducing creative spark. Aston Villa missing a starting center back and a forward due to fitness concerns, weakening their defensive organization and goal threat.
  • Goodison Park crowd could be a motivating factor for Everton, with no travel fatigue for home side. Villa faces a cramped schedule with European qualifiers recently, possibly impacting freshness.
  • Everton eager to capitalize on home advantage early in the season to avoid being dragged into relegation battles. Villa motivated to secure points to solidify mid-table position but squad rotation may affect cohesion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 143 Everton ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread 138 Everton -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under -132 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Everton 34%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Everton at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Everton Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park

Game Overview

Aston Villa hosts Crystal Palace in an EPL match where both teams have yet to secure a win this season. Villa aims to improve on a poor start (0-1-1), while Palace also remains winless (0-0-2) with strong defensive displays. The match is expected to be closely contested with both sides striving for a breakthrough.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa has 0-1-1 in their last two EPL games and are struggling at home, failing to cover the spread recently. Crystal Palace is 0-0-2, showing solid defensive form and capability to frustrate opponents. Both teams have low offensive output so far this season.
  • The last five meetings saw only one draw; Palace has proven difficult to beat for Villa. Matches tend to be tight and low-scoring, frequently decided by small margins.
  • Crystal Palace is missing creative midfielder Ebere Eze, which reduces their attacking creativity. Aston Villa's injury list is stable with no major absences reported.
  • The fixture timing (early season) and the venue Villa Park favor Villa but the pressure to claim first points may add tension. Public betting heavily favors Aston Villa, possibly skewing the value on their side.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to avoid an 0-3 start; Palace’s defensive resilience gives them confidence, while Villa seeks to reverse their poor form on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -114, away: +295, draw: +250 Draw ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread home: -0.5 -117, away: +50 -113 Crystal Palace +0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: 2.5 -106, under: 2.5 -125 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 47%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 31, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 31, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Santos vs. Fluminense Prediction Fluminense 212 47%
1. FC Köln vs. SC Freiburg Prediction 1. FC Köln 161 44%
Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace Prediction Aston Villa -114 40%

Combined Odds: +1429 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $305.73

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Brentford vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Brentford vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Brentford Community Stadium

Game Overview

Brentford hosts Aston Villa in an EPL match where Villa are slight favorites given current form and defensive solidity, but Brentford’s home performances and attacking transitions make them a tough opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brentford lost their opening match and have inconsistency issues, but show stronger form at home with previous seasons' solid home records. Aston Villa have drawn their opener and display a well-organized, possession-based style with strong defensive foundation under Emiliano Martínez.
  • Recent head-to-head shows competitive matches with close results. Models predict Villa with approximately 48% chance to win, Brentford 28%, and draw 24%.
  • Brentford missing Yoane Wissa (unavailable), possible debut for Dango Outtara. Aston Villa have key players back including Emiliano Martínez; no significant injuries reported.
  • Villa’s tactical system focuses on drawing Brentford’s full-backs inside to create space for wide attacking runs. Brentford motivated by first home game under new manager, with set-piece threat via Andrews.
  • Brentford motivated to bounce back at home after opening loss; Aston Villa motivated to improve goal efficiency following a goalless draw, aiming to assert dominance early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +234, away: +107, draw: +246 Away ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home +50: -138, away -0.5: +104 Home +0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over 2.5: -131, under 2.5: -101 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 66%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aston Villa at 66% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa to win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 23, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Bournemouth vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction Bournemouth -127 138%
Sheffield United vs. Millwall Prediction Sheffield United -105 113%
Brentford vs. Aston Villa Prediction Aston Villa 107 66%

Combined Odds: +622 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $144.47

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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park

Game Overview

Aston Villa and Newcastle United face off in the opening weekend of the 2025/26 Premier League season. Both sides finished in the top six last season, with Newcastle fifth and Villa sixth, indicating a closely matched contest with high-quality attacking players on both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa ended last season strong with 12 home wins and a potent attacking line led by Ollie Watkins (19 goals). Newcastle finished slightly higher but struggled in pre-season, managing only draws and a loss. Villa's pre-season was more convincing with wins against Roma and Villarreal.
  • Recent head-to-head matches slightly favor Newcastle with a 3-1 win earlier in 2025 and a 3-0 victory in December 2024. However, Villa secured a 4-1 win in their last meeting in April 2025, showing these teams can exchange decisive results.
  • Aston Villa face doubts with Morgan Rogers injured, Ross Barkley out, and Emiliano Martinez suspended, potentially weakening their defensive options. Newcastle's injury updates are less severe but Anthony Gordon's availability is uncertain, impacting their attacking threat.
  • Villa plays at home with strong fan support at Villa Park, a venue where they were formidable last season. Newcastle face travel fatigue and have a less successful pre-season form which may affect their sharpness.
  • Both teams are motivated to start strong after missing out on Champions League qualification narrowly last year. Villa look to build on home advantage and rectify defensive lapses, while Newcastle seek to avoid a slow start given their pre-season struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: 1.3, Newcastle United: 1.97, Draw: 2.6 Aston Villa ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Aston Villa -0.25: 1.01, Newcastle United +25: 1.17 Aston Villa -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3: 1.03, Under 3: 1.19 Under 3 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aston Villa at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester United vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Old Trafford

Game Overview

This match between Manchester United and Aston Villa is a pivotal Premier League fixture. Manchester United generally performs well against Aston Villa historically, but recent trends and odds suggest Aston Villa could pose a strong challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester United has historically dominated Aston Villa, winning a significant number of their head-to-head matches. However, Aston Villa's recent form has been impressive, particularly in away games.
  • Manchester United has a strong historical advantage over Aston Villa, winning about 74% of their direct matches. However, Aston Villa has shown resilience in recent encounters.
  • Specific injury details are not provided, but both teams should be cautious with key players' availability.
  • Home advantage typically favors Manchester United, but Aston Villa's confidence and recent away wins could mitigate this.
  • Both teams are likely motivated to secure a win, especially given the stage of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: -144, Manchester United: 330, Draw: 310 Aston Villa Win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Aston Villa: -0.5 -147, Manchester United: 50 110 Aston Villa to Cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -173, Under: 2.5 129 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa -32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on historical dominance and home advantage, Manchester United is likely to put up a strong fight, but Aston Villa's recent form suggests they could secure a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Aston Villa


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Aston Villa vs. Tottenham Hotspur Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 16 May 2025
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England

Game Overview

The upcoming Premier League match between Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur features a significant gap in team standings, with Aston Villa currently ranked 6th and Tottenham Hotspur at 17th. Given Aston Villa's home advantage and better league position, they are expected to dominate the match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa has been performing well this season, maintaining a strong position in the league, while Tottenham Hotspur has struggled to find consistency.
  • Historically, both teams have had their share of wins against each other, but recent performances suggest Aston Villa might have an edge.
  • There is no detailed information on current injuries for either team, but such factors could impact team dynamics significantly.
  • As the match is televised live on Sky Sports, the pressure and visibility could affect player performance.
  • Aston Villa will be motivated to secure points to maintain their top-seven position, while Tottenham Hotspur may fight to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: -275, Tottenham Hotspur: 600, Draw: 475 Aston Villa High (70%)
Spread Aston Villa: -1.5 -105, Tottenham Hotspur: 1.5 -115 Aston Villa Medium (50%)
Over/under Over: 3.5 -102, Under: 3.5 -118 Under Medium (50%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa -25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa is likely to win due to their home advantage and superior league standing.

Predicted Score: 2:1


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Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, England

Game Overview

The Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Aston Villa at Vitality Stadium is a competitive fixture with both teams vying for a higher finish in the table, currently sitting 8th and 7th respectively. Both sides have been showing solid form in the latter part of the season, making this an evenly matched encounter likely to be settled by fine margins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa holds a slight edge being one position above Bournemouth, reflecting marginally better recent results and consistency. Bournemouth’s home record is decent, but Aston Villa’s ability to secure points away indicates strong competitiveness. Both teams have similar goal averages, suggesting a balanced attacking and defensive output.
  • This season's only previous encounter between Bournemouth and Aston Villa showed tight competition, with both teams evenly matched and no dominant pattern emerging. Their historical head-to-head results reinforce the likelihood of a close game with low goal margins.
  • No critical injury reports are currently available for either team to significantly influence the match outcome, implying expected starting line-ups with full-strength squads.
  • The match is played at Bournemouth’s home ground which traditionally offers the home side slight advantage. Weather conditions are typical for early May in England and expected to be neutral, with no disruptive external factors noted.
  • Both teams are pushing to secure a better finish in the Premier League standings, which adds competitive intensity. The proximity in league position increases the motivation for both sides to claim maximum points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: 1.68, Bournemouth: 1.4, Draw: 2.6 Bournemouth moneyline ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Aston Villa +50: -180, Bournemouth -0.5: 134 Bournemouth -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -170, Under 2.5: 127 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bournemouth 39%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 36%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bournemouth at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the close form, standings, and home advantage, Bournemouth is predicted to edge a narrow victory over Aston Villa, though a draw is a viable outcome given their head-to-head balance.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Bournemouth


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 10, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 10, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Montpellier vs. Paris Saint Germain Prediction Paris Saint Germain -420 660%
AS Monaco vs. Lyon Prediction AS Monaco -120 141%
Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa Prediction Bournemouth 140 39%

Combined Odds: +445 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $108.95

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