Match Analysis: AS Roma vs Lille – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-02
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Game Overview
AS Roma hosts Lille in the UEFA Europa League with Roma favored due to strong recent form, tactical solidity under new coach Gian Piero Gasperini, and home advantage. Lille, led by Bruno Genesio, shows attacking ambition but are inconsistent and have injury doubts.
Key Factors to Consider
- Roma has won three consecutive matches across competitions, including a 2-1 Europa League opener over Nice. Lille lost their latest league game 1-0 and showed mixed attacking efficiency.
- No prior head-to-head data available between AS Roma and Lille.
- Romaβs key player Paulo Dybala is still recovering. Leon Bailey is a major doubt. Lilleβs Tiago Santos is doubtful after a recent knock.
- Roma benefits from playing at Stadio Olimpico with large supportive home crowds. Lille travels and suffers from recent form and squad uncertainties.
- Roma seeks to maintain perfect Europa League start and strong domestic form, incentivizing a confident home performance. Lille aims for European stability but faces pressure from recent setbacks.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AS Roma -145, Lille +380, Draw +280 | AS Roma | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | AS Roma -0.75 -118, Lille +75 -112 | AS Roma -0.75 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -120, Under 2.5 -110 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Roma 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Roma to win, with over 2.5 goals expected
Predicted Score: 2-1