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Estoril vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Estoril vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-07
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium

Game Overview

Estoril hosts Arouca in a mid-table Primeira Liga clash vital for both teams to improve standings. Estoril has a slight form edge boosted by a recent 4-0 home win, while Arouca struggles for consistency away. Both teams have scored but also conceded regularly, suggesting a moderately open game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril is in better recent form with a dominant 4-0 home victory in their last match, holding 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses at home this season. Arouca has been less consistent, with more away defeats and lower goal output compared to Estoril's 15 home goals versus Arouca's 10 away.
  • H2H record over 20 matches is balanced: Estoril 7 wins, Arouca 8 wins, 5 draws. Their last meeting ended 1-1. Average goals per game in this fixture is 2.85, indicating moderately scoring contests.
  • No significant injury news impacting starting lineups for either side has been reported recently, so both teams should be near full strength.
  • Playing at home gives Estoril an advantage in familiar conditions. Weather or travel disruptions are not reported. The match timing allows full rest for Estoril after prior strong performance.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb the league table, but Estoril's recent commanding win can boost confidence and desire to consolidate home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -101 Estoril ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -122 Estoril -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -115 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estoril Moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Arouca vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

Arouca hosts Moreirense FC in a Portugal Primeira Liga matchup featuring two teams with mixed recent performances and a closely contested head-to-head record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are in poor recent form; Arouca has a weak home record with only 1 home win and several draws and losses, while Moreirense has managed 1 win in their last 4 away games, indicating inconsistent form.
  • Moreirense leads the recent head-to-head with 9 wins compared to Arouca's 7 in their past 18 meetings, but the margin is narrow and includes many draws, showing a fairly balanced rivalry.
  • No specific injury updates available; assume key players are generally available, but last-minute check is recommended.
  • The game is at Arouca’s home stadium which typically provides advantage, but recent home form undermines this; no unusual external factors noted.
  • Both sides need points to improve their league positions, but Moreirense's slightly better away form and past success may provide marginal psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +155, Moreirense FC: +176, Draw: +225 Moreirense FC ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Arouca: 0 -120, Moreirense FC: 0 +100 Moreirense FC +0 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Moreirense FC to win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Benfica vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

This matchup sees Benfica, currently ranked 3rd in Liga Portugal, host Arouca, who are 11th. Benfica has historically dominated Arouca, winning 17 of their last 20 encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is in stronger form, with better recent results and statistical performance indicators like average goals scored and conceded. Arouca struggles with consistency.
  • Benfica has a significant historical advantage, winning 17 of 20 past matches against Arouca.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team.
  • Motivation to win is high for Benfica as they pursue a strong league position.
  • Benfica needs wins to maintain their contention for European spots.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica -675, Arouca 1300, Draw 725 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica -2 -122, Arouca +2 102 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 3.25 -112, Under 3.25 -108 Over 3.25 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is the clear favorite, with strong historical and recent form advantages.

Predicted Score: Benfica 4 – Arouca 1


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Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-29
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

FC Porto enters the match as dominant league leaders with an unblemished record, while Arouca has mixed form but recently gained confidence with an away win. Porto's strong offense and defense contrast with Arouca’s inconsistent home results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Porto has 6 wins in 6 matches this season scoring 15 goals and conceding only 1, holding first place. Arouca sits 10th with an 8-point tally from 6 games, showing inconsistent home form with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss.
  • In the last 10 matches since 2017, Porto won 8 times against Arouca, who has only 1 victory. Porto has dominated recent encounters with big wins including 4-0 and 5-1 results.
  • Arouca reportedly has a fully fit squad for this fixture. No significant injury concerns have been noted for either team.
  • The match is at Arouca’s home ground, which may offer them slight advantage, but Porto’s superior quality lessens this impact.
  • Porto aims to maintain their 100% winning streak and top league position. Arouca seeks to build on their last away win and improve home results, showing motivation but with lower leverage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +725, FC Porto: -290, Draw: +395 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Arouca +1.25: +100, FC Porto -1.25: -120 FC Porto -1.25 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win the match

Predicted Score: FC Porto 3 – 1 Arouca


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Genoa vs. Lazio Prediction Lazio 155 22%
Sao Paulo vs. Ceará Prediction Under 2 102 17%
Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction Over 2.75 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +906 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $201.13

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction FC Porto Win -290 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Valencia vs. Oviedo Prediction Valencia Win -145 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Everton vs. West Ham United Prediction Everton Win -151 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +278

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $75.54

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Nacional vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Madeira, Funchal

Game Overview

The match features Nacional hosting Arouca in Portugal's Primeira Liga at Estádio da Madeira. Both teams are close in league standings with Arouca just above Nacional, indicating a tight contest. Nacional struggles at home with no wins this season, while Arouca has a slightly better recent record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional sits 14th with 4 points including 1 win and 3 losses, showing defensive weaknesses with a -4 goal difference. Arouca is 12th with 5 points, marginally better but with a poor defense conceding 13 goals in 5 matches.
  • The last meeting ended 2-1 in favor of Arouca, giving them a psychological edge over Nacional. Overall, head-to-head encounters are competitive with no dominant trend.
  • No major injury updates reported affecting either side significantly ahead of this match.
  • Match played at Nacional's home ground, which could provide home advantage. Pressure is on Nacional to earn their first home win of the season.
  • Nacional highly motivated to break home win drought and improve their league position. Arouca seeking to maintain their slight advantage in standings and build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +188, Nacional: +152, Draw: +212 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Arouca: +105, Nacional: -125 Arouca +0 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: +100 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arouca at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline pick: Arouca to win. Spread pick: Arouca +0. Confidence pick: Under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Arouca vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

Arouca hosts Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga at Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Arouca holds a mid-table position with stable recent performance, while Casa Pia struggles near relegation. The game is a critical opportunity for Arouca to consolidate points and for Casa Pia to improve their standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has a solid home form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Casa Pia has struggled offensively, scoring only 2 goals in 4 matches and sits 14th in the table with 3 points.
  • Historically, Arouca has been the stronger team at home versus Casa Pia, with a better win ratio in recent encounters. Casa Pia’s away performance has been inconsistent.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would materially affect starting lineups or tactical approach.
  • The match is played at Arouca's home ground, giving them a home advantage. No weather or external disruptions noted.
  • Arouca aims to consolidate their strong position in the mid-table and chase European spots, while Casa Pia is motivated to escape the relegation zone and get their first wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -103, away: 290, draw: 230 Home Win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home_minus_50: -102, away_plus_50: -118 Home -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over_2.25: -110, under_2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 134%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arouca at 134% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to finish under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Vitória SC vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes, Portugal

Game Overview

Vitória SC and Arouca are closely matched around mid-table in Portugal's Primeira Liga, with Vitória SC currently 9th and Arouca 8th. Both teams show similar recent form with moderate scoring but defensive vulnerabilities, making this a competitive fixture at Vitória's home ground.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC recently scored 11 goals in 5 matches but haven't kept a clean sheet in 5 games, conceding 2.33 goals on average. Arouca scored 2 goals per game but concede more heavily at 3.33 goals on average. Vitória SC has slightly better recent results and home advantage.
  • Historically, Vitória SC leads with 10 wins to Arouca's 4 in 20 encounters; recent matches suggest a balanced dynamic with a 2-2 draw in their last league meeting earlier in 2025. Vitória SC has a slightly higher win ratio head-to-head.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players, implying both squads near full strength.
  • Match takes place at Vitória SC's home stadium, Dom Afonso Henriques, presenting a home advantage. No major external disruptions known.
  • Both teams sit in mid-table and will seek points to improve standings early in the season. Vitória SC, playing at home and with a slightly better form, have marginally stronger motivation to capitalize.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitória SC: -125, Draw: +255, Arouca: +345 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Vitória SC -0.5: -122, Arouca +50: +102 Vitória SC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: +102, Under 2.5: -122 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Arouca vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

This Liga Portugal match features Arouca hosting Rio Ave FC. Recent trends show Rio Ave is undefeated in 12 of their last 13 matches against Arouca, indicating strong recent performance despite Arouca's slight historical edge in total wins. The teams have closely matched head-to-head statistics with balanced scoring rates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca's last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 0.8 on average. Rio Ave's last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 goals per match, showing a more offensive but slightly vulnerable defense.
  • Across 20 past meetings, Arouca has 7 wins and Rio Ave 8, with 5 draws. Recent seasons favor Rio Ave, who are undefeated in 12 of their last 13 clashes, suggesting momentum advantage.
  • Available data does not specify impactful injuries for either team, indicating likely full-strength squads.
  • Match played at home grounds of Arouca may provide some home advantage but recent head-to-head suggests Rio Ave handles this well. No significant external disruptions reported.
  • Rio Ave currently has stronger motivation to maintain their unbeaten streak against Arouca and improve their upper mid-table position, while Arouca aims to capitalize on home advantage to start the season strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +100, Rio_Ave_FC: +270, Draw: +240 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Arouca_-0.5: +102, Rio_Ave_+50: -122 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over_2.5: +105, Under_2.5: -125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Arouca to win. Spread: Arouca -0.5. Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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