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Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-29
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

FC Porto enters the match as dominant league leaders with an unblemished record, while Arouca has mixed form but recently gained confidence with an away win. Porto's strong offense and defense contrast with Arouca’s inconsistent home results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Porto has 6 wins in 6 matches this season scoring 15 goals and conceding only 1, holding first place. Arouca sits 10th with an 8-point tally from 6 games, showing inconsistent home form with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss.
  • In the last 10 matches since 2017, Porto won 8 times against Arouca, who has only 1 victory. Porto has dominated recent encounters with big wins including 4-0 and 5-1 results.
  • Arouca reportedly has a fully fit squad for this fixture. No significant injury concerns have been noted for either team.
  • The match is at Arouca’s home ground, which may offer them slight advantage, but Porto’s superior quality lessens this impact.
  • Porto aims to maintain their 100% winning streak and top league position. Arouca seeks to build on their last away win and improve home results, showing motivation but with lower leverage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +725, FC Porto: -290, Draw: +395 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Arouca +1.25: +100, FC Porto -1.25: -120 FC Porto -1.25 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win the match

Predicted Score: FC Porto 3 – 1 Arouca


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Genoa vs. Lazio Prediction Lazio 155 22%
Sao Paulo vs. Ceará Prediction Under 2 102 17%
Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction Over 2.75 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +906 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $201.13

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction FC Porto Win -290 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Valencia vs. Oviedo Prediction Valencia Win -145 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Everton vs. West Ham United Prediction Everton Win -151 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +278

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $75.54

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Nacional vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Madeira, Funchal

Game Overview

The match features Nacional hosting Arouca in Portugal's Primeira Liga at Estádio da Madeira. Both teams are close in league standings with Arouca just above Nacional, indicating a tight contest. Nacional struggles at home with no wins this season, while Arouca has a slightly better recent record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional sits 14th with 4 points including 1 win and 3 losses, showing defensive weaknesses with a -4 goal difference. Arouca is 12th with 5 points, marginally better but with a poor defense conceding 13 goals in 5 matches.
  • The last meeting ended 2-1 in favor of Arouca, giving them a psychological edge over Nacional. Overall, head-to-head encounters are competitive with no dominant trend.
  • No major injury updates reported affecting either side significantly ahead of this match.
  • Match played at Nacional's home ground, which could provide home advantage. Pressure is on Nacional to earn their first home win of the season.
  • Nacional highly motivated to break home win drought and improve their league position. Arouca seeking to maintain their slight advantage in standings and build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +188, Nacional: +152, Draw: +212 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Arouca: +105, Nacional: -125 Arouca +0 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: +100 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arouca at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline pick: Arouca to win. Spread pick: Arouca +0. Confidence pick: Under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Arouca vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

Arouca hosts Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga at Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Arouca holds a mid-table position with stable recent performance, while Casa Pia struggles near relegation. The game is a critical opportunity for Arouca to consolidate points and for Casa Pia to improve their standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has a solid home form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Casa Pia has struggled offensively, scoring only 2 goals in 4 matches and sits 14th in the table with 3 points.
  • Historically, Arouca has been the stronger team at home versus Casa Pia, with a better win ratio in recent encounters. Casa Pia’s away performance has been inconsistent.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would materially affect starting lineups or tactical approach.
  • The match is played at Arouca's home ground, giving them a home advantage. No weather or external disruptions noted.
  • Arouca aims to consolidate their strong position in the mid-table and chase European spots, while Casa Pia is motivated to escape the relegation zone and get their first wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -103, away: 290, draw: 230 Home Win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home_minus_50: -102, away_plus_50: -118 Home -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over_2.25: -110, under_2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 134%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arouca at 134% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to finish under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Vitória SC vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes, Portugal

Game Overview

Vitória SC and Arouca are closely matched around mid-table in Portugal's Primeira Liga, with Vitória SC currently 9th and Arouca 8th. Both teams show similar recent form with moderate scoring but defensive vulnerabilities, making this a competitive fixture at Vitória's home ground.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC recently scored 11 goals in 5 matches but haven't kept a clean sheet in 5 games, conceding 2.33 goals on average. Arouca scored 2 goals per game but concede more heavily at 3.33 goals on average. Vitória SC has slightly better recent results and home advantage.
  • Historically, Vitória SC leads with 10 wins to Arouca's 4 in 20 encounters; recent matches suggest a balanced dynamic with a 2-2 draw in their last league meeting earlier in 2025. Vitória SC has a slightly higher win ratio head-to-head.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players, implying both squads near full strength.
  • Match takes place at Vitória SC's home stadium, Dom Afonso Henriques, presenting a home advantage. No major external disruptions known.
  • Both teams sit in mid-table and will seek points to improve standings early in the season. Vitória SC, playing at home and with a slightly better form, have marginally stronger motivation to capitalize.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitória SC: -125, Draw: +255, Arouca: +345 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Vitória SC -0.5: -122, Arouca +50: +102 Vitória SC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: +102, Under 2.5: -122 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Arouca vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

This Liga Portugal match features Arouca hosting Rio Ave FC. Recent trends show Rio Ave is undefeated in 12 of their last 13 matches against Arouca, indicating strong recent performance despite Arouca's slight historical edge in total wins. The teams have closely matched head-to-head statistics with balanced scoring rates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca's last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 0.8 on average. Rio Ave's last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 goals per match, showing a more offensive but slightly vulnerable defense.
  • Across 20 past meetings, Arouca has 7 wins and Rio Ave 8, with 5 draws. Recent seasons favor Rio Ave, who are undefeated in 12 of their last 13 clashes, suggesting momentum advantage.
  • Available data does not specify impactful injuries for either team, indicating likely full-strength squads.
  • Match played at home grounds of Arouca may provide some home advantage but recent head-to-head suggests Rio Ave handles this well. No significant external disruptions reported.
  • Rio Ave currently has stronger motivation to maintain their unbeaten streak against Arouca and improve their upper mid-table position, while Arouca aims to capitalize on home advantage to start the season strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +100, Rio_Ave_FC: +270, Draw: +240 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Arouca_-0.5: +102, Rio_Ave_+50: -122 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over_2.5: +105, Under_2.5: -125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Arouca to win. Spread: Arouca -0.5. Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon faces Arouca in the Portuguese Primeira Liga matchday 2, both teams coming off opening wins. Sporting shows strong form and home advantage, while Arouca is competitive but a clear underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting won their first match 2-0 with solid defense; currently in good form with home advantage. Arouca won 3-1 but has weaker defense and inconsistent recent results.
  • Sporting has historically dominated Arouca with a strong winning record, reflecting a significant skill and quality gap between the clubs.
  • No major injuries reported for Sporting; Arouca’s squad appears mostly fit with no key absences affecting the lineup.
  • Match played at Sporting's home stadium provides tactical and psychological advantage. No significant external disruptions or weather concerns expected.
  • Sporting aims to consolidate early momentum and climb the table; Arouca motivated to prove competitive but underdogs likely to focus on defensive solidity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -375, Draw +475, Arouca +850 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Sporting Lisbon -1.5 -120, Arouca +1.5 +100 Sporting Lisbon -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3 -105, Under 3 -115 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 spread, with the match going under 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Arouca vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arouca Home Stadium

Game Overview

This is an early season match in the Portugal Primeira Liga between Arouca, the home side, and newly promoted or lower table side AVS Futebol SAD. Both teams have shown relatively weak offensive production recently but Arouca carries a moderate home advantage and better historical results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has a somewhat stronger recent form with more home wins, though scoring under 1.5 goals is common for them; AVS Futebol SAD has failed to win in 23 of their last 27 league games and frequently scores fewer than 1.5 goals.
  • Previous encounters favor Arouca slightly with historically better results and home advantage; Draw outcomes are relatively common based on close percentages but Arouca edges the likelihood to win at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would critically impact starting lineups or tactics.
  • No major external factors such as weather, travel fatigue, or schedule congestion appear relevant for this fixture.
  • Arouca is motivated to start the season strongly on home soil; AVS Futebol SAD may struggle with confidence given recent poor results but will seek an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: -121, AVS Futebol SAD: 335, Draw: 250 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Arouca -0.5: -120, AVS Futebol SAD +50: 100 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: 102 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca to win on the moneyline, with a confident expectation of a low-scoring game under 2.5 total goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Arouca vs. Boavista Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Boavista Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 17, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

Arouca vs. Boavista is a Portuguese Primeira Liga match. Arouca is currently ranked 12th, while Boavista is 18th. The match is crucial for both teams, with Arouca looking to solidify their position and Boavista seeking to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has been performing better in recent matches, holding a higher position in the league compared to Boavista. However, Boavista has shown resilience in several games.
  • The head-to-head data between the two teams is limited, but Arouca's recent performance suggests they might have an edge.
  • Injury reports are not detailed, but both teams should be near full strength for such a crucial match.
  • The match is at Arouca's home stadium, which could provide an advantage due to home support.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Boavista fighting to avoid relegation and Arouca aiming to secure a better position in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: 100, Boavista Porto: 265, Draw: 235 Arouca win or draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Arouca: -0.5 102, Boavista Porto: 50 -122 Arouca covers the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 102, Under: 2.5 -122 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca is likely to win or draw, given their home advantage and current form. The match could see both teams scoring, given their recent performances.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Arouca


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