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Estoril vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Estoril vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-07
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril, Portugal

Game Overview

Estoril Praia hosts Arouca in a Primeira Liga clash at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. Estoril comes into the match off a convincing 4-1 win, ending a four-match winless run, but their home form remains inconsistent with just one home victory this season. Arouca has lost their last two league outings and is struggling for consistency, having picked up only 9 points from 10 matches. Both teams are mid-table, with Estoril on 10 points and Arouca on 9. The match is expected to be tight, with both sides seeking to improve their league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril Praia has shown signs of improvement after a strong win last weekend, scoring 4 goals and keeping their first clean sheet of the season. Their attack has registered 15 goals in 10 matches, but their defense has conceded 14, indicating vulnerability. Home form is a concern, with only one win at the Coimbra da Mota this season. Arouca has lost their last two league games and has struggled defensively, conceding 15 goals in 10 matches. Their attack has been inconsistent, with only 12 goals scored. Both teams have shown flashes of form but lack consistency.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Estoril Praia has won 5 times, Arouca has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent meeting was a 4-1 win for Estoril Praia in March 2025. Estoril has a slight edge in recent encounters, but the rivalry is closely contested.
  • No significant injuries or suspensions reported for either team ahead of the match.
  • The match is being played at Estoril's home ground, which has seen limited success for the hosts this season. The weather is expected to be mild with no adverse conditions affecting play. The referee for the match is Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb the league table and improve their mid-table status. Estoril Praia will be looking to build on their recent win and secure consecutive victories for the first time this season. Arouca is eager to bounce back from two consecutive losses and regain confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 101, draw: 265, away: 245 Estoril Praia to win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread home: -0.5, away: 50 Estoril Praia -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under over: -108, under: -112 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having shown vulnerability in defense. Estoril Praia's recent form and home advantage give them a slight edge, but Arouca's attacking threat cannot be discounted. A draw or a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Arouca vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

The Portugal Primeira Liga match between Arouca and Moreirense FC is set at Estádio Municipal de Arouca. Both teams have struggled with form recently, with Arouca showing poor home results and Moreirense having only one away win in their last four away fixtures. Historically, Moreirense leads the head-to-head with a slight edge over Arouca, but recent meetings have been competitive with several draws and alternating wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca is in poor form at home, with only one home win this season in the league. Moreirense also struggles away with just one win in four away games. Both teams have mixed recent results, but Moreirense has shown slightly better form overall in recent head-to-head and league performances.
  • Moreirense leads in the recent head-to-head record, having won 9 of their last 18 meetings against Arouca, whereas Arouca has won 7 and 2 matches ended in draws. In the last 6 meetings, Arouca lost 4 matches, indicating Moreirense’s upper hand historically.
  • No explicit injury or suspension information is currently available for either side ahead of the match, suggesting relatively full squads are expected.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or venue issues are reported. The match being at Arouca’s home ground provides them some home advantage despite recent weak home form.
  • Both teams will be motivated to improve their league standing given mixed recent form. Moreirense may have a slight psychological edge from favorable head-to-head history, while Arouca will look to capitalize on home support for a positive result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: 155, Moreirense FC: 176, Draw: 225 Moreirense FC win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Arouca: -120, Moreirense FC: 100 Moreirense FC +0 (no spread) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the head-to-head advantage, recent form slightly favoring Moreirense, and close quality of both teams, the prediction leans towards a Moreirense win, but a draw is also a reasonable outcome considering Arouca’s home advantage and the teams’ inconsistent performances.

Predicted Score: Arouca 1 – 2 Moreirense FC


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Benfica vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica, currently 3rd in Liga Portugal, hosts Arouca who are 11th. Benfica are dominant historically and recently, boasting an unbeaten home record with strong scoring, while Arouca have mixed form with few away wins. Benfica are favored due to superior recent results, solid defense, and high scoring rate versus Arouca's vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has an unbeaten streak with 5 wins and 3 draws overall, scoring on average 1.63 goals and conceding 0.5 per match, showcasing a strong defense and consistent attack. Arouca has a lower form with 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.25 goals scored but conceding 2.38 on average, indicating defensive weaknesses. Benfica boasts 4 clean sheets compared to none for Arouca.
  • In the past 20 meetings, Benfica won 17 times, drawing twice and losing once to Arouca, with a total goal difference of 55 to 10 favoring Benfica. Benfica have scored at least 2 goals in their last 13 meetings against Arouca, highlighting offensive dominance. Recent years show Benfica are heavily favored historically and statistically.
  • No specific injury updates are currently available. Benfica have no reported key player absences; Arouca's squad status is also stable, with no notable injury concerns publicly reported.
  • The match is at Benfica’s home ground Estádio da Luz, a large stadium offering strong home support; this venue advantage is significant given Benfica's strong home form. No adverse weather or unique external factors are noted. UEFA Europa League contention adds competitive motivation for Benfica.
  • Benfica, competing for UEFA Europa League positions, have high motivation to secure a win at home. Arouca, mid-table with mixed form and fewer away wins, may play defensively aiming to contain Benfica and possibly force a draw or minimize damage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -675, Draw: 725, Arouca: 1300 Benfica Win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica: -2 -122, Arouca: +2 102 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -112, Under 3.25: -108 Over 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win with a strong probability and likely dominant scoreline given their home advantage, historical dominance, and better overall form.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-29
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

FC Porto enters this Primeira Liga fixture against Arouca with a perfect winning record this season, topping the league and having dominated recent encounters between these teams. Arouca, positioned mid-table, comes off a morale-boosting 2-1 away win at Nacional after a four-match winless streak. The match is expected to showcase Porto's attacking strength against Arouca's determination to build on recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Porto is unbeaten in six league games with strong attacking output complemented by solid defense. Arouca has a mixed season start with 8 points from 6 games, recently showing improved competitiveness and resilience, especially in their last win away from home.
  • In the last ten meetings since 2017, Porto has dominated with eight wins while Arouca has managed only one victory. Porto has generally scored multiple goals per match against Arouca, including a 4-0 and 5-1 past triumph.
  • Arouca's head coach Vasco Seabra reportedly has a fully fit squad for this fixture, likely naming the same lineup that won at Nacional. No significant injury concerns reported for FC Porto.
  • The match will be held at Arouca's home ground, which provides some home advantage though Porto's strong form may offset this. Crowd influence and motivation to maintain top status in the league also play roles.
  • Porto aims to extend their unbeaten streak and maintain a perfect start to the season, retaining top league position. Arouca looks to capitalize on their recent away win to climb higher in the standings and prove competitive against top opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: 7.25, FC Porto: -2.9, Draw: 3.95 FC Porto Win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Arouca: +1.25 @ +100, FC Porto: -1.25 @ -120 FC Porto -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Over 2.75 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto is favored to win this match given their superior form, historical dominance, and offensive potential, but Arouca's recent resurgence and home advantage suggest a competitive game with possible scoring from both sides.

Predicted Score: Porto 3 – 1 Arouca


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction FC Porto -1.25 -120 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Everton vs. West Ham United Prediction Everton -0.5 -154 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Valencia vs. Oviedo Prediction Valencia -0.75 -112 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +472

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $114.47

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Nacional vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Nacional and Arouca is a 2025/2026 Portuguese Primeira Liga fixture taking place at Estádio da Madeira. Both teams are positioned near the lower end of the league table, with Nacional around 13th and Arouca 14th, indicating a closely contested matchup. The game promises a tight battle given recent form and head-to-head history.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional has struggled recently with losses to Porto (0-1), Sporting (1-4), and Gil Vicente (0-2), but managed a 2-0 away win against Casa Pia. Arouca’s form has been mixed as well, with heavy defeat to Sporting (0-6) and a recent 0-2 home loss to Casa Pia, but they secured wins against Boavista (4-1) and AVS (3-1). Overall, both teams have defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent offensive output.
  • In the last 13 meetings, Arouca leads with 6 wins compared to Nacional's 2, and there have been 5 draws. When Nacional plays at home, Arouca still has the advantage with 2 wins to Nacional's 1 and 3 draws. The most common scoreline historically between them is 0-1, showing low-scoring and close affairs.
  • Nacional will be missing midfielder I. Fernandes and M. Baeza. Deivison is also reported absent, although less clarity on his role. This could impair midfield creativity and stability. No explicit injury updates for Arouca were found, suggesting a possibly fitter squad.
  • The match is at Nacional’s home ground, which offers some advantage. The weather and pitch conditions were not specified but presumably standard for September in Madeira. Both teams suffer from recent form dips, potentially motivating a more defensive or cautious approach.
  • Both clubs are near the relegation zone, increasing the stakes in this fixture. Point accumulation is critical, likely enhancing determination levels. Arouca’s better head-to-head record and recent strong home performances against other teams may give them psychological edge, whereas Nacional seek redemption on home soil.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 1.52, Arouca: 1.88, Draw: 2.12 Draw ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Nacional: -1.25, Arouca: 1.05 Nacional to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: -1.2, Under: 1 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the data, the match is expected to be tightly contested, with a slight advantage to Arouca based on recent head-to-head results and marginally better recent outcomes, though Nacional’s home advantage counterbalances this. A low-scoring draw or a narrow away win is the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Arouca vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

The Primeira Liga match between Arouca and Casa Pia is set for September 14th, 2025 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca. Arouca, currently positioned higher in the league, has shown strong offensive ability with 11 goals scored in their last five matches but have struggled defensively, not keeping a clean sheet in six matches. Casa Pia sits lower in the standings and is considered underdogs entering this encounter based on form and rankings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches and has inconsistent defensive performances, having not kept a clean sheet in their last six games. Casa Pia's recent form has been less impressive, placing them 14th in the league standings with fewer goals and clean sheets, indicating challenges in both scoring and defense.
  • Historical direct match data shows competitive games but with a slight advantage to Arouca given home conditions. Specific recent H2H results are limited in available data but Arouca have performed well at home against Casa Pia in prior encounters.
  • No explicit recent injury updates available for key players on either side. Current squad information does not highlight significant absences that could impact starting lineups.
  • The match will take place in Arouca’s home stadium, providing them a home advantage. Weather conditions around the match day are mild and unlikely to affect gameplay significantly. Motivational factors from recent team performances and league positioning may influence intensity.
  • Arouca, sitting 8th in the league with a positive goal differential, will be motivated to secure all three points to consolidate their mid-table position and push up the standings. Casa Pia, 14th and fighting to escape a relegation battle, will be motivated to get at least a point from this away game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: -103, Casa Pia: 290, Draw: 230 Arouca win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Arouca -0.5: -102, Casa Pia +50: -118 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca are favored to win this match based on current form, home advantage, and better offensive output. The game is expected to be moderately competitive but with Arouca having higher chances to secure victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Vitória SC vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães, Portugal

Game Overview

The match features Vitória SC hosting Arouca in the Portuguese Primeira Liga at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Vitória SC has struggled recently with heavy losses to Porto and Sporting, while Arouca shows better recent form including convincing wins over AVS and Boavista. The home advantage slightly favors Vitória SC, but their current form and defensive lapses make this a potentially open and competitive encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC has lost their last two league matches (0-3 vs Porto, 0-2 vs Sporting) and only managed a narrow 1-2 home defeat to Farense recently. In contrast, Arouca comes in with strong offensive displays, including a 3-1 win over AVS and 4-1 over Boavista, indicating more attacking threat and momentum.
  • Recent head-to-heads show tightly contested matches with a goalless draw in a recent meeting at the same stadium. Historically matches between these teams have been competitive with few high-scoring outcomes.
  • No specific injury data is currently available for either team, which suggests typical squad availability but this remains a possible variable impacting the lineups.
  • Playing at home is an advantage for Vitória SC, but the pressure of recent poor results may affect player confidence. Weather and pitch conditions are typical for late August in Guimarães with no unusual external circumstances reported.
  • Vitória SC is likely motivated to recover from recent defeats and perform strongly at home to regain confidence and league standing. Arouca is motivated to continue their positive run and prove their capability to win away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitória SC: -125, Draw: 255, Arouca: 345 Draw or Arouca win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Vitória SC -0.5: -122, Arouca +50: 102 Arouca +0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 105%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 105% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca’s recent form and offensive strength combined with Vitória SC’s recent poor defensive performances suggest that Arouca has a good chance to avoid defeat and possibly secure a narrow win or draw. The match is expected to be competitive with goals from both sides, leaning slightly towards an away or draw outcome.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 30, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 30, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Toulouse vs. Paris Saint Germain Prediction Paris Saint Germain -245 397%
Vitória SC vs. Arouca Prediction Vitória SC -125 105%
Minnesota United FC vs. Portland Timbers Prediction Under 2.5 135 53%

Combined Odds: +496 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $119.13

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Arouca vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between FC Arouca and Rio Ave FC is part of the Liga Portugal 2025/2026 season. Arouca, being the home team, may have an advantage over Rio Ave. The match is likely to be competitive considering the odds and historical performances of both teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca often performs well at home, while Rio Ave may struggle on the road. Arouca's home advantage could be crucial in this match.
  • Historical data on head-to-head matches between Arouca and Rio Ave is not detailed in the search results. However, recent performances suggest Arouca might have a slight edge.
  • No specific injury reports are available in the search results. Both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match outcome. However, no specific external factors are mentioned in the search results.
  • Both teams are likely motivated to start the season with a win. Arouca's home game could provide additional motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: 100, Rio Ave FC: 270, Draw: 240 Arouca Win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Arouca: -0.5 102, Rio Ave FC: 50 -122 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 105, Under: 2.5 -125 Under 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca is favored to win this match, given their home advantage and recent performances.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Arouca


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