The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to complete a series sweep against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Aaron Nola pitched a strong game on May 3, helping the Phillies win 7-2. Eduardo Rodriguez starts for the Diamondbacks on May 4, while the Phillies deploy Ranger Suarez in his season debut.
Key Factors to Consider
The Phillies have won six of their last seven games, showing strong form. Aaron Nola's recent performance boosts their starting rotation.
Recent momentum favors the Phillies, with a convincing win on May 3.
There are no significant injuries reported for this match.
Weather conditions and crowd support could favor the Phillies at home.
Both teams have strong motivation, but the Phillies aim to complete the sweep.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-134 for Phillies, +114 for Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Phillies -1.5 +158, Diamondbacks +1.5 -192
Diamondbacks +1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115
Under
★★★☆☆ 53%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 -99%
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Phillies to win, given their recent form and Nola's positive start.
Final game of a three-game series between the New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks, with the Mets favored at home. The Diamondbacks are positioned as underdogs, attempting to avoid a series sweep or secure a road victory.
Key Factors to Consider
Limited current-season data available, but Mets favored at home with stronger moneyline odds (-162). Diamondbacks' recent performance (as underdogs) suggests potential resilience.
No specific head-to-head stats provided, but Mets hold home-field advantage with odds reflecting stronger confidence in their lineup.
No injury reports available in provided data.
Game played at Citi Field (hitter-friendly dimensions may influence scoring). Weather conditions unstated but presumed neutral.
Mets aim to leverage home advantage to close the series; Diamondbacks seek to avoid back-to-back losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
NYM: -162 | ARI: +136
Mets ML
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
NYM -1.5 (+130) | ARI +1.5 (-156)
Diamondbacks +1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 7.5 (-118) | Under 7.5 (-104)
Under 7.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets 46%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mets win by a narrow margin (1-2 runs), with moderate confidence due to home advantage and slightly superior pitching matchups implied by odds.
The Diamondbacks seek redemption after Eugenio Suárez’s historic 4-HR game in an 8-7 loss to the Braves. Both teams are near .500, with Arizona slightly stronger at home (7-8) and Atlanta struggling on the road (4-11). Pitching matchup features Brandon Pfaadt (4-1, 2.73 ERA) for Arizona and Spencer Schwellenbach (1-1, 2.56 ERA) for Atlanta.
Key Factors to Consider
Arizona’s lineup has momentum from Suárez’s power surge, while Atlanta’s bullpen (notably closer Iglesias’ 6.30 ERA) remains vulnerable. The Braves excel in late-game comebacks, erasing deficits in 4 of their last 7 wins.
Braves’ Jarred Kelenic absent (replaced by Eli White, who homered twice in series). No major Arizona injuries reported.
Home-field advantage for Arizona, though limited (7-8 at home). Over/under leans toward pitching duel (8.5 runs), but both teams have power potential.
Arizona aims to avenge Saturday’s collapse; Atlanta seeks to capitalize on bullpen vulnerabilities.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arizona -106 | Atlanta -110
Braves (-110)
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Arizona +1.5 (-178) | Atlanta -1.5 (+146)
Braves -1.5 (+146)
40% (high-risk, given close matchup)
Over/under
Over 8.5 (-104) | Under 8.5 (-118)
Over 8.5 (-104)
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 14%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Braves (-110) moneyline offers slight value due to Arizona’s bullpen inconsistencies and Atlanta’s recent clutch hitting. Expect a close game with late-inning drama, favoring over 8.5 runs (moderate confidence) despite odds.
The Chicago Cubs host the Arizona Diamondbacks in the final game of the series after two highly competitive games. The Cubs currently lead the series and are atop the NL Central with a 14-9 record, while the Diamondbacks hold a 12-9 record, sitting fourth in the NL West. The Cubs have demonstrated strong offensive power, leading MLB with 143 runs scored through 23 games. Arizona is looking to avoid being swept and has shown resilience despite recent losses, including a hard-fought 13-11 victory in the previous game and a 6-2 loss where they struggled against Cubs’ pitching and bullpen depth.
Key Factors to Consider
Chicago Cubs exhibit solid offensive firepower highlighted by consistent power hitters like Seiya Suzuki and Michael Busch, who recently hit back-to-back home runs. Their bullpen has been reliable, notably shutting down the Diamondbacks with 14 straight retired hitters in the last game. The Diamondbacks, led by Corbin Carroll's hot streak and Merrill Kelly's pitching efforts, have struggled recently but remain competitive, with Kelly aiming for a third straight quality start against the Cubs.
In the recent encounters, the Cubs won the previous game convincingly 6-2 after a wild offensive game prior. The Cubs’ pitching kept Arizona to just four hits in the last outing, while their offense capitalized on Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen’s mistakes, hitting multiple home runs. The Diamondbacks have been competitive but are trailing the Cubs in this series both in performance and momentum.
No major injuries reported for either team before this matchup. Both teams are expected to field near-full-strength rosters with their top starters Merrill Kelly (ARI) and Jameson Taillon (CHC) pitching.
The game is played at Wrigley Field, giving the Cubs the home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for late April in Chicago with no extreme conditions reported that could affect gameplay. The Cubs’ recent strong offensive trends and bullpen reliability are boosted by the supportive home crowd.
The Cubs are motivated to sweep the series and maintain their lead in the NL Central. The Diamondbacks aim to avoid the sweep and gain momentum as they also pursue playoff positioning in the NL West. Both teams have strong incentives but the Cubs have the psychological and statistical edge going into this final game.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks: +106, Chicago Cubs: -124
Chicago Cubs
★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 at -210, Chicago Cubs: -1.5 at +172
Chicago Cubs -1.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 7: -120, Under 7: -102
Over 7 runs
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 7 -1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Chicago Cubs at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs are favored to win this game given their recent dominance both offensively and in bullpen performance, combined with home-field advantage and the pitching matchup favoring Cubs’ Jameson Taillon who has been consistent lately.
Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5 – Arizona Diamondbacks 3
The Arizona Diamondbacks are on a three-game winning streak and face the Miami Marlins, who are looking to bounce back from a loss. The Diamondbacks have shown strong offense and pitching lately, while the Marlins are seeking consistency at home.
Key Factors to Consider
The Diamondbacks have been performing well, with Corbin Carroll's recent grand slam highlighting their offense. Meanwhile, the Marlins have struggled with consistency in their games.
The Diamondbacks recently beat the Marlins 10-4, with strong performances from key players like Carroll and Geraldo Perdomo.
No significant injury updates have been reported for either team as of this writing.
No external factors like weather or day games vs. night games have been mentioned as impacting this series.
Both teams are motivated to win, but the Diamondbacks' current momentum might give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-148 for Arizona, 126 for Miami
Arizona Diamondbacks
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
-1.5 for Arizona at 106, +1.5 for Miami at -128
Arizona to cover the spread
★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under
Over 8.5 at -122, Under 8.5 at 100
Over 8.5
★★★☆☆ 51%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 -8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Diamondbacks are likely to win due to their recent performance and strong offense.
This match marks the third game in a series between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Milwaukee Brewers. Both teams are tied at 1-1, with the Diamondbacks seeking to capitalize on their recent walk-off victory. Zac Gallen is scheduled to pitch for the Diamondbacks.
Key Factors to Consider
The Diamondbacks have shown resilience with their late-game comeback, while the Brewers demonstrated strong early-game scoring. Both teams have similar win-loss records.
The series is currently tied, indicating a competitive balance between the teams.
No significant injury updates are available for this match.
The Diamondbacks' momentum from their last game could provide an advantage at home.
With the series tied, both teams are highly motivated to secure a win.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks 9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Diamondbacks to win based on recent momentum and home advantage.