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Libertad Asuncion vs. Alianza Lima Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Libertad Asuncion vs Alianza Lima – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-27
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asuncion, Paraguay

Game Overview

This is a critical Copa Libertadores group stage match. Libertad Asuncion currently ranks 2nd in Group D, while Alianza Lima is at the bottom (4th). Libertad is generally considered stronger at home and is in better form compared to Alianza Lima, who have struggled away in continental competition. The result affects both teams' chances of advancing, with Libertad in a favorable position to secure a knockout stage spot if they win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Libertad Asuncion is in good form, especially at home, with recent strong domestic and continental results. Alianza Lima has been inconsistent, especially away from home, and has struggled in Copa Libertadores group matches. Libertad's defensive and midfield organization is likely to dominate against Alianza Lima's occasional defensive lapses.
  • Limited recent head-to-head history, but Libertad has a slight edge in continental experience and squad depth. In this season's direct matches and recent performances, Libertad appears stronger.
  • No major injuries or suspensions have been widely reported for either team as of now, but check live team news for last-minute updates.
  • Libertad has home advantage, with passionate local support and familiarity with the venue. Weather is not expected to be a significant factor.
  • Libertad is motivated to secure or consolidate a top-two group position. Alianza Lima is desperate for points to keep advancement hopes alive, but morale may be lower due to recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion: -130, Alianza Lima: 360, Draw: 245 Libertad Asuncion win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Alianza Lima: 50 -102, Libertad Asuncion: -0.5 -128 Libertad Asuncion -0.5 covers ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -130, Under: 2.25 100 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Libertad Asuncion at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Libertad Asuncion is favored to win at home, given their stronger form, deeper squad, and home advantage. Alianza Lima is likely to struggle to break down Libertad's defense, but may stay compact and hope for a draw.

Predicted Score: Libertad Asuncion 1-0 Alianza Lima


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Libertad Asuncion vs. Alianza Lima Prediction Libertad Asuncion -130 15%
Independiente del Valle vs. Barcelona SC Prediction Under 2.5 -102 11%
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Carabobo FC Prediction Over 3.25 100 10%

Combined Odds: +601 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $140.15

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Club Atletico Talleres vs. Alianza Lima Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Club Atletico Talleres vs Alianza Lima – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Córdoba, Argentina

Game Overview

Club Atlético Talleres hosts Alianza Lima in the Copa Libertadores 2025. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in Group D. Alianza Lima, having overcome significant challenges to reach this stage, faces a tough opponent in Talleres, who need a win to stay competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Talleres has struggled in the group with only one point, while Alianza Lima has four points. Talleres needs a home win to revitalize their campaign.
  • In their last encounter, Alianza Lima won dramatically against Talleres through a late goal by Hernán Barcos, following a double by Paolo Guerrero.
  • As of now, no significant injury updates are available for either team.
  • Talleres' home advantage and the need for a win could influence their performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, but Talleres needs a victory more to stay in contention for the next round.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -155 for Talleres, 440 for Alianza Lima, 255 for Draw Talleres win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -0.75 for Talleres (-122), +75 for Alianza Lima (-108) Talleres to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-112), Under 2.25 (-118) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Club Atletico Talleres 197%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Club Atletico Talleres at 197% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Talleres is expected to win due to their home advantage and necessity to gain points, but Alianza Lima's recent form and resilience make them a formidable opponent.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Talleres


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 15, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Club Atletico Talleres vs. Alianza Lima Prediction Club Atletico Talleres -155 197%
Getafe vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction Draw 175 46%
Nacional de Montevideo vs. Internacional-RS Prediction Nacional de Montevideo 175 25%

Combined Odds: +1144 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $248.83

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Alianza Lima vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alianza Lima vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 06, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima, PER

Game Overview

CONMEBOL Libertadores Group D clash between Alianza Lima (Peru) and São Paulo (Brazil), with São Paulo holding a slight edge in attacking quality based on recent performances. Their previous encounter ended 2-2 on April 10, 2025[2][3], showcasing tightly contested gameplay.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams scored 5 goals in the group stage (as of April 10), but São Paulo’s superior squad depth and Ferreira’s scoring form (2 goals) make them favorites[1][3]. Alianza Lima’s Guerrero (2 goals) remains their primary threat[1].
  • 1-0-1 (last two matches, including April 10 draw), demonstrating competitive parity[2][3].
  • No specific injury reports available in search results, but São Paulo’s substitutes like Jandrei and Matheus Alves provide bench depth[3].
  • Home advantage for Alianza Lima at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, known for intense atmospheres[1][4].
  • Crucial group stage match where goal difference could determine knockout qualification.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alianza Lima: 235 | São Paulo: 130 | Draw: 210 São Paulo (ML) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread São Paulo -0.5 (est.) São Paulo cover -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 1.5: -200 | Under 1.5: 155 Over 1.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 51%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 51% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo to edge a narrow victory (1-2) due to superior individual quality, though Alianza’s home pressure may force a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 6, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 6, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Fortaleza-EC vs. Colo Colo Prediction Fortaleza-EC 105 85%
Alianza Lima vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Sao Paulo 130 51%
Atlético Bucaramanga vs. Racing Club Prediction Racing Club 130 37%

Combined Odds: +984 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $216.89

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Alianza Lima vs. Club Atletico Talleres Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alianza Lima vs Club Atletico Talleres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-22
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Matute)

Game Overview

Alianza Lima (1 point) faces Talleres (0 points) in a critical Group D match. Both teams trail Libertad (6 points) and São Paulo (4 points) and need a win to stay competitive. Alianza drew São Paulo 2-2 in their last Libertadores match, showing attacking potential, while Talleres lost both group games (0-1 to São Paulo, 0-2 to Libertad) and recently fell to Vélez Sarsfield domestically.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alianza shows defensive frailties (-1 goal difference) but home advantage; Talleres struggles offensively (-3 goal difference).
  • No recent H2H data found; this appears to be their first competitive meeting.
  • No injury reports available in provided sources.
  • Talleres arrives after a domestic loss; Alianza enters as slight favorites at home.
  • Both teams are desperate for points to maintain knockout stage hopes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alianza 170 | Talleres 175 | Draw 190 Alianza Lima moneyline ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread 0 (-118 Alianza) | 0 (-112 Talleres) No spread advantage (pick'em) ★★★☆☆ 50%
Over/under Over 2 (-108) | Under 2 (-122) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alianza Lima 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alianza Lima at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tight match with Alianza leveraging home support. Expect under 2 goals due to both teams' scoring struggles.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Alianza Lima


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Sao Paulo vs. Alianza Lima Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Alianza Lima – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 11, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Morumbi, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

São Paulo hosts Alianza Lima in a CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group D match. Both teams are looking to gain crucial points in the competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has shown solid defensive performances, while Alianza Lima faces challenges in away matches.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but São Paulo generally has a stronger record in home games.
  • No major injuries reported from either side.
  • Home advantage could play a significant role for São Paulo.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win in the competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline -293 (Sao Paulo), 800 (Alianza Lima), 370 (Draw) São Paulo to win ★★★★☆ 80% São Paulo to win -73%
Spread -1.25 (Sao Paulo) -115, 1.25 (Alianza Lima) -105 São Paulo to cover -1.25 spread ★★★★☆ 75% São Paulo to cover -1.25 spread -100%
Over_under Over 2.5: -104, Under 2.5: -116 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60% Under 2.5 goals -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 530%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 530% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 66.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo is likely to secure a victory given their home advantage and stronger form compared to Alianza Lima.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of São Paulo


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Alianza Lima vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alianza Lima vs Libertad Asuncion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 1, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

This match opens the Copa Libertadores 2025 campaign for both Alianza Lima and Libertad Asunción as they face off in Group D. Both teams will seek to gain early points to secure their position in the group.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alianza Lima, led by Coach Néstor Gorosito, aims to perform well in the Libertadores after a solid domestic run. Libertad enters with a strong lineup but less depth, relying heavily on key players.
  • The head-to-head record between the teams is limited, but both sides have shown competitiveness in past matchups.
  • No major injury reports are available for both teams as of the latest updates.
  • Home advantage could play a significant role for Alianza Lima, while Libertad must adapt to the Peruvian environment.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to start the group stage with a win, given the competitive nature of Group D.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alianza Lima: 135, Libertad Asuncion: 230, Draw: 190 Alianza Lima ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Alianza Lima: -0.25 -105, Libertad Asuncion: 25 -125 Alianza Lima: -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 53%
Over_under Over: 2 -112, Under: 2 -118 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Alianza Lima is predicted to have a slight advantage in this match due to home field advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Alianza Lima


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Alianza Lima vs. Deportes Iquique Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alianza Lima vs Deportes Iquique – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-11
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tierra de Campeones Stadium

Game Overview

Alianza Lima faces Deportes Iquique in a crucial Copa Libertadores match. Alianza Lima has momentum after eliminating Boca Juniors and a recent win against Sporting Cristal. However, they are missing key players. Deportes Iquique is struggling in the Chilean league but advanced in the Copa Libertadores via a penalty shootout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alianza Lima is performing well domestically and in the Copa Libertadores, despite missing key players. Deportes Iquique is struggling in their league but has shown resilience in the Copa Libertadores.
  • The teams have no prior head-to-head matches, making this a first encounter.
  • Alianza Lima is missing Paolo Guerrero, Erick Noriega, Pablo Ceppelini, and Jean Pierre Archimbaud due to injuries and suspensions.
  • The match is at Tierra de Campeones Stadium, which could favor Deportes Iquique due to its location in Chile, despite Alianza Lima being the home team on paper.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the Copa Libertadores, but Alianza Lima's recent successes might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alianza Lima: -155, Deportes Iquique: 440, Draw: 270 Alianza Lima ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Alianza Lima: -0.75 -128, Deportes Iquique: 75 -102 Alianza Lima -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Alianza Lima is likely to win due to their recent form and motivation.

Predicted Score: Alianza Lima 2, Deportes Iquique 0


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