Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Alexander Romanov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

Game Overview

The fight between heavyweight contenders Oleg Popov and Alexander Romanov is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 10 Finals taking place in Charlotte, North Carolina. Both fighters are experienced with complementary skill sets, Popov being the favorite with -220 odds and Romanov the underdog at +180.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oleg Popov has shown strong striking and controlling grappling in recent fights, maintaining a steady winning form in PFL. Alexander Romanov is known for his dominant grappling and submission threats but has faced some recent tough opponents that tested his ground defense.
• No previous recorded matchup exists between Popov and Romanov, making this a fresh contest between two heavyweights with substantially different styles.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout, implying both are physically fresh and prepared.
• The fight is part of a high-stakes PFL final, increasing motivation for both fighters. Fighting in Charlotte could slightly benefit Popov as he is more acclimated to the event environment.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the PFL tournament with title implications at stake. Popov's slight edge in odds suggests bookmakers believe his form and environment give him better chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oleg Popov: -220, Alexander Romanov: +180	Oleg Popov	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Popov -1.5 rounds: -150, Romanov +1.5 rounds: +120	Popov -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: +130, Under 2.5 rounds: -160	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oleg Popov -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oleg Popov at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oleg Popov to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Oleg Popov wins by decision or finish before round 3

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Impa Kasanganay vs. Andrew Sanchez Prediction	Impa Kasanganay Win	-600	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Fabian Edwards vs. Dalton Rosta Prediction	Fabian Edwards Win	-205	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Oleg Popov vs. Alexander Romanov Prediction	Oleg Popov Win	-220	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +152

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $50.5

Match Analysis: Valentin Moldavsky vs Alexander Romanov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois, United States

Game Overview

The heavyweight semifinal bout between Valentin Moldavsky (14-4) and Alexander Romanov (19-3) is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 7: Semifinals event. Moldavsky, with a solid PFL record (2-1) and previous experience, faces Romanov, a former UFC contender who impressed in his PFL debut. The match is highly competitive with both fighters bringing strong grappling and submission skills to the cage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Moldavsky has demonstrated consistent performance in the PFL, with a strong wrestling base and strategic pacing in fights. Romanov boasts a high finishing rate with dominant grappling and submission capability, coming off a successful UFC tenure and a strong start in PFL.
• This appears to be the first competitive match between Moldavsky and Romanov, with no known previous head-to-head records.
• No public or reported injuries affecting either fighter have been noted leading up to the fight.
• The fight takes place in a high-stakes PFL semifinal setting at a well-known venue which can impact fighter motivation and pressure. No other external factors such as travel issues or recent controversies affect either fighter.
• Both fighters have strong motivation to win, with a $500,000 prize and championship belt at stake in the tournament finals. Romanov’s recent entry and success in PFL adds extra incentive, while Moldavsky aims to maintain his steady progress and claim the title.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alexander Romanov: 145, Valentin Moldavsky: -175	Alexander Romanov to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Valentin Moldavsky -1.5 rounds	Valentin Moldavsky to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Valentin Moldavsky 54%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Valentin Moldavsky at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander Romanov is favored to win this bout by a methodical grappling and submission strategy, though Moldavsky’s wrestling and fight experience make it a close contest. Romanov’s momentum and finishing skills give him a slight edge in probability of victory.

Predicted Score: Romanov wins by submission in round 2

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – June 27, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Jordan Molinari vs. Yannis Osmani Prediction	Under 1.5	170	62%
Valentin Moldavsky vs. Alexander Romanov Prediction	Valentin Moldavsky	-175	54%
Adam Darby vs. Tato Primera Prediction	Under 1.5	-125	17%

Combined Odds: +664 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $152.74

Match Analysis: Alexander Romanov vs Timothy Johnson – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-01
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Orlando, Florida, United States

Game Overview

Alexander Romanov faces Timothy Johnson in a heavyweight MMA bout at the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Both fighters have extensive experience, with Romanov holding a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background and Johnson known for his aggressive fighting style.

Key Factors to Consider

• Romanov has a strong BJJ background and a solid KO/TKO record, which could be crucial against Johnson's more traditional striking style.
• No historical head-to-head data available for these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
• Both fighters will be competing in Orlando, Florida, which could favor Romanov if crowd support plays a role.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, given the tournament setting and potential for significant career advancement.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-500 (Romanov), 375 (Johnson)	Romanov	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alexander Romanov 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexander Romanov at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander Romanov is favored to win due to his well-rounded skillset and higher finish rate.

Predicted Score: Romanov wins by KO/TKO in Round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Simeon Powell vs. Karl Albrektsson Prediction	Simeon Powell Win	-190	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Oleg Popov vs. Karl Williams Prediction	Oleg Popov Win	-245	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Alexander Romanov vs. Timothy Johnson Prediction	Alexander Romanov Win	-500	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +158

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $51.58